A**l
发帖数: 225 | 1 恭贺TA开版！
先占个坑，等会儿来上几个图。^_^ |
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 2 Multi-year trendline was broken, brutally. May try for a rebound to 1100.
But long term does not look good. |
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 3 Triangle consolidation after a long down leg. Does not bode well.
And mkt was really weak on Friday.
Let's see how it goes next week.
Hope for the best & prepare for the worst. ^_^ |
o*****n
发帖数: 1080 | 4 Friday may have some other reasons to drop down, like many investors in 401K
account would transfer to money market, and the price is based on CLOSE PRI
CE....
But yes, too weak to be true..
【在 A**l 的大作中提到】
: Triangle consolidation after a long down leg. Does not bode well.
: And mkt was really weak on Friday.
: Let's see how it goes next week.
: Hope for the best & prepare for the worst. ^_^
|
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 5 ... To push down price on OE day just to rip people off on their fund sales
price? Doesn't seem reasonable. MM would suffer more from deviation away
from max pain than the benefit they get for the measly fund price difference
. Besides, people moving their 401K to money mkt have been happening for a
while now, not just on Friday.
Fund dumping is a problem. And there's the confidence issue --- traders
still don't want to hold positions over weekends.
401K
PRI
【在 o*****n 的大作中提到】
: Friday may have some other reasons to drop down, like many investors in 401K
: account would transfer to money market, and the price is based on CLOSE PRI
: CE....
: But yes, too weak to be true..
|
o*****n
发帖数: 1080 | 6 Yeah.. That is just one reason I read from 168, a general reason for recent
sell of at market close..
For the max pain, we were not necessarily to be at higher price...
Anyway, market is still lack of confidence now.
sales
difference
【在 A**l 的大作中提到】
: ... To push down price on OE day just to rip people off on their fund sales
: price? Doesn't seem reasonable. MM would suffer more from deviation away
: from max pain than the benefit they get for the measly fund price difference
: . Besides, people moving their 401K to money mkt have been happening for a
: while now, not just on Friday.
: Fund dumping is a problem. And there's the confidence issue --- traders
: still don't want to hold positions over weekends.
:
: 401K
: PRI
|
g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 7 I think there's huge fear in the market, and any rebounce is used for
dumping. Can't rule out an end of year rally, but long term, we are
probably only half way in the bear market. 2002 bottom will be breached,
and may be the ceiling for a long time.
VIX is too high, but LIBOR is not improving. I think we may see a pig
market for a while.
sales
difference
【在 A**l 的大作中提到】
: ... To push down price on OE day just to rip people off on their fund sales
: price? Doesn't seem reasonable. MM would suffer more from deviation away
: from max pain than the benefit they get for the measly fund price difference
: . Besides, people moving their 401K to money mkt have been happening for a
: while now, not just on Friday.
: Fund dumping is a problem. And there's the confidence issue --- traders
: still don't want to hold positions over weekends.
:
: 401K
: PRI
|
y***r
发帖数: 16594 | 8 I fell it is too close to the 2002-2003 bottom. I strongly like to see
market retest 750-800 area before the real rally.
【在 A**l 的大作中提到】
: Multi-year trendline was broken, brutally. May try for a rebound to 1100.
: But long term does not look good.
|
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 9
Yeah, agree. The magnitude and speed of the recent drop is quite stunning,
considering how far down we already were when it happened. Went through the
graphs and found 2 that matches it --- 1929 Dow & 2000 Naz. Both of those
downtrends lasted for multiple years. And top to bottom they lost 89% & 77%
respectively.
We are only 1 yr from the peak. A severe bear like this is going to take
time to correct. So it's probably still early to talk about THE bottom. But
the good news is that bear rallies
【在 g*****g 的大作中提到】
: I think there's huge fear in the market, and any rebounce is used for
: dumping. Can't rule out an end of year rally, but long term, we are
: probably only half way in the bear market. 2002 bottom will be breached,
: and may be the ceiling for a long time.
: VIX is too high, but LIBOR is not improving. I think we may see a pig
: market for a while.
:
: sales
: difference
|
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 10
... If we head down to re-test from here, the rebound would be too weak. I'm
really afraid that it'd break through. =(
【在 y***r 的大作中提到】
: I fell it is too close to the 2002-2003 bottom. I strongly like to see
: market retest 750-800 area before the real rally.
|
|
|
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 11 Rode a round of QID. Done.
Still in DIG. |
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 12 嘿嘿，没type完就到target30.2了。=P
Out. ^_^ |
A**l
发帖数: 225 | |
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 14
stopped out at 28
【在 A**l 的大作中提到】
: In QLD. try try.
|
p***n
发帖数: 1987 | 15 运气不好啊， 只差1小时！
【在 A**l 的大作中提到】
:
: stopped out at 28
|
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 16 进点选得不好。=P
【在 p***n 的大作中提到】
: 运气不好啊， 只差1小时！
|
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 17 Symmetrically triangle is turning into a descending triangle. That looks
bearish to me. Didn't like the way mkt moved on Friday, too weak, and not
much volume.
There's no good news or big rapid panic falls to cause a rally. Actually,
people may all be waiting for the next bounce up to run out.
On the other hand, given the Asian mkt's bloody conditions, US mkt is doing
remarkably well today!
Still don't see any trend. Maybe it'll just be a piggy range until after the
election.
Will be really bus |
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 18 工作太努力，没注意到大盘突然彪了！ // FT
只来得及冲进去吃了一段ICO 3.05->3.23.
出什么消息了？ |
A**l
发帖数: 225 | |
A**l
发帖数: 225 | |
|
|
y***r
发帖数: 16594 | |
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 22 Bottom of the range. New low & closing higher than prev day. Great volume.
Reversal day. |
g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 23 vrey similar to March. and dji being the leading indicator
【在 A**l 的大作中提到】
: Bottom of the range. New low & closing higher than prev day. Great volume.
: Reversal day.
|
A**l
发帖数: 225 | 24 感觉今天下半场还得跌。最好是跌透透给个痛快的。 |
