z*****8
发帖数: 75 | 1 请大家估计一下拿绿卡的时间（不是说排期到了的时间），假设140一定批。 |
K*********7
发帖数: 345 | 2 shit，因人而异，也许半年批140，半年批485，乐观来讲，1年吧，你啥背景？∑∑
【在 z*****8 的大作中提到】
: 请大家估计一下拿绿卡的时间（不是说排期到了的时间），假设140一定批。
|
s**********0
发帖数: 276 | 3 maybe 3-4 years.
NIW 140: 6 months
wait to submit 485: maybe 2-3 years
485 Process: 6 months |
A******n
发帖数: 2976 | 4 too optimistic, 2 - 3 years will be reasonable.
【在 K*********7 的大作中提到】
: shit，因人而异，也许半年批140，半年批485，乐观来讲，1年吧，你啥背景？∑∑
|
z*****8
发帖数: 75 | 5 为什么这么乐观呢？我的朋友07大潮抵的NIW,今年一月才拿到绿卡，这还是拜经济危机
所赐。今天抵NIW的也许就没有经济危机的祝福了，结果会不会更慢呢？
【在 s**********0 的大作中提到】
: maybe 3-4 years.
: NIW 140: 6 months
: wait to submit 485: maybe 2-3 years
: 485 Process: 6 months
|
z****g
发帖数: 111 | 6 明天.
【在 A******n 的大作中提到】
: too optimistic, 2 - 3 years will be reasonable.
|
s**********0
发帖数: 276 | 7 Maybe I am too optimistic. But the economy was very bad in 2008 and 2009.
I don't think there are a lot of EB2 on the waiting list. The whole
process should speed up. So I guess it may take 3-4 years.
Is there any experts who can give a better estimate? =D |
z*****8
发帖数: 75 | 8 But there would be pretty many EB2 in 2010 and 2011.
【在 s**********0 的大作中提到】
: Maybe I am too optimistic. But the economy was very bad in 2008 and 2009.
: I don't think there are a lot of EB2 on the waiting list. The whole
: process should speed up. So I guess it may take 3-4 years.
: Is there any experts who can give a better estimate? =D
|
s**********0
发帖数: 276 | 9 Now NIW waiting time is so long. It's caused by the accumulation in 2007. In
June of 2007, EB1,EB2 and EB3 are all current. But it seems those EB2
accumulations have been solved in the last few months. So I think it should
speed up. Not sure my analyse is right or not? |
z*****8
发帖数: 75 | 10 See one reply from other bulletin.
发信人: dellgateway (dellgateway), 信区: EB23
标 题: Re: 如果今天递NIW, 什么时候能拿到绿卡？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Mar 26 17:23:54 2012, 美东)
抢不到SO了。清空07大潮时候，除09年没有从烙印手里抢到SO外，08，10好像还能抢到
1/4的SO。
从12年起，烙印PERM是老中的10倍，而且还有继续增长的趋势。而老中还是不温不火的
每年3000多。这样以后能抢到10%的SO就不错了。想想，老中EB2人数不变，但能抢到的
SO越来越少，烙印虽然抢到的SO多，但烙印PERM人数增长的更快，这样岂不是老中排期
也就靠每年2800来撑下去？
In
should
【在 s**********0 的大作中提到】
: Now NIW waiting time is so long. It's caused by the accumulation in 2007. In
: June of 2007, EB1,EB2 and EB3 are all current. But it seems those EB2
: accumulations have been solved in the last few months. So I think it should
: speed up. Not sure my analyse is right or not?
|
s**********0
发帖数: 276 | 11 I see.... Hope the real situation is not that bad. |
z*****8
发帖数: 75 | 12 See one more reply from EB23
发信人: ardorbird (独自徘徊在天堂与地狱之间), 信区: EB23
标 题: Re: 如果今天递NIW, 什么时候能拿到绿卡？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Mar 26 16:34:32 2012, 美东)
乐观一点，照目前这个态势(SO不变，中印捆绑)，4 ~ 5年吧。
悲观一点，目前态势变化(SO变少，中印捆绑), 5 ~ 7年都有可能。
【在 s**********0 的大作中提到】
: I see.... Hope the real situation is not that bad.
|
w**********3
发帖数: 1200 | 13 bless
【在 z*****8 的大作中提到】
: 请大家估计一下拿绿卡的时间（不是说排期到了的时间），假设140一定批。
|
