b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 1 google search trump news,会出来in the new第一栏：
Polls don't lie: Is Trump finally fading?
CNBC - 4 hours ago
Recent polls show Ben Carson ahead of Donald Trump. Is the mania over the
billionaire ...
Donald Trump tells super PACs supporting his candidacy to return all money
to donors
Washington Post - 6 hours ago
Donald Trump Has a Bad Week — His First
然后是根据google algorithm 排第一的新闻
http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2015/10/donald-trump-could-be-pr
民意已经通过点击和reference表达了啊 | b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 2 Here’s Why Donald Trump Really Could Be Elected President
Forget what the party elites and pundits have been saying—Trump has a
pretty clear path to not just the Republican nomination, but also the White
House.
From Brentwood mansions to Embassy Row in Washington, D.C., the idea that
Donald Trump could become president has alternately set off fits of laughter
and terror. While some political insiders, including a growing number of
establishment Republicans, concede that Trump could win the nomination, few
believe that Trump could actually become president. But a close analysis of
the political climate and electoral path to the presidency shows that the
possibility of a Donald in chief is less far-fetched than people imagine.
The establishment argument goes something like this: first, Trump will
implode, owing to some stupid thing he says or does (so far no sign of this)
. Then, maybe he could win the nomination but ultimately voters will see
what “we” (the elites) all see: he is unfit to be president and they will
vote for an alternative. That argument might work well if elections were won
by a national vote taken the year before the election, when the majority of
people paying attention are political elites, plus a small number of people
in early primary states. However, elections are won by achieving a
mathematical number: 270 electoral votes. In that formula, Trump is just as
competitive—and perhaps more so—as either John McCain, in 2008, or Mitt
Romney, in 2012.
To be clear, at the moment Trump is the absolute and clear front-runner for
the Republican nomination. Trump has been the front-runner longer and by a
more significant margin than any of the many flameouts he is often compared
to from past campaigns. Comments made by Trump, which would have tanked any
other politician’s campaign, seem to bounce off him, and even make him more
compelling to certain voters.
Assuming Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee, some inside the Beltway
believe there is a possibility that she might win states like Indiana, North
Carolina, Missouri, and Montana, which Obama won or only narrowly lost in
2008. But with Trump in the race, all of those states—which are more red
than they were in ’08—are likely out for Democrats. Swing states like
Colorado and Virginia are clear toss-ups. There are few states that Romney
or McCain won where Trump, as the Republican nominee, wouldn’t be in the
running, and an analysis of other key states shows that Trump’s in far
better position than his detractors would like to admit. If Trump were to
win every state that Romney won, Trump would stand today at 206 electoral
votes, with 55 electoral votes up for grabs in Pennsylvania, Colorado,
Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Hampshire. Similarly, Trump does not
necessarily lose in a single toss-up state versus Hillary Clinton and, in
fact, is seemingly competitive in many.
Virginia is trending blue, but could be a toss-up, particularly given the
tale of Dave Brat, whose success in 2014 could be read as a harbinger of
Trump. Colorado will have high Republican turnout, given that it is home to
what’s likely to be one of the country’s most contested Senate races—
which could make it more competitive than it should be, considering Trump’s
comments about Latinos. Depending on how well Trump shows in the Iowa and
New Hampshire primaries, they too could be in play. In two of the remaining
states, Wisconsin and Nevada, any Democratic nominee will have an upper hand
—particularly Clinton. But Trump will be able to effectively contest,
particularly in a place like Wisconsin, with working-class white voters who
elected Scott Walker three times in four years. Finally, Pennsylvania, which
has been leaning ever-more blue and will likely go blue this year, will
nonetheless require Clinton to spend some resources and time there—taking
away from her efforts in other swing states.
Which all means that the election comes down to Florida and Ohio, two states
where Trump has significant advantages. In Florida (29 electoral votes), he
is a part-time resident and is polling better than the state’s former
governor and sitting U.S. senator. He’s also currently neck and neck with
Clinton in polls of the state’s likely voters. The state’s important
Hispanic population is more skewed toward people of Cuban rather than
Mexican ancestry—some of whom may not be as turned off by Trump’s anti-
Mexican immigration comments as Hispanics in other states. The Florida
voting population includes a high percentage of evangelicals (a group with
whom Trump seems to have had baffling success). Let’s also not forget
Florida’s troubled history around running elections properly, which
includes not just the Bush v. Gore campaign of 2000, but regularly some of
the longest lines and most egregious cases of disenfranchisement of minority
voters anywhere in the country. Plus, it currently has a Republican
governor, and Republican majorities in both of its state legislatures.
In Ohio (18 electoral votes), it’s a similar story. Unions, which have long
helped Democrats succeed in Ohio, are growing weaker nationwide. Trump has
obvious appeal to Reagan Democrats with his “make America great again”
message. As in Florida, polls indicate that he’s almost tied with Clinton
in Ohio. Trump’s additional appeal here is his brand of aspirational wealth
. While there is debate over his actual net worth, for millions of everyday
Americans across the country, Donald Trump is synonymous with wealth and
success. As was brilliantly shown in a focus group of New Hampshire voters,
Trump’s resonance with today’s version of the American Dream is hugely
aspirational for people who are unemployed and financially hurting. And it
stands in contrast to other candidates releasing economic white papers.
One of the great mysteries of Trump’s success thus far is that, even though
he is far wealthier than Romney, hardly any of the attack lines used
against Romney about his wealth have stuck on Trump. Through the campaign to
date, Trump has been able to brand himself as a truth-teller and “just one
of us,” which presents a major advantage in a cycle where average voters
are craving authenticity.
Donald Trump also has two secret weapons, and it remains to be seen if he
will be able to use them effectively. The first is the ability to write a
multi-million-dollar check for his own campaign. So far, Trump has worked a
minor miracle—running for president, leading the polls for three months,
and doing it all on the cheap. He raised just under $4 million last quarter,
putting him ahead of his favorite “loser,” Rand Paul, and his largest
expenditure was $400,000 on hats and T-shirts. Wisely, he is not spending
money where he doesn’t need to. But when and if he does need to spend,
particularly if he’s leading and winning, it’s highly likely he will. We’
ve never had a true billionaire as a major-party nominee, and the campaign
value there cannot be understated.
The second secret weapon Trump has at his disposal is an underrated
potential to turn out massive numbers of new voters. Trump truly is “yuuge.
” He has an audience that follows him from network to network, and he’s
seemingly gotten more people to tune into debates than ever. Almost every
time he appears on a TV show, the program experiences a massive ratings jump
. He gave Jimmy Fallon one of his highest-rated episodes since his debut.
While very few real celebrities (sorry, Clay Aiken) have run for office,
those who have possess a compelling track record: Ronald Reagan, Arnold
Schwarzenegger, Jesse Ventura, Al Franken, Sonny Bono. Trump would, in fact,
be one of the best-known celebrities ever to run for public office (as of
July, Trump’s name ID was 92 percent, roughly the same as Clinton’s).
Across the country, and in Florida and Ohio in particular, Trump is well
positioned to turn out new voters. He’s been adept at using social media to
engage new supporters. But while social media can turn people on, it alone
cannot turn people out. To actually bring potential Trump voters to the
polls will require a sophisticated digital and data operation and a massive
registration campaign. Candidates like Clinton and Bush are building those
efforts now—and have been for months. At least as of his most recent F.E.C.
report, Trump has not started building this team, and the talent who would
be needed to work on such a project may no longer be available.
But as Trump would remind us, he knows the best people, he has so much money
, and he has the best negotiating tactics in the world. While I’m not
predicting Donald Trump will win the presidency, it’s time for us all to
realize that President Trump is not only not implausible—it’s very
possible.
BY DAVID BURSTEIN | m****s
发帖数: 494 | 3 怎么根据Google Algorithm找？
有时候真是烦人 一看标题就知道有些新闻是垃圾
【在 b**********s 的大作中提到】
: google search trump news,会出来in the new第一栏：
: Polls don't lie: Is Trump finally fading?
: CNBC - 4 hours ago
: Recent polls show Ben Carson ahead of Donald Trump. Is the mania over the
: billionaire ...
: Donald Trump tells super PACs supporting his candidacy to return all money
: to donors
: Washington Post - 6 hours ago
: Donald Trump Has a Bad Week — His First
: 然后是根据google algorithm 排第一的新闻
| b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 4 如果你search一个词，第一栏是google给sponser links，也就是花钱让google show的。
后面是按Google Algorithm列的。拍的越靠前，说明相关度越高。google怎么定义相关
度呢？很重要的考量是看你的网页被别人多少次饮用。
【在 m****s 的大作中提到】
: 怎么根据Google Algorithm找？
: 有时候真是烦人 一看标题就知道有些新闻是垃圾
| b******i
发帖数: 1183 | 5 谢谢啦。我还真没注意到
【在 b**********s 的大作中提到】
: google search trump news,会出来in the new第一栏：
: Polls don't lie: Is Trump finally fading?
: CNBC - 4 hours ago
: Recent polls show Ben Carson ahead of Donald Trump. Is the mania over the
: billionaire ...
: Donald Trump tells super PACs supporting his candidacy to return all money
: to donors
: Washington Post - 6 hours ago
: Donald Trump Has a Bad Week — His First
: 然后是根据google algorithm 排第一的新闻
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