a******g
发帖数: 1538 | 1 哪里能看到？ SPY的p/e 和sp500的p/e一样吗？ |
c***y
发帖数: 42 | 2 http://www2.standardandpoors.com/portal/site/sp/en/us/page.topic/indices_500/2,3,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,11,0,0,0,0,0.html
不过每月才更新一次，奇怪的是，spy的p/e要小很多。 |
o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 3 if lz needs some historical data, check Yale's Schiller website.
He has some stock market data back to 1871.
http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data/ie_data.xls
FYI.
【在 c***y 的大作中提到】
: http://www2.standardandpoors.com/portal/site/sp/en/us/page.topic/indices_500/2,3,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,11,0,0,0,0,0.html
: 不过每月才更新一次，奇怪的是，spy的p/e要小很多。
|
s**********n
发帖数: 868 | 4 Great, thanks!
I wish I could see this earlier.
He uses 10 years' trailing earning to calculate P/E. This is important for
understanding and comparing the market valuation from a historic point of
view.
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】
: if lz needs some historical data, check Yale's Schiller website.
: He has some stock market data back to 1871.
: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data/ie_data.xls
: FYI.
|
i******l
发帖数: 828 | 5 如果我老提供精确计算的每日数据,包括几种不同算法的PE，有人愿意付钱么（每月 5
文比如。）？
【在 a******g 的大作中提到】
: 哪里能看到？ SPY的p/e 和sp500的p/e一样吗？
|
K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 6 Is this an ad?
5
【在 i******l 的大作中提到】
: 如果我老提供精确计算的每日数据,包括几种不同算法的PE，有人愿意付钱么（每月 5
: 文比如。）？
|
b****e
发帖数: 460 | 7 我可以以便宜immortal 1%的价格做……
5
【在 i******l 的大作中提到】
: 如果我老提供精确计算的每日数据,包括几种不同算法的PE，有人愿意付钱么（每月 5
: 文比如。）？
|
j**c
发帖数: 234 | 8 nice graph! Fig.1.3 looks attractive now with low p/e and low interest rate.
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】
: if lz needs some historical data, check Yale's Schiller website.
: He has some stock market data back to 1871.
: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data/ie_data.xls
: FYI.
|
c***y
发帖数: 42 | 9 really? from the website I checked, the s&p p/e ratio for Feb 27 (735.09)
was 25.57!
rate.
【在 j**c 的大作中提到】
: nice graph! Fig.1.3 looks attractive now with low p/e and low interest rate.
|
K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 10 现在的earning还有多少用吗？偶怎么经常看到某某公司ER出来，亏损若干billion,
然后股票顿时暴涨30%...
欧就曾经好几个月持有一个earning是负的股票，然后涨了大概25%左右卖了，哈哈。
（还是在大萧条之前）
【在 c***y 的大作中提到】
: really? from the website I checked, the s&p p/e ratio for Feb 27 (735.09)
: was 25.57!
:
: rate.
|
|
|
c***y
发帖数: 42 | 11 it's useful for investing, not speculating.
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: 现在的earning还有多少用吗？偶怎么经常看到某某公司ER出来，亏损若干billion,
: 然后股票顿时暴涨30%...
: 欧就曾经好几个月持有一个earning是负的股票，然后涨了大概25%左右卖了，哈哈。
: （还是在大萧条之前）
|
K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 12 What I mean is right now investors care more about how the management
views the future, rather than the ER -- because too many businesses
have negative ER, but you can't make its stock negative yah.
【在 c***y 的大作中提到】
: it's useful for investing, not speculating.
|
W***i
发帖数: 833 | 13 当earning很少或者都成了负数，p/e没啥实际意义了，不管是投资还是投机
【在 c***y 的大作中提到】
: it's useful for investing, not speculating.
|
c***y
发帖数: 42 | 14 oh...
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: What I mean is right now investors care more about how the management
: views the future, rather than the ER -- because too many businesses
: have negative ER, but you can't make its stock negative yah.
|
b****e
发帖数: 460 | 15 Wall Street is all about analysts' expectations. Wall Street has all kinds
of formulae. Basically, you give them an earning number with 1 to 2
effective digits, they can generate the quarterly numbers for the next
couple of years with 5 effective digits. And these numbers are more detailed
than those from a regular 10K. I finally understand why there is a price
tag on those useless analyst report. Because when you read them, you can't
stop laughing all day long. I should pay them for making me a
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: 现在的earning还有多少用吗？偶怎么经常看到某某公司ER出来，亏损若干billion,
: 然后股票顿时暴涨30%...
: 欧就曾经好几个月持有一个earning是负的股票，然后涨了大概25%左右卖了，哈哈。
: （还是在大萧条之前）
|
o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 16 usually, FA traders use 12 months trailing PE, instead of unstable quarterly
PE. SP500's 12 months trailing PE is 10.xx from bloomberg today. u can also
use estimated future PE, which is tricky though.
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: What I mean is right now investors care more about how the management
: views the future, rather than the ER -- because too many businesses
: have negative ER, but you can't make its stock negative yah.
|
c***y
发帖数: 42 | 17 Will the whole sp500's earning become negative? That's too scary.
【在 W***i 的大作中提到】
: 当earning很少或者都成了负数，p/e没啥实际意义了，不管是投资还是投机
|
j**c
发帖数: 234 | 18 "estimated future PE" is the air for bubble.
quarterly
also
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】
: usually, FA traders use 12 months trailing PE, instead of unstable quarterly
: PE. SP500's 12 months trailing PE is 10.xx from bloomberg today. u can also
: use estimated future PE, which is tricky though.
|
c***y
发帖数: 42 | 19 Link please, thanks.
quarterly
also
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】
: usually, FA traders use 12 months trailing PE, instead of unstable quarterly
: PE. SP500's 12 months trailing PE is 10.xx from bloomberg today. u can also
: use estimated future PE, which is tricky though.
|
c***y
发帖数: 42 | 20 haha
detailed
【在 b****e 的大作中提到】
: Wall Street is all about analysts' expectations. Wall Street has all kinds
: of formulae. Basically, you give them an earning number with 1 to 2
: effective digits, they can generate the quarterly numbers for the next
: couple of years with 5 effective digits. And these numbers are more detailed
: than those from a regular 10K. I finally understand why there is a price
: tag on those useless analyst report. Because when you read them, you can't
: stop laughing all day long. I should pay them for making me a
|
|
|
o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 21 Bloomberg ticker: SPX Index
field: PE_Ratio
if you need, PM your email. I can send you PE daily data since 1928. no
charge. :)
【在 c***y 的大作中提到】
: Link please, thanks.
:
: quarterly
: also
|
o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 22 It is well known that Buffet reads analyst’s reports when he feels he needs
a hearty laugh.
Stockdemon, KennyD and other guys, come and see the guy who just heavily
invested in GE, GS and COP last year…
detailed |
b****e
发帖数: 460 | 23 Actually, up to today, GS and GE deals are still good. If I were him, and I
knew today's situation, I would still do the same thing back then.
needs
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】
: It is well known that Buffet reads analyst’s reports when he feels he needs
: a hearty laugh.
: Stockdemon, KennyD and other guys, come and see the guy who just heavily
: invested in GE, GS and COP last year…
: detailed
|
c***y
发帖数: 42 | 24 Thanks a lot!
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】
: Bloomberg ticker: SPX Index
: field: PE_Ratio
: if you need, PM your email. I can send you PE daily data since 1928. no
: charge. :)
|
i******l
发帖数: 828 | 25 应该不算把。 我老只是感觉很多人并不是真心想要
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: Is this an ad?
:
: 5
|
g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 26 从Fig1.3看，需要跌倒5-7才能到底，现在才12. 如果earning不变，
底在300-350
rate.
【在 j**c 的大作中提到】
: nice graph! Fig.1.3 looks attractive now with low p/e and low interest rate.
|
j**c
发帖数: 234 | 27 thx, you are right p/e is not at rock bottom yet. but interest rate
certainly is, hehe. don't know what japan's p/e looks lile with o interest.
also can one do technical anaylsis on p/e?
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: 从Fig1.3看，需要跌倒5-7才能到底，现在才12. 如果earning不变，
: 底在300-350
:
: rate.
|
r******r
发帖数: 113 | 28 I opened the ticker on bloomberg:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=INDEX:US
but didn't find the PE_Ratio. Would you mind telling me where it is? thanks:)
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】
: Bloomberg ticker: SPX Index
: field: PE_Ratio
: if you need, PM your email. I can send you PE daily data since 1928. no
: charge. :)
|
o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 29 you can't get it on its website. It is available in its terminal.
thanks:)
【在 r******r 的大作中提到】
: I opened the ticker on bloomberg:
: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=INDEX:US
: but didn't find the PE_Ratio. Would you mind telling me where it is? thanks:)
|
r******r
发帖数: 113 | 30 I see. Thank you anyway!
【在 o*****c 的大作中提到】
: you can't get it on its website. It is available in its terminal.
:
: thanks:)
|
