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a**********2
发帖数: 355 | 2 微信公众平台 USOPTIONS
Americas : Market Intelligence – Morning Update
by Chris Hussey
Published March 25, 2014
Stocks in Asia were directionless Tuesday, trading in a relative news vacuum
as investors appear to be content to coast through the end of March. In
Europe this morning, however, equities are definitively higher although you
have to squint to find a reason for the reversal of yesterday's more bearish
tone. Overall, perhaps the daily trading gyrations of individual markets
are telling us l... 阅读全帖 |
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a**********2
发帖数: 355 | 3 NY ROUNDUP – Wednesday, April 2, 2014
微信公众平台 USOPTIONS
COMMENTS
· Equities put in another day for the faithful and make new highs
yet again. The bourses came cruising out of the gate following consensus ADP
numbers and positive revisions as investors focused their sights on the end
-of-week employment metrics. The good spirit was almost universally felt as
all but one sector finish in the green (Utilities small -0.16%). SPX and
Nasdaq now +2.5% for the year, while DJIA is back to flat. C... 阅读全帖 |
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w********2
发帖数: 16371 | 4 我一般er 有超过50%接近54%的准确率，不知是否能保持
猜yahoo rev beat erning meet , 支持美女ceo，封低捞
猜 vmw rev ok earning beat， 猜云走出谷底 看多
猜 msft rev beat profit beat，forecast soft, 看多
猜 lltc rev miss forcast miss，rev miss，forecast soso, 看跌
猜 isrg rev miss earning miss forcast ok, 看跌
猜 gpro rev 一般 profit 不错 forcast 一般，有跌就捞，看长期多
猜cmg rev meet profit miss 短期过热而衰
猜苹果 profit rev 都beat （因为前面forecast low ball） 看长期变衰，短期多（
买了leap put +短期 far otm call） |
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b******i
发帖数: 4776 | 5 By Nesa Subrahmaniyan - May 6, 2008 12:27 EDT
May 6 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil may rise to between $150 and $200 a barrel
within two years as growth in supply fails to keep pace with increased
demand from developing nations, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts led by
Arjun N. Murti said in a report.
New York-based Murti first wrote of a ``super spike'' in March 2005, when he
said oil prices could range between $50 and $105 a barrel through 2009. The
price of crude traded in New York averaged $56.71 ... 阅读全帖 |
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W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 6 China’s GDP Growth Beats Forecasts as Stimulus Supports Spending
Bloomberg News
October 18, 2015 — 9:00 PM CDT
China’s economy expanded quicker than economists forecast in the third
quarter, suggesting monetary and fiscal stimulus is supporting growth and
keeping Premier Li Keqiang’s 2015 expansion target within reach.
Gross domestic product rose 6.9 percent in the three months through
September from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said Monday
, beating economists’ estimates fo... 阅读全帖 |
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a*******m
发帖数: 14194 | 7 美联储正式加息。
Federal Reserve raises key interest rate for first time in nearly a decade
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2015/12/16/federal-reserve-
likely-to-raise-interest-rates-for-first-time-in-nearly-a-decade/
Federal Reserve raises key interest rate for first time in nearly a decade
Resize Text Print Article Comments 0
By Ylan Q. Mui December 16 at 2:00 PM
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen (Photo by Matt McClain/ The Washington
Post)
The Federal Reserve voted Wednesday to raise in... 阅读全帖 |
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r***l
发帖数: 9084 | 8 花街各种金融机构，投行之类的，大的投行例如花旗大摩瑞银等，但每个股票被follow
的投行数量差很多，大公司诸如aapl，几十家投行都follow,给季度营收利润估算，这
些估算的平均值或者中值就是所谓的ER forecast estimate. 当然很多时候公司自己也
会给forecast. 稍微大的公司，比如中钙bidu/baba等，也有十几二十家投行给ER
estimate. 小的股票只有几家甚至1-2家follow.
追踪的投行越多，所谓的er forecast estimate就越有意义，越可能影响市场。如果只
有1-2家追踪，意义不大的，所谓的beat estimate基本没人care， 因为这个estimate
只不过是一家之言而已。 |
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r*****e
发帖数: 7853 | 9 如果forecast是2.5%，那么这个数字就factor in到市场了。个股的ER estimate也一样
[在 hugefacecat (巨脸猫) 的大作中提到：]
:并不是说GDP一定是造假，forecast完全可以造假，GS什么的都预测>2.9%，它来
个2.5%forecast，那看起来当然是beat啊。 |
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o***n
发帖数: 2074 | 10 Forecast Actual Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 2020
Unit
Commodity 49.12 48.1 47.6 47.1 46.6 38.8 USD/BBL
Crude oil Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving
average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model
the past behaviour of Crude oil using vast amounts of historical data and we
adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our
analysts assessments and future expectati... 阅读全帖 |
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w********9
发帖数: 8613 | 11 In the longer range, beyond five days, we turn again to the model ensembles.
Rather than relying on a single model or a single model run, we look at
ensembles which generate dozens of model runs, each using slightly different
initial conditions as input. The more similar the model tracks are to each
other, the higher the forecast confidence. The larger the spread between the
model tracks, the lower the forecast confidence. Watching the trends in
these ensembles also helps wash out any erratic ru... 阅读全帖 |
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w****o
发帖数: 2260 | 12 这厮预测明年加息4次，这说明加息步伐加快。有好戏看了。
http://fortune.com/2017/11/20/goldman-sachs-federal-reserve-interest-rates-2018/
Goldman Sachs Predicts That the Fed Will Hike Interest Rates Four Times in
2018
(NEW YORK) – Goldman Sachs said it expects a tight U.S. labor market and
more normal inflation picture will lead the Federal Reserve to hike interest
rates four times next year.
“The U.S. economy heads into 2018 with strong growth momentum and an
unemployment rate already below levels that Fed officials view a... 阅读全帖 |
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w******g
发帖数: 2047 | 13 Analyst cuts profit forecasts for Apple due to ‘materially weaker’ iPhone
demand
Bernstein predicts Apple will give a June quarter sales forecast below Wall
Street expectations.
"Investors are squarely focused on the health of the iPhone business, as
supply chain data increasingly points to weakness," the firm's analyst
writes
The firm predicts the smartphone maker will forecast revenue in the range of
$47 billion to $49 billion for its June quarter versus the analyst average
of $51.9 billion wh... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******i
发帖数: 359 | 14 EB-2 INDIA AND EB-3 CHINA CUT-OFF DATES ADVANCE SIGNIFICANTLY IN FEBRUARY –
FURTHER ADVANCES LIKELY IN COMING MONTHS
The U.S. Department of State has published the Monthly Visa Bulletin for
February 2015, announcing significant advances in visa availability under
the EB-2 preference category for applicants born in India, the EB-3
preference category for applicants born in China, and the EB-3 preference
category for applicants born in all countries other than India and China.
Beginning February 1... 阅读全帖 |
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S****o
发帖数: 503 | 15 具体计划：
1、出发集合时间和地点：
以下地点参见（Justin版权所有）：
http://tinyurl.com/2ajbg6o
Palm Springs Art Museum / Skyline Trailhead
101 North Museum Drive, Palm Springs, CA
Denny's Restaurant
1201 North Palm Canyon Drive, Palm Springs, CA, (760)325-9519
Option A: 2am @ Denny's, 吃早餐；3am 到达 Skyline Trailhead。
Option B: 3am 直接前往 Skyline Trailhead。
3am 从 Skyline Trailhead 出发。
2、预计经过8小时左右，约11迈，爬升约8000尺，11am 到达 Upper Tram Station。在 Upper Tram Station 的餐馆吃午餐：
http://www.pstramway.com/dinin... 阅读全帖 |
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I*********m
发帖数: 103 | 16 看了看 Eastern Sierra forecast,这天气 Camping
需要怎么准备啊？
Forecast: The Owens Valley, Mammoth and Mono County
By: Dennis Mattinson, Weather & Atmospheric Forecaster
Sierra Wave Radio – TV – Online News
www.easternsierraforecast.com
MONDAY 03-OCT-2011, 5:19 AM PDT
A change is afoot today and through Thursday, as the first of two storm
systems move into our district. Todays system will mostly be shunted by a
large ridge of high pressure over the Great Basin. So some clouds will move
in and a slight chance ... 阅读全帖 |
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c**a
发帖数: 54 | 17 How many of them will be local at Irvine?
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/22/us-broadcom-results-i
(Reuters) - Broadcom Corp said on Tuesday it is winding down its money-
losing cellular baseband chip business and cutting one-fifth of its total
workforce, instead of selling the unit.
Chief Executive Scott McGregor told analysts on a conference call that after
Broadcom said in early June it would exit baseband and then tested the
market for a possible sale, the company decided to shut it d... 阅读全帖 |
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S*******9
发帖数: 368 | 18 You can forward your resume if interested.
Job Title:
MANAGER, FINANCE PLANNING & ANALYSIS
Job Status: EXEMPT
(Exempt or Non-Exempt)
Reports To: AVP, ACCOUNTING & FINANCE Dept. Name:
ACCOUNTING & FINANCE
JOB OBJECTIVE (brief statement of the core job responsibilities to be
accomplished):
Under the general guidance of the Assistant Vice President, Accounting &
Finance, the incumbent oversees
the financial planning and analysis functions of the credit union. The
incumbent develops and
coordinates ... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 19 【 以下文字转载自 TraderSuccess 俱乐部 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: TraderSuccess
标 题: Re: 欧元接近短期高峰。 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 21 15:53:55 2011, 美东)
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
FXE, 20110120, 134.2400, -0.6027, -0.4
FXE, 20110119, 134.1400, -0.7164, -0.5
FXE, 20110118, 133.3300, -1.8917, -1.4 <<--SHORT SQUEEZE
FXE, 20110114, 133.2300, -3.0833, -2.3
On 20110118 price went up yet forecast became much
less negative rather than the... 阅读全帖 |
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g****n
发帖数: 3313 | 20 对,买VIEWSAT ULTRA2000 以上的RECEIVER, 都可以跟WEATHER FORECASTER连接, 然后
介入INTERNET, 这个是CARD SHARE, 就是大家公用一个CARD. 通过INTERNET.
你买到了DISH 1000 PLUS后, 跟VIEWSAT连接, 搜卫星, 对准后,SEARCH 卫星节目,连上
WF(WEATHER FORECASTER). 就可以看了.
另外, 这些CARD SHARE都是没有保证WORK的, 如果死了你没办法COMPLAIN, 虽然这个破解
技术和VIEWSAT公司已经存在了将近10年了, 但是这只是个HOBBY, 没人保证永远WORK.
另一个网站:
www.abadss.com
中文论坛:
http://www.chinasmile.net/forums/showthread.php?t=444606
1, VIEWSAT 公司倒闭, 不再支持WEATHER FORECASTER的SERVERR
2, DISHNET 公司倒闭
3, DISHNET 抓住了VIEWSAT, 没收之
4, DISHNET抓住了你,... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 21 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: Stock
标 题: NFLX (有解释）
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Aug 2 12:57:06 2011, 美东)
预测的使用说明：
下面一共有两个预测系统，1 和 2， 并列。
当然预测的结果会不同，否则一个够了。
当 FORECAST 和 PERCENT 数值很极端时，
未来的价格就会开始转向。正是起，负是跌。
所以在高峰时，数值一般是极端的高负数，
而在谷底时， 数值一般是极端的高正数。
关键是要等到数值够极端，风险才够低。
那什么数值算极端？
那就参考过去的预测，即第一行以下的数字。
看过去在主要的短期高峰和谷底时，
FORECAST 和 PERCENT 数值是多少，就有谱。
有趣的是，当股票价格达到高峰或谷底时，
一般来说，价格的未来移动幅度，
就大约是 FORECAST 和 PERCENT 的数值。
觉得如何？ 解释的够不够清楚？
谁肯帮忙修改一下，让它变成更清楚？
SYMBOL DATE PRICE ... 阅读全帖 |
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c**a
发帖数: 54 | 22 【 以下文字转载自 LosAngeles 讨论区 】
发信人: ciba (东方欲晓), 信区: LosAngeles
标 题: Broadcom cuts 2,500 jobs in wind-down of baseband unit
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jul 23 17:23:18 2014, 美东)
How many of them will be local at Irvine?
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/22/us-broadcom-results-i
(Reuters) - Broadcom Corp said on Tuesday it is winding down its money-
losing cellular baseband chip business and cutting one-fifth of its total
workforce, instead of selling the unit.
Chief Executive Scott McGregor told analy... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
t*****r
发帖数: 4431 | 24 太长了，我也没看完，感兴趣的读读吧。
If you cancel, you pay. If they cancel, you still pay——The travel industry
’s one-sided cancellation policies are due for cancellation
Change your mind when you’re traveling, and the consequences can be costly.
Most airline tickets are nonrefundable and require a hefty change fee plus
any fare differential. And many hotel rooms are totally nonrefundable and
nonchangeable, so you could lose the entire value of your room. So, why
doesn’t it work the other way around?
After Alask... 阅读全帖 |
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z***y
发帖数: 7151 | 25 2012 Bloom Watch
Average Peak Bloom Date: April 4
2012 Peak Bloom Date: March 24 – March 31
2012 Blooming Period Forecast: March 22 – ???
Exactly when the buds will open is not easy to predict and it is extremely
difficult to give an accurate forecast much more than 10 days before peak
bloom. National Park Service horticulturists monitor five distinct stages of
bud development and provide timely forecasts and updates.
The Peak Bloom Date is defined as the day on which 70 percent of the
blossoms ... 阅读全帖 |
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z***y
发帖数: 7151 | 26 2012 Bloom Watch
Average Peak Bloom Date: April 4
2012 Peak Bloom Date: March 24 – March 31
2012 Blooming Period Forecast: March 22 – ???
Exactly when the buds will open is not easy to predict and it is extremely
difficult to give an accurate forecast much more than 10 days before peak
bloom. National Park Service horticulturists monitor five distinct stages of
bud development and provide timely forecasts and updates.
The Peak Bloom Date is defined as the day on which 70 percent of the
blossoms ... 阅读全帖 |
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p********6
发帖数: 994 | 27 The top 25 largest metropolitan real estate market forecasts
Rank City Forecast
1. Manhattan, NY − 6.0%
2. Los Angeles, CA − 4.2%
3. Chicago, IL − 5.6%
4. Philadelphia, PA − 2.3%
5. San Francisco, CA − 3.4%
6. Dallas, TX + 1.4%
7. Boston, MA − 3.5%
8. Atlanta, GA − 6.7%
9. Washington, DC − 3.2%
10. Houston, TX + 1.8%
11. Detroit, MI &#... 阅读全帖 |
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s*****p
发帖数: 5342 | 28 呵呵,不算MHP吧?
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20130104-704265.html
By Min Zeng
A disappointing jobs report put a brakes on a week-long selloff in Treasury
bonds Friday, helping the bond market recoup some losses.
The benchmark 10-year note's yield, which moves inversely to its price, rose
to as high as 1.974% before the data on optimism of a strong release. That
was the highest level since April 2012.
In recent trade in New York, the benchmark 10-year note fell by 13/32 in
price, yielding 1.945... 阅读全帖 |
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S*****i
发帖数: 2031 | 31 By Susan Miller
You are now in the process of renewing your life from the bottom up and
from
the inside out, due to a series of eclipses that have come by in
Sagittarius and Gemini since they started a year ago, on December 21,
2010 (
Sagittarius). Three more eclipses have come by since then, on June 1
(Gemini
), June 15 (Sagittarius), and just last month, on November 25
(Sagittarius).
The next is due on December 10, 2011 (Gemini). All these eclipses will
be
linked to each other in some way - it... 阅读全帖 |
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t***y
发帖数: 182 | 32 source:
http://www.astrologyzone.com/forecasts/monthly/scorpio_full.php
Scorpio Horoscope for March 2012
By Susan Miller
You have come to one of the year's most divine moments, the first third of
March. The planets have planned a little party, and invited are Venus,
Jupiter, Mars, and Pluto. The Sun and new moon, March 8, will be on hand to
meet these dignitaries, and together they will bring a lyrical environment
to use in many ways. This period will likely outshine any you've seen lately
. Tog... 阅读全帖 |
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t***y
发帖数: 182 | 33 source:
http://www.astrologyzone.com/forecasts/monthly/scorpio_full.php
Scorpio Horoscope for March 2012
By Susan Miller
You have come to one of the year's most divine moments, the first third of
March. The planets have planned a little party, and invited are Venus,
Jupiter, Mars, and Pluto. The Sun and new moon, March 8, will be on hand to
meet these dignitaries, and together they will bring a lyrical environment
to use in many ways. This period will likely outshine any you've seen lately
. Tog... 阅读全帖 |
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P******d
发帖数: 4272 | 34 【 以下文字转载自 NewYork 讨论区 】
发信人: PeachRed (红桃子), 信区: NewYork
标 题: 问问版上的大虾
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed May 2 11:54:53 2012, 美东)
我现在有三个data, 分别是2006，2007，2008年的value，我想用这三个来forecast
2009, 2010年的value,用什么forecast method最方便？
我用的是3 period moving average, 这个可以吗？
另外，trend y=x+mb 这个和forecasting data有什么关系？
以前学过的东西都还给老师了=。=。。。现在需要用才傻眼了。
谢谢拉。 |
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y*b
发帖数: 3190 | 35 zz fro NR
Nikon reports “extraordinary loss”, “fundamental company-wide
restructuring”
"Notice of Recognition of Extraordinary Loss
As announced in “Notice of Restructuring” released on November 8, 2016,
Nikon Group is currently under a fundamental company-wide restructuring to
improve its corporate value as shifting from a strategy pursuing revenue
growth to one pursuing profit enhancement.
In accordance with this restructuring, the Group recorded extraordinary loss
of 29,790 million yen, mainl... 阅读全帖 |
|
I*********t
发帖数: 5258 | 36 http://www.upi.com/Business_News/2010/03/05/China-forecasts-1544-billion-deficit/UPI-95551267791232/
BEIJING, March 5 (UPI) -- China has forecast a deficit of $154.4 billion in
this year's budget resulting from more spending to support economic growth.
The deficit forecast was contained in a government work report presented by
Premier Wen Jiabao at the annual session of parliament that opened Friday,
Xinhua reported.
The report said government revenue will fall significantly short of
expenditure... 阅读全帖 |
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z***v
发帖数: 145 | 37 是啊，forecasting 同学的那个头像里面好像有鹅有鸭还有鱼。。。？~~~~
真的是哪壶不开提哪壶啊！。。。：（（
这学谁不好，非得要跟leebrennan (leebrennan) 那样的TX学啊？！！~~：（（
对了，forecasting 同学的那个头像的图，好像也有点儿象M.C. Escher的画风似的？
刚在google上搜了一下，但是没有搜到。。。：（（
forecasting 同学的头像 是一群鹅们？ |
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w********1
发帖数: 3492 | 38 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: wavelets01 (信箱), 信区: Stock
标 题: PCs: Credit Suisse Ups Estimates, Tablets to Take Further Share
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jul 10 10:44:59 2012, 美东)
Tue, 10 Jul 2012 14:41:47
By Tiernan Ray
The Street has mostly been slashing estimates the last several weeks, as you
've no doubt noticed.
But over the transom this morning comes a hopeful missive, from Credit
Suisse's Kulbinder Garcha, who actually raised his PC unit shipment forecast
for this year, to growth of 3% from a prio... 阅读全帖 |
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w****w
发帖数: 521 | 39 select ID,for1 as forecast, now() as timekey
from input
union
select ID,for2 as forecast, now() as timekey
from input
union
select ID,for3 as forecast, now() as timekey
from input
再order一下。 |
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s********e
发帖数: 893 | 40 不是高手，下面这个在Oracle下是可以的。供参考。
select id, forecast, rank() over
(partition by id order by forecast) timekey
from
(
select id, for1 forecast
from input
union select id, for2
from input
union select id, for3
from input
); |
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|
S****h
发帖数: 558 | 42 本人理论物理 Ph.D毕业，拿到一个做 Logistics forecasting 的软件公司offer,
research （optimization, statistics) 兼一些developer （Oracle pl). 我另有一
个一般金融模型+developer (mostly in Java)的 offer, 在一个大公司(非Wall
street)， 两个薪水差不多 （10万＋一点奖金<20%）。个人原来选过一些金融的课，
所以金融方面比较了解，前途很清楚，算是按部就班. Supply chain forecasting不了
解。听他们的介绍，似乎发展潜力很大，公司不大（～200），现在做 comsumer goods
produce的Supply chain forecasting，雄心勃勃的准备进入其他商品门类，公司十年
了，发展挺快。感觉如果从了他们，象赌start-up。请教一下懂行的同学，本人java很
熟， 单纯从编程角度，oracle PL 前景如何？
先谢谢了。 |
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|
s*****8
发帖数: 81 | 44 We have a few immediate permanent Data Scientist positions.If you are
qualified and available, please send an e-mail to [email protected]
/* */ with
an update-to-date word resume.
有意者，请火速联系。
倾尽全力推荐同胞!!!
Thanks
1. Lead Data Scientist
Location: Bay Area
Responsibilities:
Design best structure and select the most appropriate modeling
techniques which include a variety of machine learning algorithms.
Analyze data covering a wide range of information from user profile to
transaction his... 阅读全帖 |
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m********5
发帖数: 619 | 45 对了
xiaotian你怎么看第三个censored data问题
volatility我还可以理解用tobit model来算，如果做dependent variable的话
如果是unsigned forecast error呢
forecast error = abs (analyst forecast - actual reported earnings)
也是bounded by 0
我从来没见人用tobit model, dependent variable or independent variable
should
exclusion |
|
q**j
发帖数: 10612 | 46 请问在用predict()产生预测以后如何才可以（简单的）得到covariance matrix of
the forecasts? 我知道可以得到forecast error的covariance，但是如何估计
parameter estimate带来的的forecast error呢？多谢了。 |
|
G****n
发帖数: 145 | 47 Between trust and control: Developing confidence in partner cooperation in
alliances
[PDF] from cuny.edu…, BS Teng - Academy of management Review, 1998 - JSTOR
Strategic alliances have been recognized as arenas with potential for
opportunistic behavior
by partners. Hence, a firm needs to have an adequate level of confidence in
its partner's
cooperative behavior. In this article we examine the notion of confidence in
partner ...
Cited by 1749 - Related articles - BL Direct - All 9 versions
A reso... 阅读全帖 |
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c**a
发帖数: 54 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 LosAngeles 讨论区 】
发信人: ciba (东方欲晓), 信区: LosAngeles
标 题: Broadcom cuts 2,500 jobs in wind-down of baseband unit
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jul 23 17:23:18 2014, 美东)
How many of them will be local at Irvine?
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/22/us-broadcom-results-i
(Reuters) - Broadcom Corp said on Tuesday it is winding down its money-
losing cellular baseband chip business and cutting one-fifth of its total
workforce, instead of selling the unit.
Chief Executive Scott McGregor told analy... 阅读全帖 |
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l*******G
发帖数: 1191 | 49
Generally, job market for coastal ocean modeling with concentration on
environmental problems are mainly in academic and goverment agencies, so if
you want to go to industry, this is not a very good direction yet.
Ocean forecasting (operational oceanography) and environmental forecast
(ecological forecasting) are becoming the hot spots of science and
engineering pursuits these days. Down scaling of global warming research, i
.e. looking at regional scale effects of global warming/ |
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d*****s
发帖数: 363 | 50 please list who did the correct forecast before????....
Have you heard Haicheng forecast? Every know it--maybe except you.
You also can search --中国地震预测大师翁文波先生.
翁文波对1982年~1992年国内地震预测60次，实际发生52次，错报8次，准确率86．67％
；时间平
均误差41．75天；地点平均误差399．71千米；震级平均误差0．72级。
对1986年~1992年国外地震预测次数70次，实际发生58次，错报12次，准确率82．85％
；时间平
均误差48．35天；地点平均误差692．10千米；震级平均误差0．61级。有的预测精确，
令人惊叹，
如预测
1989年4月26日墨西哥7级地震，实际时间仅提前一天，地点完全准确，实际震级为7．3
级，仅差
0．3级。
And many people have forecast before tangshang and sichuang earthquakes.
Wiki could be |
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