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发帖数: 45 | 1 http://www.foxbusiness.com/investing/2012/09/04/history-shows-m
股市， GDP， 公司利润
According to McGraw-Hill’s (MHP) S&P Capital IQ, the S&P 500 has rallied an
average of 12.1% per year since 1901 when Democrats occupy the White House,
compared with just 5.1% for the GOP.
Likewise, gross domestic product has increased 4.2% each year since 1949
when Democrats run the executive branch, versus 2.6% under Republicans.
Even corporate profits show a disparity: S&P 500 GAAP earnings per share
climbed a median of 10.5% per year since 1936 during Democratic
administrations, besting an 8.9% median advance under Republicans, S&P said.
Due to their “tax-and-spend” reputation, investors expect Democratic
administrations to underperform Republican ones and be “poison to any
portfolio,” Sam Stovall, chief equity strategist at S&P Capital IQ, wrote
in a note. “History shows the opposite to be true, however.”
................
Who Gets Credit?
According to Stovall, every Republican president since Warren Harding (1921
–1923) has experienced a recession within the first two years of office,
perhaps due to the excesses of the prior administration.
“You can stoke the economy by spending irresponsibly, but then someone else
has to clean up the mess,” said Stovall.
On the other hand, since World War II there have been three two-term
presidents whose administrations were bookended by recessions and all three
were Republicans, said Stovall.
Read more: http://www.foxbusiness.com/investing/2012/09/04/history-shows-markets-gdp-outperform-under-democrats/#ixzz2ANW7fpIh
http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/rick-newman/2012/09/06/bill-cl
就业：
Clinton has some intriguing facts on his side. Aside from a rounding error,
his historical numbers are accurate (figures from the Bureau of Labor
Statistics show that the tally under Democrats since 1961 rounds to 41
million, not 42 million). I crunched the numbers a few different ways to see
if Clinton was cherry-picking the best numbers. His figures measure job
gains from the month a president took office until the month he left. Since
it takes a year or so for any president's policies to go into effect, I also
measured job gains from one year after each president took office till one
year after he left. Here's the score by that measure: Democrats: 38 million
new jobs, Republicans, 27 million.
Clinton only mentioned private-sector jobs, so I pulled the data for all
jobs, including government. Again, the Dems have a big edge, accounting for
48 million new jobs, compared with 31 million for Republicans. If you push
the boundaries out one year for each president, the gap narrows to 44
million new jobs under Democrats, and 34 million under Republicans. | c******g
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