m*********k
发帖数: 10521 | 1 本次统计截止时间为：2014-01-14 01:00:00 （美东时间）
成功奖励 20 伪币的用户: aixiaoke, alternans, aptget, bluebel, Bluffing,
CDSWJ, Cklein, coolio, database, diandian23, hitmantb, IED, leapfrog,
logic98, lqm1989, lulupp, lynette, marsh, midwestPstD, miluoj, mitbbsinusmj,
mlong, monkeycanfly, Pag, playmore, powerrc, ppenney, qiqibaobei, qzzk,
simplecat, spt009, stlstl, sunnyday, superbear1, sususu, TeacherWei,
texasredneck, trichloride, turbopascal, wh
奖励版面:(Automobile)20伪币成功
奖励版面:(Faculty)20伪币成功
奖励版面:(HAINAN)20伪币成功
奖励版面... 阅读全帖 |
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l********r
发帖数: 868 | 2 This is real money game, so the $1000 all-in is really surprising.
1. if she held nuts, a raise to $200 is more reasonable;
2. if she's on flush draw, she would just call;
3. if she thought she had the best hand, either over pair, top-top, or 2-
pair, and wanted to prevent flush draw, a raise to $300 is more than enough
4. if she's bluffing, normally she didn't want to risk all her chips;
5. if she wanted to make you two believe she's bluffing, it's possible. but
again, if she had a K high or nu |
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w***w
发帖数: 6301 | 3 So why the bluffing?
He would not fold for sure.
Allin could make it more like a bluffing. |
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f*****g
发帖数: 15860 | 4 来自主题: _TexasHoldem版 - AJo sigh, i gave it more thoughts and now i feel i made a really stupid move,
not the worst one i ever played, but close, hehe.
with a board A32-A-2, what're the hell my winning chances?
1) he's bluffing/semi-bluffing all the way? he's image was normal;
2) he got a straight on flop? no way he would bet like this;
3) he got Ax and didn't think i got an A too? it's a chop at best, why would
i risk for it?
4) A2? no good at all, he knew i got A;
5) he got 33? no way he would go all-in on river;
6) he g |
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c****u
发帖数: 3277 | 5 it actually depends, slowplay works best against those who like bluffing
a lot. In that case, slowplay would usually win one or two bets.
Also, when one is out of position, slowplay can be a good weapon to stop
bluffing.
scored or assisted by McGrady; in Game 7 all but nine were. |
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c****u
发帖数: 3277 | 6 tight players have low implied odds, but they can be bluffed more often.
Loose/aggressive players have high implied odds, but they can seldom
be bluffed.
the
ft
scored or assisted by McGrady; in Game 7 all but nine were. |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 7 Benn Steil, Lessons from the 1930s for a Rising Renminbi. Financial Times,
June 23, 2010.
http://www.cfr.org/publication/22498/lessons_from_the_1930s_for_a_rising_renminbi.html
Excerpt in the window of the print: Then, as now, China would not budge.
Morgenthau fired back: 'You people are playing poker and you are bluffing'
Note:
(a) The article states, "Chinese silver stocks were smuggled out of the
country and sold abroad, reducing the money supply and triggering deflation
* * *" It is well kn |
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t***e
发帖数: 3601 | 8 This dosen't matter , this battle is for getting aggro from Japs. So
bluffing is a way to get Japs attention from Jiang to TG. At that time,
Vice president Jingwei give up and cooperate with Jap. Jiang was defeated
and lost hope. It's a heroic effort to jump out and kick jap's butt and
yell "shoot at me, I am here!" |
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m*****o
发帖数: 259 | 9 I would say it needs more bluffing skills and a stronger mind than
statistics and mathematics... |
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x****u
发帖数: 12955 | 10 mathmetics and statistics are the foundation. Bluffing and strong mind
builds on the foundation. That foundation is the difference between a
player and a gambler |
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b****r
发帖数: 2555 | 11 嗯？东北易帜在中原大战之后，常公也就是靠着张学良易帜才打服了各路诸侯。
外债少表示政府开始有了自主权，否则就像袁大头那样四国银行团，善后大借款，九国
银行团；之后的北洋政府也是外债一拨一拨的借，权益一拨一拨地卖。常公借内债，又
不出卖主权，有什么关系？
你老强调民初几年，那你讲讲民初几年袁大头霸着这么好的条件，除了称帝还干了些啥？
常公的黄金十年是不怎么样，那也得看跟谁比。跟老毛那是拍马也比不上，问题是关税
自主，财政基本独立，这两条大头及其继任者们，做到了么？
大头确实不会跟日本人打仗，因为日本人把21条拿出来bluffing，大头就尿了，连开打
的勇气都没有。当然这个实事求是的讲，两个人的国际形势不同，没有可比性。 |
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b****r
发帖数: 2555 | 12 当然是以讹传讹。可以看《the general's war》。
美国的问题是内部的意见没有统一。切尼想要发出强硬信号；鲍威尔受越战影响
太深不愿意军队卷入；情报部门的分析认为老萨在bluffing，最多夺取几个油田
占点经济利益；国务卿那时候在苏联访问；老布什正准备在colorado宣布裁军。
当时美国驻伊拉克大使是个女的，老萨也没有质询过她。她在国务院的指示下跟
老萨面谈，要求和平解决和科威特的问题——不过口气非常软。切尼等人看到照
会后认为太软弱，要求重发一个强硬的照会，结果官僚部门几个回合下来那边已
经打完了。 |
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m**********2
发帖数: 6568 | 13 当时原子弹的威力，炸平民可以。对坚固工事内的军队，杀伤半径有限。想炸掉史达林
，运气必须不一般的强。而且，战争后期，双方都是血海深仇，多炸死两万人，恐怕没
有多少用。除非你能CONVINCE对方你手里还有几百颗。这样的BLUFFING米帝用还比较
CONVINCING，德国当时那样子，别人也不信哪。其实就算是米帝，原子弹的作用也不过
是骆驼的最后一根稻草，前面有几百斤稻草来自与苏联红军闪电式消灭关东军，几百斤
稻草来自美军在日本外海的上百艘航母，上万艘战舰。就算你穿越回去，把“胖子”和
“男孩”偷了送给日本，难道米帝就无条件投降了么？ |
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h*i
发帖数: 3446 | 14 《1434》
有人看了么？
前两页：
One thing that greatly puzzled me when writing 1421 was the
lack of curiosity among many professional historians.
After all, Christopher Columbus supposedly discovered
America in 1492. Yet eighteen years before he set sail, Columbus had a
map of the Americas, which he later acknowledged in his logs. Indeed,
even before his first voyage, Columbus signed a contract with the king
and queen of Spain that appointed him viceroy of the Americas. His
fellow ship’s captain Martín Alons... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****t
发帖数: 10738 | 15 现在中美在玩texas hold em,都认为对方在bluffing. |
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t**m
发帖数: 2262 | 16 o先顶住不升值，以后再狠狠贬值 [ 陈经 ] 于:2010-03-18 23:52:21 主题帖
http://www.ccthere.com/alist/2787564
人民币“合理”汇率是多少，根本就是个没意义的学术问题。要讲“合理”，美国的国
债，早晚崩盘的东西，还有脸出来卖？
中国，实力也相当的强了，不少自己人可能还没意识到。说实在的，如果拉开来单挑，
除了美国还有些心理优势，别的国家都没这个心气了。只有美国还在折腾bluffing、
show hand等诈胡行为。它也不只诈中国，对日本欧洲也同时四面出击。
按以往的路数，美国人吵吵一阵子，就给美国一些面子，人民币升个3%，似乎也能混过
去。2005年开始，美国人施压，就升一段，来来回回升了17%。这个升值，到底有什么
正面作用，我是没看出来。什么促转型，平衡贸易，根本看不出来。确定无疑的事情是
，人民币升值压力真把热钱招来了，外汇储备上了一万亿又上二万亿美元。这么大的规
模还增长这么快，人类历史上没有过，极不正常。这也不是什么好事，中国早就不缺外
汇了。钱太多要搞调控，时松时紧，搞来搞去乱事一堆。
到2008年中，终于发现不是 |
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S*********4
发帖数: 5125 | 17 先顶住不升值，以后再狠狠贬值 [ 陈经 ] 于:2010-03-18 23:52:21 主题帖
人民币“合理”汇率是多少，根本就是个没意义的学术问题。要讲“合理”，美国的国
债，早晚崩盘的东西，还有脸出来卖？
中国，实力也相当的强了，不少自己人可能还没意识到。说实在的，如果拉开来单挑，
除了美国还有些心理优势，别的国家都没这个心气了。只有美国还在折腾bluffing、
show hand等诈胡行为。它也不只诈中国，对日本欧洲也同时四面出击。
按以往的路数，美国人吵吵一阵子，就给美国一些面子，人民币升个3%，似乎也能混过
去。2005年开始，美国人施压，就升一段，来来回回升了17%。这个升值，到底有什么
正面作用，我是没看出来。什么促转型，平衡贸易，根本看不出来。确定无疑的事情是
，人民币升值压力真把热钱招来了，外汇储备上了一万亿又上二万亿美元。这么大的规
模还增长这么快，人类历史上没有过，极不正常。这也不是什么好事，中国早就不缺外
汇了。钱太多要搞调控 ，时松时紧，搞来搞去乱事一堆。
到2008年中，终于发现不是办法，人民币汇率水平横盘一直至今。这叫不叫操纵汇率？
要学术地说，当然是。 |
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u****n
发帖数: 7521 | 18 So what? International diplomacies are full of bluffing.
6% |
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R********n
发帖数: 5904 | 19 I think Tang did right. Straighten your back bones, and support Tang, NA
WSNs! Don't need to entangle with those small bluffing claims |
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R********n
发帖数: 5904 | 20 唐骏自己说的很清楚，自己一理解就知道为什么了。
“1990年3月，我在日本的留学生涯已进入第五年，那时我选了一个新的课题准备作为
博士论文的研究方向。我花了很长时间作实验，熬了三个通宵写出一篇论文。在每周的
例行课题汇报会上，我正向板仓老师陈述我的内容，不想说到一半，他突然用异常蔑视
的语气开口道：“这种论文你还想在日本发表吗？拿回你们中国发表还差不多。”
Though Nagoya Univ is not as good as CalTech, it's much better than most USA
universities in its reputation, except that it can not give you USA GC.
So Tang has nothing to blame in his bluffing over claim. He did not cheat on
any benifits, and did not hurt anyone.
In conclusion, 唐骏还是爱国地, we support this patroism. |
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s******r
发帖数: 5309 | 21 Dealing with US-Korean war game is pretty simple, but not the hot headed
scenarios that LZ has suggested.
First, one must understand the muscle flexing by the US is totally
bluffing. They do this only to achieve a single political goal:
to show the region that the US is still the king on the hill. Second,
the Americans are aware that the aircraft carrier group cannot
survive saturated surface-to-surface missile attacks, which
is abundantly deployed alone the eastern China cost. They would... 阅读全帖 |
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f**x
发帖数: 4325 | 22 OK, go find one rigorous quantitative variable to measure the quality of
life then,
if you really want to compare instead of just bluffing.
It is hundred times easier to criticize than to make constructive
contribution. |
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r***u
发帖数: 320 | 23 一看就是假的。真有SN，还不等贼过来用抓个现行。发个假消息吓唬贼，赌场惯用
bluffing。
.5
Tuesday |
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g********w
发帖数: 2539 | 25 SDI当初实实在在花了很多钱启动了一大批项目的，真的要说假就是当年摆出一副准备
投入实用的架势肯定是bluffing苏联的。 可以说冷战后新的一批军事技术成果有一大
半都是SDI计划后续。 |
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g**y
发帖数: 1342 | 26 如果一开始制定一个合理的目标就是要一份书面道歉，这的确是成功的，但是可惜当时
要求的可比这个多，现在这样回顾一开始就基本是个搞笑的bluffing了。这个结果实在
有点自取其辱。 |
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l******t
发帖数: 55733 | 27
语无伦次。上来就说美国也没你这样的主持。美国一下就被代表了。说半天一半都是
bluffing。把他这段放到菌斑发个下室贴，肯定被wsn从里到外剥个体无完肤。 |
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l******t
发帖数: 55733 | 28 有啥尴尬的？bluffing和cheating啥地方没有 |
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a****o
发帖数: 488 | 29 我的猜测是
北京要王死，平西王放手让北京动手。王局被出卖，奋而抗争。他能恨谁，他能回击谁
，自然是出卖他的平西王。
他要扳倒平西王，现在最关键的不是把材料open to public，而是争取相对的时间，那
样才能让自己手里的资料产生更大的效用。
我相信王局走到现在，他会知道生命已经不是自己的了。也不该会去求活。他要做的只
是死得其所。拉个平西王垫背，在历史上也会留下一笔。
领事馆方面，国安和重庆的人争夺王局。虽然最初是北京要搞王局，现在发现通过王局
能搞掉平西王。那自然是顺水推舟何乐而不为。我相信王局自己选择走出领事馆肯定是
和北京打出了短暂的协议，甚至有可能要一张免死金牌。这是王局唯一能活的棋。就是
做北京的打手把平西王搞掉，或许还能活得久一点。但是这部也是险棋，难保北京不会
兔死狗烹。而且平西王后面会怎么运作大家都没底。短期内大家北京和平西王只能互相
bluffing。
下面就看北京那边打算怎么利用王手上的资料走下一步棋。一切要稳，要快，但是又要
恨。只是搞掉一个平西王哪有那么容易。这里面最后不晓得有多少秘密协议互相牵制。
最后平西王自己下台。移民海外。善终都是很自然的结局。20... 阅读全帖 |
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m********5
发帖数: 17667 | 30 LoL
so u claim current 龙芯 is a competitive processor for HPC?! WoW, I think
even Hu cannot believe this :p
As a HPC guy, I have to say that you do NOT know what u r talking about ...
Of course, you can still claim they are going to achieve something in the
future ...
As I said in other posts, I believe they really intended to provide a
processor for server and HPC. But they failed to deliver anything practical
in time. So they had to claim it can be this, can be that blablabla :D If
they had not... 阅读全帖 |
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x****u
发帖数: 12955 | 31
He was probably just bluffing with the missile claim.
From his actions and results, I say he has none of the skills he claimed he
had. Because in the end, he only managed to kill 2 people who weren't
involved in his dismissal, and a couple more police who were trying to
apprehend him. None of those who he claimed to have wronged him was killed.
That got to be one of the most dramatic failure in campaigns for revenge. |
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k****a
发帖数: 7077 | 32 The guy is a bluffing idiot. |
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b******g
发帖数: 780 | 34 I support you Tian Tian! I got your six!
I also have a serious problem with racism and genocide!
FBI盯上谁何以让SB Woo知道？ FBI行动无保密性吗？ 还是SB Woo泄露国家机密？
SB Woo就想用这种办法吓唬人，关键是ABC主子发现他不管用，华人还在闹。
SB Woo, please stop bluffing. We have seen enough of your dirty tricks. |
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i*******e
发帖数: 1904 | 36 一般的公司白人是孬种bluffing，很难跟patton相提并论。
Patton能把自己的儿子送上战场，并且白发人送黑发人这一点就值得我们佩服！ |
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b********n
发帖数: 38600 | 38 “The Chinese told the US that advancing to the Yalu would be a mistake. Big
Mac didn't think they would attack. Thought the fear of Nukes would bluff
them. Putin has told us to stay out of this one. I agree.I don't believe he
is bluffing. The Ukies can't or won't fight effectively, and have
incompetent leadership. The only effective force is mercenaries paid for by
their stolen gold reserves. I have difficulty seeing how Obama will motivate
the US mothers to send their sons (and daughters) to fi... 阅读全帖 |
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t******g
发帖数: 4044 | 39 德州扑克有欺骗，计算机怎么解决bluffing这个问题？光算概率会被骗死的。 |
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发帖数: 1 | 40 概率是概率，下注多少还是可以bluffing电脑的 |
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e*g
发帖数: 4981 | 41 简直搞笑。。。
别的都不用说，计算机纯随机bluffing，人类就能判读？ |
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m*****t
发帖数: 16663 | 42 麻将跟扑克两码事。
麻将没有bluffing，bet， raise这些问题，简单得太多了。 |
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m*****t
发帖数: 16663 | 43 麻将跟扑克两码事。
麻将没有bluffing，bet， raise这些问题，简单得太多了。 |
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t******g
发帖数: 4044 | 44 要我说要影响力还是去搞德州扑克，这绝对全美轰动。毕竟星际围棋还是太小众了。计
算机要能拿下德州扑克，电脑会bluffing了，这直接会掐死网上赌牌整个行业。 |
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a*****y
发帖数: 33185 | 45 从先前在毛子那吃瘪的情况来看，美国很会给自己找台阶下的，所以楼主不必担心啦。
其实，南海就是美国在毛子那找不到便宜以后给自己找的台阶啊。
所以什么狗屁第三次世界大战，bluffing而已对操看谁先眨眼。 |
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t******e
发帖数: 2504 | 46 理论上，什么越南，菲律宾，还有很多国家，都在步日本后尘， 只不过没实力，没有
什么人care, 也正如中土喊全部南海喊了那么多年，没人care, 老毛自己在家里瞎胡
来，没那个实力囊括南海，人家认为你是bluffing.
当然。中土现在实力强了，这个帖子就有不少人指东打西的，也希望步日本帝国主义的
后尘 但我也不认为中土有那个能力， 汉民族的优点是经商读书和行贿受贿，打仗吗
，从唐以后外仗就输多赢少，虽然内斗狠，外战嘛，就算了吧， 但偏偏又有不少人好
这一口，那就打吧，打惨了也就消停了一个时辰， 过了一二代重复历史再来， 直到没
有人愿意为了什么开疆拓土打仗了，那就和平了。
这是个过程， 北欧的瑞典经历过，欧洲经历过，日本算是经历一半，美国还没有结束
，中土可能才开始。 |
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w***u
发帖数: 17713 | 48 说胆大能赢poker才真是赌徒。bluffing必须是个小频率的随机事件。 |
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l******t
发帖数: 55733 | 49 本来put u in jail就是bluffing，你们真当真？ |
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b******t
发帖数: 1271 | 50 他是生意人，bluffing而已
漫天要价就地还钱，播音的奶酪他不会动。 |
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