a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 1 二次探底难以避免。
要是中国的泡泡也崩了的话，那就是全球熊市，好几年都恢复不了。 |
g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 2 Not so quick, it's pre-election year. When was the last time
pre-election year was red? If you buy at the end of the today,
chance is you'll get 5%+ return at year end.
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】
: 二次探底难以避免。
: 要是中国的泡泡也崩了的话，那就是全球熊市，好几年都恢复不了。
|
a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 3 搞成红的，共和党才好上台啊。
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: Not so quick, it's pre-election year. When was the last time
: pre-election year was red? If you buy at the end of the today,
: chance is you'll get 5%+ return at year end.
|
g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 4 O8也不是省油的灯，本不混了？QE3有戏是真的。
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】
: 搞成红的，共和党才好上台啊。
|
p********r
发帖数: 1980 | 5 Not so fast, one day doesn't make the trend although this is long over-due.
Couldn't resist the temptation and bought one stock today as it reached my
target price. Still under-weight stock but would buy more if the price drop
more. Some of my watch-list is also close to my target price although the
market overall still is probably over-priced by 20%.
China is unsustainable. It can't live without the huge investments needed to
push up the GDP. All governments around the world refused to make harsh
choices to have a clean-sheet for tomorrow. So Europe is still trying to "
bail out" countries, America is still refusing to reform entitlements and
raise taxes, and China is refusing to reform its political system...they are
all following Japan's footstep. The bubble is never an issue. It is how you
clean up the bubble ... definitely not by using printing machine as the
only way out.
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】
: 二次探底难以避免。
: 要是中国的泡泡也崩了的话，那就是全球熊市，好几年都恢复不了。
|
c****o
发帖数: 32446 | |
s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 7 QE3 买啥是个问题。各类债券 yield 都已经低的不像话了，Bernanke 再说买什么
债券压低 short/long term rate 都没太大意义了。丫的总不能公然入场买股票
吧？而且买股票对经济没有任何实质作用，丫无论如何也说不通。
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: O8也不是省油的灯，本不混了？QE3有戏是真的。
|
p********r
发帖数: 1980 | 8 I got an idea for Ben. Whatever he says, just says it privately, especially
when he is drunk:
http://www.theonion.com/articles/drunken-ben-bernanke-tells-eve
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】
: QE3 买啥是个问题。各类债券 yield 都已经低的不像话了，Bernanke 再说买什么
: 债券压低 short/long term rate 都没太大意义了。丫的总不能公然入场买股票
: 吧？而且买股票对经济没有任何实质作用，丫无论如何也说不通。
|
n******h
发帖数: 2482 | 9 Never underestimate the stupidity and evilness of the Wall Street (aka
Federal Reserve). They have never failed to amaze me.
【在 s********n 的大作中提到】
: QE3 买啥是个问题。各类债券 yield 都已经低的不像话了，Bernanke 再说买什么
: 债券压低 short/long term rate 都没太大意义了。丫的总不能公然入场买股票
: 吧？而且买股票对经济没有任何实质作用，丫无论如何也说不通。
|
a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 10 现在还是在争相印钱，昨天日本印了，欧洲也要继续印，中国也不会落后，
美国更是要印。可惜食品不能存，要不然存上３０年的食品，肯定比买什么股票都合算。
drop
to
are
【在 p********r 的大作中提到】
: Not so fast, one day doesn't make the trend although this is long over-due.
: Couldn't resist the temptation and bought one stock today as it reached my
: target price. Still under-weight stock but would buy more if the price drop
: more. Some of my watch-list is also close to my target price although the
: market overall still is probably over-priced by 20%.
: China is unsustainable. It can't live without the huge investments needed to
: push up the GDP. All governments around the world refused to make harsh
: choices to have a clean-sheet for tomorrow. So Europe is still trying to "
: bail out" countries, America is still refusing to reform entitlements and
: raise taxes, and China is refusing to reform its political system...they are
|
|
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 11 you can buy a farm instead of storing food yourself
算。
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】
: 现在还是在争相印钱，昨天日本印了，欧洲也要继续印，中国也不会落后，
: 美国更是要印。可惜食品不能存，要不然存上３０年的食品，肯定比买什么股票都合算。
:
: drop
: to
: are
|
S**C
发帖数: 2964 | 12 While Chinese economy is no long nothing as before, the key now is Italy and
Spain. Put them together, plus the other PIIGS, and Belgium will not
survive had either Spain or Italy fall, that is about half of EU GDP. If
that happens, the whole EU and US will fall back in deep recession and/or
depression, and that is about half of the world GDP, nobody will survive
from that.
In many ways, now is far more dangerous than year 2008, now we have 1)
bailout fatigue 2) austerity ran/will run all over the major developed
economies and 3) liquidity trap.
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】
: 二次探底难以避免。
: 要是中国的泡泡也崩了的话，那就是全球熊市，好几年都恢复不了。
|
n******h
发帖数: 2482 | 13 It's a lot harder to keep a farm running than you think. Someone did a
calculation. You need to raise 100 cattle to just break even.
For average joe, the best bet is still that shiny stuff.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: you can buy a farm instead of storing food yourself
:
: 算。
|
a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 14 不会种地不会管理的人买了farm会悲剧的！
我连我自己的前后院都弄起来很费劲，无非就是十来棵树，十来个花丛或bush,
已经觉得很费劲没时间弄了。不得不周末乘着孩子睡觉，早起干两个小时伺候它们。买
farm肯定会荒掉的。
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: you can buy a farm instead of storing food yourself
:
: 算。
|
a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 15 太可怕了。
and
【在 S**C 的大作中提到】
: While Chinese economy is no long nothing as before, the key now is Italy and
: Spain. Put them together, plus the other PIIGS, and Belgium will not
: survive had either Spain or Italy fall, that is about half of EU GDP. If
: that happens, the whole EU and US will fall back in deep recession and/or
: depression, and that is about half of the world GDP, nobody will survive
: from that.
: In many ways, now is far more dangerous than year 2008, now we have 1)
: bailout fatigue 2) austerity ran/will run all over the major developed
: economies and 3) liquidity trap.
|
n******h
发帖数: 2482 | 16 EU is actually just a foreplay. The big bang will actually be China,
followed by the final show, performed by none other than the director
himself, USA.
and
【在 S**C 的大作中提到】
: While Chinese economy is no long nothing as before, the key now is Italy and
: Spain. Put them together, plus the other PIIGS, and Belgium will not
: survive had either Spain or Italy fall, that is about half of EU GDP. If
: that happens, the whole EU and US will fall back in deep recession and/or
: depression, and that is about half of the world GDP, nobody will survive
: from that.
: In many ways, now is far more dangerous than year 2008, now we have 1)
: bailout fatigue 2) austerity ran/will run all over the major developed
: economies and 3) liquidity trap.
|
a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 17 既然全部要bang, 那我们还是提前讨论一下我们该做些什么准备
以便让全家顺利度过危机。
１。如何保持工作职位，或者应该提前学习什么技能，使得失业以后
可以找到新的行业来工作。
２。家里多准备点什么东西。
３。房子卖掉改成租房，还是继续持有房屋。
４。是否需要提前搬到什么安全的并且有充足工作机会，能够更好抵御危机的地方。
【在 n******h 的大作中提到】
: EU is actually just a foreplay. The big bang will actually be China,
: followed by the final show, performed by none other than the director
: himself, USA.
:
: and
|
n******h
发帖数: 2482 | 18 Keep your skills fresh. Either owning or renting is fine as long as you have
enough cash flow to support it. Sell all your bubble equities/bonds and buy
gold (in both physical and equity form).
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】
: 既然全部要bang, 那我们还是提前讨论一下我们该做些什么准备
: 以便让全家顺利度过危机。
: １。如何保持工作职位，或者应该提前学习什么技能，使得失业以后
: 可以找到新的行业来工作。
: ２。家里多准备点什么东西。
: ３。房子卖掉改成租房，还是继续持有房屋。
: ４。是否需要提前搬到什么安全的并且有充足工作机会，能够更好抵御危机的地方。
|
j**y
发帖数: 147 | 19 faint, is the Ben's news in the link real?
especially
【在 p********r 的大作中提到】
: I got an idea for Ben. Whatever he says, just says it privately, especially
: when he is drunk:
: http://www.theonion.com/articles/drunken-ben-bernanke-tells-eve
|
D******y
发帖数: 3780 | 20 it is the onion
【在 j**y 的大作中提到】
: faint, is the Ben's news in the link real?
:
: especially
|
p********r
发帖数: 1980 | 21 hehe. Did you see the other news on the right that the site also reports?
Obama Turns 50 Despite Republican Opposition
AUGUST 4, 2011 | ISSUE 47•31
WASHINGTON—After months of heated negotiations and failed attempts to
achieve any kind of consensus, President Obama turned 50 years old Thursday,
drawing strong criticism from Republicans in Congress. "With the host of
problems this country is currently facing, the fact that our president is
devoting time to the human process of aging is an affront to Americans
everywhere," said Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who advocated a
provision to keep Obama 49 at least through the fall of 2013. "To move
forward unilaterally and simply begin the next year of his life without
bipartisan support—is that any way to lead a country?" According to White
House officials, Obama attempted to work with Republicans right up until the
Aug. 4 deadline, but was ultimately left with no choice except to turn a
year older.
【在 j**y 的大作中提到】
: faint, is the Ben's news in the link real?
:
: especially
|
