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USANews版 - AP-GfK Poll: More than half say Obama should lose
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WASHINGTON (AP) — A majority of adults say President Barack Obama does not
deserve a second term but are evenly divided on whether he will win re-
election next year, says a new Associated Press-GfK poll that highlights
some of the campaign obstacles he faces.
Although the public would prefer Obama be voted out of office, he fares
relatively well in potential matchups with Republicans Mitt Romney and Newt
Gingrich. Another bit of good news for the Democrat: For the first time
since spring, more adults said the economy got better in the past month than
said it got worse.
The president's approval rating on unemployment shifted upward — from 40
percent in October to 45 percent in the latest poll — as the jobless rate
fell to 8.6 percent last month, its lowest level since March 2009.
But Obama's approval rating on his handling of the economy overall remains
stagnant: 39 percent approve and 60 percent disapprove.
Heading into the 2012 campaign, the poll shows the challenges facing Obama
as he tries to win a second term among a public that does not support his
steering of the economy, the most dominant issue for Americans, or his
reforms to health care, one of his signature accomplishments. Yet voters
appear to be grappling with whether to replace him with Romney or Gingrich.
For the first time, the poll found that a majority of adults, 52 percent,
said Obama should be voted out of office while 43 percent said he deserves a
second term. The numbers represent a clear reversal since last May, when 53
percent said Obama should be re-elected while 43 percent said he didn't
deserve four more years.
Separately, 49 percent expected Obama to win re-election while 48 percent
think he will be voted out of office.
Obama's overall job approval stands at a new low: 44 percent approve while
54 percent disapprove. The president's standing among independents is worse:
38 percent approve while 59 percent disapprove. Among Democrats, the
president holds steady with an approval rating of 78 percent while only 12
percent of Republicans approve of the job he's doing.
"I think he's doing the best he can. The problem is the Congress won't help
at all," said Rosario Navarro, a Democrat and a 44-year-old truck driver
from Fresno, Calif., who voted for Obama in 2008 and intends to support him
again.
Robin Dein, a 54-year-old homemaker from Villanova, Pa., who is an
independent, said she supported Republican John McCain in 2008 and has not
been impressed with Obama's economic policies. She intends to support Romney
if he wins the GOP nomination.
"(Obama) spent the first part of his presidency blaming Bush for everything,
not that he was innocent, and now his way of solving anything is by
spending more money," Dein said.
Despite the soft level of support, many are uncertain whether a Republican
president would be a better choice. Asked whom they would support next
November, 47 percent of adults favored Obama compared with 46 percent for
Romney, a former Massachusetts governor. Against Gingrich, the president
holds a solid advantage, receiving 51 percent compared with 42 percent for
the former House speaker.
The potential matchups paint a better picture for the president among
independents. Obama receives 45 percent of non-aligned adults compared with
41 percent for Romney. Against Gingrich, Obama holds a wide lead among
independents, with 54 percent supporting the president and 31 percent
backing the former Georgia congressman.
Another piece of good news for Obama: people generally like him personally.
His personal favorability rating held steady at 53 percent, with 46 percent
viewing him unfavorably. About three-quarters called him likable.
The economy remains a source of pessimism, though the poll suggests the
first positive movement in public opinion on the economy in months. One in
five said the economy improved in the last month, double the share saying so
in October. Still most expect it to stay the same or get worse.
"I suppose you could make some sort of argument that it's getting better,
but I'm not sure I even see that," said independent voter John Bailey, a 61-
year-old education consultant from East Jordan, Mich. "I think it's bad and
it's gotten worse under (Obama's) policies. At best, it's going to stay bad."
Despite the high rate of joblessness, the poll found some optimism on the
economy. Although 80 percent described the economy as "poor," respondents
describing it as "very poor" fell from 43 percent in October to 34 percent
in the latest poll, the lowest since May. Twenty percent said the economy
got better in the past month while 37 percent said they expected the economy
to improve next year.
Yet plenty of warning signs remain for Obama. Only 26 percent said the
United States is headed in the right direction while 70 percent said it was
moving in the wrong direction.
The president won a substantial number of women voters in 2008 yet there
does not appear to be a significant tilt toward him among women now. The
poll found 44 percent of women say Obama deserves a second term, down from
51 percent in October, while 43 percent of men say the president should be
re-elected.
About two-thirds of white voters without college degrees say Obama should be
a one-term president, while 33 percent of those voters say he should get
another term. Among white voters with a college degree, 57 percent said
Obama should be voted out of office.
The poll found unpopularity for last year's health care reform bill, one of
Obama's major accomplishments. About half of the respondents oppose the
health care law and support for it dipped to 29 percent from 36 percent in
June. Just 15 percent said the federal government should have the power to
require all Americans to buy health insurance.
Even among Democrats, the health care law has tepid support. Fifty percent
of Democrats supported the health care law, compared with 59 percent of
Democrats last June. Only about a quarter of independents back the law.
The president has taken a more populist tone in his handling of the economy,
arguing that the wealthy should pay more in taxes to help pay to extend a
payroll tax cut that is worth about an additional $1,000 to a family earning
about $50,000 a year. Among those with annual household incomes of $50,000
or less, Obama's approval rating on unemployment climbed to 53 percent, from
43 percent in October.
The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted Dec. 8-12 by GfK Roper Public
Affairs and Corporate Communications. It involved landline and cellphone
interviews with 1,000 adults nationwide and has a margin of sampling error
of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
___
Associated Press writer Stacy A. Anderson and News Survey Specialist Dennis
Junius contributed to this report.
___
Online: http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com
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I predict O8 win another term巴马支持率都跌下40%了 (转载)
奥巴马向左,美国大众向右CNN/ORC调查,50%美国人不认为奥巴马诚实且值得信任
Obama's approval on the rise疤蟆支持率继续下跌
小左的春秋笔法,已经到了完全不要脸的地步了.已有医疗保险的美国人中,将近半数的保险会变差
Fox News调查,68%美国人认为政府失去控制,威胁民权调查显示:美国大众明确反对巴马和民猪党对非法移民的政策
Majority Disapproves of Debt-Ceiling Agreement in One-Day PollIllegal Alien Invasion Now Obama’s Worst Issue in New Poll
只有25%的美国人支持bamacareObama-Romney race is focused on 7 states
Grim economic outlook weighs down Obama approval ratingGingrich losing momentum, poll shows
相关话题的讨论汇总
话题: percent话题: obama话题: said话题: poll话题: economy