W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 1 Trumponomics Gets The Thumbs Down From Nobel-Winning Economists
by Rich Miller
January 6, 2017, 4:17 PM CST
Stiglitz cites ‘broad consensus’ Trump policies won’t work
Columbia University’s Phelps sees risk of a deep recession
President-elect Donald Trump Photographer: Don Emmert/AFP via Getty Images
A pack of Nobel Prize-winning economists gave Donald Trump and his policy
plans the thumbs-down on Friday, with one saying the president-elect’s
programs could lead to a deep recession.
Speaking on a panel during the first day of the annual American Economic
Association meeting in Chicago, the Nobel laureates voiced a variety of
concerns about the billionaire developer’s stance, from his haranguing of U
.S. companies about their outsourcing plans to the risk that his tax and
spending proposals could lead to run-away budget deficits.
“There is a broad consensus that the kind of policies that our president-
elect has proposed are among the polices that will not work,” said Joseph
Stiglitz, summing up the views of the panel that included his fellow
Columbia University professor Edmund Phelps and Yale University’s Robert
Shiller.
Such disapproval though is likely to fall on deaf ears. Trump rode to
victory on the back of an unconventional campaign that was short on advice
from Ph.D. economists -- relying more on a team of wealthy businessmen --
and there’s no indication that’s about to change. He pledges to accelerate
growth and create millions of well-paid jobs through spending hikes and tax
cuts as well as reduced regulations and renegotiated trade deals.
Discouraging Newcomers
Phelps was particularly critical of Trump’s singling out of individual
companies for abuse and praise, saying such interference could end up
discouraging newcomers from entering markets and bringing with them much-
needed innovation.
“The Trump government is threatening to drive a silver spike into the heart
of the innovation process,” he said.
Phelps also voiced concern about Trump’s plans for big tax cuts and
spending increases. “Such a policy runs the risk it could lead to an
explosion of public debt and ultimately cause a serious loss of confidence
and a deep recession,” he said.
That also has the University of Chicago’s Roger Myerson worried. While
other presidents have run big budget deficits in the past, they depended on
foreign purchases of U.S. debt to do so.
‘Confidence and Trust’
With Trump threatening to renegotiate U.S. trade agreements and shift to an
“America First” policy, the willingness of foreigners to keep buying U.S.
government securities can’t be taken for granted, Myerson said.
America’s interaction with other countries “has to be based on confidence
and trust,” Stiglitz said. “That’s being eroded.”
Angus Deaton of Princeton University said he was less worried about the U.S.
economy under Trump than he was about international relations, particularly
when it comes to China.
The Asian nation was facing difficult economic problems and sounding more
bellicose in the region even before Trump won the presidency on a vow to
take it on, Deaton said.
Yale’s Shiller was the only Nobel Prize winner on the panel discussion who
didn’t take a shot at Trump. “I’m a natural optimist and I would not like
to speculate on how bad it could get,” he said. “Maybe one of the other
panelists wants to do that.”
They certainly did. |
b******r
发帖数: 277 | 2 这些经济学家都是globalists, 经济学人一直唱衰川大 就那几点老生长谈
奥黑和欧洲左派的经济政策把国家整的这么衰弱也没见放个屁 |
W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 3 Trumponomics is basically a hot-head business plan looking for quick profits
'll fail miserably |
t**********s
发帖数: 2968 | 4 经济学家都是纸是谈兵的货。
trump 是实干家实践家。
中国可以走“扩大基础建设，刺激经济”的事，为什么在美国不能实现？？美国没做过
，就等于美国不可能实现？这恐怕是懦夫型经济学家与中共的一厢情意吧。
真像我们曾经有过的经历：当你想将你奋斗目标告诉周围人并开始实践时，你的周围所
谓亲密朋友亲戚都会反对并再三劝你小心谨慎，其实这些亲密朋友亲戚真是为你好为你
担心吗？呸！当你低谷时，这些人全会离你远远的。他们骨子里最怕的是你有朝一日高
飞，将他们比下去！
用在trump身上也一样！trump 有这样大胆的想法，我相信他一定能实现。中国通过基
础扩建发展经济，其实没什么秘密，也没什么天然优势条件。就是因为勇敢或者称是在
“被逼无奈”下的举措。
祝福美国！ |
C*****5
发帖数: 8812 | 5 “真像我们曾经有过的经历：当你想将你奋斗目标告诉周围人并开始实践时，你的周围
所谓亲密朋友亲戚都会反对并再三劝你小心谨慎，其实这些亲密朋友亲戚真是为你好为
你担心吗？”
你们家挺奇葩的。
【在 t**********s 的大作中提到】
: 经济学家都是纸是谈兵的货。
: trump 是实干家实践家。
: 中国可以走“扩大基础建设，刺激经济”的事，为什么在美国不能实现？？美国没做过
: ，就等于美国不可能实现？这恐怕是懦夫型经济学家与中共的一厢情意吧。
: 真像我们曾经有过的经历：当你想将你奋斗目标告诉周围人并开始实践时，你的周围所
: 谓亲密朋友亲戚都会反对并再三劝你小心谨慎，其实这些亲密朋友亲戚真是为你好为你
: 担心吗？呸！当你低谷时，这些人全会离你远远的。他们骨子里最怕的是你有朝一日高
: 飞，将他们比下去！
: 用在trump身上也一样！trump 有这样大胆的想法，我相信他一定能实现。中国通过基
: 础扩建发展经济，其实没什么秘密，也没什么天然优势条件。就是因为勇敢或者称是在
|
t**********s
发帖数: 2968 | 6
你年轻经历少，当然没感受。希望你总是一帆风顺！
【在 C*****5 的大作中提到】
: “真像我们曾经有过的经历：当你想将你奋斗目标告诉周围人并开始实践时，你的周围
: 所谓亲密朋友亲戚都会反对并再三劝你小心谨慎，其实这些亲密朋友亲戚真是为你好为
: 你担心吗？”
: 你们家挺奇葩的。
|
W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 7
“扩大基础建设，刺激经济”
where t money comes from
more QE (printing more $$$$)?
higher high on national debt?
they wanted to create wealth from thin air
【在 t**********s 的大作中提到】
: 经济学家都是纸是谈兵的货。
: trump 是实干家实践家。
: 中国可以走“扩大基础建设，刺激经济”的事，为什么在美国不能实现？？美国没做过
: ，就等于美国不可能实现？这恐怕是懦夫型经济学家与中共的一厢情意吧。
: 真像我们曾经有过的经历：当你想将你奋斗目标告诉周围人并开始实践时，你的周围所
: 谓亲密朋友亲戚都会反对并再三劝你小心谨慎，其实这些亲密朋友亲戚真是为你好为你
: 担心吗？呸！当你低谷时，这些人全会离你远远的。他们骨子里最怕的是你有朝一日高
: 飞，将他们比下去！
: 用在trump身上也一样！trump 有这样大胆的想法，我相信他一定能实现。中国通过基
: 础扩建发展经济，其实没什么秘密，也没什么天然优势条件。就是因为勇敢或者称是在
|
W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 8 on trade
they just want to be the only winner
others r losers |
W***n
发帖数: 11530 | |
r*****e
发帖数: 7853 | 10 相信trump在经济上会干一些实事，虽然方法会有些粗鲁，就像土工野蛮干预汇率一样
。不过这没什么不好 |
M*****0
发帖数: 1061 | |
t**********s
发帖数: 2968 | 12
就印嘛，向中共学习呵，中共已经印了300倍于美元的量，不断在输出通货膨胀，美元
稍稍印一点，也比共党差远呢！你为何不让美国钞票？怕醒过来的美国比中国强？？将
中国比下去？？我上面贴里就讲过，很多中国人最怕周围的人都比他强，国与国之间，
中国与美国，其情其形何其相似。呵呵。以前老美自认国际警察（军事经济），结果这
个警察束缚了美国自己。全世界通货膨涨无需美国来care，你不印钞，有国家烂印钞并
控制操纵汇率后输出通胀，不如美国自己也放松一下自己呵。当世界警察担责任还特招
人恨，自己还得不到好处，养肥的都是白眼狼，真是几面不是人。
当然美国还是有一点责任心的，所以可能在2017加息3次，防止扩大基建发展经济后引
起的通货膨胀。这算是还有责任心！
为何怕美国发展，打击美国发展，是不是怕醒来的美国自顾自建设变得更加
强大，更加让人高不可攀？美国强大不好吗？？
所谓的经济学家心理是十分阴暗的，可能是因为没能进入白宫决策层，酸酸的。
【在 W***n 的大作中提到】
: 鼠 目 寸 光
|
