l*********d
发帖数: 315 | 1 对第四点:
"4.EB2 第二排期进到2013.10.1太恐怖了 这说明EB2到今天为止 2013.10.1以前有2800
的demand在奥本手上。"
假设:
１. 到明年五月, ２０１３.１０.０１的量应该在 ２８００ ｘ １.２５ =
３５００. 这个１.２５是假设到最后一个季度, 今年ＥＢ２还剩５０%的ｑｕｏｔａ
剩余.具体只可能少.
２. ２０１３的一月ｉｎｖｅｎｔｏｒｙ比较准确.
下面就是小学数学了.
根据2017-Jan 库存量:
"
Mar 154
Apr 109
May 144
June 163
July 130
August 286
September 281 (SUM = 1267)
"
推出到下一年的五月, 共有 2800 x 1.25 - 1267 = 2233.
大概估计奥本可以看到这么多, 其中 2013 一二月前为 280 人, 推得2012 还有接近
2000 人要走. | j******g
发帖数: 1428 | 2 还要减去1-4月份3类降级绿（pd为20131001之前的），这些在库存里算是2类。
2800
【在 l*********d 的大作中提到】
: 对第四点:
: "4.EB2 第二排期进到2013.10.1太恐怖了 这说明EB2到今天为止 2013.10.1以前有2800
: 的demand在奥本手上。"
: 假设:
: １. 到明年五月, ２０１３.１０.０１的量应该在 ２８００ ｘ １.２５ =
: ３５００. 这个１.２５是假设到最后一个季度, 今年ＥＢ２还剩５０%的ｑｕｏｔａ
: 剩余.具体只可能少.
: ２. ２０１３的一月ｉｎｖｅｎｔｏｒｙ比较准确.
: 下面就是小学数学了.
: 根据2017-Jan 库存量:
| l*********d
发帖数: 315 | 3 降级的量连奥本也得到发卡那天才有数据，不太好估计。
【在 j******g 的大作中提到】
: 还要减去1-4月份3类降级绿（pd为20131001之前的），这些在库存里算是2类。
:
: 2800
| x**8
发帖数: 1939 | 4 有没有办法知道EB2 NIW和perm分别有多少？
【在 l*********d 的大作中提到】
: 降级的量连奥本也得到发卡那天才有数据，不太好估计。
| l*********d
发帖数: 315 | 5 有关VB的预测, 没提到中国oversubscribed, 谨慎乐观：
Employment Second Preference: Worldwide, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras,
Mexico, and the Philippines can be expected to become oversubscribed no
later than July. It is possible that there could be some forward movement of
the established Final Action Date by September. The date for these
countries will once again become CURRENT for October, the first month of
fiscal year 2018.. | l*********y
发帖数: 87 | 6 What do you think eb2 can go by this year
: 有关VB的预测, 没提到中国oversubscribed, 谨慎乐观：
: Employment Second Preference: Worldwide, El Salvador, Guatemala,
Honduras,
: Mexico, and the Philippines can be expected to become oversubscribed
no
: later than July. It is possible that there could be some forward
movement of
: the established Final Action Date by September. The date for these
: countries will once again become CURRENT for October, the first month
of
: fiscal year 2018..
【在 l*********d 的大作中提到】
: 有关VB的预测, 没提到中国oversubscribed, 谨慎乐观：
: Employment Second Preference: Worldwide, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras,
: Mexico, and the Philippines can be expected to become oversubscribed no
: later than July. It is possible that there could be some forward movement of
: the established Final Action Date by September. The date for these
: countries will once again become CURRENT for October, the first month of
: fiscal year 2018..
| l*********d
发帖数: 315 | 7 胡乱猜，大概到2013年6月。
【在 l*********y 的大作中提到】
: What do you think eb2 can go by this year
:
:
: 有关VB的预测, 没提到中国oversubscribed, 谨慎乐观：
:
: Employment Second Preference: Worldwide, El Salvador, Guatemala,
: Honduras,
:
: Mexico, and the Philippines can be expected to become oversubscribed
: no
:
: later than July. It is possible that there could be some forward
: movement of
:
: the established Final Action Date by September. The date for these
|
|
