由买买提看人间百态

boards

本页内容为未名空间相应帖子的节选和存档,一周内的贴子最多显示50字,超过一周显示500字 访问原贴
EB23版 - 烙印7月的EB2要前进到08年9月
相关主题
Visa Bulletin 2014 Prediction from Charles Oppenheim贴个完整版本 - EB2 的福音,EB3 的噩耗 (70 years)
五月排期出来了 retrogress (not progress)...EB-2 China and India Predictions
三月份和明年停滞或者倒退的说法是来自于上个月的一个firm的网页新闻吧。EB2 India/China dates to retrogress (zz)
Significant Retrogression of EB-2 India/China Priority Dates Expected as Early As May移民局排期最新消息
进来看这一段。。。。。。。。。下面排期的时间表
This is the official message got from my lawyer绿卡配偶移民排期
这个律师是比较乐观的估计,引自O的话。这个比Oh Law昨天贴的更靠谱一些
Capitol Immigration根据奥本最近信息做的EB排期预测奥本5月预测ZT
相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: eb话题: visa话题: india话题: june
进入EB23版参与讨论
1 (共1页)
f*********n
发帖数: 423
1
奥本计划到9月前允许15000个烙印EB2调整身份,看来SO又是全被烙印吃了。下面是律
师的newsletter,见里面第三和第四段。
June Visa Bulletin Shows Retrogression in Family and Employment Categories;
Visa Predictions
The Department of State Visa Bulletin for the month of June brings major
retrogression in the Family 2A Preference, for spouses and unmarried
children under 21 of permanent residents. The F2A priority date will move
back 1.5 years to May 1, 2012 for most of the world, while F2A for Mexico
shows further retrogression to March 15, 2011. The rest of the family based
categories show movement of a few weeks to a few months in most cases.
On the employment-based side, June also brings severe retrogression in most
EB-3 categories, reversing a trend in recent months. China EB-3 will
retrogress 6 years to October 1, 2016, and China "other workers" will
retrogress 9.5 years to January 1, 2003. EB-3 for India will move forward
two weeks to October 15, 2003. EB-3 (including "other workers") for the rest
of the world and Mexico will also retrogress 1.5 years to April 1, 2011,
except for the Philippines which moves forward to January 1, 2011. EB-2 for
India remains at November 15, 2004 and China EB-2 advances five weeks to May
22, 2009.

Visa Chief Charles Oppenheim recently advised Mr. XXX(律师的名字) that the
July India EB-2 cut-off date will be September 1, 2008, which means
significant movement is expected. Mr. Oppenheim plans to then advance the
date to 2009 for August, and another move in September. The extent of the
movements will depend on his estimates of "otherwise unused" EB-1 and EB-2
numbers when the cut-off dates for those months are determined. Mr.
Oppenheim predicts that by the end of September the movements in the next
few months with the India EB-2 cut-off date will allow over 15,000
applicants to adjust.
Mr. Oppenheim further predicts that the September India EB-2 cut-off date
will likely to hold for October, but can be expected to retrogress as early
as November. That retrogression will become necessary as soon as the
processing of the new (July-Sept.) filings results in a significant increase
in adjustment requests for applicants with very early priority dates.
According to notes in the Visa Bulletin, priority dates for the Family F2A
category have retrogressed as a result of a dramatic increase in demand
earlier this fiscal year. Further retrogression cannot be ruled out should
demand by applicants with very early priority dates continue to increase.
Retrogression in the employment-based categories is a result of unexpected
and dramatic increase in demand being received from U.S. Citizenship and
Immigration Service Offices during the past several months. "Notices were
included in several Visa Bulletins during the past year alerting readers to
the possibility of such retrogressions. While corrective action in some
categories has become necessary earlier than was anticipated based on the
information available earlier, it is hoped that readers are not caught off
guard by these retrogressions."
Note that persons in the US whose priority dates will become current in June
cannot file an application for adjustment of status until June 1, except
for Diversity Visa applicants, who can file a month in advance of their
priority date becoming current. We expect that once an application is filed,
in order to use all the available visa numbers, USCIS will aggressively
move to schedule applicants for biometrics and adjudicate these cases
quickly. Applicants should ensure that their attorneys push USCIS to move on
their cases before any retrogression can occur.
We will keep you posted as we receive more information on future predictions
of visa availability. More information can be found at the Visa Bulletin
website.
N****g
发帖数: 2829
2
尼玛,15000 SO!要是对半分,中国7500,All C也吃不完啊。EB2C库存4446,EB3C库存
2986(假设全部relink回EB2),则总EB2库存7432。
M***O
发帖数: 3718
3
EB3C RETROGRESS TO 10/1/2016. LOL.
y******1
发帖数: 913
4
typo it is 2006
Not funny.

【在 M***O 的大作中提到】
: EB3C RETROGRESS TO 10/1/2016. LOL.
l*****g
发帖数: 525
5
这个逻辑不对.只能说7500的话可以满足目前交了485的人,但门外有140的人,和只有
PERM的人数是未知的,但99%不会少于7500,估计也不会少于7500加上下个财年的名额,所
以EB2C一定会有排期.原因还是人太多了,现在只是因为被排期卡住交不了485而已.
移民系统几乎没有科学性逻辑性可言,现在奥本总是说没有数据.其实最简单最直观的做
法就是EB的只要有了PERM(如果需要的话),就可以交140和485,然后按照出生地的配额和
PD先进先出就好了,哪用搞得像现在那么复杂.

【在 N****g 的大作中提到】
: 尼玛,15000 SO!要是对半分,中国7500,All C也吃不完啊。EB2C库存4446,EB3C库存
: 2986(假设全部relink回EB2),则总EB2库存7432。

N****g
发帖数: 2829
6
没有交485的从7月交上,要在9月底前拿到approval很难,9月底一过这些SO就全作废了
。所以基本只有门里的可以抢到名额。

【在 l*****g 的大作中提到】
: 这个逻辑不对.只能说7500的话可以满足目前交了485的人,但门外有140的人,和只有
: PERM的人数是未知的,但99%不会少于7500,估计也不会少于7500加上下个财年的名额,所
: 以EB2C一定会有排期.原因还是人太多了,现在只是因为被排期卡住交不了485而已.
: 移民系统几乎没有科学性逻辑性可言,现在奥本总是说没有数据.其实最简单最直观的做
: 法就是EB的只要有了PERM(如果需要的话),就可以交140和485,然后按照出生地的配额和
: PD先进先出就好了,哪用搞得像现在那么复杂.

t*******y
发帖数: 21396
7
这傻逼系统20多年就没改进过,这东西出来的时候连Email都没有,现在大数据都无孔
不入了。政府的NSA那么强大,无所不知,稍微移植点过来改进一下排期系统简直小菜
一碟,但他们就是不干。
我们生活中20多年没改进的东西除了这排期方案,还有点啥?

【在 l*****g 的大作中提到】
: 这个逻辑不对.只能说7500的话可以满足目前交了485的人,但门外有140的人,和只有
: PERM的人数是未知的,但99%不会少于7500,估计也不会少于7500加上下个财年的名额,所
: 以EB2C一定会有排期.原因还是人太多了,现在只是因为被排期卡住交不了485而已.
: 移民系统几乎没有科学性逻辑性可言,现在奥本总是说没有数据.其实最简单最直观的做
: 法就是EB的只要有了PERM(如果需要的话),就可以交140和485,然后按照出生地的配额和
: PD先进先出就好了,哪用搞得像现在那么复杂.

g*****g
发帖数: 34805
8
其实永远 C, 材料齐全的一队,不齐全的一队。齐全的按 PD排。不就好了。不明白为
啥要个排期 cut off 戏弄大家。
t*******y
发帖数: 21396
9
就是不让你早拿工卡和回美证呗,那么简单的道理

【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: 其实永远 C, 材料齐全的一队,不齐全的一队。齐全的按 PD排。不就好了。不明白为
: 啥要个排期 cut off 戏弄大家。

l****5
发帖数: 2968
10
http://www.cilawgroup.com/news/2014/04/29/visa-bulletin-predict
貌似这里说的是前进到08年1月。。。
O*******k
发帖数: 611
11
那eb2c就是不动了,对不对?
1 (共1页)
进入EB23版参与讨论
相关主题
奥本5月预测ZT进来看这一段。。。。。。。。。
烙印的忽悠能力真不是盖的This is the official message got from my lawyer
EB2-India & China Movement Analysis这个律师是比较乐观的估计,引自O的话。
March 2012 Visa Bulletin Predictions - EB CategoryCapitol Immigration根据奥本最近信息做的EB排期预测
Visa Bulletin 2014 Prediction from Charles Oppenheim贴个完整版本 - EB2 的福音,EB3 的噩耗 (70 years)
五月排期出来了 retrogress (not progress)...EB-2 China and India Predictions
三月份和明年停滞或者倒退的说法是来自于上个月的一个firm的网页新闻吧。EB2 India/China dates to retrogress (zz)
Significant Retrogression of EB-2 India/China Priority Dates Expected as Early As May移民局排期最新消息
相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: eb话题: visa话题: india话题: june