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全部话题 - 话题: concensus
1 (共1页)
y*****l
发帖数: 5997
1
来自主题: _pennystock版 - 10/10-10/16 ER
Sunday - October 10, 2010
Symbol Company Estimate Range Actual Surprise
AMAP AutoNavi Holdings Ltd
$0.07$0.09
-- --
CRI Carter's Inc
$0.72$0.76
-- --
TRIB Trinity Biotech PLC
$0.11$0.14
-- --
Estimate Range Concensus Estimate
AnnualQuarterly
Monday - October 11, 2010
Symbol Company Estimate Range Actual Surprise
CHSP Chesapeake Lodging Trust
$0.12$0.15
-- --
CGX Consolidated Graphics Inc
$0.59$0.59
-- --
ENZ... 阅读全帖
b********n
发帖数: 38600
2
来自主题: Military版 - 玩真的了, 准备打仗吧
The war against King Dollar is on!
Washington DC's arrogance and belief in it's exceptionalism has been too
smart by half. You can only go around kicking other nations in the balls for
so long before they begin to kick back. Worse than that, they begin to gang
up together and kick back. Instead of working with nations on fair trade
and fair fiscal order, Washington DC is intent on Corporate Imperialism and
Fiscal Fascism on a grand scale. DOllar Hegemony is used as the ultimate way
of earning we... 阅读全帖
j***b
发帖数: 5901
3
来自主题: Movie版 - Michael Moore "go see Avatar"
Go see Avatar - a brilliant movie 4 our times. Don't worry if theater doesn'
t have 3D - the 2D is awesome & it's all about the story anyway!
3:39 PM Dec 20th, 2009 from web
MMFlint
Michael Moore
http://twitter.com/MMFlint/status/6874978583
And some people say it's concensus that Avatar doesn't have a story. What
kind of concensus is that?
e****e
发帖数: 975
4
来自主题: History版 - why 和 how(合集了另开个贴)
或者说一个是在强调do the right thing
一个在强调do the thing right
这么讨论下去越说越远,没什么concensus
b********n
发帖数: 38600
5
来自主题: Military版 - 玩真的了, 准备打仗吧
但是要注意:
American reaction will be swift, and likely
involve more Proxy Wars, Trade Wars, Sanctions, threats, military build ups,
spying for trade secrets, financial warfare and lastly CIA assassinations
of foreign leaders who refuse to comply with the Washington DC concensus.
s********e
发帖数: 2783
6
英国《金融时报》1月5日专栏文章,作者 拉赫曼
市场、民主和美国霸权!
据说后冷战秩序是靠这三驾马车支撑的。对此,时评人拉赫曼曾坚定地相信这一点,可
如今他却有点犹豫了。他在5日为英国《金融时报》撰写的文章中,颇为哀怨地喟叹道
:“西方已经丧失理论自信了。”其中最为突出的表现就是,人们对“市场、民主和美
国霸权”这三驾马车的信念发生动摇了。
不过在拉赫曼言之凿凿地替“西方”立言的时候,有个问题必须首先追问:西方到底是
谁?
“丧失理论自信的到底是山姆大叔,还是整个西方?认为欧洲和美国完全是一回事,实
在是过于幼稚和简单化了。不要再把欧洲归于‘山姆大叔’的标签下了!认识到‘美国
’和‘西方’不完全是一回事,这很重要。”
正如网友@compayee在上述留言中所暗示的那样,在拉赫曼煞有介事地谈论“西方”的
时候,他的心里实际装的却是“美国”。
在拉赫曼的前半生里,“国际政治是通过冷战而得到定义的”。拉赫曼生于1963年,柏
林墙倒塌的那一年,他26岁;在他青葱年少的岁月里,见证了一个时代的结束。如今年
过半百的拉赫曼却觉得自己要再度“目睹另一个时代的结束了”。
“民主、市场体制”真正终结了... 阅读全帖
w*********g
发帖数: 30882
7
英媒叹理论自信已失 网友:怎能轻言放弃
发表时间:2015-01-06 20:51:32
字号:A-AA+
关键字: 西方西方知识分子西方国家西方文化西方制度西方民主理论自信FT金融时报西
方的理论自信
市场、民主和美国霸权!
据说后冷战秩序是靠这三驾马车支撑的。对此,时评人拉赫曼曾坚定地相信这一点,可
如今他却有点犹豫了。他在5日为英国《金融时报》撰写的文章中,颇为哀怨地喟叹道
:“西方已经丧失理论自信了。”其中最为突出的表现就是,人们对“市场、民主和美
国霸权”这三驾马车的信念发生动摇了。
不过在拉赫曼言之凿凿地替“西方”立言的时候,有个问题必须首先追问:西方到底是
谁?
“丧失理论自信的到底是山姆大叔,还是整个西方?认为欧洲和美国完全是一回事,实
在是过于幼稚和简单化了。不要再把欧洲归于‘山姆大叔’的标签下了!认识到‘美国
’和‘西方’不完全是一回事,这很重要。”
正如网友@compayee在上述留言中所暗示的那样,在拉赫曼煞有介事地谈论“西方”的
时候,他的心里实际装的却是“美国”。
在拉赫曼的前半生里,“国际政治是通过冷战而得到定义的”。拉赫曼生于1963年,柏
林墙倒... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
8
来自主题: Military版 - 回bdwm的论坛上看了一下
你脸p2p的网都组不起
理论上小于三台你连concensus协议都搞不起来
e**p
发帖数: 4259
9
我同意你说的,没有任何东西是绝对正确的,过了很多年,说不定正确的东西都会是个
错误,所以我很坦然,但不想纠缠于这样没有concensus的争论
就目前来讲,我一遍又一遍做了推导,没有错,而且两个方法做出来的结果是一样的,
要错,也是两个方法都错
我举了senior author的例子,只是佐证一下,但不是唯一的根据
f****t
发帖数: 1063
10
来自主题: Investment版 - All cash了,胆子小,没法子啊
发信人: starwood (四大伍德), 信区: Investment
标 题: Gold
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu May 7 23:40:03 2009), 转信
someone said that IMF was about to get concensus to sell huge amount
of gold. it's price might go to 700. anyone know about the rumor?
s******d
发帖数: 323
11
来自主题: Investment版 - Gold
someone said that IMF was about to get concensus to sell huge amount
of gold. it's price might go to 700. anyone know about the rumor?
d***f
发帖数: 155
12
来自主题: Investment版 - 看了初涉股海系列
Agree. Invest based on macro economic trend and industry trend is a good way
to go. Detailed analysis on individual company financials are helpful, but
I believe all info in it has been priced in already. We are investing based
on our beliefs in the trend, which could be different from the market
concensus.
p********r
发帖数: 1980
13
来自主题: Investment版 - 准备买房,15 year vs. 30 year
You are too optimistic for "Chinese people". Although most don't use the
money for consumption, they are more likely than a normal person to:
a. Put into a negative real-return saving account.
b. Gamble into the stock market or any other "investment" vehicle.
At the end of the day, paying off loan gives you a guaranteed rate of return
at 4-5% (before tax, since mortgage interest has tax advantage which varies
by individual). You shouldn't be so sure that you can definitely beat it.
According to ... 阅读全帖
u****e
发帖数: 99
14
来自主题: Investment版 - 关于mutual fund
On attitude and danger of market:
Attitude is important. I study and learn. I've met some smart, and I think
really smart, people, who gave the advice of using index fund. They tried to
beat market, they won, they eventually lost. The more I read. The more I am
convinced I am among the majority group that will not beat the market. You
can call me coward, I call that knowing oneself.
I pay due diligence on things I do not understand and want to understand.
Somebody recommends index annuity with... 阅读全帖
c**********e
发帖数: 1184
15
来自主题: Living版 - 今天房贷利率会变好!
美国劳工部今天发布的8月份就业报告低于预期(169K actual vs. 173K concensus)
,同时6、7月的新增就业岗位数也被大幅下调。这对房贷利率而言是好消息。目前房贷
二级市场的债券价格上涨(相应的债券回报率也就是利率会下降),这对当前正在买房
的网友来说应是一个锁定利率的好机会。
f******I
发帖数: 769
16
来自主题: Medicine版 - 关于fibromyalgia

rhumatologist
fibromyalgia is a waste basket diagnosis, i'd rather not to take meds if i
don't have to, especially for something like fibromyalgia, most concensus we
have is that it's something that is not real excpet for whinny people that
really has nothing wrong with them and keep coming back with multiple
complains, kind of like those mysterious chronic pelvic pain patients,
f******I
发帖数: 769
17
来自主题: Medicine版 - 巨细胞病毒感染求救

ganciclovir, but it's a very toxic drug, most of the congenital/perinatal
cmv infection is asymptomatic, but when they do have symptoms, could be very
bad, cmv inclusion disease is difficult to treat and i'm not sure if there
is concensus that it should be treated, if the patient showed signs of liver
damage then he might also have thrombocytopenia which preclude him from
receiving ganciclovir,
A**********0
发帖数: 6942
18
来自主题: Money版 - cash back最强大组合
谷歌了一把,果然,佩服佩服,哈哈。
The concensus is that Chase now cancels at $.99, previously $1.99.
博士太牛了。
z****l
发帖数: 5282
19
来自主题: Money版 - [合集] cash back最强大组合
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
newgumin (新股民) 于 (Sat Oct 16 19:21:22 2010, 美东) 提到:
我能想到的,Chase Reward Plus 5%的油菜药和Schwab 2%的everthing。这个最强了吧
?用着也省事。
或者再加个Amex Blue Cash,在Costco用,还有买大件电器延质保。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
zengdl (方鸿渐博士) 于 (Sat Oct 16 21:06:41 2010, 美东) 提到:
见笑了
Driver's Edge 3% potential 6% 油菜药
Schwab, Fidelity, BOA, Orchard 2% on everything
Discover 5% if available
Citi Forward 5% at Amazon, Restaurant
at Costco, Fidelity + Executive: 4%
Not using Chas... 阅读全帖
B******1
发帖数: 9094
20
I polled at PKU and THU forums. They all say that the policy is fair. I don
't agree with the concensus.
l*****s
发帖数: 623
21
您这句英语好像有点歧义 :)

don't agree with the concensus.
c**i
发帖数: 6973
22
You should not worry. There are debates going on about what will happen to
those new, vacant houses in China.
Housing prices in China will not go down in the near future, however. That
seems to be the concensus among Western and Japanese experts (in part
because foreigners, from Taiwanese to Westerners to Japanese are buying them
s******p
发帖数: 38
23
来自主题: Stock版 - Apple ER之我析
DCF? Residual? P/E Multiple? Analyst's Concensus?
Tech support needed
b*****2
发帖数: 651
24
来自主题: Stock版 - Jan. unemployment rate 9.7%
Good numbers compared with concensus.
Released on 2/5/2010 8:30:00 AM For Jan, 2010
Prior Consensus Consensus Range Actual
Nonfarm Payrolls - M/M change -85,000 0 -40,000 to 75,000 -
20,000
Unemployment Rate - Level 10.0 % 10.1 % 9.9 % to 10.2 % 9.7 %
c*******d
发帖数: 1763
25
来自主题: Stock版 - INTC hit another 52 weeks low
INTC acquired some other mobile chip company several years ago with high
premium but for some reason it didn't run well and was sold as a huge mark
down in maybe 2007?? So concensus is cautious about how well INTC can run
Infineon this time. And if it doesn't go well again, ARMH will take the
market share.
b******r
发帖数: 16603
26
我们不懂不要紧,墙街大牛们不懂杀伤力就大了。
non-gaap gaap也不复杂,你google下就知道了。
有些SB分析师总是拿gaap loss (这次 TSLA 54c)去跟 non-gaap concensus estimate
( TSLA 50c)去比,得出miss的结论,还在第一时间发出耸人听闻的标题。其实人家明
明是47c non-gaap loss。
i**********0
发帖数: 73
27
来自主题: Stock版 - bidu 47c, beat 44c concensus
guidance beat, too
P******5
发帖数: 4868
28
来自主题: Stock版 - bidu 47c, beat 44c concensus

that's the key
v****e
发帖数: 19471
29
来自主题: Stock版 - bidu 47c, beat 44c concensus
小李子牛逼阿
w*****u
发帖数: 4768
30
来自主题: Stock版 - NIKE beats hard
是不是花街的concensus 值比较低啊,没觉得Nike有卖那么好啊
b******r
发帖数: 16603
31
来自主题: Stock版 - YY, SPRD what happened??
non-GAAP 0.58 does it beat concensus 0.45 according to yahoo data?
Anyway maybe yahoo data is not accurate. I am not closely tracking SPRD.
c****w
发帖数: 2830
32
来自主题: Stock版 - 明天大幅走高的话
明天有gdp数据。concensus已经下调过一次了,这种情况下还能不能miss很难讲。
mm一高兴就是高开。
L***6
发帖数: 8307
33
再次印证股版的concensus就是个反指。。。 前阵子多少人说要去150的
说不定花街已经开始用买买提股版的数据做投资指导了,编入算法中,赚翻了他娘的
S**********3
发帖数: 188
34
来自主题: Stock版 - 气又开始跌了
上爆了,这首concensus injection 94bcf, 实际可能更低…
应该能见3了
S**********3
发帖数: 188
35
来自主题: Stock版 - 入了一点[email protected]
明天concensus 94bcf, 比上周少了将近20,实际可能比这个更低.
真想不出啥不长的理由了...
f*****d
发帖数: 2285
36
来自主题: Stock版 - bidu 爆了
concensus 1.2
actual 1.43
f********s
发帖数: 658
37
目前的统计数据显示,GDP预计的增长率就是2.5%左右,这就不难理解为什么10年期国
债利率升到2.5%左右了。再升,就要修改GDP增长率的concensus
GDP Growth Rate in the United States averaged 3.23 percent from 1947 until
2016, reaching an all time high of 16.90 percent in the first quarter of
1950 and a record low of -10.00 percent in the first quarter of 1958.
r********k
发帖数: 7
38
I just added SEVENTEEN POINT AGREEMENT into history of TIBET page. which is
the basis that is recognized by every country of the world that Tibet is
part of China.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Tibet#SEVENTEEN_POINT_AGREEMENT
Please note that articles at WIKIPEDIA is based on concensus basis. I hope
more Chinese brothers and sisters can help to make it our cencensus.

post
c**i
发帖数: 6973
39
来自主题: Taiwan版 - 李远贼又出来了
I disagree with you (1) about only professionals can do things right and (2)
about governing by concensus. Honeset people may have different opinions. I
recognize it but upon returning to Taiwan, I will start a revolution to
convince people there abot ideas I learn from Americans.
(1) Mayor Michael Bloomberg of New York City was born and raised a few miles
from City of Boston. In November, 2001, he was elected the mayor. Half a
year later he appointed a lawyer to head Education Department of the
o**********e
发帖数: 18403
40
LA needs to order some. The whole thread is here
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/SanFrancisco/34061979.html
It deals with whether to put the words "Chinese" front and center on the T-
shirts. SF orders have a vaguer version of "Asian" instead of Chinese.
But it seems we are more or less coming to concensus that "Chinese" needs to
be front and center. Also the kind of use we are going to put the t-
shirts, is to give them to Jimmy Kimmel to wear for 60 days on TV, to
demonstrate his sinceri... 阅读全帖
m****s
发帖数: 8992
41
there need not to be concensus.
believe what you believe :)
o**********e
发帖数: 18403
42
【 以下文字转载自 LosAngeles 讨论区 】
发信人: onetiemyshoe (onetiemyshoe), 信区: LosAngeles
标 题: Re: *********119游行主题T恤两款设计****** (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Nov 5 22:39:10 2013, 美东)
LA needs to order some. The whole thread is here
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/SanFrancisco/34061979.html
It deals with whether to put the words "Chinese" front and center on the T-
shirts. SF orders have a vaguer version of "Asian" instead of Chinese.
But it seems we are more or less coming to concensus that "Chinese" needs to... 阅读全帖
y****t
发帖数: 10233
43
来自主题: SanFrancisco版 - 所谓为了孩子反同性恋
for the born gay part,
no scientists concensus, no one knows for sure, no solid proof, dominent
proof whatsoever.
z****0
发帖数: 3942
44
这是Beida101在为人父母版的回答。
发信人: Beida101 (北大学子), 信区: Parenting
标 题: Re: 在国内有人争取外地考生和北京上海同样待遇的么?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Jun 11 01:09:42 2012, 美东)
I polled at PKU and THU forums. They all say that the policy is fair. I don
't agree with the concensus.
f*******n
发帖数: 5241
45
http://www.wannabebig.com/forums/showthread.php?122338-Ice-Afte
At one time icing after workout was believed to enhance recovery. Now there'
s some question if it helps or not. "After Exercise - Does an Ice Water Bath
Speed Recovery?" http://sportsmedicine.about.com/od/s...a/Ice-Bath.htm
The concensus is that icing isn't harmful and it might help.
Another alternative that appears to be more effective than icing is Active
Recovery. The article above mentioned it, as does "Active Recovery—A Three
... 阅读全帖
b**j
发帖数: 20742
46
来自主题: NCAA版 - 给大家贴个很长的故事
完全SEC homer自己YY出来的。the expansion stopped here because ESPN doesn't
want to see Pac-16 network, and basically paid off Texas/aTm/OU to stay.
Texas更加strengthen他们在大十二的老大地位,钱越发多,还可以搞texas network,
自然就留下来了。本来去哪里就是个bluff...
anyway, the concensus biggest winner of this whole thing is Texas. i think
this everyone can agree on
c*******r
发帖数: 13580
47
来自主题: Outdoors版 - rei reward came
1. Cinch is a bit lighter. It's a pro, true.
2. Cinch takes a wider range of rope diameter. It's insignificant for me. I
do not use thin rope when I use a grigri/cinch.
3. grigri has a longer lever. it's much more smooth when you rap on single
strand, especially with the pig (haul bag)
4. Cinch is harder to use, it's very easy to screw up. Lots of people
complain about it.
I have read tons of reviews on supertopo, and the above 4 issues are
basically the concensus. Majority wall climbers use Gri
c*******r
发帖数: 13580
48
来自主题: Outdoors版 - Banff Film Festival 归来,问个问题

t
Yes, that's my understanding of free ascent of a single pitch route. only
leading counts, following doesn't. I don't know if that's the concensus. Nor
do I care. it's just for the sake of argument.
c*******r
发帖数: 13580
49
来自主题: Outdoors版 - 攀岩是不是容易伤肩膀
定级本来就是主观的,所以要concensus啊,sample太小就没有意义。如果非要有个定
级系统,就不可避免的要比较apples & oragnes。所以chris sharma主张的要淡化定级
系统也不是没有道理,特别是他那个level的,能爬的人太少。
说到受伤,我前两天也刚把肘子拉伤了,第二天开车打方向盘都疼,第三天好些,爬了
一些简单的线似乎没问题,后来爬了几条稍微难一点的。今天第四天,好像还是没全好
,爬一条10+的时候有感觉。一般几天就好的伤我也懒的看医生。要是一个礼拜还没有
好转我就去看。医生其实也是一人一个说法,不全靠谱。当然,网上蒙古大夫的说法就
更不靠谱。


big
b*****t
发帖数: 758
50
来自主题: Tennis版 - recreational male player's NTRP rating
I wasn't really asking a question (that I don't know the answer). I was
trying to see if there is a concensus about the strength of recreational
players. I wanted to see if my answer matches others. I came to think of
this because I over-estimated two times, one on myself.

some
any
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