c*****t
发帖数: 10738 | 1 当然总体应该是正相关。但是因果关系是双向的。支持人数多的候选人，拿到的捐款当
然就多。这样的候选人当然容易取胜。
而另一方面，拿到的捐款多，可以放更多广告来拉支持者。但是这里有个diminishing
return的问题，就是说捐款超过一定threshold, 再加钱就没有意义了，因为大多数人
都已经了解候选人的message了。这样的research挺多。 |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 2 永无止境都是因为对最基本的事情理解不同。叔把 Sheldon Kopp's Eschatological
Laundry List，又称永恒的真理放在这，由此为起点，如有不同意者，尽情争论吧。：）
1. This is it!
2. There are no hidden meanings.
3. You can't get there from here, and besides there is no place else to go.
4. We are all already dying, and we will be dead for a long time.
5. Nothing lasts.
6. There is no way of getting all you want.
7. You can't have anything until you let go of it.
8. You only get to keep what you give away.
9. There is no particular reason why you lost out on s... 阅读全帖 |
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S*********4
发帖数: 5125 | 3 我兔gdp超美 白人网站一片鬼哭狼嚎 如丧考妣
It's official – America is now No. 2
Chinese economy overtakes U.S. to become world's largest
Published: 16 hours ago
(Marketwatch) Hang on to your hats, America.
And throw away that big, fat styrofoam finger while you’re about it.
There’s no easy way to say this, so I’ll just say it: We’re no longer No.
1. Today, we’re No. 2. Yes, it’s official. The Chinese economy just
overtook the United States economy to become the largest in the world. For
the first time since Ulysse... 阅读全帖 |
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u***r
发帖数: 4825 | 4 http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/27/us/falling-oil-prices-have-ri
HOUSTON — States dependent on oil and gas revenue are bracing for layoffs,
slashing agency budgets and growing increasingly anxious about the ripple
effect that falling oil prices may have on their local economies.
The concerns are cutting across traditional oil states like Texas, Louisiana
, Oklahoma and Alaska as well as those like North Dakota that are benefiting
from the nation’s latest energy boom.
Here in Houston, which proudl... 阅读全帖 |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 5 http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpsyg.2014.00852
Introduction
Access to highly palatable and calorically rich foods is a major
contributing factor to the increasing rates of obesity worldwide (Caballero,
2007). Eating is essential for survival and is underpinned by the
fundamental physiological need to consume energy. However, our basic
requirements for nutrients and energy to maintain physiological homeostasis
are often exceeded by an abundant source of readily available and conv... 阅读全帖 |
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m********5
发帖数: 17667 | 6 Khat消耗了该国的所有农田，40%的水用于浇灌Khat
Khat is so popular in Yemen, its cultivation consumes much of the country's
agricultural resources. An estimated 40% of the country's water supply goes
towards irrigating it,[14] with production increasing by about 10% to 15%
every year. One "daily bag" of khat requires an estimated 500 litres (130 US
gal) of water to produce.[15] Water consumption is so high, groundwater
levels in the Sanaa basin are diminishing, so government officials have
proposed relocating larg... 阅读全帖 |
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n***c
发帖数: 7400 | 7 推荐各位看一本新书《Our Kids: The American Dream in Crisis》
Robert D. Putnam Simon and Schuster (2015)
美国照目前发展下去，我们的孩子在美国的结局。。。。堪忧啊
A groundbreaking examination of the growing inequality gap from the
bestselling author of Bowling Alone: why fewer Americans today have the
opportunity for upward mobility.
It’s the American dream: get a good education, work hard, buy a house, and
achieve prosperity and success. This is the America we believe in—a nation
of opportunity, constrained only by ability and effort.... 阅读全帖 |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 9 Orioles VP Angelos Makes Profound Statement Following Baltimore Protests
http://washington.cbslocal.com/2015/04/27/orioles-vp-angelos-ma
“Brett, speaking only for myself, I agree with your point that the
principle of peaceful, non-violent protest and the observance of the rule of
law is of utmost importance in any society. MLK, Gandhi, Mandela, and all
great opposition leaders throughout history have always preached this
precept. Further, it is critical that in any democracy investigation must b... 阅读全帖 |
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d*b
发帖数: 4453 | 10 中美经济对话，美国副总统级别的从未出席过。可这次非比寻常的美国副总统亲自去做
了一个令人震撼的讲话。 看了后让人有点胆颤心惊！
很有意思的是，美国副总统讲完话后，美方安排了让中国副总理刘延东演讲，而没有
让本该排在刘延东前面的副总理汪洋演讲。而刘延东讲完话后，美国副总统没有多等
10分钟让其它人包括汪洋演讲完到会议结束，而是直接提前离开会场。
下面是讲话原文其中一小段翻译：
中国， 和其它亚洲国家一样，受益于稳定与繁荣。这里所说的稳定和繁荣，把话说白
了，就是自美国终结了第二次世界大战后的60年这段时间。在以后的几十年，我们将会
继续遵循这样的政策搞下去。 但是，（你们中国）不要不明白： 我们（美国）是太平
洋国家，我们有7,632英里的海岸横恒太平洋。 我们是太平洋国家。 如果影响到美国
的任何利益，我们将会出现在太平洋的任何地方，而且，这将会比我们在世界其它地方
都多。 从现在开始，我们是太平洋强权/power，而且我们将永远确立我们在太平洋的
强权。 做为改变，美国政府已经设定了有组织的重新平衡亚洲太平洋地区的政策性预
警机制，不光包括，而且会扩展所有我们认为可能的需要。
以下是... 阅读全帖 |
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d*b
发帖数: 4453 | 11 Texas attorney general calls court's gay marriage decision 'a lawless ruling'
有个视频，和白宫的架势差不多
http://news.yahoo.com/texas-attorney-general-calls-courts-gay-m
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton said he will defend state officials
refusing to grant same-sex marriage licenses or perform weddings based on
religious beliefs.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defended the religious liberty of state
employees in a statement Sunday, saying they would not have to issue
marriage licenses or perform weddings... 阅读全帖 |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 12 Einstein said the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and
over then expecting a different result. So the morons and sheeples have
been electing reelecting over and over and over again entrenched career
politician turds only interested in preserving their power and feathering
their own personal nests rather than addressing the concerns and looking out
for U.S. Citizen tax paying citizens. On the career politician turds watch
the debt is $19 trillion, America's standing is dimini... 阅读全帖 |
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s******e
发帖数: 1751 | 13 High paying job in the us is diminishing. |
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l****p
发帖数: 27354 | 14 http://foreignpolicy.com/2013/05/30/the-bomb-didnt-beat-japan-s
The Bomb Didn’t Beat Japan… Stalin Did
BY WARD WILSON MAY 30, 2013
U.S. use of nuclear weapons against Japan during World War II has long been
a subject of emotional debate. Initially, few questioned President Truman’
s decision to drop two atomic bombs, on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. But, in 1965
, historian Gar Alperovitz argued that, although the bombs did force an
immediate end to the war, Japan’s leaders had wanted to sur... 阅读全帖 |
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G***W
发帖数: 1967 | 15 Brick and mortar (also bricks and mortar or B&M) in its simplest usage
describes the physical presence of a building(s) or other structure. The
term brick-and-mortar business is often used to refer to a company that
possesses buildings, production facilities, or store for operations.[1] The
name is a metonym derived from the traditional building materials associated
with physical buildings: bricks and mortar. The term was originally used by
Charles Dickens in the book Little Dorrit.[2]
More spec... 阅读全帖 |
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x****u
发帖数: 12955 | 16 "然而“轻香港人身份而重中国人身份”的做法，却只能够
带来相反的效果，造成两种身份不必要的对立，他建议当局调整思维，减少对立，让一
国两制下的香港人身份与中国人身份得以同时建立。"
BS. Government stopping talking about this HK identity is the only method
to diminish the conflict. If you want a HK identity, fine, do it on your
own time through some private, local organization. Chinese Government
should promote only one identity, Chinese identity. |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 17 Who rules America?
https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2013/06/10/pers-j10.html
Congress and both of the major political parties serve as rubber stamps for
the confluence of the military, the intelligence apparatus and Wall Street
that really runs the country. The so-called “Fourth Estate”—the mass
media—functions shamelessly as an arm of this ruling troika.
America is already a fascist, police state with infinite spying, militarized
police, highest incarceration rate in this world, poisoned GMO fo... 阅读全帖 |
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l*********b
发帖数: 1541 | 18 http://warontherocks.com/2016/03/open-letter-on-donald-trump-fr
Mr. Trump’s own statements lead us to conclude that as president, he would
use the authority of his office to act in ways that make America less safe,
and which would diminish our standing in the world. Furthermore, his
expansive view of how presidential power should be wielded against his
detractors poses a distinct threat to civil liberty in the United States.
Therefore, as committed and loyal Republicans, we are unable to support... 阅读全帖 |
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l**t
发帖数: 6971 | 19 头脑清楚，大局观强。虽然我现在是江轮，当年我也没觉得江core有多厉害。事后回味
才看出来江core不容易。
从Atlantic的文章摘抄的
http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-d
Obama看中东外交：
I have come to believe that, in Obama’s mind, August 30, 2013, was his
liberation day, the day he defied not only the foreign-policy establishment
and its cruise-missile playbook, but also the demands of America’s
frustrating, high-maintenance allies in the Middle East—countries, he
complains privately to friends and advisers, that seek to exploit Ame... 阅读全帖 |
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l**t
发帖数: 6971 | 20 头脑清楚，大局观强。虽然我现在是江轮，当年我也没觉得江core有多厉害。事后回味
才看出来江core不容易。
从Atlantic的文章摘抄的
http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-d
Obama看中东外交：
I have come to believe that, in Obama’s mind, August 30, 2013, was his
liberation day, the day he defied not only the foreign-policy establishment
and its cruise-missile playbook, but also the demands of America’s
frustrating, high-maintenance allies in the Middle East—countries, he
complains privately to friends and advisers, that seek to exploit Ame... 阅读全帖 |
|
r*******r
发帖数: 2565 | 21 http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/24/nyregion/prosecutor-wont-seek
The Brooklyn district attorney’s office announced on Wednesday that it
would not seek prison time for the former New York City police officer
convicted last month in the fatal shooting of an unarmed man in a housing
project in East New York.
In a statement, the district attorney, Ken Thompson, said the case was about
“justice and not about revenge,” and recommended that the former officer,
Peter Liang, receive five years of probatio... 阅读全帖 |
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x******g
发帖数: 33885 | 22 华尔街鄙视英国了。
认为她在世界经济中无足轻重。
华尔街认为希望在中国。
Britain doesn’t matter to the global economy, China does
With all due respect, Britain doesn’t really matter that much.
To be sure it’s upsetting to see the UK political establishment—both major
parties—being torn asunder amid a significant turn inward for one of the
world’s great democracies.
But when we’re talking about the future direction of the global economy,
Britain has been playing a diminishing role for decades.
According to the IMF, the UK accounted... 阅读全帖 |
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k**u
发帖数: 10502 | 23 加州车祸官司，包括车损和减值(diminished value)。
保险公司Allstate只肯赔付部分车损，且估价超低，根本不承认减值的主张。司机扮死
鱼不理不睬。
第一场，小额法庭，和对方司机，胜，除了自己收集，证据还有车损专家意见和减值评
估，法庭支持部分减值主张和所有其它主张
第二场，对方上诉至中级法院(superior court)，由Allstate的律师代表司机，还带来
了保险公司的理赔师作证，本人代表自己，结果维持原判。
从车祸到上诉判决，共7个月。
另见http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Automobile/35425585.html |
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D**s
发帖数: 6361 | 24 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: gemini2012 (双子AB), 信区: USANews
标 题: 三得子真贱：给我租架私人飞机，我就背书希拉里
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Jul 25 09:31:56 2016, 美东)
July 25, 2016
Memo shows Bernie Sanders wanted private plane as part of his terms of
surrender to endorse Hillary
By Thomas Lifson
A member of the Bernie Sanders campaign left behind in a Los Angeles hotel a
memorandum titled “End Game,” detailing the terms the team evaluated
demanding of the Democratic National Committee in return for an endorsement
of the Clint... 阅读全帖 |
|
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W*****B
发帖数: 4796 | 26 看到有人说精液可能有治疗痘痘的功效。有人试过吗？是不是经常被颜射皮肤就会很好
？黄片里头演员皮肤都还不错，是不是经常被颜射的原因？
In sperm, a crystalline polyamine compound called Spermine can be found.
This particular compound is also known as an antioxidant. It is believed to
diminish wrinkles, smooth skin and help with taming or preventing acne.
Bioforskning, a Norwegian company, has synthesized the compounds into a
facial cream. |
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w*********r
发帖数: 42116 | 27 我只知道i'm gonna pop some tags.
wind down，简单gradually lose power，diminish the energy
bless someone's heart，可以是好话，也可以是坏话。 |
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m**c
发帖数: 7349 | 28 The study concluded that “being ‘creeped out’ is an evolved adaptive
emotional response to ambiguity about the presence of threat”: in other
words, as Smith wrote on the website Aeon, “a person is creepy if we are
uncertain about whether he or she is someone to fear
It’s the belief that clowns are meant to be harmless that is recent, not
the idea that they are unsettling. “There’s an ambiguity about what kind
of thing they are,” says Livingstone Smith. “If clowns reconfigured
themselves such tha... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****t
发帖数: 10738 | 29 http://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-clinton-and-the-culture-of-deference-1478564579
Trump, Clinton and the Culture of Deference
Shelby Steele
Nov. 7, 2016 7:23 p.m. ET
The current election—regardless of its outcome—reveals something tragic in
the way modern conservatism sits in American life. As an ideology—and
certainly as a political identity—conservatism is less popular than the
very principles and values it stands for. There is a presumption in the
culture that heartlessness and bigotry are so... 阅读全帖 |
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m**c
发帖数: 7349 | 30 Critics in the region warn that any increase in US isolationism or
protectionism, or any grand bargain with Beijing, will make Taiwan and the
South China Sea vulnerable, and diminish American leadership in Asia at a
time when states like the Philippines, Malaysia and Thailand are all
calculating where their strategic interests lie. |
|
发帖数: 1 | 31 12月 谈谈间谍问题
我一直感觉Reuters 有日本的间谍，他们会通过报道来传递针对华人屠杀的计划，和发
布不利于华人的报道，制造舆论。最重要他们后边的势力和犯罪集团有关。有必要好好
调查这个组织。
How top U.S. colleges hooked up with controversial Chinese companies
By Steve Stecklow and Alexandra Harney
Filed Dec. 2, 2016, noon GMT
New Oriental, China’s biggest private educator, has been accused of
academic fraud. Thanks to two enterprising Americans, it has also gained
access to leading U.S. college admissions officers.
SHANGHAI/SHELTER ISLAND, New York - Thomas Benson once ran a small... 阅读全帖 |
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C****2
发帖数: 2904 | 32 Less than a week ago, Carrier was persuaded by President-elect Donald Trump
to keep about 1,000 jobs in Indiana.
United Technologies Corp., Carrier's parent company, said it is raising
prices for its heating, ventilation, and air conditioning equipment by up to
5%, starting January 1. The decision to raise prices was first announced on
November 23, the week before the Trump deal was finalized.
Until last week, the manufacturer had planned to move 2,100 jobs to Mexico
to cut costs. The move would... 阅读全帖 |
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c******r
发帖数: 2306 | 33 "But it is possible to create a society in which everybody is given not
equal rewards, but equal opportunities, and where rewards vary not in
accordance with the ownership of property, but with the worth of a person's
contribution to that society."
"I did not understand what a cosseted life would do to the spirit of
enterprise of a people, diminishing their desire to achieve and succeed. I
believed that wealth came naturally from wheat growing in the fields,
orchards bearing fruit every summer, ... 阅读全帖 |
|
c*******o
发帖数: 8869 | 34 一个办杂志的要把参谋长联席会议主席架空，这是什么鬼？
Another former naval officer, Republican Arizona Sen. John McCain, disputed
that view, calling it a “radical departure” to elevate a political adviser
while diminishing the role of the joint chiefs of staff. “I am worried
about the National Security Council,” he said Sunday on Face the Nation. |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 35 A civil war has broken out within the White House over trade, leading to
what one official called “a fiery meeting” in the Oval Office pitting
economic nationalists close to Donald Trump against pro-trade moderates from
Wall Street.
According to more than half a dozen people inside the White House or
dealing with it, the bitter fight has set a hardline group including senior
adviser Steve Bannon and Trump trade adviser Peter Navarro against a faction
led by Gary Cohn, the former Goldman Sach... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 36 China’s first-quarter economic numbers were mostly good news, with GDP
growth (year-on-year) accelerating modestly to 6.9 percent, up from 6.8
percent in the previous quarter and 6.7 percent for all of 2016.
The GDP growth is based on domestic consumption, rather than investment, as
in the past. The China story of the past few years is that investment growth
has been slowing after a binge in the period following the global financial
crisis.
The result of the investment boom was excess capacity i... 阅读全帖 |
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m***n
发帖数: 12188 | 37 不要说小波了，肝癌去世，挺悲哀的。
这多人扯来扯去，让外星人看了笑话。
every man's death diminish the humankind.
还是说小彤吧。
不过楼主得小心，似乎你已经被封了一次了。 |
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m********5
发帖数: 17667 | 38 哈哈，印度还要继续前进，直捣北京，包子完蛋了
INDIA CANNOT AFFORD TO BACK OFF
印度无法接受撤退
There is much for India as the regional leader in the Doklam standoff. If
India orders withdrawal of troops from Doklam buckling under Chinese
pressure, this will diminish New Delhi's stature in the whole of South Asia.
洞朗对峙中对于作为地区领导的印度来说意义重大，如果印度在中国压力之下撤退，这
将消除新德里在整个南亚的声望。
The smaller neighbours of India will never rely on New Delhi for support
while dominance of China will be paramount. In the immediate effect, Bhutan
will pass on... 阅读全帖 |
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y***k
发帖数: 9459 | 39 我憋绥靖派大棋党智囊说只要让一让，忍一忍，印度就会退兵。墓地安全顾问来华，中
国服软说可以一起撤兵。刚刚又反悔，说不能接受撤兵。
地址 http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/doklam-india-china-ajit-doval/1/1012616.html
省略了对中国政治局势评头论足的废话，把印度阐明自身观点的关键一段翻译了一下，
看看他们是多么的狂妄和自大。
INDIA CANNOT AFFORD TO BACK OFF
印度无法接受撤退
There is much for India as the regional leader in the Doklam standoff. If
India orders withdrawal of troops from Doklam buckling under Chinese
pressure, this will diminish New Delhi's stature in the whole of South Asia.
洞朗对峙中对于作为地区领导的印度来说意义重大，如果印度在中国压力之下撤退，... 阅读全帖 |
|
u***r
发帖数: 4825 | 40 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/08/24/us/affirmative-action.html?hp
&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=photo-spot-
region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news
Even With Affirmative Action, Blacks and Hispanics Are More Underrepresented
at Top Colleges Than 35 Years Ago
By JEREMY ASHKENAS, HAEYOUN PARK and ADAM PEARCE AUG. 24, 2017
Even after decades of affirmative action, black and Hispanic students are
more underrepresented at the nation’s top colleges and u... 阅读全帖 |
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d**********i
发帖数: 524 | 42 We did find a significant association between political conservatism and
rs10952668 (Table 5). This SNP lies in LOC642355, a pseudogene on chromosome
7. Not surprisingly, the SNP also showed an association with the highly
correlated trait of Democrat versus Republican (b=0.260, P<
.02).
An interesting finding was that the SNP associated with political
conservatism, rs10952668, also showed marginal evidence for association with
the personality traits openness (b=0.142, P<.06) and
ag... 阅读全帖 |
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w******z
发帖数: 1872 | 43 川普新政：将限制STEM专业的中国学生签证
CENTRAL TENETS OF TRUMP’S BLUEPRINT
Combating China: The strategy deems China, like Russia, to be a “
revisionist” power, determined to reshape the world according to its own
ideals. “Chinese dominance risks diminishing the sovereignty of many states
” in its region and beyond, it says. The strategy calls for stronger
traditional alliances and new partnerships in Asia amid a “geopolitical
competition between free and repressive visions of world order.” One new
policy propos... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 44 Seven years after earning tenure at the College of Wooster, Judith C.
Amburgey-Peters is still working a "nonstop, crazy schedule on 6,000
different things." But she is not sure whether the 80 hours a week she
spends leading the chemistry department, advising students, and trying to
squeeze in time for research will ultimately qualify her for promotion to
full professor.
"When I asked a few years back who could help me with my five-year
professional plan, the looks I got back were: What planet a... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 45 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: brihand (brihand), 信区: USANews
标 题: 行为艺术：罗德岛因为气候变化告石油公司
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Jul 2 15:41:57 2018, 美东)
Rhode Island’s attorney general sued a dozen oil and natural gas companies
and their affiliates Monday in state court, accusing them of causing climate
change and not sufficiently mitigating its effects.
Attorney General Peter Kilmartin (D) said Rhode Island is uniquely harmed by
global warming, with its more than 400 miles of shoreline, fishing industry
, marine ec... 阅读全帖 |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 46 "No matter how repugnant one might consider the president’s statements in
Helsinki, they do not meet the constitutional definition of 'treason,' which
is very narrow and addresses providing aid to an 'enemy,'" Garber told
Newsweek. "Russia is not technically an enemy because we are not at war with
it. These matters are far too important to allow partisan aims to diminish
serious constitutional analysis." |
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W*****B
发帖数: 4796 | 48 经历全世界的围剿，伊斯兰国战士仍在战斗。首领巴格达迪也仍然活着。发表录音讲话
呼吁木木门继续战斗。
ISIS Releases Purported Audio Recording Of Leader Al-Baghdadi
ISIS has released a new audio recording that purportedly features its
reclusive leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. If confirmed to be his voice, it
would be his first recording to emerge in nearly a year.
The message runs almost an hour long and was released on Wednesday by the
militant group's propaganda outlet, al-Furqan Foundation, according to
The Associated Press. When and where it was... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****e
发帖数: 737 | 49 那么多美国公司集体反对特朗普关税, 就看床铺还能挺多久了
The researchers used computer models developed by the International Monetary
Fund and the ECB itself. They ran a scenario in which the United States
slaps a 10 percent tariff on all imports and all trade partners respond in
kind. That scenario is only hypothetical, they said, but the results were
significant: a 2 percent loss in growth in the first year for the United
States, and a 3 percent drop in global trade. The point of the exercise was
to indicate the general ... 阅读全帖 |
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g*****g
发帖数: 64 | 50 恰恰相反，减税是短期刺激增长长期受赤字拖累影响增长。而且短期的刺激效果也是逐
年diminish。沃顿当年做了模型模拟过Trump的减税方案，目前短期对经济和就业的促
进和观察到的基本一致，当然赤字剧增方面也一致，长期的预测是影响增长。所以你说
的long term促进繁荣的理论比较有意思，不知道有没有模型模拟过支持这个观点？
: 你转发的这几个报道没有一个能否定减税带来的繁荣长远来看会降低赤字，这几
个报道
: 你自己详细读过没有？另外,如果你们还有一点常识就不会否认减少对非移和欺
诈大福
: 利支出会减少赤字
: debt
: national
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