文章中说，
如果克林顿对麦凯恩，大选的情形会类似与九二年和九六年；
如果奥巴马对麦凯恩，则会类似〇四年，或者更糟。
民主党押宝在奥巴马身上，这个赌注很高，
赢面却很小。 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/05/obamas_woes_a_tale_of_three_st.html
Obama's Woes: A Tale of Three States
May 29, 2008
By Richard Baehr
If you want evidence that the Democrats are taking a huge gamble by
nominating Barack Obama as their Presidential candidate, you need look no
further than the current state of the race in three Southern/border states.
In 1992 and 1996 Bill Clinton won Kentucky,
