u****d
发帖数: 23938 | 1 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
caoy (caoy) 于 (Thu May 26 11:20:06 2011, 美东) 提到:
这个策略是我翻译网上的: (未名发帖也太烂了, 总是断行)
比如你50块买的股票, 现在跌到40了,你最好的挽救这艘沉船的方法
就是用ratio call spread策略. 这个策略适合你的损失从-10%到-50%不等.
如果下面股票开始涨了, 你能迅速回本, 但是继续跌的话, 就跟你原来持有一样.
也即买1个at the money, 40块的call, 同时卖2个45块的call(这个strike 45的
选择,一般是40加上你损失的一半(也即50-40=10的一半,5),
使得买/卖call的成本基本互相抵消.
之所以叫ratio call spread, 是因为买1份call, 卖2份call, 比例ratio是1:2,
叫spread,是因为有同时有买和卖.
一般从2个月到期的call开始选, 使得买卖call的成本相抵消,
最长到1年. 因为时间太短的话, 没法使买卖call的成本相互... 阅读全帖 |
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B**********r
发帖数: 7517 | 2 Why is this nonsense post marked?
A bull market can have different forms. The commodity bull market since
august 2010 was not a healthy bull market. The true bull market sees strong
$, strong financials, and gold like shit. We just started a slow, rational,
and healthy bull market.
I am bull inside. You bear try to distort a bull market.
也跌，唯有美股大涨。这里头包含丰富的信息。假设这是一个新的牛市的开始的话，那
可以比较一下去年8月以后QE2带来的牛市。当时美股和commodities都大涨，原因是FED
给市场送来了新的liquidity。而现在的状况是commodities和美股走反指，说明钱在从
commodities暂时流入了美股。
移出来... 阅读全帖 |
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R***a
发帖数: 2605 | 3 想赚钱效率高的可以看看。后面的几个不是3倍。数据是从今天的yahoo上得到的。如有
错误请指出。肯定有漏掉的，请补充。周末愉快！
TNA Small Cap Bull 3x $87.57 Avg Vol (
3m): 8,600,560
TZA Small Cap Bear 3x $35.21 Avg Vol (
3m): 11,462,700
FAS Financial Bull 3x $30.62 Avg
Vol (3m): 24,414,300
FAZ Financial Bear 3x $39.49 Avg Vol
(3m): 8,930,040
ERX Energy Bull 3x $89.93 ... 阅读全帖 |
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s3
发帖数: 2270 | 5 不管rose内心究竟如何想的，他还是给lbj发了短信说他没有不愿意跟他一块打球的
当然如果lbj真来了公牛的话rose估计没有现在这么风光了
Updated: March 3, 2011, 4:42 PM ET
Derrick Rose reveals pitch to LeBron
ESPNChicago.com
Amid all the hoopla surrounding teams' recruiting pitches to the most
heralded free agent class in NBA history this summer, the Chicago Bulls'
Derrick Rose took a low-key approach in his wooing of LeBron James.
ESPNChicago.com Bulls blog
Bulls blog The latest news from Bulls reporter Nick Friedell. Blog
Rose sent James a text. First report... 阅读全帖 |
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w*********p
发帖数: 3305 | 6 那年打的boston精进人亡，第二轮又和奥兰多大战7场回家钓鱼
Chicago Bulls 105, Boston Celtics 103 (OT)
Chicago Bulls 115, Boston Celtics 118
Boston Celtics 107, Chicago Bulls 86
Boston Celtics 118, Chicago Bulls 121 (2OT)
Chicago Bulls 104, Boston Celtics 106 (OT)
Boston Celtics 127, Chicago Bulls 128 (3OT)
Chicago Bulls 99, Boston Celtics 109 |
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l********a
发帖数: 1654 | 7 Water Body Report
NORTH SABINE Trout are fair to good under birds and pods of shad on soft
plastics. Redfish and flounder are good in the marsh on shrimp. Flounder are
good on shrimp, shad and Gulps at the mouths of bayous.
SOUTH SABINE Trout are fair to good under birds and pods of shad. Redfish
are good at the jetty on live bait and cracked crabs. Flounder are good on
Gulps around marsh drains.
BOLIVAR Trout, black drum, sand trout and redfish are good at Rollover Pass
. Trout are fair to g... 阅读全帖 |
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l********a
发帖数: 1654 | 8 Water Body Report
NORTH SABINE Trout are fair to good under birds and pods of shad on soft
plastics. Redfish and flounder are good in the marsh on shrimp. Flounder are
good on shrimp, shad and Gulps at the mouths of bayous.
SOUTH SABINE Trout are fair to good under birds and pods of shad. Redfish
are good at the jetty on live bait and cracked crabs. Flounder are good on
Gulps around marsh drains.
BOLIVAR Trout, black drum, sand trout and redfish are good at Rollover Pass
. Trout are fair to g... 阅读全帖 |
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H********g
发帖数: 43926 | 9 各种牛
母牛 Cow: a mature female bovine that has given birth to at least one or two
calves. Colloquially, the term "cow" is also in reference to the Bos
primegenius species of domestic cattle, regardless of age, gender, breed or
type. However for most people who work with or raise cattle, this term is
not used in the same reference as previously noted.
Bull: a mature, intact (testicles present and not removed) male bovine used
for breeding purposes.
幼年入宫阉公牛（肉用) Steer: a male bovine (or bull) that has... 阅读全帖 |
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t*****u
发帖数: 8966 | 10 10个breed里我喜欢6个……
不知道给狗加上“dangerous”的tag会造成多大的影响？
在哈尔滨，我知道，GR也是危险的……
狗狗们，小心，人类最危险！！！
Dangerous Dog Breeds
Any dog can be dangerous in the right situation. Even otherwise apparently-
tame dogs will defend themselves if provoked. However, based on objective
data, there appear to be certain breeds that are more dangerous than others.
The United States Center for Disease Control and Prevention ("CDC") gathered
data about dog attack fatalities occurring in the United States over an
eighteen-year perio... 阅读全帖 |
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i******r
发帖数: 861 | 11 REE有新消息。
大牛帮忙分析一下。
http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/February2011/07/c855
VANCOUVER, Feb. 7 /CNW/ - Rare Element Resources Ltd. (TSX-V: RES and AMEX:
REE) is pleased to announce rare earth element (REE) assay results from an
additional sixteen drill holes completed during its 2010 core drilling
program at the Company's 100% owned Bear Lodge property, located in
northeastern Wyoming, USA (Figure 1). Select REE assay intervals are also
reported from two reverse circulation (RC) drill hole... 阅读全帖 |
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i******r
发帖数: 861 | 12 REE有新消息。
大牛帮忙分析一下。
http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/February2011/07/c855
VANCOUVER, Feb. 7 /CNW/ - Rare Element Resources Ltd. (TSX-V: RES and AMEX:
REE) is pleased to announce rare earth element (REE) assay results from an
additional sixteen drill holes completed during its 2010 core drilling
program at the Company's 100% owned Bear Lodge property, located in
northeastern Wyoming, USA (Figure 1). Select REE assay intervals are also
reported from two reverse circulation (RC) drill hole... 阅读全帖 |
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r***o
发帖数: 127 | 13 其实对于明星球员的评价都是根据个人的喜好，我个人就觉得kg>duncan,nocioni>gino,j
osh smith>j.richardson.虽然很多人可能我和完全相反。
我其实很不喜欢讨论grizzlies,nuggets,pistons,wizards,pacers,magic这种球星云集的
球队，但是bulls和它们不一样，bulls是属于牛人特别牛，弱人特别弱的那种队。所以需
要特别关注一下
阵容完整的bulls实力在联盟首屈一指不容置疑，即使是artest,tinsley,bender,harriso
n全部复出的pacers也不比
之强大多少。但是现在的bulls实在不算一支超级强队。
今年的bulls主要是big
three:curry,chandler,hinrich,和四大新秀deng,gordon,nocioni,duhon为核心的球队。
其他人的实力是在不值一提，虽然数据上看davis,harrington也不错，但是他们如果去了
别的队也就是普通替补而已。
今年的bulls的崛起是由于deng发起的，deng的爆发导致了bulls赛季初一度从鱼腩变成超 |
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C*****H
发帖数: 7927 | 15 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
dumbCoder (HumbleCoder) 于 (Tue Jan 15 13:53:47 2013, 美东) 提到:
经常看到有怀疑古希腊文明有水分的帖子
http://bbs.tianya.cn/post-no01-458848-1.shtml
我是菜鸟，请版上高人指点。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
yenite (燕岭悲歌) 于 (Tue Jan 15 16:11:29 2013, 美东) 提到:
呵呵，要怀疑先看看原著吧，否则会闹些特洛伊不是希腊的笑话。。。
btw，为啥国内突然兴起了一股质疑希腊罗马的风气，而且还是一帮对希腊罗马没啥了
解的人？
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
maywind (五月风) 于 (Tue Jan 15 16:31:59 2013, 美东) 提到:
这叫两手都要硬
☆────────────────────────────────────... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 16 军座高论
另一种说法是
shit = 是的
bull shit = 不是的
有连片子嘴老中被误解时习惯性一连串 “不是不是不是不是不是”
常被老外听成bull shit! bull shit! bull shit! bull shit! bull shit! |
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a*******9
发帖数: 2265 | 17 pig-bull-bear's conference call -- 2010-04-01
Bulls fought back, but they still chose to stay under 1180.
the king of bulls said: ... hold tight, bulls. Our goal is not only
conquering 1180, but also going furthur.
Pigs said: We know Bulls can not hold long! oh, sorry, today's April 1st.
Bears said: you will feel pain when you reach the 1180! everytime we beat
you down from here.
today's data is not that bad, but bulls chose fighting, and won. almost
1180 is piece of cake for them now |
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W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 18 Woman sues owners of dog killed by her pit bulls
Associated Press
TEXAS CITY, Texas (AP) — A Texas woman whose four pit bulls entered her
neighbors' yard through a hole in the fence and killed their 10-year-old
beagle is suing them for $1 million.
Emerald White says in her lawsuit filed this week in Galveston County
district court that she was "seriously injured" on Oct. 27 trying to stop
the attack and retrieve her dogs. She says she suffered "multiple serious
bite and scratch-type injuries" an... 阅读全帖 |
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n*********e
发帖数: 25274 | 19 Despite the devastation throughout New Jersey and the New York City region
caused by Hurricane Sandy, Red Bull Arena appeared to be in relatively good
shape as Saturday’s MLS Cup playoff game between the New York Red Bulls and
D.C. United approaches.
“Our staff was continually assessing Red Bull Arena overnight and this
morning and found only minor, non-structural damage to the facility,” the
club said in a statement Tuesday afternoon. “In addition, the pitch was
fully covered and did not experi... 阅读全帖 |
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h********y
发帖数: 2092 | 20 1991 Los Angeles Lakers 1–4 Chicago Bulls
1992 Portland Trail Blazers 2–4 Chicago Bulls
1993 Phoenix Suns 2–4 Chicago Bulls
1996 Seattle SuperSonics 2–4 Chicago Bulls†
1997 Utah Jazz 2–4 Chicago Bulls
1998 Utah Jazz 2–4 Chicago Bulls
2000 Los Angeles Lakers 4–2 Indiana Pacers
2001 Los Angeles Lakers 4–1 Philadelphia 76ers |
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B****n
发帖数: 100 | 21 357
By Jon Greenberg
ESPNChicago.com
Archive
CHICAGO -- Chicago Bulls guard Derrick Rose is the youngest Most Valuable
Player award-winner in the history of the National Basketball Association,
according to a source familiar with the situation.
A Rose in Bloom
Derrick Rose met his own challenge for greatness, as a question he posed in
September came full circle as he becomes the NBA's youngest MVP, writes
Melissa Isaacson. Story
Bulls blog | ESPN Chicago
The 22-year-old Rose was widely expected ... 阅读全帖 |
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o**4
发帖数: 35028 | 22 1950 Minneapolis Lakers 4 2 Syracuse Nationals
1951 Rochester Royals 4 3 New York Knicks
1952 Minneapolis Lakers 4 3 New York Knicks
1953 Minneapolis Lakers 4 1 New York Knicks
1954 Minneapolis Lakers 4 3 Syracuse Nationals
1955 Fort Wayne Pistons 3 4 Syracuse Nationals
1956 Fort Wayne Pistons 1 4 Philadelphia Warriors
1957 St. Louis Hawks 3 4 Boston Celtics
1958 St. Louis Hawks 4 2 Boston Celtics
1959 Minneapolis Lakers 0 4 Boston Celtics
1960 St.... 阅读全帖 |
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lg
发帖数: 2062 | 23 看看过去20年的冠军，谁算是单独带队，谁是2，3各人带队的呢？
这里比较季后赛的PER值，定义：如果老二<80％的老大，就算单独带队，在80％－90％
之间，算勉强共同带队，不然就算共同带队。这里定义单独带队的叫大腿，不是单独带
队的就是抱大腿，或者互相抱腿。
看看所有的PER值（这个是我一个一个Copy的，如果个别数据错了，告诉我）
Year Champion total games No. 1 player PER No. 2 player
PER % of No.1
1991 Bulls 17 Jordan 32 Pippen 22 69%
1992 Bulls 22 Jordan 27.2 Pippen 20.1 74%
1993 Bulls 19 Jordan 30.1 Pippen 16.9 56%
1994 Rockets 23 Olajuwon 27.7 Horry 1... 阅读全帖 |
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C*******i
发帖数: 2131 | 24 对号入座吧
Table of NBA Finals average Nielsen ratings since 1976
Net. Year Series Rating
CBS 1976 Boston Celtics 4, Phoenix Suns 2 11.5
CBS 1977 Portland Trail Blazers 4, Philadelphia 76ers 2 12.7
CBS 1978 Washington Bullets 4, Seattle Supersonics 3 9.9
CBS 1979 Seattle Supersonics 4, Washington Bullets 1 7.2
CBS 1980 Los Angeles Lakers 4, Philadelphia 76ers 2 8.0
CBS 1981 Boston Celtics 4, Houston Rockets 2 6.7
CBS 1982 Los Angele... 阅读全帖 |
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G********p
发帖数: 3504 | 25 根据TV RATING，媒体还得再加倍碰才有希望
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Basketball_Association_Ni
Net. Year Series Rating
CBS 1976 Boston Celtics 4, Phoenix Suns 2 11.5
CBS 1977 Portland Trail Blazers 4, Philadelphia 76ers 2 12.7
CBS 1978 Washington Bullets 4, Seattle Supersonics 3 9.9
CBS 1979 Seattle Supersonics 4, Washington Bullets 1 7.2
CBS 1980 Los Angeles Lakers 4, Philadelphia 76ers 2 8.0
CBS 1981 Boston Celtics 4, Houston Rockets 2 6... 阅读全帖 |
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t***c
发帖数: 289 | 26 斯特恩怎么会和钱过不去，看看91年至今总决赛的平均收视率（最后一栏是平均收视率
，有乔丹和没乔丹基本是天壤之别）：
NBC 1991 Chicago Bulls 4, Los Angeles Lakers 1 15.8
NBC 1992 Chicago Bulls 4, Portland Trail Blazers 2 14.2
NBC 1993 Chicago Bulls 4, Phoenix Suns 2 17.9
NBC 1994 Houston Rockets 4, New York Knicks 3 12.4
NBC 1995 Houston Rockets 4, Orlando Magic 0 13.9
NBC 1996 Chicago Bulls 4, Seattle Supersonics 2 16.7
NBC 1997 Chicago Bulls 4, Utah Jazz 2 16.8
NBC 1998 Chicago Bulls ... 阅读全帖 |
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s******r
发帖数: 21961 | 27 我来打你脸了，是公牛把爵士钉在耻辱柱吧。
1998 Final
Game Home Team Result Road Team
Game 1 Utah Jazz 88-85 OT (1-0) Chicago Bulls
Game 2 Utah Jazz 88-93 (1-1) Chicago Bulls
Game 3 Chicago Bulls 96-54 (2-1) Utah Jazz
--------------------------------------------------
Game 4 Chicago Bulls 86-82 (3-1) Utah Jazz
Game 5 Chicago Bulls 81-83 (3-2) Utah Jazz
Game 6 Utah Jazz 86-87 (2-4) Chicago Bulls
1997第一次对阵的时候G3
1 2 3 4 ... 阅读全帖 |
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a******r
发帖数: 786 | 29 整理了个分区的排名
w 西区
e 东区
1975D76 Kareem Abdul-Jabbar*[g] (4) Los Angeles Lakers w6
1976D77 Kareem Abdul-Jabbar*[g] (5) Los Angeles Lakers (2) w1
1977D78 Bill Walton* Portland Trail Blazers w1
1978D79 Moses Malone* Houston Rockets e4
1979D80 dagger Kareem Abdul-Jabbar*[g] (6) Los Angeles Lakers (3)
w1
1980D81 Julius Erving* Philadelphia 76ers (4) w3
1981D82 Moses Malone* (2) Houston Rockets (2) w6
1982D83 dagger Moses Malone* (3) Phi... 阅读全帖 |
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z**********i
发帖数: 9546 | 30 https://bbs.hupu.com/19443955.html
美媒赛后评论文：勒布朗的馈赠和乔丹一样完美(尽管总决赛三胜五负)
由 LoveBronJ 发表在虎扑篮球·骑士专区 https://bbs.hupu.com/cavaliers
昨天https://bbs.hupu.com/19437413.html帖子反响强烈，[email protected] 连夜翻译出了
其中的第二篇文章:
LeBron's legacy -- 3-5 Finals record and all -- is as intact as MJ's
我在此代发，希望回复不要挑起乔丹和老詹地位比较的口水，只是想表达在美媒和很多
理智球迷眼里，老詹的总决赛之旅从来不是什么黑点，而是一个传奇！与其黑来黑去比
来比去，不如共同见证他的伟大和篮球的魅力！
中英对照：
OAKLAND, Calif. -- For a moment, just imagine if LeBron James and
theCleveland Cavaliers lost to the Toronto Raptors ... 阅读全帖 |
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j**n
发帖数: 13789 | 31 The TAURUS Child
"It'll be no use putting their heads down and saying, 'Come up again, dear!'
. . . // / tike being that person, fll come up:
If not, I'll stay down here. ..."
It may begin to be evident that your newborn baby is a Taurean when you try
to dress him to take him home from the hospital. "Put your little arms
inside your nice sweater Grandma knit for you," you'll murmur in tender,
maternal tones. "Why are you clenching your little fists and holding your
arms so stiff? Let go, like a ... 阅读全帖 |
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t*****w
发帖数: 254 | 33 When I had my job interview, they always tested my SAS skill.However I use R
all the time. To help your preparation, read my R codes to see how much you
can understand it.
%in%
?keyword
a<-matrix(0,nrow=3,ncol=3,byrow=T)
a1 <- a1/(t(a1)%*%spooled%*%a1)^.5 #standadization in discrim
a1<- a>=2; a[a1]
abline(h = -1:5, v = -2:3, col = "lightgray", lty=3)
abline(h=0, v=0, col = "gray60")
abs(r2[i])>r0
aggregate(iris[,1:4], list(iris$Species), mean)
AND: &; OR: |; NOT: !
anova(lm(data1[,3]~data1[,1... 阅读全帖 |
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w*******y
发帖数: 60932 | 34 Papa Johns will be giving 50% off after Durham Bulls wins next season for
those in the Raleigh-Durham-Fayetteville area. They are doing a "preview"
of this special until October 30th.
From the Durham Bulls Facebook page:
This year, Papa John's gave everyone a special treat when the Bulls won, 35%
off their entire regular menu price order online. Well in 2012, it's going
to be even better! Next year, when the Bulls win, the day after the game you
'll be able to go online and get 50% off your reg... 阅读全帖 |
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B*S
发帖数: 1328 | 35 I know I am not supposed to do this here. But both the view point and
the conclusion are interesting...
************************************************************************
In a recent report Stöferle went on to say:
1) The Dow/gold ratio suggests a possible future $10,400 price
for gold.
At 8.5x the Dow/gold ratio is currently slightly above the long-term
median of 8x. This means that gold is still relatively inexpensive in
comparison with the Dow Jones. Bull markets tend to en... 阅读全帖 |
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p**8
发帖数: 3883 | 36 Barron's Cover | SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 3, 2011
Which Way Up?
By VITO J. RACANELLI | MORE ARTICLES BY AUTHOR
Stocks were pounded in August, but most market strategists expect them to
rally this fall as the economy expands.
Few expected Hurricane Uncertainty to wallop financial markets last month,
after U.S. stocks had risen 23% from Labor Day 2010 to July. Yet, as worries
intensified in August over the possibility of a second U.S. recession and
worsening debt problems both here and in Europe, the S... 阅读全帖 |
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p***n
发帖数: 1987 | 37 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: speedway168 (Ω 不动如山Ω ), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: WOW 3X ETF debut today. Gooo
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Nov 5 18:41:52 2008)
Direxion’s 3x ETFs
Bull Fund
Bull
Large Cap Bull 3x Shares
Russell 1000®
300% BGU
Small Cap Bull 3x Shares
Russell 2000®
300% TNA
Energy Bull 3x Shares
Russell 1000® Energy Index
300% ERX
Financial
Bull 3x Shares
Russell 1000® Financial Services Index
300% FAS
Bear Fund |
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k**o
发帖数: 15334 | 38 pit bull本来就是breed出来作为斗狗的品种用的，非常凶恶好斗，就算驯化的好，
也保不住哪天本性毕露。所谓pit就是斗兽场fighting pit的意思。pit bull是狗
里面唯一有经常攻击自己主人的记录的，曾经有个女的带着自己三只pit bull去散步，
在小树林里突然被自己的pit bull攻击并咬死吃掉。自己家大人小孩被pit bull咬伤
的更是数不胜数。 |
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h*****n
发帖数: 3270 | 40 http://www.imakenews.com/direxion/e_article000980347.cfm?x=bdyD1Wl,b7LCwFTG,w
Bull
Large Cap Bull 3x Shares
Russell 1000®
300%
BGU
Small Cap Bull 3x Shares
Russell 2000®
300%
TNA
Energy Bull 3x Shares
Russell 1000® Energy Index
300%
ERX
Financial
Bull 3x Shares
Russell 1000® Financial Services
Index
300%
FAS
Bear
Large Cap Bear 3x Shares
Russell 1000®
300%
BGZ
Small Cap Bear 3x Shares
Russell 2000®
300%
TZA
Energy Bear 3x Shares
Russell 1000® Energy Index
300% |
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a*******9
发帖数: 2265 | 41 3-23
Some bears turns into bulls' army. it makes bulls strong.
the Minister of bulls said : Today definitely is not a pig day, my Majesty.
today is a speed up day from yesterday's radical sign. So~, Do we charge
tomorrow?
the King of bulls said: ... Still hold!, We don't need Rush. just step by
step. The real bears are still holding. .
Pig said : which party should we join? bulls or bear? we have too much
cashes, what can we do?
Pigs try to join the army, but right now they still can not decide |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 42 Try those
•FactorShares 2X: S&P500 Bull/TBond Bear (NYSEArca: FSE)
•FactorShares 2X: TBond Bull/S&P500 Bear (NYSEArca: FSA)
•FactorShares 2X: S&P500 Bull/USD Bear (NYSEArca: FSU)
•FactorShares 2X: Oil Bull/S&P500 Bear (NYSEArca: FOL)
•FactorShares 2X: Gold Bull/S&P500 Bear (NYSEArca: FSG) |
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B**********r
发帖数: 7517 | 43 In a bull market, typically volatility is low. It might be more dangerous to
short bull ETFs, because they do not decay fast enough.
In a bear market, VIX is usually high. Bull ETFs were killed by the drooping
index, and bear ETFs are hurt by the high volatility.
So it is always a good idea to short more bear 3x ETFs than bull 3x ETFs.
In addition, 3x bear ETFs decays twice as fast as 3x bull ETFs. |
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k******e
发帖数: 125 | 44 The affected ETFs (with the new name reflected below) are:
· BRIL (Daily BRIC Bull 3x Shares)
· BRIS (Daily BRIC Bear 3x Shares)
· INDL (Daily India Bull 3x Shares)
· INDZ (Daily India Bear 3x Shares)
· NUGT (Daily Gold Miners Bull 3x Shares)
· DUST (Daily Gold Miners Bear 3x Shares)
· GASL (Daily Natural Gas Related Bull 3x Shares)
· GASX (Daily Natural Gas Related Bear 3x Shares)
· RETL (Daily Retail Bull 3x Shares)
· ... 阅读全帖 |
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B**********r
发帖数: 7517 | 45 我现在就开个专题讲讲这些。我的目的，是帮助大家从理论上认识到这些多倍ETF的一
些问题，也是为了在实际操作上发现更好的收益/风险比。如果你以为我是让你用很高
的Leverage去赌博，追求100倍的收益，那是你误解了。我希望版上的同学们都学会一
些长期稳定，而又低风险的盈利方法。
我这里的一些讨论，如果你没有数学基础无法理解，就请不要无理取闹。当然理性的讨
论是必要的，也有助于大家理解我的这些分析。我这里的讨论以TZA为例子，但这些分
析也同样适于期它很多多倍ETF，如FAS/FAZ/TNA/TZA/TQQQ/SQQQ/AGQ/ZSL/......
第一讲：一个似乎不可能的例子
这几天我有这样一个断言：“就是保持全仓做空TZA。这个TZA四年-99%，你保持全仓做
空，理论上几何式增长，就是100倍”。
当然这是一个理想化的说法。风险控制，可操作性和费用等，在这个理论例子里当然没
有考虑。很多人不理解的是，这个几何增长方式。
做Long的很简单。你的账户Y，一直全仓做多X。X每涨一个小比例，Y就增涨同一比例。
所以：dY/Y = dX/X ==> Y ~ X，就是线性关系。
... 阅读全帖 |
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l*****7
发帖数: 8463 | 46 It is a real, Government, Fed and Wall Street MMs created ABNORMAL bull
market!!!! It is a fake-looking bull market!!!!
The normal bull market is a bull market stock rises in all Caps (Big, medium
and small, as well as microcap)
However, the current bull market will keeps going as long as the government,
Fed and Wall street MMs keep doing it. |
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v**********m
发帖数: 5516 | 47 What stage is the market at now? and please give out the analysis details
and the good companies in each sector.
10个包子奉送给最好的分析。
====================
Sector rotation
Early Bull: transportation and Financials
Early-Middle Bull: Technology
Middle-late Bull: Capital Goods
Late Bull: Basic Industry
Late Bull-top Energy and Precious Metals
Top-Early Bear: Health Care and Consumer Non-Cyclicals
Early Bear-Middle Bear: Utilities
Middle Bear-Late Bear Financial and Consumer Cyclicals (durable and Non) |
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w****o
发帖数: 2260 | 48 http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/01/bofa-raises-sp-500-target-but-bull-market-closer-to-ending.html
Bank of America Merrill Lynch raised its forecast for the S&P 500 — but it
did so because it believes over-optimism is taking hold, and the years-long
market rally will end soon.
The firm's year-end target for the index is now 2,450, up from 2,300
previously. That makes BofAML's estimate the third-highest among 16
strategists surveyed by CNBC in early February.
"We are updating our models to reflect th... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******v
发帖数: 2599 | 49 去年底班农东京讲话：
”我们的精英们自从尼克松总统在七十年代与中国建交以来就一直相信一种错误
的期望
，认为一旦中国变得更加富足，中国经济得到发展后，中国的民主状态将得到相依层面
的改进, 认为中国越富有，中国就会在自由市场经济下变得民主化。而今我们却发现事
实是相反的。”
=====•••••=======
话音未落。我国一月修宪定局。民主倒退定局。五周后公布。这proposal修宪的孙子是
班农派来的吧？这事办的让美国和西方支持全中国发展经济，喊G2的那帮人压根没办法
接话。你怎么继续讲故事？
班农 加习总，一次性的把以前喊G2的那批美国资本家塞火车底下了。下面我看轮到中
国国内的资本家了。马云这种非常玄。
中概现在还好。但是床铺最后一步就要灭他们。我们中国人说是插管吸血。班农这些
人看来，就是中国对美国插管吸血，吸走的是就业机会，钱落在了经手人手里。
中概要慎重。
另外班农讲了。床铺不认为这是中国领导人的错。人家为自己国家谋利益怎么能算错。
美国这帮当初喊G2的精英，拿钱买命我看都晚了。 |
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r***o
发帖数: 127 | 50 1. bulls选秀的水平无以伦比，今年pick deng和gordon更是让人想起了99年pick brand
和artest. deng的加入让bulls真正有了核心，自从deng替代nocioni打主力，bulls战绩
扶摇直上。luol's team已经成了bulls球迷的口头禅。
2. 99年以后bulls一直缺少一个miller,jordon这种关键时刻挺身而出的球员，gordon的
出现完全弥补了这个空缺。而且gordon完全能够做的比他们更好。在rookie赛季就已经在
整个儿nba排名第一，即使miller,jordon也没有做到过。
3. nocioni确实签的值。今年两个undraft的大合同在不同的球队待遇简直天壤之别。DJ
刚来的时候好评如潮，nba另外29个球队都嫉妒mavs捡到了馅饼。但是DJ直到现在也没有
打过几场比赛。nocioni刚来的时候却是人人喊打，拿着几乎状元的工资，却看不出来有t
op 10
pick的水平。可是几场比赛下来，就没有人批评他了。他完全可以变成一个有着gino一般
攻击力的bowen,newble.3年之后也许会有人叫他白art |
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