j****n
发帖数: 385 | 1 based on the 485 inventory data http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/uscis/menuitem.eb1d4c2a3e5b9ac89243c6a7543f6d1a/?vgnextoid=16551543455e5210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD&vgnextchannel=16551543455e5210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD
2007 July has 132 and August has 89 and last month VB was 7/15/2007
therefore my calculation of how many was approved during this past one month
for EB2C was:
132/2+89=155 which is far below the supposedly average: 2803/12=234
If I'm correct, then the reality is even worse than average.... |
m****o
发帖数: 4921 | |
s**r
发帖数: 6678 | |
b*********e
发帖数: 16 | 4 There are still many cases before 2007 July. They haven't got approval
either. |
N****g
发帖数: 2829 | 5 “EB2C only approved 155 in one month”
Not “approved”，不是过去时，是将来时, actual approved number in Nov. is
unknown.
Also，你只计算 7/15/2007 - 9/1/2007之间的数字，but anybody with PD before 7/
15/2007 will also be approvable.
Also, CP case is not in the inventory data.
Also, this i485 inventory is due an updated version on 10/1/2012 which is
not released yet. |
a***k
发帖数: 1038 | 6 Last year, EB2IC robbed too many visa from EB2-ROW illegally.
I guess O will give less than 2800 to Eb2-IC to avoid legal issues.
7% is the upper limit, O has no obligation to meet this upper limit.
7/
【在 N****g 的大作中提到】
: “EB2C only approved 155 in one month”
: Not “approved”，不是过去时，是将来时, actual approved number in Nov. is
: unknown.
: Also，你只计算 7/15/2007 - 9/1/2007之间的数字，but anybody with PD before 7/
: 15/2007 will also be approvable.
: Also, CP case is not in the inventory data.
: Also, this i485 inventory is due an updated version on 10/1/2012 which is
: not released yet.
|
g*********d
发帖数: 400 | 7 > 7% is the upper limit, O has no obligation to meet this upper limit.
don't think so. If 7% is not reached, we are then NOT over subscribed. Our
cut-off shall then the same as other non-over subscribed countries.
【在 a***k 的大作中提到】
: Last year, EB2IC robbed too many visa from EB2-ROW illegally.
: I guess O will give less than 2800 to Eb2-IC to avoid legal issues.
: 7% is the upper limit, O has no obligation to meet this upper limit.
:
: 7/
|
g*********d
发帖数: 400 | 8 I think he is just too cautious when go over 7.15 since there could be
people after 7.15 coming in this time because of upgrade and etc. But, the
amount of EB2C people before 7.15 is quite stable and has been pretty much
all given visa numbers by last month's quote.
7/
【在 N****g 的大作中提到】
: “EB2C only approved 155 in one month”
: Not “approved”，不是过去时，是将来时, actual approved number in Nov. is
: unknown.
: Also，你只计算 7/15/2007 - 9/1/2007之间的数字，but anybody with PD before 7/
: 15/2007 will also be approvable.
: Also, CP case is not in the inventory data.
: Also, this i485 inventory is due an updated version on 10/1/2012 which is
: not released yet.
|
a***k
发帖数: 1038 | 9 That is just your interpretation. The fact is Eb3C has not got 7% for many
years while still not in Eb3-ROW.
【在 g*********d 的大作中提到】
: > 7% is the upper limit, O has no obligation to meet this upper limit.
: don't think so. If 7% is not reached, we are then NOT over subscribed. Our
: cut-off shall then the same as other non-over subscribed countries.
|
N****g
发帖数: 2829 | 10 年度2800是保留名额，这应该是不会少的。
据我分析，Nov VB中印名额较少的原因是，EB2-ROW在Nov变成All C了，也就是去年积
压的ROW在Q1要清空，Q1的ROW要多余剩下3个Q，造成Q1的总名额控制在27%上限有一定
压力，因此Q1的EB2-IC可能被稍微压制。而Q2-Q4的ROW将降低，相应EB-2IC在Q2-Q4会
分到较多名额
【在 a***k 的大作中提到】
: Last year, EB2IC robbed too many visa from EB2-ROW illegally.
: I guess O will give less than 2800 to Eb2-IC to avoid legal issues.
: 7% is the upper limit, O has no obligation to meet this upper limit.
:
: 7/
|
|
|
a***k
发帖数: 1038 | 11 EB2-ROW今年有5万以上的需求，你说奥本怎么才能保证每季度不超过1万？全力打压中
印是必然了，这两个月的排期已经非常明确的表明了奥本的用心。去年奥本违法严重，
抢了近2万EB2-ROW的名额给中印，今年面对EB2-ROW心虚得太厉害了。
【在 N****g 的大作中提到】
: 年度2800是保留名额，这应该是不会少的。
: 据我分析，Nov VB中印名额较少的原因是，EB2-ROW在Nov变成All C了，也就是去年积
: 压的ROW在Q1要清空，Q1的ROW要多余剩下3个Q，造成Q1的总名额控制在27%上限有一定
: 压力，因此Q1的EB2-IC可能被稍微压制。而Q2-Q4的ROW将降低，相应EB-2IC在Q2-Q4会
: 分到较多名额
|
j****n
发帖数: 385 | 12 So CP approval uses 2803 quota as welll?
7/
【在 N****g 的大作中提到】
: “EB2C only approved 155 in one month”
: Not “approved”，不是过去时，是将来时, actual approved number in Nov. is
: unknown.
: Also，你只计算 7/15/2007 - 9/1/2007之间的数字，but anybody with PD before 7/
: 15/2007 will also be approvable.
: Also, CP case is not in the inventory data.
: Also, this i485 inventory is due an updated version on 10/1/2012 which is
: not released yet.
|
C********e
发帖数: 841 | 13 版主，封这个机子！
【在 s**r 的大作中提到】
: gx
|
C********e
发帖数: 841 | |
s******t
发帖数: 926 | 15 Demand for July is not uniform as we reached Jul.15 several times previously
month
【在 j****n 的大作中提到】
: based on the 485 inventory data http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/uscis/menuitem.eb1d4c2a3e5b9ac89243c6a7543f6d1a/?vgnextoid=16551543455e5210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD&vgnextchannel=16551543455e5210VgnVCM100000082ca60aRCRD
: 2007 July has 132 and August has 89 and last month VB was 7/15/2007
: therefore my calculation of how many was approved during this past one month
: for EB2C was:
: 132/2+89=155 which is far below the supposedly average: 2803/12=234
: If I'm correct, then the reality is even worse than average....
|
