p**********e
发帖数: 703 | 1 probability calculation:
without any news, if buy now, the p of
up: 50%
down: 50%
two trial results coming before the end of 2013, if
0 was good, then the p of up? down?
1 was good, then the p of up? down?
2 were good, then the p of up? down? | p**********e
发帖数: 703 | | s**********9
发帖数: 846 | 3 wow, running. good news on the way?
Only 500 shares at 6.03 for gambling
low volume though | p**********e
发帖数: 703 | 4 The news is coming???
【在 p**********e 的大作中提到】
: probability calculation:
: without any news, if buy now, the p of
: up: 50%
: down: 50%
: two trial results coming before the end of 2013, if
: 0 was good, then the p of up? down?
: 1 was good, then the p of up? down?
: 2 were good, then the p of up? down?
| s**********9
发帖数: 846 | 5 NND, 7.05 只卖掉了400股。 还留100 股 | p**********e
发帖数: 703 | 6 It may turn to be a good thing, $7.56 now...you never know :)...
【在 s**********9 的大作中提到】
: NND, 7.05 只卖掉了400股。 还留100 股
| p**********e
发帖数: 703 | 7 I don't know statistics, but it works in this case...
a blind cat met a dead mouse :)
【在 p**********e 的大作中提到】
: probability calculation:
: without any news, if buy now, the p of
: up: 50%
: down: 50%
: two trial results coming before the end of 2013, if
: 0 was good, then the p of up? down?
: 1 was good, then the p of up? down?
: 2 were good, then the p of up? down?
| E**********r
发帖数: 2743 | | p**********e
发帖数: 703 | 9 Game is over now (40% gain in three weeks), but still hoping any statistics
expert can help to calculate the Ps so I would bet with more confidence next
time,
thanks in advance....
【在 p**********e 的大作中提到】
: probability calculation:
: without any news, if buy now, the p of
: up: 50%
: down: 50%
: two trial results coming before the end of 2013, if
: 0 was good, then the p of up? down?
: 1 was good, then the p of up? down?
: 2 were good, then the p of up? down?
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