p***e
发帖数: 29053 | 1 发信人: rocketsfan (rocketsfan), 信区: EB23
标 题: Re: PERM Calculation
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu May 12 12:41:10 2011, 美东)
After 2007 mess, totally there are 120k China and India PERM.
At least 80% of them are EB2. Multiply 2 to count family members, the
total
PERM EB2 visa demand will be around 200k.
For NIW, the demand will be half of 200k, so it will be 100k.
Totally there are around 300k visa demand from 2007-2010.
If we can get 30k spillover per year, it will take 10 years to clean up
300k
demand. | t*****e
发帖数: 2228 | 2 poor exercise, *2 is not close, NIW calculation is not close either...and
there is double counting here, e.g. one applies for NIW and the other
applies for EB2, u count them as 4 :-)
【在 p***e 的大作中提到】
: 发信人: rocketsfan (rocketsfan), 信区: EB23
: 标 题: Re: PERM Calculation
: 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu May 12 12:41:10 2011, 美东)
: After 2007 mess, totally there are 120k China and India PERM.
: At least 80% of them are EB2. Multiply 2 to count family members, the
: total
: PERM EB2 visa demand will be around 200k.
: For NIW, the demand will be half of 200k, so it will be 100k.
: Totally there are around 300k visa demand from 2007-2010.
: If we can get 30k spillover per year, it will take 10 years to clean up
| c****a
发帖数: 546 | 3 我觉得应该想办法从未来十年的预计SO中借一部分（如50%）过来用，这是
解决2007-2010 mess的一个不错的途径。
借用名额大概不需要修法，感觉比较容易办到。 | f*******4
发帖数: 656 | 4 别自己吓唬自己了
2010PD的2014年有希望
【在 p***e 的大作中提到】
: 发信人: rocketsfan (rocketsfan), 信区: EB23
: 标 题: Re: PERM Calculation
: 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu May 12 12:41:10 2011, 美东)
: After 2007 mess, totally there are 120k China and India PERM.
: At least 80% of them are EB2. Multiply 2 to count family members, the
: total
: PERM EB2 visa demand will be around 200k.
: For NIW, the demand will be half of 200k, so it will be 100k.
: Totally there are around 300k visa demand from 2007-2010.
: If we can get 30k spillover per year, it will take 10 years to clean up
| d*****3
发帖数: 438 | 5 10年的13年有没有希望？
【在 f*******4 的大作中提到】
: 别自己吓唬自己了
: 2010PD的2014年有希望
| T****k
发帖数: 1374 | 6 2000年的时候一般也要等4-5年。看起来2类等个4-5年是常态。 | h******g
发帖数: 262 | 7 For EB2,My case shall be a typical One:
Came to US for phD, August 2002
Filed Labor certification Septermber 2006 ( not too bad, right?)
If I can get approved in next month, the total time for a typical EB2 GC
from the begining entry to US will be 9 (+/- 0.5) years. | G******i
发帖数: 5226 | 8 要是每年没有30000剩余名额呢?
【在 p***e 的大作中提到】
: 发信人: rocketsfan (rocketsfan), 信区: EB23
: 标 题: Re: PERM Calculation
: 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu May 12 12:41:10 2011, 美东)
: After 2007 mess, totally there are 120k China and India PERM.
: At least 80% of them are EB2. Multiply 2 to count family members, the
: total
: PERM EB2 visa demand will be around 200k.
: For NIW, the demand will be half of 200k, so it will be 100k.
: Totally there are around 300k visa demand from 2007-2010.
: If we can get 30k spillover per year, it will take 10 years to clean up
| S*******r
发帖数: 11017 | 9 恩
05年PERM刚实施交劳工证
07年大水得绿卡
是属于百年难遇的机遇啊
【在 T****k 的大作中提到】
: 2000年的时候一般也要等4-5年。看起来2类等个4-5年是常态。
| s****t
发帖数: 427 | 10 10 years is not possible |
|
