n******h
发帖数: 2482 | 1 1. If this were anyone else, the election would be over. But keep in mind
that Trump doesn’t need to outrun the bear. He only needs to outrun his
camping buddy. There is still plenty of time for him to dismantle Clinton.
If you think things are interesting now, just wait. There is lots more
entertainment coming.
2. This was not a Trump leak. No one would invite this sort of problem into
a marriage.
3. I assume that publication of this recording was okayed by the Clinton
campaign. And if not, the public will assume so anyway. That opens the door
for Trump to attack in a proportionate way. No more mister-nice-guy. Gloves
are off. Nothing is out of bounds. It is fair to assume that Bill and
Hillary are about to experience the worst weeks of their lives.
4. If nothing new happens between now and election day, Clinton wins. The
odds of nothing new happening in that timeframe is exactly zero.
5. I assume that 75% of male heads of state, including our own past
presidents, are total dogs in their private lives. Like it or not, Trump is
normal in that world.
6. As fictional mob boss Tony Soprano once said in an argument with his wife
, “You knew what you were getting when you married me!” Likewise, Trump’s
third wife, Melania, knew what she was getting. It would be naive to assume
Trump violated their understanding.
7. Another rich, famous, tall, handsome married guy once told me that he can
literally make-out and get handsy with any woman he wants, whether she is
married or not, and she will be happy about it. I doubted his ridiculous
claims until I witnessed it three separate times. So don’t assume the women
were unwilling. (Has anyone come forward to complain about Trump?)
8. If the LGBTQ community wants to be a bit more inclusive, I don’t see why
“polyamorous alpha male serial kisser” can’t be on the list. If you want
to label Trump’s sexual behavior “abnormal” you’re on shaky ground.
9. Most men don’t talk like Trump. Most women don’t either. But based on
my experience, I’m guessing a solid 20% of both genders say and do
shockingly offensive things in private. Keep in mind that Billy Bush wasn’t
shocked by it.
10. Most male Hollywood actors support Clinton. Those acting skills will
come in handy because starting today they have to play the roles of people
who do not talk and act exactly like Trump in private.
11. I’m adding context to the discussion, not condoning it. Trump is on his
own to explain his behavior.
12. Clinton supporters hated Trump before this latest outrage. Trump
supporters already assumed he was like this. Independents probably assumed
it too. Before you make assumptions about how this changes the election, see
if anyone you know changes their vote because of it. All I have seen so far
is people laughing about it.
12. I hereby change my endorsement from Trump to Gary Johnson, just to get
out of the blast zone. Others will be “parking” their vote with Johnson
the same way. The “shy Trump supporter” demographic just tripled.
13. My prediction of a 98% chance of Trump winning stays the same. Clinton
just took the fight to Trump’s home field. None of this was a case of
clever strategy or persuasion on Trump’s part. But if the new battleground
is spousal fidelity, you have to like Trump’s chances.
14. Trump wasn’t running for Pope. He never claimed moral authority. His
proposition has been that he’s an asshole (essentially), but we need an
asshole to fight ISIS, ignore lobbyists, and beat up Congress. Does it
change anything to have confirmation that he is exactly what you thought he
was?
My thoughts above have more to do with reason than persuasion. And that
means you can ignore all of it because reason is not part of decision-making
when it comes to politics. On the persuasion level, all that matters is
whether this new development changes what you already assumed about Trump.
Personally, it didn’t change what I assumed about Trump’s personal life.
Your mileage may vary. | x****o
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