j*********r
发帖数: 24733 | 1 大发明家戈尔榜上有名啊。LOL
10 times 'experts' predicted the world would end by now
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while selling her "Green New Deal," said that
the world will end in 12 years if nothing is done to address climate change.
"Millennials and people, you know, Gen Z... we’re like: ‘The world is
gonna end in 12 years if we don’t address climate change,'" Ocasio-Cortez
said in January.
But similar past predictions – even by the most prestigious experts – have
failed to pan out. Here are 10 of the biggest doomsday prediction failures:
1.– GLOBAL WARMING TO WIPE NATIONS "OFF THE FACE OF THE EARTH" IF CLIMATE
CHANGE NOT ADDRESSED BY YEAR 2000
In 1989, the Associated Press relayed a warning from a U.N. official:
"A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off
the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is
not reversed by the year 2000."
The official was Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the U.N.
Environment Program, who added: "Shifting climate patterns would bring back
1930s Dust Bowl conditions to Canadian and U.S. wheatlands.”
Instead, U.S. and global farm production rose, and more than 1 billion
people worldwide rose out of extreme poverty due to economic growth.
CHERNOBYL ‘MAY STILL BE KILLING US’ AS BOOK WARNS DISASTER MIGHT BE BEHIND
‘GLOBAL RISE IN CANCER AND DISEASE’
No nations were “wiped off the face of the Earth” as of 2019.
However, those worried about warming caution that the U.N. official’s
prediction was nuanced.
“He is not saying that entire nations are going to be wiped off the face of
the earth by the year 2000,” Joe Romm, a senior fellow at American
Progress, told Fox News.
“He is saying that if we don’t dramatically reverse emissions by the year
2000 — then we are not going to be able to avoid future flooding,” Romm
said.
“It now seems inevitable that a number of island nations will be wiped off
the face of the earth because we didn’t act in time,” he added.
According to NASA, global sea levels rose 3.5 inches in the 25 years since
1993, when it began reporting satellite data on sea levels.
The world’s lowest-lying country is the Maldives, a collection of Pacific
islands with a population of just over 400,000, where the highest point in
the country is 7.9 feet above sea level, with much of it below 3 feet.
2.– MASS STARVATION BY 1975
In 1967, a best-selling book came out called “Famine 1975! America’s
Decision: Who Will Survive?”
It predicted mass starvation around the developing world due to increasing
population. “Today’s crisis can move in only one direction – toward
catastrophe,” it warned.
Some experts praised the book and ridiculed doubters.
TROPICAL TECTONIC COLLISIONS MAY HAVE UNLEASHED ANCIENT ICE AGES
“All serious students of the plight of the underdeveloped nations agree
that famine... is inevitable,” Cal Tech biology professor Peter Bonner
wrote in a 1967 review of the book in the prestigious journal Science.
The exact opposite of the book’s prediction happened. Famine deaths plunged
dramatically as farming technology improved, communist countries began
allowing private property again, and the globe became further connected.
According to a dataset put together by Our World in Data, more people died
of famine in the single decade prior to the book’s release than in all 52
years since it was published.
Yet the book got widespread praise from experts. Ecologist Paul Ehrlich, now
President of the Center for Conservation Biology at Stanford University,
said in 1968 that the book “may be remembered as one of the most important
books of our age.”
3.– GLOBAL FREEZING AS DANGEROUS AS NUCLEAR WAR
Global cooling was once a worry to many, such as University of California at
Davis professor Kenneth Watt, who warned that present trends would make the
world “eleven degrees colder in the year 2000 ... about twice what it
would take to put us into an ice age.”
British science writer Nigel Calder was just as worried. "The threat of a
new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of
wholesale death and misery for mankind,” Calder warned in International
Wildlife magazine in 1975.
ICE SAMPLES REVEAL A MASSIVE SUN STORM HIT EARTH IN ANCIENT TIMES ... AND IT
COULD HAPPEN AGAIN
That quote was dug up by George Mason University economist Walter E.
Williams, who argues that there are so many apocalyptic predictions because
“they have an agenda for more government control ... fear about the
environment is a way to gain government control,” Williams told Fox News.
“Communism and socialism have lost respectability, so it’s been repackaged
as environmentalism,” he added.
“It’s like watermelons — green on the outside, red on the inside.”
4.– MASSIVE WARMING BY THE YEAR 2000
The same U.N. official who predicted the loss of entire nations by the year
2000 also claimed: "the most conservative scientific estimate [is] that the
Earth’s temperature will rise 1 to 7 degrees in the next 30 years.”
But looking back from 2019, the temperature rose about half of a degree
Celsius since 1989, according to NASA.
HAUNTING PHOTOS SHOW DOZENS OF GAS MASKS LITTERING CHERNOBYL AS NATURE
RECLAIMS NUCLEAR PLANT BLAST SITE
Romm says that, regardless of what that U.N. official may have said, the
projections issued in the U.N.’s official reports have been good.
“All of the major scientific assessments of global warming have become more
dire over time because greenhouse gas emissions have until very recently
kept rising at a worst-case scenario rate,” Romm said.
Many who worry about global warming acknowledge that some past predictions
have been overblown, but say they hope that doesn’t distract people from
the reality that the earth is warming due to man – if more slowly and less
catastrophically than some have predicted.
“There have been predictions that have turned out not to come true,” John
P. Abraham, a Professor at the University of St. Thomas who has published
papers on climate change, told Fox News. “But ... the majority of climate
science was proven right.”
6.– AL GORE SAYS 10 YEARS ARE LEFT IN 2006
In 2006, while promoting his movie “An Inconvenient Truth”, Al Gore said
that humanity had only 10 years left before the world would reach a point of
no return.
Gore’s movie also featured animations of water inundating Manhattan and
Florida.
EVE OF DESTRUCTION: DOOMSDAY CLOCK HOVERS AT 2 MINUTES TO 'MIDNIGHT'
Yet Gore’s critics point out that just a few years later, he bought an $8
million beach-front property near Los Angeles.
“I wish the climate catastrophists practiced what they preached and sold me
their beachfront property at a steep discount,” Alex Epstein, author of “
The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels” told Fox News.
7.– ENVIRONMENTAL CATASTROPHE WILL CAUSE “NUCLEAR HOLOCAUST” BY THE YEAR
2000
In 1982, U.N. official Mostafa Tolba, executive director of the UN
Environment Program, warned:
“By the turn of the century, an environmental catastrophe will witness
devastation as complete, as irreversible, as any nuclear holocaust.”
ASTEROID THAT KILLED THE DINOSAURS CAUSED A MILE-HIGH TSUNAMI AROUND THE
EARTH
No such disaster occurred.
8.– MASS EXTINCTION BY 1995
In 1970, Sen. Gaylord Nelson, D-Wisc., – often considered the “father of
Earth Day” – cited the secretary of the Smithsonian, who “believes that
in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of
living animals will be extinct.”
That did not happen.
ANCIENT ANTARCTIC ICE SHEET COLLAPSE COULD CAUSE A GLOBAL FLOOD
A 2011 notice from the National Science Foundation quotes researcher Anthony
Barnosky at UC Berkeley, who said: "So far, only 1 to 2 percent of all
species have gone extinct in the groups we can look at clearly, so by those
numbers it looks like we are not far down the road to extinction.”
Barnosky still expressed concern over a long time horizon, saying that 75
percent of species could go extinct “in as little as 3 to 22 centuries.”
9.– METALS DEPLETED BY 1990
Scientist Harrison Brown predicted in Scientific American that lead, zinc,
tin, gold and silver deposits would be fully depleted before 1990.
MASS EXTINCTION, 'GREAT DYING' COULD HAPPEN AGAIN, SCIENTISTS WARN
But mining companies found new technologies and reserves, such that by 2019,
none of those minerals were near depletion.
10.– THE REAL REASON?
Economist Walter E. Williams says environmentalists have occasionally tipped
their hand about what motivates their predictions.
"We have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements,
and make little mention of any doubts we might have,” Stephen Schneider, a
professor of Biology at Stanford University, said to Discover magazine in
1989. “Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being
effective and being honest.”
END OF DAYS? TELESCOPE IMAGES REVEAL WHAT HAPPENS WHEN GALAXIES COLLIDE
Williams also cites Sen. Timothy Wirth, a Democrat from Colorado, who said
in 1988: "We've got to ... try to ride the global warming issue. Even if the
theory of global warming is wrong ... we will be doing the right thing
anyway in terms of economic policy and environmental policy."
Williams finds the exaggerated predictions of some environmentalists
unacceptable.
“Lying is never OK. To mislead people is never OK,” he told Fox News.
“You can mislead kids and tell them there is Santa Claus and the Easter
Bunny. But don’t treat adults as children.”
http://www.foxnews.com/science/10-times-experts-predicted-the-world-would-end-by-now | r*********t
发帖数: 4911 | 2 竟然曾经有人喊过GLOBAL FREEZING。。。。。。还是在global warming的人声称
warming进行时的1975年。。。 | f**********n
发帖数: 29853 | | J*****n
发帖数: 4859 | 4
那时流行的危害是二氧化硫，号称会导致全球变冷。
结果被事实打脸，这帮人也是人才，改成危害是二氧化碳了。
这几年又被事实打脸。
元素周期表上能和氧结合且在常温下气态的元素其实不多了。
【在 r*********t 的大作中提到】
: 竟然曾经有人喊过GLOBAL FREEZING。。。。。。还是在global warming的人声称
: warming进行时的1975年。。。
| P*A
发帖数: 7996 | | l*******g
发帖数: 27064 | 6 刚刚有新论文发表，说北极冰川出现了增长，增长速度和之前消亡速度一个样 |
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