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全部话题 - 话题: marist
1 (共1页)
R*********4
发帖数: 293
1
来自主题: USANews版 - 最新民调:Trump 45.8% Hillary 42.7%

明。
拜托,百分之九十的民调都说奥巴马赢...
我不知道你这个最准的民调怎么总结出来的,您以为我们都是用直板手机不会上网的人
?是人都能查得到2012年的吧,要我贴出来吗? 我放到最后面了。 LA Times我没记错
的话,开始还说罗姆尼会赢呢,需要的话我都可以发邮件给你,LA最后一天是民调奥巴
马以2%
的微弱优势赢。实际是什么
332比206,你是什么眼睛,什么数学老师教您是最准的了?
看不清,请去配眼镜; 算错了,请回炉学数学。
其他几十家都评估奥巴马赢的都不算。
我都说,您支持trump没什么啊,我也支持您支持,这是您的自由。
但是您们有时候说法太好玩了,本来我对trump也挺有好感的,实话,看到你们的一些
话,大部人都会重新审视自己,然后觉得希拉里也没那么差了。
Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) Romney (R) Spread
Final Results -- -- -- 51.1 47.2 Obama +3.9
RCP Average 11/21 - 11/5 ... 阅读全帖
m******1
发帖数: 19713
2
来自主题: QueerNews版 - 半数纽约人支持同性婚姻
Poll: Half of New Yorkers for Marriage Equality
By Julie Bolcer
A new YNN/NY-1 Marist poll shows that half of New Yorkers support marriage
equality, compared to an earlier poll that found historic levels of support
at 58%.
According to the new poll of New York adults conducted in late April, 50%
said that same-sex couples should be allowed to marry, 25% said they should
be able to form civil unions, and 25% said their relationships should
receive no legal recognition. Among registered voters in ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
3
Sunday, 15 Jul 2012 12:02 PM
By Patrick Hobin
A majority of Americans favor tax cuts for all, including the wealthy,
according to a new poll.
The McClatchy-Marist poll found that 52 percent of registered voters want
all of the Bush tax cuts extended, including those for incomes above $250,
000; 43 percent just want cuts extended for incomes below $250,000.
One surprise in the poll was that young voters ages 18-29 favored tax cuts
for everyone by a margin of 69-29, the largest margin of any age g... 阅读全帖
s******r
发帖数: 5309
4
伊利诺伊,印第安纳,密苏里,宾西法你啊,田纳西和德克萨斯。
Trump risks midterm voter backlash for GOP if he expands China trade war, as
tariffs are unpopular in six key states
President Donald Trump is considering even more tariffs on Chinese goods in
an expanding trade conflict.
It's a politically risky move, as voters in six key midterm states have not
gotten behind the trade barriers.
Republicans are trying to stop Democrats from flipping enough seats to take
a House majority.
Jacob Pramuk | @jacobpramuk
Published 1 H... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
5
WASHINGTON — Americans clearly want Washington to solve its looming budget
crisis, and they clearly reject almost every option to do that, according to
a new McClatchy-Marist Poll.
The only option that voters endorse, by a ratio of 3-to-2, is to raise taxes
on the wealthy.
A majority oppose other often-discussed options, including raising taxes on
everyone, cutting Medicaid or Medicare spending, raising the age for
Medicare, or taking away tax deductions for charitable contributions or home
mort... 阅读全帖
m****g
发帖数: 2215
6
来自主题: USANews版 - Rubio nips at Cruz's heels
Today's NBC/WSJ/Marist Iowa poll: Cruz 25 - Rubio 18.
December NBC/WSJ/Marist Iowa poll: Cruz 28 - Rubio 13.
d********f
发帖数: 43471
7
来自主题: USANews版 - 希玛是不是又缺钱了?
最近买回来的poll都什么破烂,McClatchy/Marist,网站大概都是community college
实习生作的
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/
S***n
发帖数: 102
8
Thursday, October 27
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein UMass Amherst/WBZ
Clinton 43, Trump 38, Johnson 8, Stein 3 Clinton +5
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein NY Times/Siena
Clinton 46, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 3 Clinton +7
Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Detroit Free Press
Clinton 41, Trump 34, Johnson 9, Stein 3 Clinton +7
Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton... 阅读全帖
s**********u
发帖数: 2749
9
【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: sgrastar (人马座A星), 信区: Military
标 题: CNBC:疮破再打贸易战会丢掉6个关键州
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Sep 7 14:51:02 2018, 美东)
伊利诺伊,印第安纳,密苏里,宾西法你啊,田纳西和德克萨斯。
Trump risks midterm voter backlash for GOP if he expands China trade war, as
tariffs are unpopular in six key states
President Donald Trump is considering even more tariffs on Chinese goods in
an expanding trade conflict.
It's a politically risky move, as voters in six key midterm states have not
gotten behind the trade barriers.
Repu... 阅读全帖
l******g
发帖数: 764
10
来自主题: Australia版 - 澳一老修士淫辱六男生被判入狱
本文由倍可亲网友[ sumw ] 于 2008-6-25 14:11 上贴
原文网址: [url]http://club.backchina.com/main/viewthread.php?tid=683143[/url]
退休老修士淫辱六男生 周身病痛坐牢肯定辛苦 (国际)
2008-06-25 (03:44)
(本报坎培拉讯)一名已退休的圣母昆仲会修士(MARIST BROTHER),因为在1980年代末期
在坎培拉性侵犯六名男生,昨日被判监六年。
七十六岁的朱特(JOHN WILLIAM CHUTE)承认十八项对十至十六岁男童作出猥褻行为,及
一项对一名十六岁男性作出猥褻行为罪名。案发时这些男童是在十二至十六岁之间。
首都区最高法院大法官MALCOLM GRAY在判案时指出,被告违反外界对他的信任,滥用他
为教师及神修啟蒙者的地位。案发1985年底至1989年之间,地点为坎培拉圣母昆仲会书
院 (MARIST COLLEGE)。由1986年初至1987年中的一段时间内,被告一日有三、四次「
爱抚」一名男生的阳具,又要对方摸他的阳具。修士用电视机、录映带和以一架BMX单
车作礼物
G*****u
发帖数: 1222
11
chatham的,没整理过,特乱。好像是一个yale,一个stanford,三个 u penn,3个
darmouth
http://chatham.patch.com/groups/schools/p/where-will-the-class-
Abed-Rabbo, Nadia M Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey at New
Brunswick Ahmed, Hader Raritan Valley Community College Allocco, Jennifer
University of Connecticut Alpizar, Valerie County College of Morris Annee,
Peter St. John's College Antao, Olivia Emory University Artigliere, Jessica
Providence College Ballard, Andrew Miami University, Oxford Bancroft, Bailey
Ste... 阅读全帖
l****n
发帖数: 863
12
最新民调显示,共和党总统参选人罗穆尼(Mitt Romney)在新罕布什尔州11日举行
的关键辩论之前,以44%的支持率已大幅领先同党其他参选人。
共和党八位主要总统参选人11日晚间在新罕布什尔州汉诺威(Hanover)针对经济议
题举行辩论,最近一次辩论会是将近三周前在佛州奥兰多举行,该场辩论会德州州长培
瑞(Rick Perry)表现失色,此后,前麻州州长罗穆尼即超越培瑞,再度在全国性民调稳
居第一。
根据MSNBC电视台与玛利亚修道院研究所(Marist College Institute)的民调,罗
穆尼在明年率先举行初选的两个州中,在新罕布什尔州的支持率大幅领先其他参选人,
而在爱阿华州的民调也高居第一。
在新罕布什尔州针对965名共和党可能选民进行的民调中,高达44%的受访者支持罗
穆尼成为共和党的总统候选人,远远超过第二的非洲裔商人兼政论家凯恩(Herman Cain
)的20%,以及德州国会众议员保罗(Ron Paul)的12%。
上次辩论表现不佳的培瑞只获得6%,然后是前驻中国大使洪博培(Jon Huntsman)的
5%、前众院议长金瑞契(Newt Gingrich... 阅读全帖
Z**R
发帖数: 1233
13
法国马赛学生自焚
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-12219458
French boy 'sets himself alight at school in Marseille'
A teenage French boy has set himself on fire at his school, officials in
Marseille say.
The boy has been rushed to hospital, and officials described his condition
as serious.
Rescuers told AFP news agency that the boy doused himself in a flammable
liquid in the toilets of his private school in the southern city, before
setting himself alight.
No reason for the incident has yet been gi... 阅读全帖
u***r
发帖数: 4825
14
来自主题: Military版 - Rick Perry推选了
支持Gingrich
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/19/perry-to-end-bid-
11:45 a.m. | Updated NORTH CHARLESTON, S.C. — Gov. Rick Perry of Texas
dropped out of the Republican presidential race here on Thursday and
announced his endorsement for the candidacy of Newt Gingrich, a man he
called a “conservative visionary.”
In South Carolina
Reporting on the candidates and voters in the Palmetto State.
“I’ve never believed that the cause of conservatism is embodied by one
individual,” Mr. Perry said ... 阅读全帖
p*********g
发帖数: 9527
15
http://www.cnn.com/2013/04/04/us/connecticut-gun-law-overhaul/i
(CNN) -- Saying he hopes it sets an example for the nation, Connecticut Gov.
Dannel Malloy on Thursday signed what advocacy groups call the strongest
and most comprehensive gun legislation in the nation.
The new law bans some weapons as well as the sale or purchase of high-
capacity magazines like those used in the Newtown shooting in December that
left 20 children and six adults dead.
It also requires background checks for all gun ... 阅读全帖
w******g
发帖数: 2047
16
来自主题: Military版 - 疮破根本没法赢Electoral College
Commentary: Why Hillary will probably win
70 Comments 80 Shares Tweet Stumble Email
During the Republican convention in Cleveland, I found myself talking with a
GOP operative involved with the Trump campaign. Unprompted, he laid out two
scenarios for how this election could work out. In scenario one, Trump gets
a rather surprising, Brexit-esque surge that propels him to victory. In the
second, Trump gets wiped out, winning only the deep-red states.
That less-than-bullish assessment was h... 阅读全帖
b********n
发帖数: 38600
17
【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: beijingren (to thine own self be true), 信区: USANews
标 题: 美国1/5的人不知道美国是从哪个国家独立出来的,哈哈
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jul 4 22:27:25 2017, 美东)
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/usapolls/us170621_PBS_NPR/NPR_PBS%20NewsHour_Marist%20Poll_Written%20Summary%20of%20Findings_4th%20of%20July_July%202017.pdf
s******r
发帖数: 5309
18
Forty-eight percent of white evangelicals say that embattled Supreme Court
nominee Brett Kavanaugh should be confirmed even if the allegations of
sexual assault against him are true.
Marist asked 1,000 respondents from September 22 to 24 whether they would
support Kavanaugh if the allegations by Christine Blasey Ford, who says
Kavanaugh assaulted her at a high school party decades ago, were found to be
true.
Support for Kavanaugh’s confirmation falls along partisan lines with 12
percent of Democ... 阅读全帖
a********9
发帖数: 3813
19
Latinos are increasingly rallying for President Trump, according to data
from a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll.
The poll notes that 50 percent of Latinos surveyed approve of the job Trump
is doing, a 19-point increase from December of last year.
https://insider.foxnews.com/2019/01/19/poll-donald-trump-gains-approval-
latino-voters-government-shutdown
g********d
发帖数: 4174
20
Posted on Advocate.com August 11, 2011 11:25:00 AM ET
Poll: New Yorkers Pleased With Marriage Equality Law
By Julie Bolcer
NEW YORK MARRIAGE REGISTRATION FORMS X390 (FAIR) | ADVOCATE.COM
A new poll indicates that a solid majority of New Yorkers supports the
marriage equality law that took effect last month, with 63% being opposed to
the prospect of overturning the measure.
The NY1/Marist poll found that 55% of New York State residents support the
new law, 36% oppose it and 9% are unsure. Among r... 阅读全帖
B*V
发帖数: 3365
21
来自主题: RisingChina版 - Rick Perry推选了
支持Gingrich
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/19/perry-to-end-bid-
11:45 a.m. | Updated NORTH CHARLESTON, S.C. — Gov. Rick Perry of Texas
dropped out of the Republican presidential race here on Thursday and
announced his endorsement for the candidacy of Newt Gingrich, a man he
called a “conservative visionary.”
In South Carolina
Reporting on the candidates and voters in the Palmetto State.
“I’ve never believed that the cause of conservatism is embodied by one
individual,” Mr. Perry said ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
22
Exclusive Poll: 74% of Adults Believe Religious Freedom Trumps ObamaCare
by Mike Flynn
Barack Obama's pavlovian adherence to a progressive worldview has sparked an
unexpected challenge to his reelection hopes: his administration's "war" on
the Catholic Church. Earlier this year, the Obama Administration,
implementing ObamaCare, finalized regulations that would require all
employers, including religious institutions, to provide free access to
contraceptives, abortion-inducing drugs and steriliza... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
23
Soda Ban
Government union bosses are really overdue to get a lashing from voters. And
there are some hopeful signs, such as the recent defeat of a union-backed
recall election of a pro-reform governor in Wisconsin.
From children's lemonade stands to sneaky new speed traps, bureaucrats are
getting in our faces, big-time.
Enter New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg's proposed soda ban on servings
larger than 16 oz. at restaurants, fast food joints, and street vendors. It'
s nanny-state government ... 阅读全帖
h****g
发帖数: 2216
24
我还是贴一下这个排名吧
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist Colle... 阅读全帖
d***h
发帖数: 97
25
来自主题: USANews版 - 2008 Pollster Report Card
2008 Pollster Report Card
The table below is an assessment of pollster performance in the 2008
Presidential election. The pollsters were graded on both the accuracy of
their final poll (popular vote) and the consistency of their polling during
the month of October. The overall score is a weighted average of their
Accuracy and Consistency numbers. The weighting is 75% accuracy and 25%
consistency. Formula details are at the bottom of this page.
Poll Score Grade Accuracy C... 阅读全帖
l**********1
发帖数: 2980
26
让你看一下08年的排行榜,你是被CNN洗脑了吧?看看那些左媒,虽然黑哥当时正火红
,可信度还是排在最末。
Here is the list –
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11... 阅读全帖
l**1
发帖数: 1875
27
Polls show Obama edge in Iowa, New Hampshire and Wisconsin
(CNN) – With less than a week before Election Day, polls released Thursday
indicated a narrow edge for President Barack Obama in Iowa, New Hampshire
and Wisconsin, three states that are being fiercely contested in the final
stretch of the campaign.
In Iowa, Obama was at 50% among likely voters, and Romney at 44%, according
to the NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll. That's slightly tighter
than earlier in October, though the result ... 阅读全帖
c**********e
发帖数: 2007
28
来自主题: USANews版 - 老罗还是没抓住俄亥俄
Polls split on race in Ohio, Florida
Posted by CNN's Gregory Wallace
(CNN) – New state polls in Ohio and Florida are divided about the state of
the presidential race in these two key battlegrounds.
In Ohio, arguably the most important of the battlegrounds, a NBC News/Wall
Street Journal/Marist poll released Saturday showed Obama with 51% of likely
voters and Romney at 45%. The CNN/ORC International Poll released Friday
found the Buckeye State slightly tighter and within the sampling error: 50%
f... 阅读全帖
c**********e
发帖数: 2007
29
来自主题: USANews版 - 老罗还是没抓住俄亥俄
In Ohio:
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll:Obama 51% versus Romney 45%.
The CNN/ORC International Pol了: Obama 50% versus Romney 47%.
Florida:
NBC News Poll:Obama 49% versus Romney 47%.
Mason Dixon Poll: Obama 45% versus Romney 51%.
老罗在俄亥俄好像没戏,但好像要赢佛罗里达.
v*****o
发帖数: 113
30
来自主题: USANews版 - Obama leads in OH, no sampling error
A new CNN Poll of Polls on Monday indicates the race in Ohio–perhaps the
most decisive battleground this presidential cycle–is locked in a
statistical dead heat.
The poll shows President Barack Obama at 50% and Mitt Romney at 47% in Ohio,
one day before the election. Those numbers are an average of three Ohio
polls of likely voters conducted in the last week: Ohio Poll/University of
Cincinnati (Oct. 31-Nov. 4); CNN/ORC International (Oct. 30-Nov. 1) and NBC/
Wall Street Journal/Marist (Oct. 31-N... 阅读全帖
a****1
发帖数: 654
31
There's Not A Single Spending Cut That Republican Voters Support
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/fiscal-cliff-poll-taxes-spending-cuts-medicare-eligibility-obama-boehner-2012-12#ixzz2EkmlgXAS
AP
The "compromise" in the fiscal cliff deal from Democrats is supposed to come
in the form of spending cuts. But a new Marist-McClatchy poll shows that
voters — including Republicans — oppose any and every specific spending
cut proposed to them.
It goes hand in hand with the disparity between vot... 阅读全帖
t*c
发帖数: 8291
32
来自主题: USANews版 - PPP Iowa poll is out
NBC/WSJ/Marist 今天的poll, Trump 32, Cruz 25
我之前说的,支持trump国家大方向的人,根本不care他是不是去辩论,
也根本不care梅根。
那些说因为他不参加辩论所以改主意不选他的人,其实本来就没打算选他。
只是冒充共和党选民而已。
h****g
发帖数: 2216
33
来自主题: USANews版 - 今天SC的Poll没话说了
大家笑笑就好。我倒要看看,明晚最后结果出来,到底哪个poll满地找牙
Clemson Trump 28, Cruz 19, Rubio 15, Bush 10, Kasich 9, Carson 6
Trump +9
Opinion Savvy Trump 27, Cruz 19, Rubio 24, Bush 11, Kasich 7, Carson 8
Trump +3
Emerson Trump 36, Cruz 18, Rubio 19, Bush 10, Kasich 10, Carson 6
Trump +17
NBC/WSJ/Marist Trump 28, Cruz 23, Rubio 15, Bush 13, Kasich 9, Carson 9
Trump +5
h****g
发帖数: 2216
34
来自主题: USANews版 - Trump应该能赢10多个点
下面这两个poll今晚之后就是笑话
Augusta Chronicle Trump +3
NBC/WSJ/Marist Trump +5
m****g
发帖数: 2215
35
The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll was conducted March 1-3 among 2,229 registered
voters.
ARG poll was conducted after the debate.
Trump needs to do something to stop Kasich.
l*****8
发帖数: 16949
36
床铺出去才是真正没活路。
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_pre
最新的两个民调:
3/29-3/31的McClatchy/Marist Poll,
Trump, Cruz, Kasich 对Clinton分别是-9, 0,+9,
Trump, Cruz, Kasich 对Sanders分别是-20, -12,-11,
3/28-4/2的IBD/TIPP Poll,
对Clinton是-12, -5, +7.
对Sanders是-17, -12, -3.
7个民调平均,对Clinton分别是-10.6, -2.5, +6.6.
对Sanders分别是 -16.5, -10.1, -2.7
无论对上谁,床铺的机会是最差的。不明白川粉们为什么觉得只有床铺出去能赢的机会
会比别人大。当然川粉会说婊子媒体搞假民调。问题是初选到现在床铺有几次表现比民
调好的?我的印象中几乎每次都比民调差。川粉觉得床铺能赢得底气到底是从哪里来的?
我不太在乎共和党谁出线。只要能赢,床铺我也捏着鼻子选了。问题是他能赢吗?有可
能... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
37
来自主题: USANews版 - IN的形势很怪
最新权威民调:
Trump leads Cruz by 15 points in crucial Indiana race
05/01/16 09:02 AM—UPDATED 05/01/16 09:41 AM
Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead over Ted Cruz in the potentially decisive
May 3 presidential primary race in Indiana, according to results from a new
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll.
Trump gets support from 49 percent of likely Republican primary voters –
followed by Cruz at 34 percent and John Kasich at 13 percent.
出处链接:
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/trump-leads-cruz-15-crucial-ind... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
38
来自主题: USANews版 - 权威最新Trump领先Cruz15点印州
Trump leads Cruz by 15 points in crucial Indiana race
05/01/16 09:02 AM—UPDATED 05/01/16 09:41 AM
Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead over Ted Cruz in the potentially decisive
May 3 presidential primary race in Indiana, according to results from a new
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll(它仨够权威的哟).
Trump gets support from 49 percent of likely Republican primary voters –
followed by Cruz at 34 percent and John Kasich at 13 percent.
原文链接:
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/trump-leads-cruz-15-crucial-in... 阅读全帖
b***n
发帖数: 13455
39
来自主题: USANews版 - 2012年这个时候的poll
Rasmussen Reports 7/29 - 7/31 1500 LV 3.0 44 47 Romney +3
Gallup 7/24 - 7/31 3050 RV 2.0 47 45 Obama +2
Pew Research 7/16 - 7/26 1956 RV 3.2 51 41 Obama +10
Democracy Corps (D) 7/21 - 7/25 700 LV 3.7 50 46 Obama +4
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 7/18 - 7/22 1000 RV 3.1 49 43 Obama
+6
FOX News 7/15 - 7/17 901 RV 3.0 45 41 Obama +4
CBS News/NY Times 7/11 - 7/16 942 RV 3.0 46 47 Rom... 阅读全帖
b********t
发帖数: 1776
40
来自主题: USANews版 - 3 battleground states: New polls
Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in three crucial 2016 battleground states
, according to new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist surveys.
The survey in Iowa shows the Democratic nominee holding a slim 41 percent to
37 percent lead over her Republican rival. In July, Clinton led Trump in
Iowa by three percentage points.
In Ohio, Clinton leads by 43 percent to 38 percent — a 5 point shift since
July when the two candidates were tied.
In Pennsylvania — like Ohio a key Rust Belt target for Trump ... 阅读全帖
S***n
发帖数: 102
41
Road to 270: CNN's latest electoral college map
By David Chalian, CNN Political Director
Updated 6:12 AM ET, Thu October 27, 2016
Washington
One week after we moved Nevada and Florida from "battleground" to "lean
Democratic," both states appear to be snapping back to their traditional
toss-up status. Our new CNN electoral outlook places both states back in the
"battleground" category and increases the up-for-grabs turf to six states
and two congressional districts worth a total of 87 electoral v... 阅读全帖
h*******n
发帖数: 8906
42
来自主题: USANews版 - 尚未投票人的poll昭示床铺大胜
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll
Among those who haven't voted yet:
Florida:
Trump 51 ( 9)
Clinton 42
North Carolina:
Trump 44 ( 2)
Clinton 42
S*********g
发帖数: 24893
43
President Trump Job Approval
Poll Date Sample Approve Disapprove Spread
RCP Average 2/5 - 2/21 -- 44.6 50.4 -5.8
Gallup 2/19 - 2/21 1500 A 42 52 -10
Rasmussen Reports 2/19 - 2/21 1500 LV 51 49 +2
Reuters/Ipsos 2/17 - 2/21 2338 A 45 50 -5
Economist/YouGov 2/18 - 2/20 1198 RV 48 48 Tie
Quinnipiac 2/16 - 2/21 1323 RV 38 55 -17
McClatchy/Marist 2/15 - 2/19 865 RV 41 49 -8
FOX News 2... 阅读全帖
b********n
发帖数: 38600
s********e
发帖数: 1503
k**L
发帖数: 3630
46
来自主题: USANews版 - 川普approval rate已经50%了
President Trump Job Approval Marist Approve 40, Disapprove 53
Disapprove +13
President Trump Job Approval Rasmussen Reports Approve 50, Disapprove
49 Approve +1
这是不是所谓的“高兴得太早了”
L*********4
发帖数: 883
47
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_1809251359.pdf
从9月12日到9月26日,Trump的支持率增加了3个点。
目前在independent voter中,民主党的领先降了一个点,现在低于54-46.这个幅度是
不足以赢得众院的。
这个poll和其它的poll一样routinely undersample Republicans,oversample
independent voters(两次分别是33%Dem, 25%Rep, 40% independent,36%Dem, 27%rep
, 34% independent),所以他的数据并不可信。但是可以看它的trend。
注:2014中选的turnout是35%Dem, 36%Rep, 29% independent. 过去20年Dems最大的
blue wave是2006,turnout是38% Dem, 35%Rep,27 independen... 阅读全帖
L*********4
发帖数: 883
48
来自主题: USANews版 - 大家看看怎么鉴别CNN的fake poll
http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2018/images/10/09/rel9b.-.2018.midterms.pdf
A total of 1,009 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live
interviewers calling both landline and cell
phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire
sample, 31% described themselves
as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described
themselves as independents or
members of another party.
这个sample偏的没边了。44%的Independents!只有25%的Republicans。。
虽然它得出的结论是Dem 54% 对GOP 41%,但是... 阅读全帖
b*****d
发帖数: 61690
49
来自主题: USANews版 - Never-trump和党消失了
Pollster Lee Miringoff told Hill.TV in an interview that aired Thursday that
"Never-Trump" Republicans are essentially extinct.
"The 'Never Trumpers' have vanished in the Republican Party. They're extinct
," Miringoff, the head of the Marist Poll, told Hill.TV's Joe Concha on "
What America's Thinking."
Various "Never Trump" conservatives, however, frequently appear on cable
news to advocate against Trump's presidency, including Bill Kristol, Ana
Navarro, and David Brooks.
Trump has enjoyed high... 阅读全帖
m****1
发帖数: 106
50
每年去Ivy League的有10%???看数据说话,2012年327名毕业生,哈佛1个,耶鲁2个
,普林斯顿1个,宾大9个,布朗1个,哥大1个,达特茅斯2个,斯坦福4个。可能要把
Duke,Wash U,Johns Hopkins都算上才能凑够10%吧。
且不必说有的小孩是legacy的原因进去的。光光搬到Millburn/Short Hills住还不够喔
,顶好父母的抽屉里也躺着Ivy的毕业证。
http://millburn.patch.com/articles/where-is-millburn-s-class-of
American University 1
Amherst College 1
Arizona State University 1
Bard College 1
Barnard College 1
Boston University 2
Brandeis University 1
Brown University 1
Bucknell University 3
Carnegie-Mellon University 4
Catholic U... 阅读全帖
1 (共1页)