EB23版 - EB2从递交PERM排队排到current,平均要等四年半 |
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H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 1 平均看来，EB2从递交PERM到排队排到current,要等四年半，加上一头一尾办PERM至少
六个月的时间，和等待拿绿卡的时间，总共要五年半左右。
就算2008年2009年EB2申请案件减少，排期大不了快进一年半，还是要四年才能拿到绿
卡啊。 | S*******r
发帖数: 11017 | 2 差不多了
EB2C这么多年来的平均需求和供给决定的了 | k*****o
发帖数: 730 | | k*****o
发帖数: 730 | | l********7
发帖数: 1089 | 5 如果能早第485，拿EAD/AP， 等四年没问题。在一个公司死守4年，加上刚工作先表现1
，2年才开始办，里外里就是5，6年，忒长了。 | H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 6 Year 2008:
61,997 applied PERM
10,729 were denied
2,063 were withdrawn
49,205 were certified and not withdrawn
3,328 of the 49,205 were born in mainland China
16,569 of the 49,205 were born in India
Year 2009:
38,247 applied PERM
5,356 were denied
3,389 were withdrawn
29,502 were certified and not withdrawn
2,112 of the 29,502 were born in mainland China
11,387 of the 29,502 were born in India
Year 2010:
81,412 applied PERM
8,439 were denied
2,736 were withdrawn
70,237 were certified and not withdrawn
4,052 of the 29,502 were born in mainland China
28,930 of the 29,502 were born in India | H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 7 2010 CHINA EB2 PERM Certified 1603
2010 CHINA EB2 PERM Denied 122
2010 CHINA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 76
2010 INDIA EB2 PERM Certified 12694
2010 INDIA EB2 PERM Denied 838
2010 INDIA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 452
2009 CHINA EB2 PERM Certified 852
2009 CHINA EB2 PERM Denied 68
2009 CHINA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 83
2009 INDIA EB2 PERM Certified 4968
2009 INDIA EB2 PERM Denied 463
2009 INDIA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 455
2008 CHINA EB2 PERM CERTIFIED 1491
2008 CHINA EB2 PERM DENIED 110
2008 CHINA EB2 PERM WITHDRAWN 41
2008 INDIA EB2 PERM CERTIFIED 7401
2008 INDIA EB2 PERM DENIED 680
2008 INDIA EB2 PERM WITHDRAWN 247 | H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 8 EB2 PERM Status 2010 Status 2009 Status 2008
CHINA Certified 1,603 Certified 852 Certified 1,491
CHINA Denied 122 Denied 68 Denied 110
CHINA Withdrawn 76 Withdrawn 83 Withdrawn 41
INDIA Certified 12,694 Certified 4,968 Certified 7,
401
INDIA Denied 838 Denied 463 Denied 680
INDIA Withdrawn 452 Withdrawn 455 Withdrawn 247 | i**y
发帖数: 1170 | 9 这数据和火箭扇的数据对不上啊。。。
人说2008有23k India PERM，这里才16k
【在 H******i 的大作中提到】
: Year 2008:
: 61,997 applied PERM
: 10,729 were denied
: 2,063 were withdrawn
: 49,205 were certified and not withdrawn
: 3,328 of the 49,205 were born in mainland China
: 16,569 of the 49,205 were born in India
: Year 2009:
: 38,247 applied PERM
: 5,356 were denied
| y***n
发帖数: 6764 | 10 你这个数据是哪里来的？如果是真的话，对08，09，10PD的中国人来说很乐观啊
2008年才1491个certified EB2 perm, *2(家属)，也就3000不到
2009年才852个certified EB2 perm, *2远远低于2800的配额
也就说过个07年的大潮，08，09，10年PD的中国人不用等放水也能如期file 485了？
【在 H******i 的大作中提到】
: 2010 CHINA EB2 PERM Certified 1603
: 2010 CHINA EB2 PERM Denied 122
: 2010 CHINA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 76
: 2010 INDIA EB2 PERM Certified 12694
: 2010 INDIA EB2 PERM Denied 838
: 2010 INDIA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 452
: 2009 CHINA EB2 PERM Certified 852
: 2009 CHINA EB2 PERM Denied 68
: 2009 CHINA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 83
: 2009 INDIA EB2 PERM Certified 4968
| | | y***n
发帖数: 6764 | 11 忘了EB2 NIW了，有没有NIW的数据？
【在 y***n 的大作中提到】
: 你这个数据是哪里来的？如果是真的话，对08，09，10PD的中国人来说很乐观啊
: 2008年才1491个certified EB2 perm, *2(家属)，也就3000不到
: 2009年才852个certified EB2 perm, *2远远低于2800的配额
: 也就说过个07年的大潮，08，09，10年PD的中国人不用等放水也能如期file 485了？
| d**d
发帖数: 389 | 12 你怎么知道是Eb2还是eb3的？
http://www.flcdatacenter.com/CasePerm.aspx 这里的数据并没有标出是EB2还是EB3，并且只有Cetified_Date,没有Received_Date,也就是我们说的PD吧？
以2008年的数据来算的话，我们并不知道有多少PD是在2008年的，有多少PD是在2007年
的吧？也不知道EB2的有多少，EB3的有多少，只能靠统计的办法来猜猜看了。
【在 H******i 的大作中提到】
: 2010 CHINA EB2 PERM Certified 1603
: 2010 CHINA EB2 PERM Denied 122
: 2010 CHINA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 76
: 2010 INDIA EB2 PERM Certified 12694
: 2010 INDIA EB2 PERM Denied 838
: 2010 INDIA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 452
: 2009 CHINA EB2 PERM Certified 852
: 2009 CHINA EB2 PERM Denied 68
: 2009 CHINA EB2 PERM Withdrawn 83
: 2009 INDIA EB2 PERM Certified 4968
| H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 13
【在 H******i 的大作中提到】
: 平均看来，EB2从递交PERM到排队排到current,要等四年半，加上一头一尾办PERM至少
: 六个月的时间，和等待拿绿卡的时间，总共要五年半左右。
: 就算2008年2009年EB2申请案件减少，排期大不了快进一年半，还是要四年才能拿到绿
: 卡啊。
| y***n
发帖数: 1135 | 14 这个分析很靠谱，我就是四年半
【在 H******i 的大作中提到】
: 平均看来，EB2从递交PERM到排队排到current,要等四年半，加上一头一尾办PERM至少
: 六个月的时间，和等待拿绿卡的时间，总共要五年半左右。
: 就算2008年2009年EB2申请案件减少，排期大不了快进一年半，还是要四年才能拿到绿
: 卡啊。
| s******8
发帖数: 4192 | 15 实际上找个好工，稳定，pay得不错的才是正道。不要急着搞绿卡。
这种工作一般都能做个5，6年的，办绿卡不愁。 | H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 16 Yes!!
【在 s******8 的大作中提到】
: 实际上找个好工，稳定，pay得不错的才是正道。不要急着搞绿卡。
: 这种工作一般都能做个5，6年的，办绿卡不愁。
| r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 17 This analysis is not valid.
PD 2008 were approved in different years, 2008,2009,2010.
The number of cases approved in 2008 is not the same with the number of
people have PD 2008. A PD 2008 case can be approved in 2009 if it is audited.
You can make your analysis based on the number of cases approved in 2008,
you need to analyze all the data from 2008-2010.
【在 H******i 的大作中提到】
: Year 2008:
: 61,997 applied PERM
: 10,729 were denied
: 2,063 were withdrawn
: 49,205 were certified and not withdrawn
: 3,328 of the 49,205 were born in mainland China
: 16,569 of the 49,205 were born in India
: Year 2009:
: 38,247 applied PERM
: 5,356 were denied
| H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 18 fair enough! But what you said is a small percentage of all cases.
audited.
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: This analysis is not valid.
: PD 2008 were approved in different years, 2008,2009,2010.
: The number of cases approved in 2008 is not the same with the number of
: people have PD 2008. A PD 2008 case can be approved in 2009 if it is audited.
: You can make your analysis based on the number of cases approved in 2008,
: you need to analyze all the data from 2008-2010.
| r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 19 It's not small percentage.
Many people got audited in 2008 and 2009.
【在 H******i 的大作中提到】
: fair enough! But what you said is a small percentage of all cases.
:
: audited.
| i*****r
发帖数: 318 | 20 我同意你的看法。不仅仅是PERM在08 09 被审查得多，而且在08年，所有PERM case处
理的时间都超过5-6个月。基本上5月份以后提交的PERM 都要到09年才批下来。但是对
于08提交PERM的申请者来说，虽然PERM审理时间长，但是那段时间140批准的很快。
我当时140没有用Premium，在09年上半年只用了7天就批准了。
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: It's not small percentage.
: Many people got audited in 2008 and 2009.
| | | r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 21 yes, that's why I always say that we should not only focus on how many cases
got approved in 2008, instead we need to focus on how many cases were
submitted in 2008. The only way to get this data is to look into all the
PERM database from 2008-2010. Indians already did this analysis. I have
copied their info. to here a long time ago.
【在 i*****r 的大作中提到】
: 我同意你的看法。不仅仅是PERM在08 09 被审查得多，而且在08年，所有PERM case处
: 理的时间都超过5-6个月。基本上5月份以后提交的PERM 都要到09年才批下来。但是对
: 于08提交PERM的申请者来说，虽然PERM审理时间长，但是那段时间140批准的很快。
: 我当时140没有用Premium，在09年上半年只用了7天就批准了。
| H******i
发帖数: 4704 | | H******i
发帖数: 4704 | 23 我是新警察，13楼的数据让我既不过分乐观，也不过分悲观。
还望老警察们多加关照。 |
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