p**********r
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Fri May 14 09:58:26 2010, 美东) 提到:
和大盘相关的政治经济新闻/数据转贴报道，分析，及灌水。
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/ecalendar/index.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/economy/
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/markets/emerging_markets.html (Watch China)
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/markets/commodities.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/markets/energy.html
FA/news 转badcompany：
http://www.footnoted.org/
http://www.tradersnarrative.com/
http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/
http://www.traderfeed.blogspot.com/
http://cobrasmarketview.blogspot.com/
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/
http://www.bespokeinvest.com/
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Fri May 14 13:46:42 2010, 美东) 提到:
顶一下吧。经过这3个月，大家应该足够重视大盘了吧。
不好意思发言的，可以转贴新闻，也一样是为俱乐部做贡献。
最近的热点有欧元区债务危机，美国金融法案，美国经济好转迹象，
中国经济阴霾等等。
别忘了，众人拾柴火焰高。这个FA主题, 老牛哥一个人搞都吃力，
我肯定是更不可能照顾的过来的。主要靠大家了哈。
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yysqq (一叶锁清秋) 于 (Fri May 14 13:49:19 2010, 美东) 提到:
你要让我说个股，我还能野鸡一下，说大盘我真的是一塌糊涂
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Fri May 14 13:50:53 2010, 美东) 提到:
转贴新闻成不？
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yysqq (一叶锁清秋) 于 (Fri May 14 14:00:24 2010, 美东) 提到:
行。
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Fri May 14 18:42:26 2010, 美东) 提到:
周末欧盟要有什么动向，会议么？ 不会跟上个周末一样丢个重磅炸弹出来吧？
没动作的话，估计等着被华尔街宰了。
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Sun May 16 23:30:38 2010, 美东) 提到:
Stocks, Euro Plunge on Concern Austerity Plans to Curb Recovery
By Will McSheehy and Shani Raja
May 17 (Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks fell the most since Feb. 5, the cost of
insuring bonds from default jumped and the euro dropped to its lowest
against the dollar since 2006 on concern European austerity measures will
derail the economic recovery.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dived 2.5 percent to 117.05 at 12 p.m. in Tokyo,
the Markit iTraxx Asia index of credit-default swaps climbed 10 basis
points to 125 basis points, the euro fell to as low as $1.2244 and futures
on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 1.1 percent.
“Europe is certainly the scary story at the moment,” said Jason Teh, who
helps manage $2.6 billion at Investors Mutual in Sydney. “Corporate debt
risk was the 2008 story, now its sovereign debt risk. The countries that can
print money may have to do it again to keep their economies afloat.”
Investors are growing increasingly skittish after Greek Prime Minister
George Papandreou said Greece is considering legal action against U.S. banks
that may have contributed to the country’s debt crisis. One week after
agreeing to a $1 trillion financial lifeline for the euro region, European
finance ministers meeting in Brussels today are under pressure to show they
can reduce deficits fast enough to satisfy investors and then police budgets
effectively once targets are met.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average plunged 2 percent as a government report
showed machinery orders rose less than economists estimated in March.
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index sank 2.8 percent and South Korea’s Kospi
slumped 2.7 percent.
European Sales
Canon Inc., which gets 31 percent of revenue from Europe, lost 2.1 percent
to 3,060 yen in Tokyo. Sony Corp., which gets 21 percent of revenue from the
European region, slumped 4.1 percent to 2,830 yen. BHP Billiton Ltd., the
world’s largest mining company, dropped 4 percent on lower commodity prices.
China’s Shanghai Composite Index fell for a second day, declining 2.3
percent on concern government measures to cool property speculation. China
Vanke Co., the country’s largest listed developer, lost 2.9 percent after
Premier Wen Jiabao said the government will “decisively” contain
excessively fast increases in home prices.
South Korea’s won slid 1.9 percent to 1,152.18 per dollar as foreign
investors sold more shares than they bought, adding to net sales of $2.7
billion in the first two weeks of this month. The Chinese yuan’s 12-month
non-deliverable forwards fell 0.3 percent to 6.6820 per dollar on
speculation China will delay appreciation of its currency as Europe’s debt
crisis threatens to damp global demand.
Refuge Currencies
The euro fell and the yen and dollar climbed as investors sought refuge from
the European crisis. The pound tumbled to a 13-month low after a U.K.
report showed London house prices recorded their first drop this year.
The euro sank the least since April 21, 2006, from $1.2358 in New York on
May 14. The Japanese currency gained against all of its 16 most-traded
counterparts, rising to as much as 113.01 yen from 114.38 yen last week. The
yen was at 92.06 versus the dollar from 92.47.
“The fact that European leaders have failed to restore confidence in the
single currency is worrying,” Khoon Goh, a senior economist at ANZ National
Bank Ltd. in Wellington, wrote in a note to clients today. “Markets are
now focusing on the tough austerity measures that will come and the impact
that will have on the euro-zone economy.”
Thai Clashes
Thai sovereign bond risk climbed the most in two months and the baht
weakened after at least 35 people were killed in fighting between the
military and anti-government protesters.
Credit-default swaps on Thai government debt jumped 20 basis points to 175
basis points, according to Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc prices. That
increase is the most since March 12, according to CMA DataVision. The baht
weakened for a third day, dropping 0.1 percent to 32.41 per dollar in
Bangkok, after the biggest withdrawal by foreign funds from equities in
almost three years.
The Markit iTraxx Asia index’s 10 basis point rise to 125 basis points puts
the index on track for its highest close since May 7, according to CMA in
New York. Bond risk benchmarks also climbed in Australia and Japan.
Crude oil declined for a fifth day in New York, falling as much as $1.38, or
1.9 percent, to $70.23 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York
Mercantile Exchange.
Copper for three-month delivery dropped 2.1 percent to $6,778 per metric ton
. Aluminum fell 1.7 percent to $2,065 per ton. Commodities tumbled the most
in nine months on May 14, with the Reuters/Jefferies CRB index of 19
commodities slumping 2.7 percent to 258.55.
To contact the reporters on this story: Will McSheehy in Singapore at
w*******[email protected] Raja in Sydney at s****[email protected].
Last Updated: May 16, 2010 23:01 EDT
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yaokarl (大象) 于 (Wed May 19 00:15:59 2010, 美东) 提到:
Wednesday Look Ahead: Watch the Financials, Euro
Published: Tuesday, 18 May 2010 | 10:19 PM ET
By: Patti Domm
CNBC Executive Editor
The financial sector will be at the crux of market worries Wednesday, as the
U.S. Senate moves closer to a vote on banking reform and German regulators
explain their surprise move to ban naked short-selling on a group of bank
stocks and sovereign debt.
Investors are looking for clarity on Germany's late day move Tuesday to ban
naked short selling in the shares of 10 German financial institutions and in
euro zone sovereign debt. The ban, which took effect at midnight, would
also apply to credit default swaps based on those bonds. German officials
hold a press briefing on the ban Wednesday.
As news of the rules slipped out during the early afternoon in New York, the
euro went into a dive, taking risk assets, like stocks and oil with it. The
euro [EUR=X 1.2208 0.0025 (+0.21%) ] fell to a fresh four-year low
against the dollar, touching $1.2161 before finishing at $1.2213. Oil fell
nearly 1 percent to $69.41, its lowest close since last September.
The Dow finished down 114 points at 10,510, after being up as much as 93
points on the day. The S&P 500 fell 15 points, or 1.4 percent, to 1120.
Euro Trashed
"The measures today were missing the forest for the trees," said David
Gilmore of Foreign Exchange Analytics. "Really all they do is channel more
of the market risk takers into expressing their negative view on the euro
zone into the currency."
"It says a lot of why the euro went to a new four-year low today, and that
was after spending most of the day strengthening and squeezing out short
positions. In any crisis, there's always going to be policy mistakes. Some
of the mistakes are going to be bigger than others. This has the potential
to be quite big. It may not be a Lehman mistake, but it's right up there,"
he said.
However, Stephen Stanley, chief economist with Pierpont Securities, said he
doesn't believe the moves will make that much of a difference unless other
countries join Germany.
"From what I read, it looks like it's really mostly symbolic. They clearly
have the ability and authority to prevent short selling on those German
stocks, but I don't think this has much teeth when it comes to euro bonds
and CDS... Much more of those trade in London than in Germany," he said.
Goldman Sachs' European economists, meanwhile, said they believe the move
was made by German officials to make the expected passage of the $440
billion euro bailout package Friday more palatable to the German parliament.
They also say they expect other countries to follow Germany's lead.
The new rules are valid until next March 31, and it appears to have some
exemptions for market makers who need to hedge.
The news leaked out after European markets were closed, but it rattled U.S.
investors who remembered U.S. regulators banning short selling in financial
stocks during the thick of the financial crisis.
"What bothers people here, in as much as it smacks of desperation, is when
we got to the stage where we were eliminating short selling, we were in deep
, deep trouble. I wouldn't have thought the situation was so dire over there
to take those actions. It's pretty clear policy makers are out of control,
and they're flailing around. That's not going to make the euro stop going
down," said Barry Knapp, head of U.S. equities strategy at Barclays Capital.
Fin Reg
Congressional efforts to enact financial regulatory reform legislation has
been a long process, and now that the Senate moves toward a potential vote
later this week, the market is taking more notice. The S&P financial sector
was down nearly 2.8 percent Tuesday, giving it a 7.8 percent decline this
month.
"I don't think people had really done the analysis on this, and all of the
sudden, we're at the verge of it, and now people are putting pen to paper
and they're saying 'wow,' he said. Knapp said if rules similar to Basile III
capital standards were applied to U.S. banks, the top 20 banks would need
an additional $160 billion in capital.
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Mon May 24 16:46:54 2010, 美东) 提到:
Personally, I don't expect a real bottom arrived until the Europe crisis
runs to its climax.
What is the climax gonna like? I guess it comes when there is some sense
of desperation about the integrity of Euro...
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urqueen (血拼也是一种天赋啊) 于 (Tue May 25 02:17:31 2010, 美东) 提到:
西班牙银行再现新麻烦 预计黄金价格将从中受益
中国伦敦金投资网 25 五月 2010 黄金资讯
西班牙政府周末接管了一家陷入困境的小型储蓄银行，增添了投资者对欧元区经济
前景以及债务问题的担忧，避险买盘推动现货黄金周一(5月24日)反弹回到1190美元/盎
司上方。
西班牙央行(Bank of Spain)上周六(5月22日)早些时候接管了储蓄银行CajaSur，
后者的贷款余额是130亿欧元，资产规模在西班牙金融体系总资产中所占的比例为0.6%
。CajaSur被认为是当地储蓄银行中最弱的一环，快速增长的不良房地产贷款极大地破
坏了其偿债能力。
西班牙央行表示，CajaSur破产不会影响西班牙整体银行体系。但专家警告称，若
不进一步整顿银行业，当前的信贷紧张状况可能更加进一步恶化，从而可能加剧西班牙
的经济停滞并加深投资者对包括希腊和葡萄牙在内欧元区外围国家的担忧。
欧元区一波未平一波又起，希腊问题稍稍平息，西班牙方面又传来坏消息，导致欧
元/美元跌逾1.50%，至1.24下方。目前看来，欧元区很难让投资者真正放心，未来欧元
继续下跌的可能性较高，预计黄黄金价格格将从中受益。
在长达十年的建筑和房地产热期间，西班牙许多储蓄银行的增长速度超过了上市银
行，很大程度上是因为它们为当地地产开发商提供的贷款更多。当房市泡沫开始收缩、
经济出现停滞时，西班牙银行业的不良贷款便开始以前所未有的速度增长。除失业率达
20%以及中央政府预算赤字不断扩大之外，整顿和清理储蓄银行已成为西班牙所面临的
最大挑战之一。
美国LaSalle Futures Group期货公司的交易员Matt Zeman表示，\”由于欧元重挫
，人们又开始回归避险黄金。上周被迫了结黄金头寸的投资者们正回到黄金市场，大家
都担心西班牙这次事件只是一个开始。\”
除了欧元区债务危机恶化以外，亚太地区的政治局势紧张也是刺激避险买盘的一个
因素。韩国总统李明博周一发表讲话称，将把\”天安舰\”沉船事件提交联合国安理会
处理。受此言论影响，亚洲投资者纷纷削减风险货币头寸，转向美元和黄金市场寻求避
险。
在投资者强烈的避险情绪中，黄金ETF成为他们最佳的避风港。全球最大的黄金ETF
–SPDR Gold Trust最新数据显示，截止周一(5月24日)，黄金持有量较前一交易日增加
16.737吨，刷新纪录至1236.889吨，增幅为1.37%。本月以来，该ETF已经累计增仓近78
吨，增幅达6.7%。
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Meixing (继续睡。。。) 于 (Tue May 25 02:40:33 2010, 美东) 提到:
没有莱曼倒闭，就不怕死捂．．．新闻咋说咋像，那不是咱的工作．．．
明天再大跌，抄！
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tanmaomao (坛猫猫) 于 (Tue May 25 16:21:55 2010, 美东) 提到:
given that 美国作空欧洲，或者说美元经济 做空 欧元经济。
除了欧洲核心国，还有谁有motive做多欧元的？
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Tue May 25 18:09:57 2010, 美东) 提到:
China? Devalued Euro hurts China's exports to Europe?
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tanmaomao (坛猫猫) 于 (Tue May 25 18:20:15 2010, 美东) 提到:
中美对话谈汇率 盖特纳称尊重中国汇率自主权
http://news.sohu.com/20100525/n272344072.shtml
中美决心增强两国关系发展稳定性 不受反复折腾
http://news.sohu.com/20100525/n272343817.shtml
外交部就天安号中印边界问题等答记者问(全文)
http://news.sohu.com/20100525/n272344242.shtml
朝和平统一委员会宣布与韩国断绝所有关系(图)
http://news.sohu.com/20100525/n272344070.shtml
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badfish (badfish) 于 (Tue May 25 18:24:45 2010, 美东) 提到:
When devaluted EURO hurts China's export, there is no chance for China to
increase the exchange rate of Yuan. American knows that, I think.
Devluated Euro also hurts American's export which is one of Obama's main
strategies to boost the economy. In this sense, I think USA gov will do
something to help Euro sometime at the late stage...
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tanmaomao (坛猫猫) 于 (Tue May 25 18:29:54 2010, 美东) 提到:
我也是在想有啥trigger可以扭转市场信心。
中国手里的美元和欧元数量庞大，是不容小视的市场力量，大MM。
中国应该是从心里希望欧元能够与美元抗衡一段时间，不说出口，看长远点，中国哲学
讲究制衡，欧元此番如果彻底被打趴下，美国的经济制霸地位就更稳固了，中美的力量
对比就朝着有利于美国的方向发展。
中国最希望看到美欧相争，最不愿意看到一方落败到无还手之力。有点像三国的味道。
美欧相争，则中国得力，这两天中美关系出现回暖迹象。欧洲这档事，把原来人民币升
值的事给冲淡了，中国应该很开心。
欧元最后肯定是没有问题，最后政治大佬们和金融大佬们通好气，政治大佬们鼓噪新闻
，金融大佬们做多，这事也就过去了。什么W型回调到09年2月的说法，打死我也不buy。
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tanmaomao (坛猫猫) 于 (Tue May 25 18:40:46 2010, 美东) 提到:
中美战略与经济对话框架经济对话联合成果说明
http://news.sohu.com/20100525/n272344151.shtml
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tanmaomao (坛猫猫) 于 (Thu May 27 12:39:18 2010, 美东) 提到:
今天大涨，新闻大部分归因于中国。
Stocks rocketed higher Thursday after China reassured investors it doesn't
plan to sell the European debt it holds.
buy。
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fluezone (万$散尽还复来***挖资本主义墙角) 于 (Thu May 27 17:44:42 2010, 美东) 提到:
as barbarpapa said
news is not important
the time when news out is important |
|
