q*****i
发帖数: 85 | 1 1, 希腊DEFAULT的可能是很大的.---转自茶馆
研究了这个国家的历史. 这个国家过去经常DEFAULT. 研究了这个国家现状. 1000多万
人口, 去年报税是只有15000人收入在100000以上. 而事实上, 根据估计, 这国家最多
可达20%的人收入在10W以上.
2, 德国是不大可能bailout的
德国的传统就是NO bailout. 德国的民众非常反对bailout. 就是对自己的公司, 自己
的国家都是如此, 让德国去bailout PIGS, 难度很大.
3, 公司default和国家default
国家default, 不象公司default. 公司default, 有法律法庭, 债主很容易操作. 大不
了, 把你公司大卸八块, 把瓶瓶灌灌都卖了. 而国家, 没什么规则. 俄罗斯前些年
default, 就给债主25分, 了事. 俄罗斯那么多油田, 矿产, 文物, 债主想都别想.
所以, 国家default是很有利的事情. 那么我朋友反问我了, 既然这样, 日本, 英国,
美国为什么不defalut.
我说, 阿根庭债务只占GDP50%不到, 就DEFALUT... 阅读全帖 |
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R***m
发帖数: 24 | 2 I could't get a response from wilmott forum so I decided to give it a try
here. Any idea is appreciated!
I started to look at modeling both default free and defaultable items (rates
, bond, etc.) in the same framework. After reading Schonbucher (2000) "A
Libor Market Model with Default Risk" it appears that if I pick defaultable
bond as the numeraire both default free and defaultable forward rates follow
nice lognormal processes. However once the numeraire defaults under a
certain path will I be... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 3 A purely voluntary restructuring may not be possible.
Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos told a group of labor-union leaders
Wednesday that he expected that a deal on a 50% haircut on Greek government
bonds would be sealed within two weeks. A day earlier, a government
spokesman had warned that without a deal, Greece would be forced out of the
euro and into a hard default. The trouble for Athens is that the prime
minister's statement looks increasingly doubtful, and avoiding default may
no long... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******d
发帖数: 72 | 4 我最近重装了一次系统，然后网络总是2分钟就断。用了control panel->network and
sharing center ->troubleshoot
每次结果都说是the default gateway is not available. 可是没次fixed以后都是两
三分钟又断了。我已经重装了几次wireless adapter driver了。还是没解决这个问题。
我test过用另外一个电脑连同样的wireless network，没有问题。我的iphone wifi也
没问题。
我的ISP 是time warner roadrunner. 系统是windows 7. TCP/IP protocol 是obtain
ip address automatically. IP address DHCP enabled, default gateways 是空白
diagnostics log 如下：
Windows Network Diagnostics Publisher details
Issues found
The default gateway is not a... 阅读全帖 |
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D****G
发帖数: 284 | 5 一个loan default 的data sample, sample size > 50,000, true default rate 2.5%
, 用SAS logistic 里的OUTPUT statement和Prodicted= 得到的Estimated
Probability of Default即使对于真正的Default Event来说都很小(<20%)。而且 Non-
default event的Estimated PD 与default event 的EstimatedPD有差别但很小。算出
来的所有Estimated Probability of Default都小于25%
理想的状态不是应该大部分default event的Estimated Probability of Default都很
高么？
也用over-sampling试过，做过intercept adjustment,结果差不多。 |
|
v**********m
发帖数: 5516 | 6 How to profit from the coming Greek default
By Matthew Lynn
LONDON (MarketWatch) — You don’t exactly need a crystal ball to know what
the biggest event in the financial markets of the next 12 months is going to
be: Greece defaulting on its debts.
This week Standard & Poor’s cut its rating on the country to CCC, the
lowest of any nation in the world. Only last week we learned that Greek
industrial production was down 11% year-on-year. Unemployment has risen 40%
over the past year, and now stands ... 阅读全帖 |
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i*******e
发帖数: 1904 | 7 Link: http://www.examiner.com/international-trade-in-national/merkel-wants-greece-to-default-and-
leave-the-eurozone
Merkel wants Greece to default and leave the Eurozone
Angela Merkel, German Chancellor, wants Greece to default on its loans and
leave the Eurozone according to sources who spoke on condition of anonymity
because the proposal is still being negotiated at the ECB/IMF/EU level for
implementation.
The information obtained about how to push out Greece was confirmed
yesterday by a reli... 阅读全帖 |
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M*********r
发帖数: 50 | 8 In US history, it is not the first time to default its debts. It made
several defaults before the credit agencies were established. It made its
technical default by de-pegging the USD from gold. What is the big deal for
a new default?
The possible scenario is US government will default on defense contractor
payments, state government payments and social security obligations. That
will surely make Obama administration look ugly. Its credit rating will fall over
time, but in the world, there are c... 阅读全帖 |
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k******r
发帖数: 2300 | 9 default constructor 并不是绝对需要，但一般都要。判断一个类是否需要default
constructor 就是你定义类的实例到底能不能有一个default value。 一般是最好有一
个default constructor， 但是如果你发现你定义类的实例不可能在compile time 确
定一个default value， 就不定义default constructor。 |
|
u***r
发帖数: 4825 | 10 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-10/chaori-to-sell-solar-f
Chaori to Sell Solar Farms to Repay Bondholders After Default
Shanghai Chaori Solar Energy Science & Technology Co., the first Chinese
company to default on corporate bonds onshore, plans to sell assets outside
the country to raise cash and repay noteholders.
The manufacturer will seek buyers for solar farms in Greece, Bulgaria, Italy
and the U.S., Vice President Liu Tielong said by phone today. Chinese banks
that had previously agr... 阅读全帖 |
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r***l
发帖数: 9084 | 11 you never say never, default了不要奇怪，本来bond上面明明白白就写着有default
的risk. 利息是债权人的收益，但付出的风险是债务人在揭不开锅的情况下有default
的权利。如果这次真default了，只能说明，美国经过国内各种势力的角力，最后的结
论是“综合考虑各种得失，default最符合美国国家利益". |
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U*******1
发帖数: 1565 | 12 Last time, I was supposed to play a guy in a USATT game. I had a little
injure in my foot. I said that I want to default. He said that if I default
this game, I had to default all the games in the rest of tournament. I did
not like to quite the tournament. I had no choice but played with him.
Is this the rule that if you default for one game, you need to default all
the rest of the games in USATT tournament?
Any idea ? |
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m****5
发帖数: 7 | 13 【 以下文字转载自 shopping 讨论区 】
发信人: mitbb5 (haha), 信区: shopping
标 题: 郑重介绍fatwallet的Default Charity功能
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jan 20 02:24:39 2007)
在您的 My Account 页面上 Settings & Preferences下，最后一项是Default Charity。
点击进入后您可以选择default charity。希望您能选择 Overseas China Education
Foundation 作为您的default charity。这样“Your Charity Bucks will be
automatically donated as soon as they become available.”（您的慈善款项将在
available后立即自动捐助）。
您的Charity Bucks会第一时间源源不断地通过海外中国教育基金会(OCEF)送到山沟沟
里的穷娃娃手里，他们将因为您的善心而获得受基础教育的机会。而您也省去了频繁的
捐款步骤。当 |
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d*******r
发帖数: 301 | 14 If Greece gets default, it is not "maybe"there will be chain reaction, it
will just be another Lehman,relatively small scale, but for Europe mostly.
All these CDS transactions can drag some Europe large banks to nowhere. As
there is no accurate data for these CDS transactions, it will be rumors
flying around, simply put in this way, it could be deja wu of 2008 Sept if
Greece get default
But I doubt Greece will get official default as folks have learned the
lessons from 2008.. I wish it could .. ... 阅读全帖 |
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r*********r
发帖数: 3195 | 15 靠, 说话不用那么损吧, 搞得好像只有你会读似的.
况且, 8.5 区分了 zero-init, default-init, value-init,
这里显然不是 default-init, 而是 value-init 退化为
zero-init, 所以置零.
刚才翻了一下 bs 的书, 发现他用的是另外一个说法.
T() 当 T 是 built-in type 的时候, 只是一个 "constructor notation",
所以 int() 直接被翻译成 static_cast(0),
根本都不涉及 default construct,
只有当 T 是 user defined type 时, 才用到 default construct,
所以也避免了自相矛盾. 这也算是一个说法. |
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t****t
发帖数: 6806 | 16 now you reminded me, i checked N3092, it does seem to be amended
6 To default-initialize an object of type T means:
— if T is a (possibly cv-qualified) class type (Clause 9), the default
constructor for T is called (and the
initialization is ill-formed if T has no accessible default constructor);
— if T is an array type, each element is default-initialized;
— otherwise, no initialization is performed.
However I think this is not in effect yet and if OP wants to discuss the
incoming C++ standard |
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z*******n
发帖数: 1034 | 17 By Jonathan Feist September 19, 2014
Although device encryption has been available as a security measure to
Android users for a while now, Google is stepping up user security in
Android L by turning on device encryption by default.
Niki Christoff is a spokeswoman for Google and has been quoted as saying “
As part of our next Android release, encryption will be enabled by default
out of the box, so you won’t even have to think about turning it on.”
There are many security benefits to encrypting y... 阅读全帖 |
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y*******w
发帖数: 5917 | 18 你这叫因果不分，是穷所以default，不是default导致穷。如果俄罗斯当时不default
，会更惨，反面例孑是中国三年自然灾害，饿肚子还外债，结果饿死三千万， |
|
t*c
发帖数: 8291 | 19 美国国债不会全面default, 而会有针对性的default.
比如国内购买的还继续有效， 而国外购买的default.
谁叫你们这些不听话的国家让美国看着不爽。
你们如果都乖乖听话， 把美元都拿来高价买美国的垃圾，那才行。 |
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u***r
发帖数: 4825 | 20 https://www.ft.com/content/2602d57c-6ad4-11ea-800d-da70cff6e4d3
Corporate borrowing costs soar amid default fears
Interest rates for even highly rated companies double from levels of days
ago
Borrowing costs for companies around the world are rising dramatically
despite central bank interest rate cuts as rating agencies warn that the
economic impact of the coronavirus will lead to a surge of corporate
downgrades and defaults.
Fears about creditworthiness are prompting investors to put their ... 阅读全帖 |
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b****e
发帖数: 460 | 21 银行A有一个债券D要卖给银行B，这些债券D是打包好的次级房贷，因为default的几率
高，所以利率也高，假设利率是15%。所以B虽然拿了，但是心里不放心，于是找到AIG
，说我给你每年6%的利率，你得给我保险这个债券D，如果这个债券D default，你AIG
赔我本金，我把这个债券D送给你。这样B就“锁定”了一个利率9%的“无风险”债券D
，这就是credit-default swap。既然这个是个保险业务，那么我如果是银行B2，B3，
B4...都可以来找AIG作保单。比如眼看这个债券D会黄，于是B2，B3，B4...都来从AIG
买保险，赌债券D会黄，这样如果债券D黄了，B2，B3，B4...和B一样都能从AIG拿钱。
结果债券D真的黄了，于是AIG也黄了，于是所有的B系列都黄了…… |
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s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 22 作者有点逻辑不清，他到底想说 strategic default 是好事还是坏事？
对消费者来说，default 了房子就 free 了 cash flow，然后他们就可以消费了。
这没啥不对的，这跟 go off cliff 没啥关系。strategic default 从消费者的
角度来说是 the best choice，怎么能叫 insane 呢？
当然政府印钞票 bail out banks 是 long term disaster 没错，不过作者的逻辑
不大让人信服。
even |
|
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c******a
发帖数: 158 | 24 Fitch Ratings said on Tuesday that it would regard both a Greece sovereign
debt swap and a rollover of maturities, even a voluntary one, as a default.
Both a sovereign bond exchange and a voluntary rollover would be events
considered as a default, said Andrew Colquhoun, head of Asia-Pacific
sovereign ratings with Fitch at a conference.
A month ago Fitch downgraded Greece's credit rating three notches to "B+"
and warned it could cut the rating further into junk territory. At the time,
the rating... 阅读全帖 |
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v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 25 Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner told CNBC Monday that he is certain that con
gressional leaders will strike a deal to raise the federal debt ceiling prio
r to the Aug. 2 deadline to avoid default.
“Each side has said definitively that default is not an option,” he said,
“They’re not going to play around with this.”
“If the United States of America were to default it would be catastrophic f
or the American economy, for the American financial system, for the average
American people, it would be a ... 阅读全帖 |
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G*******m
发帖数: 16326 | 26 default, OR, no default, there will be no difference |
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t**u
发帖数: 1572 | 27 【 以下文字转载自 pennystock 俱乐部 】
发信人: tuhu (hutu), 信区: pennystock
标 题: 如果DEFAULT, 准备好买什么股票
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jul 27 21:05:06 2011, 美东)
如果DEFAULT, 准备好买什么股票? 当然, DEFAULT的机会很低, < 1/1000 |
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u****n
发帖数: 7521 | 28 How To Profit From A Greek Default
No matter how much money is thrown at it, Greece can’t seem to solve its
problems. The European Commission recently predicted that its deficit would
reach 9.7% of GDP compared to the country’s own 7.6% projection this year.
These revelations led its credit default swaps to hit yet another record
high of nearly 4,000 basis points during the overnight session. So, how can
investors profit from this situation?
Short the Euro, but It’s a Little Risky
The natural re... 阅读全帖 |
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u****n
发帖数: 7521 | 29 S&P Says Greek Default Imminent
by Tyler Durden
Time for the dominos to fall where they may: head of sovereign ratings at S&
P Kraemer spoke on Bloomberg TV, and said the following:
KRAEMER: GREECE, CREDITORS `RUNNING OUT OF TIME' IN DEBT TALKS -BBG
KRAEMER: EURO LEADERS HAVEN'T TACKLED CORE UNDERLYING PROBLEMS -BBG
KRAEMER SAYS EUROPE MUST DEAL WITH IMBALANCES, COMPETITIVENESS -BBG
And the punchline:
KRAEMER SAYS HE BELIEVES GREECE WILL DEFAULT SHORTLY - RTRS
The only thing he d... 阅读全帖 |
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r****x
发帖数: 1250 | 30 应该不是的。规则上(ITTF, not sure about USATT)肯定可以参加另外的组别，例如
U1800 DEFAULT了，可以参加U2000的。当然如果不是伤病而是其他不合适的原因，
REFEREE可以决定把你整个比赛DEFAULT。
default |
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w*s
发帖数: 7227 | 31 ubuntu, no NetworkManager,
anyone knows how to get rid of one of the default gateway ?
thx !
$ route
Kernel IP routing table
Destination Gateway Genmask Flags Metric Ref Use Iface
10.50.180.0 * 255.255.252.0 U 0 0 0 eth0
10.50.180.0 * 255.255.252.0 U 0 0 0 eth1
link-local * 255.255.0.0 U 1000 0 0 eth0
default 10.50.183.254 0.0.0.0 UG 100 0 0 eth1
default 10.50.183.254 0.0.0.0 UG 100 0 0 eth0
my /etc/network/interfaces is simple
$ cat /etc/network/interfaces
auto lo
iface lo inet loopback
auto et... 阅读全帖 |
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c***a
发帖数: 84 | 32 Sigh. My C++ knowledge seems to need some updates. (I only started to
pick it up recently after not using for almost ten years.) Can you point
me to a reference that default initialization of int is no-op?
I check a draft standard here:
http://www.open-std.org/jtc1/sc22/wg21/docs/papers/2005/n1905.pdf
And it says:
To default-initialize an object of type T means:
— if T is a non-POD class type (clause 9), the default constructor for T
is called (and the initialization is ill-formed if T has no ac |
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X****r
发帖数: 3557 | 33 Neither 10 or 20 appears in the vptr at all. The value to
pass to the function is determined at the compile time according
to the static type of the object, not the dynamic type.
8.3.6 Default arguments
10 A virtual function call uses the default arguments in the
declaration of the virtual function determined by the static
type of the pointer or reference denoting the object. An
overriding function in a derived class does not acquire default
arguments from the function it overrides... 阅读全帖 |
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s***r
发帖数: 1121 | 34 【 以下文字转载自 Quant 讨论区 】
发信人: smxzr (smxzr), 信区: Quant
标 题: 问个弱智题: market default risk premium and corporate bond credit spreads
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Mar 2 01:14:04 2011, 美东)
market default risk premium = long term investment bond yield - long term
treasury bond yield
Then what is the relation between this market default risk premium with
corporate bond credit spreads? I thought it is POSITIVE. Am I correct?
thansk. |
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U*****e
发帖数: 2882 | 35 To my understanding, there is either "default risk premium" or "market risk
premium". "market default risk premium" could be a mistake.
Credit spreads are used in practice. It is the difference in yield between
different securities, due to different credit quality. It is the same as
default risk premium if the reference rate is the treasury bond yield.
Otherwise it is different.
spreads |
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p****f
发帖数: 251 | 36 问题应该很常规，就是信用卡公司所能观察到的default都是censored data， 因为那
些打一开始就没发卡的申请人你永远不知道他会不会default。这种情况下，应该怎么
估计default risk？
我的想法是用heckman sample selection correction。但是才意识到以前接触过的
censored data都是针对dependent variable连续的，所以是最普通的linear
regression +selection（probit model），教科书上对于我刚才上面说的那种情况只
字未提。SAS举的例子也全是continous dependent variable+selection的情况。我可
不可以这么写？
proc QLIM data=selectioncorrection;
model binary1= x1 x2/discrete ;
model binary2= x3 x4/discrete select(binary=1);
output out=selectioncrt ; run;
会以包子答谢！ |
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d**********0
发帖数: 222 | 37 查C1的面经，有道经典的计算信用卡的收益问题。其他的概念都比较清楚，就是对这个
default不太明了。搜了下，default就是信用卡用户拖欠未还完balance, 那信用卡公
司就要欠lender的钱了。那么，这个应该算成是信用卡公司的cost.cost了多少，应该
是default rate乘以balance吧，可怎么面经上是乘以信用卡的limits呢？搞财经的筒
子们来答疑下。
另外，算apr的revenue的时候，到底要不要乘12？ |
|
|
w*********s
发帖数: 2136 | 39 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: whiteclouds (/ 参考消息 /), 信区: Stock
标 题: Morgan Stanley defaulted $3.3B office bldg, escaping Tokyo
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Apr 17 01:15:47 2011, 美东)
RT!
... the biggest default of this kind in Japan history.
Many foreign companies are abandoning Japan too.
... it's all over! Sayonara Japan! |
|
z****n
发帖数: 3189 | 40 应该是由北墨国债default引起。
床破上台前口口声声要解决国债问题，实际就是吹牛逼
他有个屁的能耐解决，上台以来一直炒人打嘴炮
长痛不如短痛，直接default了也算是解决办法。
按照床破这个尿性，会这么干很正常。 |
|
w*********s
发帖数: 2136 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: whiteclouds (/ 参考消息 /), 信区: Stock
标 题: Morgan Stanley defaulted $3.3B office bldg, escaping Tokyo
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Apr 17 01:15:47 2011, 美东)
RT!
... the biggest default of this kind in Japan history.
Many foreign companies are abandoning Japan too.
... it's all over! Sayonara Japan! |
|
j******f
发帖数: 768 | 42 今天刚刚装了新版的 SHIP-RUSH, 发现不能把所有的LABEL用FEDEX GROUND打了，只要
是RESIDENTIAL ADDRESS 它会自动改成HOME DELIVERY,不管我已经把GROUND作为
DEFAULT啦。
不知道大家有这样的问题没有，有办法把FEDEX GROUND改成DEFAULT吗? 万分感谢 |
|
h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 43 Credit score is a very stupid way of accessing risks. Buffett explained this
year why Clayton Home's borrowers has only a median of 644 credit score but
their delinquency rate was lower. Sound business practice is not as easy as
just looking up a single score.
But on the other hand, I don't know how many stupid borrowers are defaulting
on their credit cards first before they default on their non-recourse home
loan. Under Bush's new regulation, the banks could come after them even if
they file ba |
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l**********t
发帖数: 5754 | 44 default or chance of default increases -> stock price tanks -> creditors &
shareholders play chicken little -->
if creditors cooperate--> debt refinced/converted to convertibles or
prefered stocks/or chap 11 reorg
if creditors don't--> chap 7 & shareholders value wiped out. |
|
l**********t
发帖数: 5754 | 45 Greece (and Spain, etc)'s debts may default because they are EURO-
denominated, and only EU central bank has the authority to issue EURO. The
only way for Greece to pay back the debt is thru its government revenue (tax
, etc). The situation in Greece is similar to California' state muni-bond.
Since UK is not a member of the EMU, its central bank can freely print money
("quantitative easing") and technically UK will never default on sterling-
denominated sovereigns. The same with US with USD-deno |
|
g********3
发帖数: 1281 | 46 No. Even good companies with cash problems can default, but creditors might
negotiate a new debt term with the borrower to make it a win-win situation.
If firms are liquidated because of default, in some cases, lenders do not
get all their money back (when liquidation value is low), they might prefer
to keep the firm alive and work out a new term with the borrower, like in
the case of GM. |
|
b*****e
发帖数: 1125 | 47 Of course not. Even they don't have cash problem and pay cpn all the time,
as long as they break covenant they are in default. That's so called
technical default. |
|
n*******r
发帖数: 22 | 48 Not quite understand what you mean :)
Default parameter is still considered as part of the function signature,
correct? Thus in this case, B::Func1() actually is "hiding" A::Func1(),
instead of "overriding". So why A::Func1()'s default parameter will be
used? I'm really confused... |
|
e*****e
发帖数: 1275 | 49
In C++03 there are 4:
*
Default constructor: Declared only if no user-defined constructor is
declared. Defined when used
*
Copy constructor - declared only if the user hasn't declared one.
Defined if used
*
Copy-assignment operator same as above
*
Destructor same as above
In C++0x there are two more:
* Move constructor
* Move-assignment operator
放狗查的，我记得也就那前面4个。
我记得有人argue过copy constructor 不算default function. |
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d*****d
发帖数: 46 | 50 the pairs of address-of operators are given by default as default Ctor if
you don't have one. |
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