o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 1 Is big unemployment jump a bad sign for the stock market historically? can u take a guess before check the chart below? how far could the market dip/rally in week or three months?
unemployment rate goes back as far as 1948, but i could only get its release date since 1960. just did a quick study if the unemployment rate jumped more than 0.5%. It suprised me a lot just as the rate suprised us today.
It was so bullish for the market if u just consider this factor itself. market's forward 3months r | d*****z
发帖数: 114 | 2 Thank LZ for this interesting study. Since it is such interesting topic, not
just because of its conclusion, but also its methodoloy, I'd like to share
some of my thoughts.
Many people have tried this kind of regressions in the hope to find a way to
predict the future market movement. Although there are many more failures
than successes, I believe there is real value in it.
One critical requirement is that it should have a significant number of
history samples to draw any conclusion. If there is |
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