l**n 发帖数: 7272 | |
f*****c 发帖数: 3257 | 2 昨天花了20分钟,简单做了一个统计分析~预测本次的powerball number是其中一下三
个的一个:
3
19
21 |
j**n 发帖数: 551 | |
c*******o 发帖数: 5387 | 4 zkss
【在 f*****c 的大作中提到】 : 昨天花了20分钟,简单做了一个统计分析~预测本次的powerball number是其中一下三 : 个的一个: : 3 : 19 : 21
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N***M 发帖数: 4295 | |
f*****c 发帖数: 3257 | 6
模型昨天没保存~哈哈
【在 c*******o 的大作中提到】 : zkss
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t********e 发帖数: 931 | 7 The powerball drawing is a NOT a Markov process.
【在 f*****c 的大作中提到】 : 昨天花了20分钟,简单做了一个统计分析~预测本次的powerball number是其中一下三 : 个的一个: : 3 : 19 : 21
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c*******o 发帖数: 5387 | 8 赞专业。
【在 t********e 的大作中提到】 : The powerball drawing is a NOT a Markov process.
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f*****c 发帖数: 3257 | 9
~~~~~~~~~~~so professional~~~
【在 t********e 的大作中提到】 : The powerball drawing is a NOT a Markov process.
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a********8 发帖数: 73 | 10
说反了吧。Markov property just means 'memoryless'. if it's a non-Markov
process, then knowing the full history of previous winning numbers will help
you predict the future winning numbers, which is not true.
【在 t********e 的大作中提到】 : The powerball drawing is a NOT a Markov process.
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j***a 发帖数: 10844 | |
l**n 发帖数: 7272 | 12 haha. 统计朋友们都出来了。
有主任买彩票,大家没有道理不合作写个分析。然后,实战验证一下。
前面朋友说的markov model可能只是说可以估计状态。这相当于有a priori
information. 之后,可以搞一个ML估计出来。
help
【在 a********8 的大作中提到】 : : 说反了吧。Markov property just means 'memoryless'. if it's a non-Markov : process, then knowing the full history of previous winning numbers will help : you predict the future winning numbers, which is not true.
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C**T 发帖数: 5379 | 13 事实证明,概率面前,任何统计分析都是木有用的,LOL
【在 f*****c 的大作中提到】 : 昨天花了20分钟,简单做了一个统计分析~预测本次的powerball number是其中一下三 : 个的一个: : 3 : 19 : 21
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t********e 发帖数: 931 | 14 A random process has Markov property if its future probabilities can be
determined by its most recent values. It is used to simulate weather
conditions, stock market, transportation networks, biological systems, etc.
Not a lottery.
help
【在 a********8 的大作中提到】 : : 说反了吧。Markov property just means 'memoryless'. if it's a non-Markov : process, then knowing the full history of previous winning numbers will help : you predict the future winning numbers, which is not true.
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a********8 发帖数: 73 | 15 The series of lottery can be modeled as a multinomial process, similar to a
Bernoulli process (but instead of binary variables the outcome at each time
step is a combination of numbers). It has the Markov property.
In other words the lottery over time (a multinomial process) is still a
Markov process.
.
【在 t********e 的大作中提到】 : A random process has Markov property if its future probabilities can be : determined by its most recent values. It is used to simulate weather : conditions, stock market, transportation networks, biological systems, etc. : Not a lottery. : : help
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