B******e
发帖数: 16928 | 1 Above 7%, market will soar.
Just 7%, this news will have no effect on the market because no info from
this number.
Between 6.8 and 7, market will be down as when the official agency cannot
make the number up to 7, that smells deep trouble and the true number can
well below 6.8.
Below 6.8 but above 6.5, market will open low first due to concern about the
economy being so bad then finish higher because it further reduced the
chance of rate increase in the near future. Also, if the official agency
announces those low numbers, it may increase the credibility of those
numbers, making people think the economy may be growing at around 6.5, not
good but certainly not a disaster.
Anything below 6.5, market will crash as this is really dooms day scenario. |
w******l
发帖数: 1400 | 2 拭目以待
the
【在 B******e 的大作中提到】
: Above 7%, market will soar.
: Just 7%, this news will have no effect on the market because no info from
: this number.
: Between 6.8 and 7, market will be down as when the official agency cannot
: make the number up to 7, that smells deep trouble and the true number can
: well below 6.8.
: Below 6.8 but above 6.5, market will open low first due to concern about the
: economy being so bad then finish higher because it further reduced the
: chance of rate increase in the near future. Also, if the official agency
: announces those low numbers, it may increase the credibility of those
|
S*******n
发帖数: 10009 | 3 re!
the
【在 B******e 的大作中提到】
: Above 7%, market will soar.
: Just 7%, this news will have no effect on the market because no info from
: this number.
: Between 6.8 and 7, market will be down as when the official agency cannot
: make the number up to 7, that smells deep trouble and the true number can
: well below 6.8.
: Below 6.8 but above 6.5, market will open low first due to concern about the
: economy being so bad then finish higher because it further reduced the
: chance of rate increase in the near future. Also, if the official agency
: announces those low numbers, it may increase the credibility of those
|
x*******n
发帖数: 503 | 4 厉害，你写的？
the
【在 B******e 的大作中提到】
: Above 7%, market will soar.
: Just 7%, this news will have no effect on the market because no info from
: this number.
: Between 6.8 and 7, market will be down as when the official agency cannot
: make the number up to 7, that smells deep trouble and the true number can
: well below 6.8.
: Below 6.8 but above 6.5, market will open low first due to concern about the
: economy being so bad then finish higher because it further reduced the
: chance of rate increase in the near future. Also, if the official agency
: announces those low numbers, it may increase the credibility of those
|
g***n
发帖数: 14250 | 5 偶觉得要看外资是不是悄悄撤退。股市里只要资金够泡泡就多一些，p/e就会高。
不过外资信心可能会受gdp 影响，由于 tpp，以后的预期也不太会被看好。可能下跌的
机会多一些。不过对美股的影响应该不大，花街随便解释下，比如说 tpp 见效，就能
说成是好消息 |
f*********9
发帖数: 1986 | 6 不管中国官方报多少数字，花街都会减去3，曰之“水分太大，难以置信” |
g*****1
发帖数: 1121 | |
S*******n
发帖数: 10009 | 8 外资跑了很多了吧，所以中国外汇存在跌
【在 g***n 的大作中提到】
: 偶觉得要看外资是不是悄悄撤退。股市里只要资金够泡泡就多一些，p/e就会高。
: 不过外资信心可能会受gdp 影响，由于 tpp，以后的预期也不太会被看好。可能下跌的
: 机会多一些。不过对美股的影响应该不大，花街随便解释下，比如说 tpp 见效，就能
: 说成是好消息
|
s********i
发帖数: 17328 | 9 新算法，肯定大于7%了。把2014年第三季度算低点，2015年就超过7%了。大家一起high
吧。
＝＝＝
在公布新标准下的GDP数据前，国家统计局修订了季度GDP历史数据，其中，2014年第三
季度GDP绝对额修订为了163467亿元，同比增速由此前的7.3%修订为7.2%。 |
g***n
发帖数: 14250 | 10 八月的大跌有中国数据的影响么？
会有那么大作用？
那每个季度都这么来一次震荡，大家都好发财啊
不过任何情况发生两次，都不会再按前一次的路线走了。 |
S*******n
发帖数: 10009 | 11 没有。Q2七月报的。那次是人民币大贬？
不会这么快又有大跌了。
【在 g***n 的大作中提到】
: 八月的大跌有中国数据的影响么？
: 会有那么大作用？
: 那每个季度都这么来一次震荡，大家都好发财啊
: 不过任何情况发生两次，都不会再按前一次的路线走了。
|
M***n
发帖数: 5815 | 12 最后结果出来是6.9%,看看会不会是下面这个情况：
"Between 6.8 and 7, market will be down as when the official agency cannot
make the number up to 7, that smells deep trouble and the true number can
well below 6.8." |
s******1
发帖数: 4987 | 13 China fear won't matter so much anymore considering the big volatility in
August and September, just like crude oil plunging and Greek crisis
eventually faded away. What's to watch is Fed's policy. |
