m**********r
发帖数: 887 | 1 要是按200天均线来看，现在是牛市了。
不过不可能这么快危机就过去了吧？ | l******n
发帖数: 641 | 2 危机是危机，牛市是牛市
【在 m**********r 的大作中提到】
: 要是按200天均线来看，现在是牛市了。
: 不过不可能这么快危机就过去了吧？
| u**o
发帖数: 4652 | 3 怎么感觉还要rally一下
但是又感觉这么久了该跌了 | K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 4 让goodbug来分析一下。
【在 m**********r 的大作中提到】
: 要是按200天均线来看，现在是牛市了。
: 不过不可能这么快危机就过去了吧？
| m**********r
发帖数: 887 | 5 对，上次是goodbug提出这个200天均线理论的吧？ | g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 6 It's the direction of 200MA, more than whether we are above or under 200MA,
indicates the market status.
We are still under 200MA, 200MA is still pointing down. Bull market?
Not in my dictionary. We are running into resistance, time to tighten your
buckle if you has profit. If we revisit March low and holds the March low,
things will look better from TA perpective. | u**o
发帖数: 4652 | 7 我的position都是中概，不知道怎么处理中国MARKET跟这边的关系
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: It's the direction of 200MA, more than whether we are above or under 200MA,
: indicates the market status.
: We are still under 200MA, 200MA is still pointing down. Bull market?
: Not in my dictionary. We are running into resistance, time to tighten your
: buckle if you has profit. If we revisit March low and holds the March low,
: things will look better from TA perpective.
| g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 8 China, on the contrary, seems to be in a good bull market.
But I don't know how it's coupled.
【在 u**o 的大作中提到】
: 我的position都是中概，不知道怎么处理中国MARKET跟这边的关系
|
| m**********r
发帖数: 887 | | p******h
发帖数: 1783 | 10 200MA or 200EMA?
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: It's the direction of 200MA, more than whether we are above or under 200MA,
: indicates the market status.
: We are still under 200MA, 200MA is still pointing down. Bull market?
: Not in my dictionary. We are running into resistance, time to tighten your
: buckle if you has profit. If we revisit March low and holds the March low,
: things will look better from TA perpective.
| s**********n
发帖数: 868 | 11 The direction of 200 MA? It only depends on whether we are now above or
below 200 days ago, doesn't it? Wait for one more month, and the November
low will be removed from the 200 MA, and you will see 200 MA moving up. And
two months later, when the January high is removed, you might see 200 MA
moving down again.
200-day-period is too short to get rid of market noise and reflect the
economic reality, especially when government policies make a huge impact
nowadays. Imagine if we don't have the bai
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: It's the direction of 200MA, more than whether we are above or under 200MA,
: indicates the market status.
: We are still under 200MA, 200MA is still pointing down. Bull market?
: Not in my dictionary. We are running into resistance, time to tighten your
: buckle if you has profit. If we revisit March low and holds the March low,
: things will look better from TA perpective.
| g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 12 200 trading days takes between 9 and 10 months, Nov low probably will be
got erased in another 3 months, not 1. And we are not above Nov low by much
to begin with. If market can hold strong this summer, yes, I probably will
change my bearish view.
I think 200MA is a pretty good indicator, it nicely predicted the last
top and bottom and didn't lag too much.
https://realtime.bigcharts.com/custom/ameritrade2/big.chart?symb=dji&time=
10yr&freq=1dy&uf=0&lf=4&lf2=268435456&lf3=2&ma=1&maval=200&compidx
【在 s**********n 的大作中提到】
: The direction of 200 MA? It only depends on whether we are now above or
: below 200 days ago, doesn't it? Wait for one more month, and the November
: low will be removed from the 200 MA, and you will see 200 MA moving up. And
: two months later, when the January high is removed, you might see 200 MA
: moving down again.
: 200-day-period is too short to get rid of market noise and reflect the
: economic reality, especially when government policies make a huge impact
: nowadays. Imagine if we don't have the bai
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