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全部话题 - 话题: kafen
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k***n
发帖数: 3158
1
【 以下文字转载自 Collectibles 讨论区 】
发信人: kafen (Tiffany & Co), 信区: Collectibles
标 题: Re: 白银太惨了,11分钟跌10 percent (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon May 2 13:04:32 2011, 美东)
he sold his silver in 2006
at the same time, SLV started and held a similar amount of silver he sold
coincidence?
SLV's trustee is BNY Mellon
guess who owns a big chunk of BNY Mellon?
发信人: xt (拷贝猫), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: 白银太惨了,11分钟跌10 percent
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon May 2 09:11:48 2011, 美东)
2006年前后他说在$4的时候进了不少,但是到了$6就卖掉了
k***n
发帖数: 3158
2
【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: kafen (Tiffany & Co), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 当大家都等待着大崩盘到来的时候。。。
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jul 28 20:55:03 2011, 美东)
who cares where the stock market will move when it is priced in the USD
it has been dropping for 10 years when priced in gold
it seems its next leg down is coming
long gold and short dow, the spread will work out pretty well
a***s
发帖数: 5417
3
来自主题: Investment版 - 今天盘尾要是继续猛跌,该捞吗?
有点吓破胆了。
kafen股神,你觉得今天有恐慌吗?
a***s
发帖数: 5417
4
来自主题: Investment版 - YTD
kafen大牛,这次跌下来你会在哪里all in?
上次你all in的点位和出货的点位都很准确!
a***s
发帖数: 5417
5
来自主题: Investment版 - YTD
今天是rally第二天,再赞一下kafen对股市的感觉。精密制导。
a***s
发帖数: 5417
6
来自主题: Investment版 - YTD
kafen大牛,这次跌下来你会在哪里all in?
上次你all in的点位和出货的点位都很准确!
a***s
发帖数: 5417
7
来自主题: Investment版 - YTD
今天是rally第二天,再赞一下kafen对股市的感觉。精密制导。
k***n
发帖数: 3158
8
【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: kafen (Tiffany & Co), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 好像开始可怕的通缩螺旋了,FXI GLD都是验证
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Dec 12 18:04:29 2011, 美东)
deflation has been running its course the whole summer and fall
you got to get in front of the curve instead of lagging behind it
http://www.mitbbs.com/mitbbs_article.php?board=Investment&id=31
in fact, I think this deflation wave is coming to its end
As early as this month, as late as Feb/March, the market will be
entering a strong inflation wave
copper:gol... 阅读全帖
c****w
发帖数: 8
9
wstlykm,假日是银行的人假日,中介旅行,这两个我真的控制不了。他们要的材料我
都是第一时间的,真的。但是gift letter这个是他们告诉我要找个朋友给我写1万就可
以,我找了老板帮我这个忙,然后因为老板是发我工资的人,证明我工作的人,又是给
我GIFT的人,那这里银行很狐疑,所以花了时间调查。这件事是我的错,但是我第一次
买房子,我真的不知道不可以是老板,银行的banker又没有说不可以,他当时还说随便
找个人,银行不会管的。反正已经发生了,再说也没有用。我当然一直守规矩的,我的
律师说他的经验是印度人经常不守规矩。
kafen,我没有waive loan contingency.关键是律师说是那个letter of commitment导
致的,因为这个东西‘说明’了是我的错,我的gift letter被调查到现在。是我的错
。可是这里有几点我不明白,1,我跟对方说是银行最后不给我贷款,他们怎么知道是
我的错还是银行的错?gift letter这事只是我跟银行知道。2,那个letter of
commitment还要自己的工作证明,打个比方,如果我买房过程被laid off... 阅读全帖
k***n
发帖数: 3158
10
It does not matter whose fault it was that led to your failure of
getting the loan in time, you should be able to get your deposit back
if you did not waive your loan contingency.
律师说对方可能不还, it is true. Your lawyer just wanted to give you
a warning that this could happen. But it does not mean the seller
will be successful doing it. Check with your agent, and prepare for
fighting. You should be able to win.

kafen,我没有waive loan contingency.关键是律师说是那个letter of commitment导
致的,因为这个东西‘说明’了是我的错,我的gift ... 阅读全帖
c****w
发帖数: 8
11
非常感谢你,kafen!
z****l
发帖数: 5282
12
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woodheadvt (木头) 于 (Sun Aug 29 01:41:12 2010, 美东) 提到:
好处:
1) 2% FLAT。。 UNLIMITED plain and simple
2) You do not necessary need any brokerage or retirement account..
just request a check once your points is over 30k. ( 10k for $100)
3) high credit line.. almost no annoy fraud alert review.. easy for
approval of purchase... and pending transaction show up almost same day
good for those who need lots of transactions.
Highly recommended.... one of my fa... 阅读全帖
q*d
发帖数: 22178
13
来自主题: Returnee版 - [合集] 厌倦了,准备归了
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rockjohnny (肉夹馍) 于 (Mon Jun 25 19:58:56 2012, 美东) 提到:
PD 10年6月的。厌倦了现在这个已经做了4年多的工作; 厌倦了每个月初焦急等待VB的
日子; 不想再等了。同时也给同胞们让出一个绿卡名额。突然觉得如果工作不满意,没
前途,而仅为了拿绿卡上简直是自杀。以前总是很天真的麻痹自己: "拿到绿卡之后,
我就能..." 现在马上30了,理性想想我连拿到绿卡之后的具体计划都没有,所谓 "
idea" 其实大多都经不起推敲。而且我觉得一部分和我一样"熬绿卡"的人大多都没有一
个清晰可行的计划,因为我身边的很多人拿到之后依然在做同样的烂工作,尽管他们仍
然满腹抱怨。其实潜意识就是在自己现在的这份烂工作上混吃等死。人的惰性是大脑节
省能量的方式。因为工作再烂,拿我来说,毕竟干了4年多,里面的方方面面沟沟坎坎
都明镜似的,似乎解决任何问题都在弹指一挥间,不用耗多余心力。但是一份新工作却
面临着方方面面诸多挑战。
这次从国内回来感慨良多。国内老百姓的日子还是一... 阅读全帖
q*d
发帖数: 22178
14
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lilyamao (lilyamao) 于 (Thu Jul 12 16:44:05 2012, 美东) 提到:
刚昨天一朋友聊天,她在德国,她说过来美国开会, 因为牵挂家里小孩,所以从德国
飞过来,开了一天会,当天就搭同一班飞机回去了,把空乘惊讶地。。。
当然,德国飞美国东部很近, 单程7个小时左右吧。
但是,其实,如果我们有点拿出business trip的劲头来回家看看呢?
很多时候,door to door, 一天一夜, 单程24个小时也搞定了,如
果路上不要带小孩,飞机上好好休息,回家也没有多累的。
如果有绿卡,来回根本不需要签证
这样,有个长周末,请个一天假,连头带尾四天,家里有小娃,可以让配偶看一下,自
己回去陪父母过个周末,实在也不麻烦, 机票如果不是暑假贵的时候,也就1000
美元上下,路上花一点,陪老人过个周末,就是1500美元左右的开销。
这对北美很多well established的家庭来说, 不算什么开销,或者
你本来想开个豪华车,那就开个普通的两田车好了,一年从车上省下... 阅读全帖
a********h
发帖数: 819
15
good move, Kafen!
even MCP is speculative, since california has very strict environment laws.
LYSCF.PK (LYC.AX) will reflect its value soon. some MMs are manipulating LYC
.AX.
not for long though, production news will come in a couple of months.
MMs probably will then 拉直线上升
a********h
发帖数: 819
16
You are very welcome, Kafen.
a********h
发帖数: 819
17
well said, kafen,
internet forums always have these IDs whose sole purpose are to annoy other
people.
a********h
发帖数: 819
18
来自主题: Stock版 - 眼看着URRE沉下去
Thanks a lot kafen
I agree with your thinking on energy/ag
Great long term fa due to emerging market growth
I looked at pot and potash one last year both had buyout news rally before I
took action
Any other speculative natural gas play? Thanks again
b******r
发帖数: 16603
19
来自主题: Stock版 - 眼看着URRE沉下去
我miners上的holding跟你差不多,呵呵。
我发现kafen在这个板块的momentum play超牛。
a********h
发帖数: 819
20
来自主题: Stock版 - 眼看着URRE沉下去
amazing, great work, Kafen!
I will have to wait for a pullback to get in, not good with chasing.
thanks for sharing.
a********h
发帖数: 819
21
来自主题: Stock版 - 眼看着URRE沉下去
thanks Kafen, sounds good.
a friend talked to me about both ALLRF and AMHPF a couple of months ago
when ALLRF was 0.5, hehe, wasn't able to pull the trigger since all my
funds was already in and I am not good with rotating positions.
I was also worrying about correction in overall market, however it seems
now it's crack-up boom boom boom without correction first.

fertilizer
a********h
发帖数: 819
22
来自主题: Stock版 - AVL还有人拿着么
avl is a good speculative one I have a small position
lyscf is a solid one I have a big position with average 0.8 will add a
little more at 1.8 if it goes there
kafen I can see you are much better with operation than me
for example I had big profits with my silver miner if I sell some to try to
time market or keep to a percentage of portfolio I need to pay big short
term taxes
so you don't mind paying taxes correct?
I had some bad experience with selling too early so right now I try to hold
to 1... 阅读全帖
a********h
发帖数: 819
23
来自主题: Stock版 - AVL还有人拿着么
thanks kafen
I also got avl at pink sheet stage
yeah I want to use Ira as trading account too
silver is very volatile maybe I should keep to a percentage target
eg 50% of portfolio
but it's easy to get greedy and don't sell some after a big rally
b******r
发帖数: 16603
24
来自主题: Stock版 - AVL还有人拿着么
GWMGF another 10% up. Very sharp, Kafen!
b******r
发帖数: 16603
25
版上有两位稀土届FA的大牛autumnwish和kafen,我也同等他们的分析。
a*****n
发帖数: 89
26
来自主题: Stock版 - 黄金可以开空单了
Autumnwish neverlearn kafen goldcoin is a shitty biz. Very consistent and
self-contained.
b******r
发帖数: 16603
27
来自主题: Stock版 - Anyone goes to this forum?
lucan, CYG, kafen, autumnfish, neverlearn,superdmv。。。
coke等老一批不太活跃了。
我觉得这个版可以多跟他们学习。
y*****l
发帖数: 5997
28
来自主题: Stock版 - 热烈祝贺 yaokarl 版副上任
多谢渔夫!恭喜发财!
[Stock] updownlife Jun 12 ● 热烈祝贺 yaokarl 版副上任
10*88=880
成功奖励 10 伪币的用户: sillycat, MO, cottonwood, vanmark, boysa, zcljy,
Belichick, zhebie, p838, PJZH, yecm2000, wawang, water77, badboy2, hab,
USAsheriff, zkjeffrey, bcdoudou, stlstl, JianlianYi, AdvancedEdu, Antoine,
lovett, juto, meornot, magicXP, sunfish, wallwallwall, pash, Mutombo, fbfb,
SimoneVerdi, ZBo, wavelets, watermoon, wxiao, jingoshine, HL, buckseye,
cyberwind, qiuyueshifu, kafen, myricky, earlyocean, KDnewborn, robinre... 阅读全帖
u********e
发帖数: 4950
29
来自主题: Stock版 - [合集] 黄金有啥用途没有?
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rim (可乐会捂帮帮主) 于 (Sat Apr 30 21:01:02 2011, 美东) 提到:
除了做首饰,和少量工业用途?
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jszhb (金嗓子喉宝) 于 (Sat Apr 30 21:02:08 2011, 美东) 提到:
建材。盖房子。
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boshihou2 (捉蛇者) 于 (Sat Apr 30 21:03:51 2011, 美东) 提到:
少量工业用途?
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tooearly (郎教授不炒股) 于 (Sat Apr 30 21:15:02 2011, 美东) 提到:
远不如白银的工业用途.
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boshihou2 (捉蛇者) 于 (Sat ... 阅读全帖
u********e
发帖数: 4950
30
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rim (可乐会捂帮帮主) 于 (Sun May 1 00:13:12 2011, 美东) 提到:
就是世界上现在的财富,以及对流动性的需求,大大大大与黄金的存量,所以用黄金为
货币基准没有可行性。
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boshihou2 (捉蛇者) 于 (Sun May 1 00:14:34 2011, 美东) 提到:
我就不展开说了,这个是客观原因,还有一个主观原因

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whiteclouds (/ 参考消息 /) 于 (Sun May 1 00:15:36 2011, 美东) 提到:
you forget that gold is very very very very divisible!
you can have one gram of gold in your hand and call it 100 thousand do... 阅读全帖
a***s
发帖数: 5417
31
I feel Kafen is the NIUest ID on this board on 401k. He already took profit
last Thursday and I assume now he is holding all cash or gold
in his 401k.
The market is heading toward new low, no matter how it behaved today. Zero
new job were added in August is a clear enough sign on how US economy is
going to performing.
u********e
发帖数: 4950
32
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levart (levart) 于 (Fri Jun 10 17:38:16 2011, 美东) 提到:
今年美国的财政赤字是1.5到1.6T. Debt ceiling is 14.3T.
8,9年前, 美国的财政赤字是6T. 现在长了140%. 可怕的是美国的债务直逼GDP, 今年要
100%了.
这些数字还没有包括给美国公民的自己应该付的债务和其他债务, 加在一起要70 到
100 T.
每天美国的债务以1.5个B增长(这个数字好象是, 不太确定).
三千万美国人是靠政府的食物券生活的, 相当于加拿大的人口了. 快两个北京的人口.
在这种情况下,美国的经济想快速增长很困难, 所以要紧可能的多收钱, 但是又不太容
易拿富人的钱.
怎么办? 有很多措施, 其中一个就是几年前的所谓的OPT延期计划, 绿卡名额没有多,
但是OPT延长到
了2年多. 最后的结果就是大口进, 小口出, 年轻力壮的年轻人在美国交学费学习, 工
作, 但是很少能
留下来. 光外国工人因为不能享受福利, 每年就为美国节省了上... 阅读全帖
s******t
发帖数: 12883
33
谢谢kafen和肥猫!
s******t
发帖数: 12883
34
我看到金子掉下来真开心, 终于快可以买了。
可以光荣得跟着kafen和巴侬囤金子。
l**********y
发帖数: 2050
35
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littleshelly (littleshelly) 于 (Sat Dec 24 12:06:04 2011, 美东) 提到:
祝大家圣诞快乐!大吉大发!
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littleshelly (littleshelly) 于 (Sat Dec 24 12:06:24 2011, 美东) 提到:
沙发给老大油工
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littleshelly (littleshelly) 于 (Sat Dec 24 12:06:39 2011, 美东) 提到:
板凳给老二老牛
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littleshelly (littleshelly) 于 (Sat Dec 24 12:06:58 2011, 美东) 提到:
地板给老三土神
☆─────────────────────... 阅读全帖
l**********y
发帖数: 2050
36
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dongbeiren2 (东北人) 于 (Fri Oct 14 19:17:03 2011, 美东) 提到:
http://www.datanx.org/nxinfo001/ShowArticle.asp?ArticleID=4498
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ericz (eric) 于 (Fri Oct 14 19:20:12 2011, 美东) 提到:
求宅要

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YUYN (丫丫) 于 (Fri Oct 14 19:21:00 2011, 美东) 提到:
自己懒,好好读
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slimcan (独孤九剑) 于 (Fri Oct 14 19:24:54 2011, 美东) 提到:
今天的美国绝对不会是70年代的美国了。第一,利率现在已经是0了。第二,当年bab... 阅读全帖
l*********m
发帖数: 16971
37
来自主题: Stock版 - the rally starts here
both of kafen and accos are niu x
t**********w
发帖数: 478
38
来自主题: Stock版 - 说个最近要火起来的产业
Thanks kafen daniu! I thought it's the miners' turn too
k***n
发帖数: 3158
39
来自主题: Stock版 - SANDSTORM GOLD listed on US exchange
【 以下文字转载自 Investment 讨论区 】
发信人: kafen (Tiffany & Co), 信区: Investment
标 题: SANDSTORM GOLD listed on US exchange
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Aug 30 22:16:09 2012, 美东)
Bought it 2 years ago when it was listed on the Pink sheet
now finally moved to NYSE
Its streaming model is to fund junior miners who have financing troubles
and bring them into production. In return, they will get a certain amount
of the gold/silver from the mine at a fixed low price every year.
the streaming model seems very successful as... 阅读全帖
e***d
发帖数: 8248
40
同意,紫晶牛MM一般会早2天。
喊得最准的是 kafen 童鞋,而且数据说话。
b******r
发帖数: 16603
41
kafen is the real daniu, who is way better than all the gold bugs here
including gold gods N.
e***d
发帖数: 8248
42
yeah, yesterday kafen provided solid hard-core data
to support his standpoint, which is very convincing.
from there, we froglets may get a small clue of how to
guess MM's intention.
z****g
发帖数: 4616
43
谁是KAFEN,他/她在哪里喊了什么?数据在哪里?
M****h
发帖数: 472
44
thanks kafen for not only sharing your conclusion but also providing a
learning opportunity for the readers. We are here to improve our technique
as well as for fun.

cyclical
indeed
w*s
发帖数: 7227
45
thanks Kafen as well as Zijing !!!
pls come post more.

cyclical
indeed
e***d
发帖数: 8248
46
同意,紫晶牛MM一般会早2天。
喊得最准的是 kafen 童鞋,而且数据说话。
b******r
发帖数: 16603
47
kafen is the real daniu, who is way better than all the gold bugs here
including gold gods N.
e***d
发帖数: 8248
48
yeah, yesterday kafen provided solid hard-core data
to support his standpoint, which is very convincing.
from there, we froglets may get a small clue of how to
guess MM's intention.
z****g
发帖数: 4616
49
谁是KAFEN,他/她在哪里喊了什么?数据在哪里?
M****h
发帖数: 472
50
thanks kafen for not only sharing your conclusion but also providing a
learning opportunity for the readers. We are here to improve our technique
as well as for fun.

cyclical
indeed
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