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发帖数: 1100 | 1 I see a LOT of pundits making the same mistake now that they made after 2018
2016
Urban: Clinton +21
Suburban: Clinton +4
Rural: Trump +18
2020
Urban: Biden +22 (+1 pt Biden)
Suburban: Biden +10 (+6 Biden)
Rural: Trump +11 (+7 Biden)
Source: Economist/YouGov polls
Read NBC/CNN/Cook Political & you'll be left with the impression that it's
suburban voters who pick the pres, and they're the reason that Trump is
doomed. That ain't true! Rural voters make up only slightly fewer voters
than rural ones do, and their shift left is slightly larger! |
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