r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 1 1700割的肉。。要回到1700进去好像跟没割一样。。401k就一直all cash还是咋样。。
割过的同学有没啥想法 |
K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 2 According to goodbug's method, you need to wait until S&P passes
1000 or so.
【在 r****y 的大作中提到】
: 1700割的肉。。要回到1700进去好像跟没割一样。。401k就一直all cash还是咋样。。
: 割过的同学有没啥想法
|
S******n
发帖数: 617 | 3 more and more meat back to bones. Bears will dominate soon,hoho
【在 r****y 的大作中提到】
: 1700割的肉。。要回到1700进去好像跟没割一样。。401k就一直all cash还是咋样。。
: 割过的同学有没啥想法
|
g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 4 1000, No, I doubt market is strong enough to clear 950. We should see
another leg to make a new low. After that, we should have a L bottom for at
least couple of years, may or may not make another new low but it'll take
time to recover. We'll have chance to buy below 600 I think. After all, this
bear market only last 18 months. 18 months! Are you kidding me, even last mild recession lasted 34 months!
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: According to goodbug's method, you need to wait until S&P passes
: 1000 or so.
|
m******t
发帖数: 2416 | 5
at
this
mild recession lasted 34 months!
+1, I kind of have the same feeling. This is too good to be true.
Disclaimer: no, I didn't miss any boat, so this isn't a sour grape from me ;
-)
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: 1000, No, I doubt market is strong enough to clear 950. We should see
: another leg to make a new low. After that, we should have a L bottom for at
: least couple of years, may or may not make another new low but it'll take
: time to recover. We'll have chance to buy below 600 I think. After all, this
: bear market only last 18 months. 18 months! Are you kidding me, even last mild recession lasted 34 months!
|
s**********n
发帖数: 868 | 6 I think 18 months is not impossible since the government has never acted so
aggressively in the history. The massive stimulus may not be good for long
term recovery; it may even cost more years for the economy to fully regain
its strength. But it may keep the economy from a free fall, let it recover
gradually and absorb the power of the recession. If it does succeed as the
elite American wisdom wishes, the Feb low of 650 may turn out to be a bottom
, and we may stay around current level for a lo
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: 1000, No, I doubt market is strong enough to clear 950. We should see
: another leg to make a new low. After that, we should have a L bottom for at
: least couple of years, may or may not make another new low but it'll take
: time to recover. We'll have chance to buy below 600 I think. After all, this
: bear market only last 18 months. 18 months! Are you kidding me, even last mild recession lasted 34 months!
|
g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 7 In that case, US turns to Japan of 1990, and we all know what happen
the next 20 years.
so
bottom
indeed
【在 s**********n 的大作中提到】
: I think 18 months is not impossible since the government has never acted so
: aggressively in the history. The massive stimulus may not be good for long
: term recovery; it may even cost more years for the economy to fully regain
: its strength. But it may keep the economy from a free fall, let it recover
: gradually and absorb the power of the recession. If it does succeed as the
: elite American wisdom wishes, the Feb low of 650 may turn out to be a bottom
: , and we may stay around current level for a lo
|
s**********n
发帖数: 868 | 8 I believe it should be better than that. I don't quite see a similarity
between the two cases.
That is definitely a much larger bubble than this one by all standards, and
the political background also plays an important role.
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: In that case, US turns to Japan of 1990, and we all know what happen
: the next 20 years.
:
: so
: bottom
: indeed
|
h****h
发帖数: 1168 | 9 japan is doomed for 20+ years b/c the stronger us dollar,
for us dollar in current situation, no other currency is as strong as dollor
yet
if us dollar did the same as yen, there will be a war for sure.
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: In that case, US turns to Japan of 1990, and we all know what happen
: the next 20 years.
:
: so
: bottom
: indeed
|
m**********r
发帖数: 887 | |
|
|
p********t
发帖数: 1219 | 11 两年内不要进场，你肯定能beat大盘。
【在 r****y 的大作中提到】
: 1700割的肉。。要回到1700进去好像跟没割一样。。401k就一直all cash还是咋样。。
: 割过的同学有没啥想法
|
s*****b
发帖数: 4115 | 12 以熊市持续时间（简单指标）作为指数预测（十分复杂）的主要判断依据，误判的风险
不小
另外任何人都会受到市场情绪的影响，期待标普再创新低的人可能不在少数，这样的话
指数可能更难创新低
at
this
mild recession lasted 34 months!
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: 1000, No, I doubt market is strong enough to clear 950. We should see
: another leg to make a new low. After that, we should have a L bottom for at
: least couple of years, may or may not make another new low but it'll take
: time to recover. We'll have chance to buy below 600 I think. After all, this
: bear market only last 18 months. 18 months! Are you kidding me, even last mild recession lasted 34 months!
|
g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 13 You have tons of time to catch up a bull market. But once
you are stuck in a bear market, you may never recover.
【在 s*****b 的大作中提到】
: 以熊市持续时间（简单指标）作为指数预测（十分复杂）的主要判断依据，误判的风险
: 不小
: 另外任何人都会受到市场情绪的影响，期待标普再创新低的人可能不在少数，这样的话
: 指数可能更难创新低
:
: at
: this
: mild recession lasted 34 months!
|
u**o
发帖数: 4652 | 14 what 1700?
nasdaq? a-share?
why people talk about s&p here?
【在 r****y 的大作中提到】
: 1700割的肉。。要回到1700进去好像跟没割一样。。401k就一直all cash还是咋样。。
: 割过的同学有没啥想法
|
r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 15 "期待标普再创新低的人可能不在少数，这样的话
这句很同意 |
r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 16 也很同意
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: You have tons of time to catch up a bull market. But once
: you are stuck in a bear market, you may never recover.
|
r****y
发帖数: 3412 | 17 没所谓。。大家看的signal不同。。走向一致
【在 u**o 的大作中提到】
: what 1700?
: nasdaq? a-share?
: why people talk about s&p here?
|
