k*******4
发帖数: 14 | 1 链接如下：
https://www.murthy.com/2018/08/01/august-2018-visa-bulletin-check-in-
predictions-for-fy19/
eb2 China没提
eb3 China: The cutoff date for EB3 China has moved up some recently. However
, for FY19, it is unclear whether we will see regular advancement in this
category.貌似eb3在2019年前几个月前进的可能性不大 | c*****n
发帖数: 24 | 2 面试那部分说现在基本能消化面试增加的工作量，USCIS已经能跟面试前一样的效率处
理case了，希望奥本接下来的排期能靠谱点 | d*******1
发帖数: 1 | 3 The link page shows below:
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The page you are looking for does not exist. It may have been moved, or
removed altogether. Perhaps you can return back to the site’s homepage and
see if you can find what you are looking for.
BACK TO HOMEPAGE | c*********8
发帖数: 1327 | 4 chrome浏览器把买买提的长url篡改了，你把%20 （代表回车键）手动删掉
and
【在 d*******1 的大作中提到】
: The link page shows below:
: The page you are looking for is not found
: The page you are looking for does not exist. It may have been moved, or
: removed altogether. Perhaps you can return back to the site’s homepage and
: see if you can find what you are looking for.
: BACK TO HOMEPAGE
| t****t
发帖数: 70 | 5 我把内容全部拷贝过来:
August 2018 Visa Bulletin Check-In: Predictions for FY19
01 Aug 2018
The U.S. Department of State (DOS) Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting
Division, Charles Oppenheim, provides visa bulletin explanations and
predictions most months. This month, Mr. Oppenheim provides a few
predictions for fiscal year 2019 (FY19), which begins on October 1, 2018,
and explains why advancement within the employment-based categories may be
more stable and predictable than the past year has been.
Impact of In-Person Interview Requirement
Mr. Oppenheim explains that, for foreign nationals applying for permanent
residence via an employment-based category, there has been an increase in
the number who are doing so at consulates, rather than applying for
adjustment of status (form I-485). This shift toward more consular processed
applications occurred following the change in policy that now requires most
I-485 applicants to appear for in-person interviews.
Still, it now appears that the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (
USCIS) field offices responsible for conducting the interviews have
successfully implemented systems to handle the workload. Mr. Oppenheim
reports that the USCIS is now requesting immigrant visa numbers at a rate
comparable to before the interview requirement went into effect. This,
hopefully, should make it easier for Mr. Oppenheim to accurately predict
movement in the monthly visa bulletin, and reduce the risk that
retrogression of cutoff dates for employment-based cases will be necessary
during FY19.
Cutoff Dates for Employment-Based, First Preference (EB1) Category
In the August 2018 Visa Bulletin, a cutoff date has been established in the
EB1 category for all countries of chargeability. There may be further
retrogression for this category in September. However, there will be
recovery come the October 2018 Visa Bulletin, which is the first visa
bulletin for FY19.
Employment-Based, Second Preference (EB2) India: No Movement in September
Mr. Oppenheim does not expect EB2 India to advance in the September 2018
Visa Bulletin. No further predictions for EB2 India were provided.
Employment-Based, Third Preference (EB3) India: Sluggish Movement Ahead
Although there was some speculation of the cutoff date for EB3 India
possibly advancing past that of EB2 India, Mr. Oppenheim implies this
probably will not occur. He notes that EB3 India saw relatively rapid
advancement in recent months in order to generate demand for next fiscal
year. If, as expected, these immigrant visa numbers start to be used, the
cutoff date for EB3 India will not be able to advance much.
Short-Term Predictions for EB3 China
The cutoff date for EB3 China has moved up some recently. However, for FY19,
it is unclear whether we will see regular advancement in this category.
Retrogression for Employment-Based, Fourth Preference (EB4) Predictions
A cutoff date for EB4 India goes into effect in August, but will become
current against in October. EB4 for El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and
Mexico may move a bit forward in the near future, but progress may be slow
for now to avoid the need for further retrogression.
Conclusion
MurthyDotCom will continue to closely monitor and report on movement and
predictions related to the monthly visa bulletin. Subscribe to the
MurthyBulletin to receive future updates.
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