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m**c
发帖数: 199 | 1 知道你喜欢圈圈, 贴点有用的就行了，不要一直说废话，说了也没用，等6号就好了
还有别发短信和email骂人，有点素质 | r***l
发帖数: 9084 | 2 加拿大的保守党都连任3次了，经济搞的比美国强多了，估计他们气死了，呵呵 | l*****8
发帖数: 16949 | 3 这个加拿大的老大爷发太多一句话帖子了，版主是该管管了。 | l**1
发帖数: 1875 | | l*****8
发帖数: 16949 | 5 你把这些一句话放在一两个帖子里行不？你以为你的贴子能让哪怕一个人改投奥巴马？
【在 l**1 的大作中提到】
: 话不在多，一句话插中要害，就行。
| m****g
发帖数: 3975 | 6 http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/blog/2012/nov/02/americans-v
Americans would like to vote out Obama, but Romney makes it difficult
Sandy may have tipped the balance back in favour of the president days
before the US election
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Barack Obama
Barack Obama, whose campaign has a revived momentum. Photograph: Jewel Samad
/AFP/Getty Images
On the BBC a few weeks ago the New York Times pundit David Brooks explained
to his British audience that American voters are "looking for an excuse to
vote against the president". Spot on, I thought. Voters are disappointed in
the promise that Barack Obama represented in 2008, but Mitt Romney has been
making it hard for swing voters to elect him president instead.
Since then it's looked as if next Tuesday's ballot may swing Romney's way
after all. But no. As hurricane Sandy roared up the US eastern seaboard,
fate may have tipped the balance back in Obama's direction by showing him
quietly in charge and reminding folks the government – local, state or
federal – isn't always the enemy of Tea Party fantasy.
Overnight we've also learned that New York's mayor, Michael Bloomberg, the
little guy with the sign language aide at his side, soft-spoken but
reassuring and on top of the detail, is backing Obama and by implication the
benign power of government.
That's quite a big deal, like Boris Johnson endorsing Ed Miliband – don't
hold your breath, Ed – at the 2015 election here. Except that Bloomberg is
an ex-Republican independent, a self-made billionaire who has the gravitas
that Boris lacks, though he generally makes worse jokes.
Hizzoner – as Americans call their big city mayors – is shrewdly political
enough to praise Romney as a "good and decent man" who has done good things
. Alas, "he has reversed course on all of them", including the healthcare
model he created as governor of Massachusetts, the mayor noted in a
statement. But the clincher for Bloomberg is Romney's hostility to climate
change.
This week's devastation "may or may not be" a result, but the risk requires
"immediate action", Bloomberg concludes. That's spot on too. When I mocked
CNN's hysterical buildup to hurricane Sandy here this week I got it partly
wrong. The havoc and death it actually wreaked – as opposed to the spine-
chilling advance publicity – was more severe than I initially grasped, as
we all now know.
But one of my complaints, which remains valid, was the widespread reluctance
of many Americans to concede that manmade climate change may be a crucial
driver of its increasingly turbulent continental weather. The daily US
weather map that most newspapers carry can be extraordinary, a Wagnerian
drama which piles two feet of snow on Idaho on the same day that oranges are
ripening in Florida sunshine. Floods, snow, twisters, droughts; it's never
dull.
Yet it remains an article of faith with many Americans that they can master
nature as they mastered their vast land – chopped down its forests, dammed
its rivers, cultivated its deserts, drilled for its oil, tamed its forest
fires. Herman Melville's classic MobyDick told them otherwise – the sea
always wins – but it's not a message everyone wants to hear. Obama's
strategy has been to let events talk for themselves.
Bloomberg knows it – if you take a look at the storm, be careful, nature is
stronger than us, he warned New Yorkers this week. After all, the great
port city is surrounded by water – Manhattan, Long Island and Staten Island
are just that – and the East and Hudson rivers are close to the vast
Atlantic swell. The Thames Barrier, a mighty undertaking, currently protects
London. It would not be enough to protect New York as water levels rise.
The polarised ideological gridlock of Washington politics, far more severe
than in post-cold-war Europe, exaggerates disagreements and damages politics
threatens the economic recovery, whoever wins on Tuesday. It needn't be that
way. Just look at the courteous way Obama and Chris Christie, admired
Republican governor of New Jersey, have treated each other in this week's
crisis.
None of this plays Romney's way or the way Tea Party types want to see the
world. I hesitate to say it's clinched re-election for the president. When
Romney made his coarse assessment of the Democratic electoral base – the 47
% of people who depend on benefits from the state – in September I
suggested it might – might – be the turning point, ensuring the challenger
's defeat.
So it might have done, but for Obama's strikingly feeble performance in the
first presidential debate. It was precisely the sort of event which – to
quote Brooks – gave wavering voters an excuse to vote him out. If he looked
so disengaged that he didn't seem to want the job, why not let the other
fellow have a go?
After all, he had not lived up to expectations, though in fairness to Obama
a kind reader on Twitter draws my attention to this robust defence of the
president's record by Jonathan Chait in the New York magazine. In the later
debates Obama fought back – and now the hurricane has played to his
strengths.
Does it matter who wins? At the Cambridge Festival of Ideas last weekend I
heard a panel of experts on Asia – one Korean, one Japanese and one Chinese
– saying there is less interest than usual in the contest on their side of
the Pacific. The US focus is tilting towards China (60% of US warships are
now in the Pacific, we were told) but the anti-China rhetoric – formerly
anti-Japanese – over unfair trade is much quieter in 2012.
Whoever wins won't change US policy much (whatever aggressive pledges Romney
is making) seemed to be east Asia's verdict. Well, maybe.
I'd still say it matters quite a lot. Romney may plan to govern from the
centre if he becomes president and Republican forces in Congress and the
country allow him to – as they denied much scope to Obama. But it is
certainly not what he's been saying.
On climate change, denial is dominant. Republicans still want to deport
millions of illegal immigrants, they would cut spending on benefits for
those layabout Democrats – healthcare and stuff – while increasing defence
spending AND cutting taxes for everyone. A constitutional curb on gays
rights, the outlawing of abortion etc etc.
A pre-emptive attack on Iran's nuclear plants, support for more West Bank
settlements, the list is a long one – and scary. What we know from the
record, two Bushes and Ronald Reagan, is that Republicans are better at
cutting taxes, mostly for the rich, than cutting spending the way they
promise to cut it. That's why the US has a crippling debt problem, a more
serious budget imbalance than our own, possible only because of the residual
prestige (for now) of the dollar.
Add all that to the superior organisational power of the Democratic machine
– the Obama team's better grasp of social media as campaign tools that
offset the billionaire bank-rolling of Romney – together with the changing
demographics of the US, and it points me to the same conclusion.
Obama's crowds are much smaller than in 2008, but they're multiracial. That'
s America's future, black, white, Hispanic, Asian. Indeed the insurgency of
the Tea Party, which was forced to settle for Romney (Paul Ryan, a
consolation prize who could prove an error), may be the last hurrah of the
old all-white hegemony.
If they can't beat a disappointing incumbent, they may have to come to terms
with the new realities at home and abroad. Modernisation of the Republican
party is long overdue. Obama to scrape home after all. | g******y
发帖数: 1101 | 7
加拿大的保守党，呵呵，你知道吗全世界发达国家的保守党也就和民主党一个水平，共
和党属于类似德国的极右翼政党，不信的话你可以去查查他们的纲领。
还是多开开眼界吧，美国不代表世界，你也不是美国人。
【在 r***l 的大作中提到】
: 加拿大的保守党都连任3次了，经济搞的比美国强多了，估计他们气死了，呵呵
| p****x
发帖数: 1376 | 8 that is why most of European countries' economy sucks
【在 g******y 的大作中提到】
:
: 加拿大的保守党，呵呵，你知道吗全世界发达国家的保守党也就和民主党一个水平，共
: 和党属于类似德国的极右翼政党，不信的话你可以去查查他们的纲领。
: 还是多开开眼界吧，美国不代表世界，你也不是美国人。
| m****g
发帖数: 3975 | 9 说得是, 其实他们不太知道这个世界, 更让我觉得这些极端右派就和毛匪差不多.
别说我是左派, 历来我是站在温和派一边, O8我也不满意.
【在 g******y 的大作中提到】
:
: 加拿大的保守党，呵呵，你知道吗全世界发达国家的保守党也就和民主党一个水平，共
: 和党属于类似德国的极右翼政党，不信的话你可以去查查他们的纲领。
: 还是多开开眼界吧，美国不代表世界，你也不是美国人。
| b*******n
发帖数: 8420 | 10 左棍自以为是的劲头又上来了
你们再欧洲的左棍同僚把欧洲搞得怎么样了？欧元什么时候破产？
【在 m****g 的大作中提到】
: 说得是, 其实他们不太知道这个世界, 更让我觉得这些极端右派就和毛匪差不多.
: 别说我是左派, 历来我是站在温和派一边, O8我也不满意.
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