S******4
发帖数: 2865 | 1 I am LOL-ing at all the desparate posts by Romney lovers, quoting pathetic
predictions of people like Karl Rover and Dick Morris (who else are they
going to predict to win?), and the number of bumper stikers and yard signs,
etc.
I thought you guys all had science PhDs and Masters? =)
Just FYI, 4 years ago, there was a little guy called Mitt Romney predicting
on TV one day before the election, that McCain will win Florida, North
Carolina, Ohio, Indiana, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada...
McCain ended up winning.... NONE of them, 0 out of 7.
So if you don't want to be bitterly disappointed, ignore those partisan "
predictions".
How do we know how the election is going? There is only one thing you should
focus on in two hours.
Forget Ohio... this year is Virginia, Virginia, Virginia!
Virginia most closely mirrored the national election four years ago, giving
Obama 52.6% of the vote (he won 52.9% nationally), and Virginia is the
closest battle ground this year. If one candidate is declared the winner in
Virginia fairly early in the evening, then he will win the whole thing. | p***i
发帖数: 2119 | | Y***a
发帖数: 193 | 3 不一定，尽管就排在OH之后。
如果R赢了〉2个白分点，R就赢了全国。也说明民调是错的。民调最近几乎全部倒向O8。
如果O赢了，基本就都赢了。
R赢的不多的话，那么结果说不准。 | S******4
发帖数: 2865 | 4 I think if Romney did well in Virginia, it will finally prove that all the
polls are statistically biased against GOP, that all the white voters have
revolted against Obama. And I think Romney will carry OH and FL too.
But if Romney can only win very narrowly or trail Obama, then Obama's
polling advantage in OH, WI and NV are real, and Obama will win easily.
【在 p***i 的大作中提到】
: 羅姆尼贏了VA，不贏OH和FL也是白搭。
| s********t
发帖数: 4150 | 5 Makes sense.
【在 S******4 的大作中提到】
: I think if Romney did well in Virginia, it will finally prove that all the
: polls are statistically biased against GOP, that all the white voters have
: revolted against Obama. And I think Romney will carry OH and FL too.
: But if Romney can only win very narrowly or trail Obama, then Obama's
: polling advantage in OH, WI and NV are real, and Obama will win easily.
| G***G
发帖数: 16778 | 6 stop dreaming.
【在 S******4 的大作中提到】
: I think if Romney did well in Virginia, it will finally prove that all the
: polls are statistically biased against GOP, that all the white voters have
: revolted against Obama. And I think Romney will carry OH and FL too.
: But if Romney can only win very narrowly or trail Obama, then Obama's
: polling advantage in OH, WI and NV are real, and Obama will win easily.
| S******4
发帖数: 2865 | 7 I am just pointing out what we will know in about two hours. I am not going
to say which way Virginia will go. (And frankly I don't know, neither do
anyone here.)
I am Obama supporter btw.
【在 G***G 的大作中提到】
: stop dreaming.
| m****n
发帖数: 2415 | | S******4
发帖数: 2865 | 9 Thank you!
I firmly believe in arguing on facts and numbers. And I hope others on this
board will too (though a bit impossbile).
【在 m****n 的大作中提到】
: 分析得不错!
| S******4
发帖数: 2865 | 10 Only 10 mins to VA and other eastern States poll close.
If you are interested in this, you should turn on TV now. =) | p***i
发帖数: 2119 | 11 哈哈哈。最後羅姆尼就拿下北卡。連佛羅里達都丟了。 | e****M
发帖数: 280 | |
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