y*****l
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DNMT2009 (giantpanda) 于 (Mon Dec 13 23:11:02 2010, 美东) 提到:
可以开捞DAL， LCC了吗
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zhdu (Pringle) 于 (Mon Dec 13 23:19:43 2010, 美东) 提到:
听说油价还要涨
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DNMT2009 (giantpanda) 于 (Tue Dec 14 10:39:40 2010, 美东) 提到:
油价再涨， 我咋觉得机票长得更快呢
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purp (小狗狗， 仅次于狼) 于 (Tue Dec 14 10:48:10 2010, 美东) 提到:
Airline Profits to Drop 40% on Taxes, Oil。 (ZT！！！)
Airline Profits to Drop 40% on Taxes, Oil, Group Says
International Air Transport Association Chief Executive Officer Giovanni
Bisignani said, “Margins remain pathetic.” Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/
Bloomberg
Dec. 14 (Bloomberg) -- International Air Transport Association Chief
Executive Officer Giovanni Bisignani discusses the outlook for the airline
industry. He talks with Andrea Catherwood on Bloomberg Television's "The
Pulse." (Source: Bloomberg)
A recovery in demand for air traffic after the deepest economic downturn
since World War II has been uneven, with European carriers such as Deutsche
Lufthansa AG struggling to boost ticket prices. Photographer: Simon Dawson/
Bloomberg
Airlines may post a 40 percent decline in combined profits next year on
slower economic growth, higher fuel costs and austerity measures in Europe,
a leading industry group said today.
Net income will drop to $9.1 billion in 2011 from $15.1 billion this year,
International Air Transport Association Chief Executive Officer Giovanni
Bisignani told reporters in Geneva. With revenue set to grow 5.8 percent to
$598 billion, the profit margin will fall by almost half to 1.5 percent, he
said.
“Margins remain pathetic,” Bisignani said. “The recovery cycle will pause
in 2011. Although the $9.1 billion profit projection for 2011 is better
than we had previously forecast, next year the industry will face tougher
conditions than what we are experiencing today.”
Airlines face an uneven rebound in air-travel demand after the deepest
economic slump since World War II. European carriers such as Deutsche
Lufthansa AG are struggling to increase fares, while economic growth in Asia
and capacity cuts in North America are helping boost profits there.
“The industry is fragile and balancing on a knife edge,” Bisignani said.
“Any shock could stunt the recovery, as we are seeing with the results of
new or increased taxation on airlines and travelers in Europe.”
Previous Forecasts
IATA’s previous global profit forecasts for 2010 and 2011, made in
September, were $8.9 billion and $5.3 billion, respectively.
After losses of $51 billion from 2001 to 2009, the industry isn’t “even
close” to recovering half its cost of capital, which is between 7 percent
and 8 percent, Bisignani said.
British Airways Plc, Europe’s third-largest carrier, said today that it
will increase fuel surcharge on long-haul flights from Dec. 16 by 10 pounds
($16) per passenger per flight, reflecting the recent increase in oil price.
That would be the first jump since June 2008, according to Richard
Goodfellow, a London-based spokesman.
An increase in the average price of oil to $84 a barrel next year from $79
in 2010 will lead to fuel making up 27 percent of airline costs next year,
IATA said. Jet fuel and labor are typically the largest costs at airlines.
German Taxes
Oil traded near $90 a barrel on forecasts that U.S. crude stockpiles are
declining as colder weather approaches the nation. The January contract was
at $88.05 a barrel 9:58 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices
have risen 12 percent this year.
Higher taxes in Germany, Austria and the U.K. will increase travel cost by a
range of 3 percent and 5 percent next year, “enough to discourage travel
and slow the industry recovery,” IATA said.
“This year profit have been significantly higher than we would have
expected coming out of the recession,” said Jonathan Wober, an analyst at
Societe Generale SA in London. “Clearly there are always risks, global GDP
growth being the most important, but it seems we are still in an upswing.”
The eight-company Bloomberg EMEA Airlines Index climbed 0.4 percent, while
the 12-carrier Bloomberg U.S. Airlines Index rose 0.6 percent at 10:10 a.m.
in New York. The U.S. gauge slid 8 percent through yesterday after reaching
a 2010 high on Nov. 5.
Delta, United
Net income for Asia-Pacific carriers, the most profitable group that
includes Singapore Airlines Ltd. and Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd., will drop
to $4.6 billion next year from $7.7 billion in 2010, IATA said.
North America airlines, led by United Continental Holdings Inc. and Delta
Air Lines Inc., are facing a decline in 2011 profit to $3.2 billion from $5.
1 billion.
European airlines’ profit will fall to $100 million in 2011 from $400
million this year, IATA said. In September, IATA predicted a $1.3 billion
loss for 2010 for Europe, the weakest among the regions in the forecast.
The organization cut its 2010 forecast for growth in air- freight demand to
18.5 percent from 19.8 percent, and fares will probably grow 7 percent
instead of 7.9 percent as companies are completing a restocking of
inventories. Demand for cargo will grow 5.5 percent next year while average
prices will be little changed, IATA said.
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DNMT2009 (giantpanda) 于 (Tue Dec 14 18:19:48 2010, 美东) 提到:
看来还是买石油比较好
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worldcup06 (BoilerUp) 于 (Wed Dec 15 20:57:48 2010, 美东) 提到:
干脆两个都买吧
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moro (moro) 于 (Thu Dec 16 00:03:08 2010, 美东) 提到:
飞机票再贵，该坐的还是要坐的，刚从飞机场回来，好多人啊，又挤又乱，不管干什麽
都排好长的队。也有好多中国人回国探亲，好羡慕。 |
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