l**t
发帖数: 6971 | 1 要还。平时的国债利息也要按期付给Fed。
但是，Fed的盈利基本上都要上交财政部，所以钱在Fed手里过一下又回财政部了。结果
相当于不用还本，也不用付利息。 |
|
N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 2
Imagine I'm Fed and bought a load of toxic junk from, say, FNM/FRE that
is worth only 40 cents on a dollar. My balance sheet would look ugly if
I count them in. I'd be insolvent if I carry too much of them.
So what should Fed do? BAC analyst thinks Fed is cheating (like what BAC
is doing now): They are trying to put these toxic assets in a separate
group and discount them from their book. That way Fed could keep buying
such toxic junk and yet would never be insolvent on paper. |
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g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 3 I think the key is how to interpret "liability.'
My take is that the word means liability of FED to Treasury Dept. If FED
makes a profit, the profit is supposed to go to Treasury. Under the new
arrangement, FED no longer surrenders the profit, rather, in effect issues
an IOU to Treasury. The fund stays at FED in a 'reserve' or 'account payable
'.The profit accrued can be used to cancel any future losses.
公开
, |
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b***a
发帖数: 6422 | 4 FED说要QE3，然后大涨。。。
FED说要QE3，然后大跌。。。
FED说无QE3，然后大涨。。。
FED说无QE3，然后大跌。。。
我说的大涨，大跌都是指稳定后的，不是说话完那个把小时的波动。
这几种情况哪种说明股市会牛下去？ |
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y***n
发帖数: 6764 | 5 就是因为经济有问题，Fed也无计可施么。
Fed的comment基本上是说没有silver bullet policy可以让经济走上正轨。Fed也暗示
在2013之前经济上是不会有好的消息出现。所以他们会让零利率保持2年。
总的来说，Fed的决定对股市和commodity market没有多少帮助的。 |
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d*********2
发帖数: 48111 | 6 fed的作为， 实际的效果是冷冻封存了巨富的高风险有毒资产， 同时拉高股事指标股
之类的大公司， 使的巨富在这场recession中的损失降到了最低。
这些有毒资产还是实在存在在各大银行， fund的各类assets里面。 等待发酵，
笨蛋下家接手， 政府bailout, 以及美元贬值通货膨胀来devalue.
对于真正的所谓的“第一”优先， fed的举措没有任何效果。 失业率自从recession以
来从未真正降低过。
Fed现在也没有考虑过失业问题， 正如上个月ben所说， 那是政府的责任。
Fed只管在controlled inflation context下尽量增加流通。
ben的行为很可能是美国历史走向的一个分水岭。 一个大的depression并不可怕。
愚蠢的贪婪才是最可怕的。 |
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g8
发帖数: 3784 | 7 Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Tuesday policymakers may need to use monetary policy tools to halt asset bubbles from forming in the future, even though other methods are preferable.
"The possibility that monetary policy could be used directly to support financial stability goals, at least on the margin, should not be ruled out," he said at a conference at the Boston Fed.
Bernanke also said a key lesson learned from the 2008 financial crisis is that central banks must have a dual g... 阅读全帖 |
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k********f
发帖数: 6033 | 8 In addition to keeping the fed funds target unchanged, the Fed kept retained
language that rates will remain exceptionally low through mid-2013 and will
continue to extend the average maturity of its holdings of Treasuries in
Operation Twist. There was one dissenting vote. The Fed sees a stronger
economy in the third quarter. The Fed will be releasing its latest economic
forecast just ahead of the chairman's press conference at 2:15 p.m. ET.
More detail coming. |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 9 Reuters) - The European debt crisis is raising the odds of a U.S. recession,
with economic contraction more likely than not by early 2012, according to
research from the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank.
While it is difficult to gauge the odds precisely, an analysis of leading U.
S. economic indicators suggests a rising chance of a recession through the
end of the year and into early next year, researchers at the regional Fed
bank wrote on Monday. The risk of recession recedes after the second... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 10 NEW YORK (AP) — A quiet day on Wall Street turned into the worst sell-off
in three months after a Federal Reserve official said he doubted the bank's
effort to boost economic growth would work.
Charles Plosser, president of the Fed's Philadelphia branch, told an
audience Tuesday that the Fed's effort to support the economy would likely
fall short of its goals.
The speech probably startled some investors who had faith in the Fed's
latest plan, said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer Harris Priv... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 11 Tapering the rate of the Federal Reserve‘s bond-buying programs as the jobs
market improves should help the Fed ease toward ending its unconventional
policies, the No. 2 official at the central bank said Thursday in a speech
emphasizing the central role communication will play in the Fed’s exit plan.
“In my view, adjusting the pace of asset purchases in response to the
evolution of the outlook for the labor market will provide the public with
the information regarding the [Fed's] intentions and ... 阅读全帖 |
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g***c
发帖数: 11523 | 12 继续涨，没基础，FED受不了，所以每次暴涨，fed就派人出来降温
暴跌，也不行，房市刚起来，股市跌下去，没人买房了，所以每次暴跌，fed就派人出
来加热
尼玛股市跟金银就是fed的玩物
来回折腾 |
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r***l
发帖数: 9084 | 13 我自己理解了。如果真等经济彻底起飞再减少或者退出qe,马上就是通货膨胀，fed就必
须马上加息,经济和股市都是灾难。防止通膨永远是fed的第一任务。 所以如果fed看到
经济有比较明显的复苏迹象就必须要马上减药. 所以有些保守fed member认为现在迹象
已经够明显了，再等风险越来越大. |
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L***6
发帖数: 8307 | 14 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IJeemTQ7Vk
周五爆出的被炒的前Fed纽约银行雇员，放了46小时Fed和高盛的秘密谈话，向公众展示
Fed作为“regulator”和投行狼狈为奸。这个纪录片讲了下美联储历史，提到一开始就
是罗斯柴尔德，洛克菲勒，摩根这些大家族在一个岛上秘密起草“央行”的模板，完全
山寨了最早的央行bank of england，获取了印发纸币并贷款给政府的权力，美国政府
长期负债成为基本国策，可以“刺激经济”。。。
也就是说，现在叶大妈的停止印钱，加息，不是Congress说了算，和华盛顿政客没关系
，只和“操纵”美联储的花街资本家有关系，花街金融巨头想要股市继续牛，就可以操
作Fed推迟加息。
这样理解正确么？ |
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s**t
发帖数: 17016 | 15 fed一定会考虑股市的反应，但这个说不出口。
fed二号人物已经暗示过了，股市要是涨得过猛，就会加码升息，股市要是不行，升息
就会停下来。
fed等于给股市加了一个顶和底，要是fed真能控制住，这个股市就是个振荡市。 |
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f********r
发帖数: 121 | 16 请问; 什么是： Fed’s benchmark interest rate ？
FED 涨利率对短期（1年，2年，5年）和长期利率(20年，30年）的影响 哪个更大些？
“Current market pricing suggests that an interest rate increase at the
March 14-15 policy meeting is all but a done deal, a move that would bring
the Fed’s benchmark interest rate target range to 1.5%-1.75%. This would
make the Fed Funds rate the highest since October 2008.” |
|
发帖数: 1 | 17 美国8月就业报告强劲，非农业就业人口仅增加20.1万人，高于7月修正后的14.7万人，
也高于市场预估的19万人，尤其是平均时薪比去年同期提高2.9%，超出预期，使联准会
（Fed）9月更笃定将升息1码，且12月再升1码的机率也大幅提高。美元汇率及美债殖利
率同步上升。
失业率维持在3.9%，仍接近50多年来的最低水准。
6、7两月就业人数共下修5万人，使3个月平均数为每月增加18.5万人，比7月份明显下
降3.9万人。
平均时薪比7月大幅上升0.4%，比7月的0.3%升幅更高；年升率达2.9%，也比7月的2.7%
提高。生产线及非监督性劳工的平均时薪年升2.8%，也高于7月的2.7%。民间企业平均
每周工时为34.5小时，与7月持平。
低度就业率（U-6，指有意担任全职工作，却只能担任兼职性工作者 ）从7.5%降到7.4%
，显示全职工作者增加。
8月失业人数减少4.6万人，但就业者也减少42.3万人，因而使劳动参与率从62.9%降到
62.7%；就业者／总人口比率也由60.5%下降到60.3%。
就业热络，消费支出强劲，将使Fed于9月升息1码。投资人基于贸易战升高，新兴市场
动盪... 阅读全帖 |
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m*******l
发帖数: 12782 | 19 【 以下文字转载自 JobHunting 讨论区 】
发信人: moneybull (moneybull), 信区: JobHunting
标 题: U.S. charges man with stealing software from NY Fed
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 18 21:23:47 2012, 美东)
发信人: wneat (鲁牛), 信区: Military
标 题: U.S. charges man with stealing software from NY Fed
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 18 19:13:57 2012, 美东)
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Prosecutors charged a computer programmer with stealing
software code valued at nearly $10 million from the Federal Reserve Bank of
New York.
They charged Bo Zhang, who wo... 阅读全帖 |
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b*******e
发帖数: 24532 | 20 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: g8 (♡♡Bush♡♡), 信区: Stock
标 题: FED Raise Fed Discount Rate!!
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Feb 18 16:54:53 2010, 美东)
Federal Reserve to Raise Fed Discount Rate by 0.25 percentage points to 0.75
percent |
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S***e
发帖数: 4426 | 21 发球肯定是决赛差。fed这么多年就很少有这么差的发球。
一发差也就罢了，二发也差。。。
可是semi时候从一开始fed失误就超多。
决赛开始打的还是相当好的。
就是后来，也就跟semi时候差不多。
反正我觉得，fed以semi的状态和表现，还是一样输给决赛表现的delpo。
而且吧，我对joker真是失望透顶啦，整个儿就是被fed打服了的样子。。。 |
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S***e
发帖数: 4426 | 22 都提到风的问题。
fed提了一句，后来说还好。
雷夫特别提到风向，说两个人被破发都是站在某一边儿的时候。
唉。。。今年到目前为止，fed状态不好，球软。
另外发球不行，所以常常被破。
这个是去年一直都有的问题，就温网时候感觉调整的比较好。
前两天看去年ao重播，就觉得只要fed发球有正常水准，4盘就该拿下了。
结果耗到第5盘，心劲儿体力都没了。
貌似fed上次背伤之后，发球就出问题了，一直没怎么缓过来似的。。。 |
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m*******r
发帖数: 481 | 23 我看他打球也很多年了. 俺对运动员心理颇有研究,最佩服的是迈克尔.舒马赫.
Fed是个闷骚. 心理活动多着呢,尤其关键分. 其实Fed破发能力不是很强,跟他能抓的破
发点机会相比.
Fed其实今天打的不错,盘面上很接近.关键分不行,心理问题. 对小德能赢,对豆子就不
行. 所以我说Fed犯了战略错误.他应该让小德进去,成全小德,让小德来阻挡豆子的大满
贯个数步伐,自己坐享Goat,然后在一些场合赢一下小德,多好.
结果,哎, 不会搏翌. |
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r**u
发帖数: 69 | 24
repo is to borrow/lend with collateral. it can be 1 day up to 3 year.
there might be even longer term, but that's not common. also,
repo is common funding method, it's not limited to fed open market.
When Fed lends to market, it uses discount rate.
I believe that Fed takes in only treasury as collateral.
During the subprime liquid crisis, there was some talk that
the fed should take in mortage as collateral, but that's not
happening so far.
buy/sell treasury is the main control method of money |
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r**u
发帖数: 69 | 25 repo with fed is rare, because the rate is usually higher than fed fund
market and it's also frowned upon by fed. so, i really don't know anymore
detail about repo with fed. |
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w*******y
发帖数: 60932 | 26 Ok
I've gone through all the other turbotax deals. Everyone of them including
BoA has gotchas. BoA offers 35% off but only for Fed. State, you pay full
price.
With this link, you get 20% off Fed AND 20% off State. Your net amount is
lower than the BoA, Costco, CapitalOne, Scottrade deals.
Ofcourse, you can only do 1 fed + 1 state with the online vs 3 Fed with the
CD version but since i file one for the both of us, this is enough.
This i think so far is the best Turbotax deal.
Link:
http://turbot... 阅读全帖 |
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s**x
发帖数: 468 | 27 How bad can the market get today? History suggests that the worst of the day
’s declines might actually be over.
Bespoke Investment Group went back and looked at six past trading days with
moves analogous to today’s. All were days following Fed meetings, on which
the S&P fell more than 1% by 10 a.m.
The reasons for the declines varied, but the outcomes were remarkably
similar. In each case, the bulk of the declines were done at 10 a.m., as
investors digested the Fed news and then looked ahead to... 阅读全帖 |
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g**1
发帖数: 10330 | 28 http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-chicago-idUSKBN15907T
Trump says he will 'send in the Feds' if Chicago doesn't end 'carnage'
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Twitter on Tuesday that he would "send
in the Feds" to Chicago if it doesn't "fix the horrible 'carnage' of
violence in the city.
In his inauguration speech on Friday, Trump accused the Washington
establishment of protecting itself but abandoning regular citizens who have
suffered from poverty and crime. "This American carnag... 阅读全帖 |
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m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 29 you have to mention that Obama finally agrees to audit Fed's short term
liquid loan facility from 2008 to the present. I think this may have some
merit.
I do not believe in leting corrupt congress to audit Fed is a good idea. Fed
may be influenced by the big banks. Congress is more corrupt and is
controlled by loads of special interest group. |
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c******i
发帖数: 4091 | 30 当然这两者竞选的时候喊口号会假装有区别。
但在关键性的问题上，audit FED，这两者做为华尔街的傀儡，都是坚决反对查FED的假
账。
这说明，不从audit FED开始解决华尔街的问题而奢谈其它细枝末节，都不过是随着华
尔街的指挥棒起舞。 |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 32 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: beijingren (to thine own self be true), 信区: Military
标 题: 股市狂泻，床铺大骂美联储：“I think the Fed has gone crazy”
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 10 18:28:46 2018, 美东)
WATCH— President Trump: “I think the Fed is making a mistake. They’re so
tight. I think the Fed has gone crazy...”
https://twitter.com/CNBCnow/status/1050138854546698241?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%
7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1050138854546698241&ref_url=https%3A%2F%
2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fnews%2F2018-10-10%2Fpresident-tr... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 33 一张图可以说明一切
一般而言，经济好，就业形势好，防止经济过热，fed会增加利率，经济不好，增长停
滞，就需要用低利率来刺激
奥巴马打了8年的兴奋剂，如果你不相信fed是在帮他，那只能说fed认为他的任下经济
实际上很糟
还有，看看历史的利率水平这不加息行吗？ |
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发帖数: 1 | 34 扯吧，他差太多！Fed也不可以印钱。因为Fed是God？什么都干？
: 股票可能他弄错了，反正mortgage-backed bonds原来不让买的，奥黑任上买了
，所以
: 他想表达的意思没错
: 还有TARP fund,当然，你可以钻牛角尖---这不是FED给的呀！ LOL
: up
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a*********a
发帖数: 3656 | 35 Fed无法进行货币供应量的调控? WTF？
你连TARP和QE都没分清楚就出来喷？TARP一共才700B，第二期的300B还被O8挪去救GM了
。Fed QE的帐本都是以万亿刀记的。
还泥马“是股份，不是股票”？r u listening to ur self? TARP买的是preferred
stocks，我当时就在TARP注资的一个投行上班。preferred stock are not stocks？
white horses are not horses?
你他妈一脑子牛粪，还没有自知之明。
老子05-10就是在投行／银行做asset backed，直接跟Fed, TARP，QE相关。 |
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w*********s
发帖数: 2136 | 36 Fed Planning 15-Fold Increase In US Monetary Base
by Eric deCarbonnel
www.marketskeptics.com， Friday, March 20, 2009
The fed is planning moves that would more than double its balance-sheet
assets by September to $4.5 trillion from $1.9 trillion. Whether expressing
approval or concern over the fed’s intentions, most commentators fail to
understand the real magnitude of the projected expansion of the US monetary
base because they don’t take into account the amount of dollars circulating
abroad.
At |
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f****t
发帖数: 1063 | 37 first, people are buying bonds (for example, chinese gov). so why fed needs
to jump in to buy?
second, do all commercial banks need to put some reserve money into Fed?
(I know if I ask where the fed's money from, the answer would be printing.
Any one can elaborate this more?) |
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O***C
发帖数: 1219 | 38 The interest rate for saving accounts and CDs are too low.
I am consider to buy some high yield fix income ETFs, like TLT/BLV, which
are invest on long term treasury bonds.
Their yield is 4-6% and their value is somewhere stable.
FED can only decide the short term rate, and sooner or later they will
increase this rate.
If the FED increase the rate, what will happen to TLT/BLV?
In the early 1980s, FED increase the rate to ~20%, what is the long term
treasury bonds rate at that time? Much higher t |
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c*********u
发帖数: 361 | 39 利率高于target的话,Fed会通过购买债券等手段提高货币供给（俗称印钞票）。Fed购买
债券导致的直接结果就是银行的cash reserve增加。理论上银行的reserve增加之后，它
就有更多的资金可以借出，lending supply增加。利率会降低直到lending supply = l
ending demand.
利率低于target的话,Fed就通过发行债券等手段降低货币供给，最终导致相反的结果
actual |
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m**********w
发帖数: 4161 | 40 就是说fed随时监控银行间的fed cash reserve loan rate？
fed买什么样的债券才能直接增加银行的cash reserve？
另外这样的动作岂不是要很频繁？哪里能查到log？
购买
，它
l |
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W*****e
发帖数: 7759 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: kayaker (霜晨の月), 信区: Military
标 题: wikileak解开了米疣goldman sucks向FED多次伸手
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Dec 2 07:45:00 2010, 美东)
FED印钱完全失去控制了。
Goldman Sachs, which insisted it would have survived the crisis without government assistance, tapped one special Fed facility 84 times to borrow nearly $600 billion in overnight money. Morgan Stanley tapped the facilities more than 200 times.
朱镕基那中国人民的血汗，换了一堆废纸。 |
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j*********r
发帖数: 406 | 42 太复杂。
一句话，有加息预期就买垃圾债券。其他都不靠谱。
。作为例子， 我们大概看看升息对10年的TREASURIES价格的影响。根据粗略的估算，
FED 每升高1个百分点的利息， 10年的TREASURIES价格大概跌9%。 如果FED 的利息回
到半个世纪的平均水准 6。76%，那么10年TREASURIES 会跌26%左右。
办法，把我认为合理的建议整理了一下， 和大家分享。
济好转以后的事情， 那时CORORATE 的BALANCE SHEET 变强， CREDID SPREAD 会
SHRINK，会在一定程度上 OFFSET FED 的BENCHMARK RATES 的上升，从而维持BOND 价
格的稳定。 |
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s********u
发帖数: 1054 | 43 顶一下。
。作为例子， 我们大概看看升息对10年的TREASURIES价格的影响。根据粗略的估算，
FED 每升高1个百分点的利息， 10年的TREASURIES价格大概跌9%。 如果FED 的利息回
到半个世纪的平均水准 6。76%，那么10年TREASURIES 会跌26%左右。
办法，把我认为合理的建议整理了一下， 和大家分享。
济好转以后的事情， 那时CORORATE 的BALANCE SHEET 变强， CREDID SPREAD 会
SHRINK，会在一定程度上 OFFSET FED 的BENCHMARK RATES 的上升，从而维持BOND 价
格的稳定。 |
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m*******l
发帖数: 12782 | 44 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: wneat (鲁牛), 信区: Military
标 题: U.S. charges man with stealing software from NY Fed
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 18 19:13:57 2012, 美东)
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Prosecutors charged a computer programmer with stealing
software code valued at nearly $10 million from the Federal Reserve Bank of
New York.
They charged Bo Zhang, who worked as a contract programmer at the bank, with
illegally copying software to an external hard drive, according to a
criminal complaint filed in U.S.... 阅读全帖 |
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w***y
发帖数: 6251 | 45 钱汇出来1礼拜还没有到帐， 我们要让父母去银行问问。
国内的银行，汇款之后给什么凭证么？ 美国这边是给一个 Fed reference numbe
不知道国内的给什么呀，如果银行没有主动给，我们去要一个什么东西，相当于这边的
Fed reference numbe呢？ 这边银行说有了 Fed reference numbe他们可以帮忙
track |
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w****l
发帖数: 6122 | 47 人不要脸，天下无敌，哈
美元走低，因Fed暗示利率将继续维持低位
正文 评论 更多外汇市场的文章 » 投稿 打印 转发 MSN推荐 博客引用 发布到
MySpace.cn 字 体纽约汇市周三，美元兑大多数主要货币纷纷走低，因美国联邦储备委
员会(Federal Reserve, 简称Fed)此前暗示，该行并不急于上调利率。
在联邦公开市场委员会(Federal Open Market Committee，简称FOMC)公布其上个月货
币政策会议纪要后，美元兑欧元和其他高收益货币延续前夜跌势。
美元此前涨势一直得益于令人振奋的美国12月份经济数据，这些数据引发投资者预计，
Fed收紧货币政策的时间可能早于此前预期。
纽约汇市周三尾盘，电子交易系统显示，欧元兑1.4409美元，周二尾盘兑1.4370美元。
美元兑92.45日圆，周二尾盘兑91.67日圆。欧元兑133.20日圆，周二尾盘兑131.74日圆
。英镑兑1.6006美元，周二尾盘兑1.5996美元。美元兑1.0281瑞士法郎，周二尾盘兑1.
0336瑞士法郎。
美元指数报77.492点，周二尾盘报77.612点。
Fe |
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g8
发帖数: 3784 | 48 The Federal Reserve said on Thursday it was raising the interest rate it
charges banks for emergency loans, citing improvement in financial market
conditions.
The Fed said the discount rate, the interest rate it charges banks, would be
increased to 0.75 percent from 0.50 percent, effective Friday.
"Like the closure of a number of extraordinary credit programs earlier this
month, these changes are intended as a further normalization of the Federal
Reserve's lending facilities," the Fed said in a |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 49 Source of intra-day surge identified:
=================================================================
The main story making waves this afternoon is the presentation by St. Louis
Fed's James Bullard titled "Seven Faces of The Peril" in which the Fed
president pledges that the Fed should immediately recommence purchasing
Treasurys if the deflation scenario picks up, which he notes is an
increasingly likely probability.
In the paper, Bullard argues that the Federal Open Market Committee’s
extende |
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w*******q
发帖数: 1764 | 50
Deflation主要是wage and asset deflation, Fed关心的是这个，至于你Walmart里面
付的价格Fed根本不care. 那是小
case, 美国的债务太多，如果asset不持续inflate的话，这些债务足以压垮美国，所以
Fed这么怕deflation. 日本是贸易出超
国，而且saving rate很高，它的deflation和美国可能面临的deflation症状和危害都
不一样，日本是工资，asset和价格都
降, 美国如果进了deflation spiral的话有可能是工资，asset降，但是价格涨. |
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