p**8
发帖数: 3883 | 1 操他妈的。。。有点民族节操吗??
好股有的是，为何去捧 DIS 的臭脚？？
同样是D打头的，我看 DVN 半年后表现（以昨天收盘价和05/08/14收盘价相比）就会比
DIS好。 |
p**8
发帖数: 3883 | |
D******e
发帖数: 11265 | 3 DVN以你的水平是玩不来的，别瞎玩了，换别的吧。 |
f*********r
发帖数: 7485 | 4 這個股你說說為啥看好？TA上一塌糊塗
別亂喊害了青蛙
【在 p**8 的大作中提到】
: 操他妈的。。。有点民族节操吗??
: 好股有的是，为何去捧 DIS 的臭脚？？
: 同样是D打头的，我看 DVN 半年后表现（以昨天收盘价和05/08/14收盘价相比）就会比
: DIS好。
|
w********o
发帖数: 10088 | 5 dvn短线看有可能在58.3左右有个支撑，但跌势没完
dis现在也不好说，周线不好看，日线的跌势有没有止住还有待考察
【在 p**8 的大作中提到】
: 操他妈的。。。有点民族节操吗??
: 好股有的是，为何去捧 DIS 的臭脚？？
: 同样是D打头的，我看 DVN 半年后表现（以昨天收盘价和05/08/14收盘价相比）就会比
: DIS好。
|
p**8
发帖数: 3883 | 6 1. I said "半年后表现". it means it is based on FA, not TA.
2. 2014 could be a break-out year, with Devon earning $6.57 a share, aided
by higher production and better commodities prices.
3. Devon could hive off its oil sands in an IPO.
Devon shares could rise 25% or more to exceed $80 a share in 2014 |
p**8
发帖数: 3883 | 7 LOL
【在 D******e 的大作中提到】
: DVN以你的水平是玩不来的，别瞎玩了，换别的吧。
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 8 嗯, this is the first time ever i see a post from you that talk like a
normal person. so i'll respond to you as a normal stock discussion.
FA is not my strong suit, but i don't think a simple TTM EPS can be called
FA. i assume you have more data but not saying here. from what i read it's
TTM EPS is -4.3, project next year EPS 5.5, WHICH ALREADY PRICED IN THE
POTENTIALLY BETTER COMMODITIES PRICES. Project next 5yr EPS growth at a
meager 8.4%. Commodity price is highly fluctuating - at this point
everything hinges on China's growth - whether it will continue or not.
Facing the reform, fragile banking system as well as notorious non disclose
until too late to cover nature of communist government - The risk is
moderate to high.
***from TA point of view, DVN is exactly the stock to avoid - it just failed
breakout at 64. the breakdown is convincing and forceful. it not only
broke down 64 resistant, it even broke below long term support of 200ma - i
suggest cut if you have it. The best scenario is DVN find support at the 56
level.***
On the other side of coin, DIS is in the money printing business, yes, it
sell imagination to kids for outrageous money. They draw up cartoons and use
the media that they own to promote to kids, and kids turn around direct
where their parents spend the money - it's a clever and effective marketing
strategy. Who can say no to their child? the more economy improve and the
more money they going to make. China is going to be their biggest money
making machine I'm afraid - Shanghai disney is going to be the top grossing
resort in the world when it come open. doesn't matter you protest or not.
TA is impeccable, right at the buying range. don't wait till it's 15 pct up
and come ask is it still time to get in. yes, long term pick are still valid
, but your risk is significantly higher - a simple 10% correction can make
your life miserable.
You can shout your political slogan. but be honest when it come to making
investing suggestion on the board.
【在 p**8 的大作中提到】
: 1. I said "半年后表现". it means it is based on FA, not TA.
: 2. 2014 could be a break-out year, with Devon earning $6.57 a share, aided
: by higher production and better commodities prices.
: 3. Devon could hive off its oil sands in an IPO.
: Devon shares could rise 25% or more to exceed $80 a share in 2014
|
b*d
发帖数: 3069 | 9 非常make sense的回复。大夫你的FA和PA也不错啊
disclose
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 嗯, this is the first time ever i see a post from you that talk like a
: normal person. so i'll respond to you as a normal stock discussion.
: FA is not my strong suit, but i don't think a simple TTM EPS can be called
: FA. i assume you have more data but not saying here. from what i read it's
: TTM EPS is -4.3, project next year EPS 5.5, WHICH ALREADY PRICED IN THE
: POTENTIALLY BETTER COMMODITIES PRICES. Project next 5yr EPS growth at a
: meager 8.4%. Commodity price is highly fluctuating - at this point
: everything hinges on China's growth - whether it will continue or not.
: Facing the reform, fragile banking system as well as notorious non disclose
: until too late to cover nature of communist government - The risk is
|
l*********m
发帖数: 16971 | 10 re
disclose
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 嗯, this is the first time ever i see a post from you that talk like a
: normal person. so i'll respond to you as a normal stock discussion.
: FA is not my strong suit, but i don't think a simple TTM EPS can be called
: FA. i assume you have more data but not saying here. from what i read it's
: TTM EPS is -4.3, project next year EPS 5.5, WHICH ALREADY PRICED IN THE
: POTENTIALLY BETTER COMMODITIES PRICES. Project next 5yr EPS growth at a
: meager 8.4%. Commodity price is highly fluctuating - at this point
: everything hinges on China's growth - whether it will continue or not.
: Facing the reform, fragile banking system as well as notorious non disclose
: until too late to cover nature of communist government - The risk is
|
|
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 11 time to review this duel, DIS VS DVN for long term hold.
DVN had a hugh spike fueled by the news. unfortunately, the stock still goes
it own course after the excitement dies down. head for touch of the 200ma
as i predicted. It has made a low and now it's past the low point of
correction and now it's a buy prospect. and good to put in an initial
position- may still be weeks before it can come out of the correction and
start rally.
DIS is an leader in DOW30 on the other side, rallying, just simply hold and
you will see a return of nearly $4 (including $.89 dividend). the rally is
very mild from weekly chart. so i think it still has long way to go. I see
it go close to 80 in first quarter of 2014. so far return 5.6% which nearly
50% above DIA's return of 3.5% during the same period.
which one would you rather own?
and who said TA can't by use for long term investment? |
w*******e
发帖数: 734 | 12 I like DVN chart much better. it seems more predictable.
it show a huge head and shoulders breakout in weekly chart.
if it can rest on support line that I can draw, then the breakout on daily
chart can be confirmed as well.
I am still trying to draw trendlines everywhere that I can find. LOL
Anyway I do not like either one.
disclose
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 嗯, this is the first time ever i see a post from you that talk like a
: normal person. so i'll respond to you as a normal stock discussion.
: FA is not my strong suit, but i don't think a simple TTM EPS can be called
: FA. i assume you have more data but not saying here. from what i read it's
: TTM EPS is -4.3, project next year EPS 5.5, WHICH ALREADY PRICED IN THE
: POTENTIALLY BETTER COMMODITIES PRICES. Project next 5yr EPS growth at a
: meager 8.4%. Commodity price is highly fluctuating - at this point
: everything hinges on China's growth - whether it will continue or not.
: Facing the reform, fragile banking system as well as notorious non disclose
: until too late to cover nature of communist government - The risk is
|
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 13 Thanks for the update!
Do you think it is a good strategy to hold some long calls for DIS? Say
$75 July 2014 calls.
still goes
200ma
and
hold and
rally is
see
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: time to review this duel, DIS VS DVN for long term hold.
: DVN had a hugh spike fueled by the news. unfortunately, the stock still goes
: it own course after the excitement dies down. head for touch of the 200ma
: as i predicted. It has made a low and now it's past the low point of
: correction and now it's a buy prospect. and good to put in an initial
: position- may still be weeks before it can come out of the correction and
: start rally.
: DIS is an leader in DOW30 on the other side, rallying, just simply hold and
: you will see a return of nearly $4 (including $.89 dividend). the rally is
: very mild from weekly chart. so i think it still has long way to go. I see
|
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 14 What stocks are on your watch list?
daily
【在 w*******e 的大作中提到】
: I like DVN chart much better. it seems more predictable.
: it show a huge head and shoulders breakout in weekly chart.
: if it can rest on support line that I can draw, then the breakout on daily
: chart can be confirmed as well.
: I am still trying to draw trendlines everywhere that I can find. LOL
: Anyway I do not like either one.
:
: disclose
|
w*******e
发帖数: 734 | 15 Here is the 10 minute chart. price broke up through the resistance line on
Friday. it just needs more time to watch.
I am drawing lines whole day long. it gets lots of funs. LOL
【在 w*******e 的大作中提到】
: I like DVN chart much better. it seems more predictable.
: it show a huge head and shoulders breakout in weekly chart.
: if it can rest on support line that I can draw, then the breakout on daily
: chart can be confirmed as well.
: I am still trying to draw trendlines everywhere that I can find. LOL
: Anyway I do not like either one.
:
: disclose
|
w*******e
发帖数: 734 | 16 A lot. every stock that people mention in Stock版.I only enter market for 3
weeks. I read posts on mitbbs every day. I just build my watch list from
other people's mouth. The watch list seems too large now?
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: What stocks are on your watch list?
:
: daily
|
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 17 What is the software that you are using?
on
【在 w*******e 的大作中提到】
: Here is the 10 minute chart. price broke up through the resistance line on
: Friday. it just needs more time to watch.
: I am drawing lines whole day long. it gets lots of funs. LOL
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 18 once the trendline become obvious, calls become very expensive because the
future prospect is priced into the option. i'd not buy long OTM at this
point. time value is high for a slow runner like DIS. deep ITM may still be
OK.
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: Thanks for the update!
: Do you think it is a good strategy to hold some long calls for DIS? Say
: $75 July 2014 calls.
:
: still goes
: 200ma
: and
: hold and
: rally is
: see
|
w*******e
发帖数: 734 | 19 it is freestockcharts.
it is free from freestockcharts.com.
but do not expect it will draw lines for you. You have to do it by your
mouse.
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: What is the software that you are using?
:
: on
|
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 20 DIS又新高了，达到大夫的预期价格了
sigh～可惜买少了，自己尽瞎折腾
大夫你说是不是该realize一些gain了
DIS is an leader in DOW30 on the other side, rallying, just simply hold and
you will see a return of nearly $4 (including $.89 dividend). the rally is
very mild from weekly chart. so i think it still has long way to go. I see
it go close to 80 in first quarter of 2014. so far return 5.6% which nearly
50% above DIA's return of 3.5% during the same period.
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: once the trendline become obvious, calls become very expensive because the
: future prospect is priced into the option. i'd not buy long OTM at this
: point. time value is high for a slow runner like DIS. deep ITM may still be
: OK.
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 21 HOLD. that's the minimal target. it can be a wild run year for disney. At
least hold till you see the news of Shanghai disney been mentioned in the
DIS discussion.
and
nearly
【在 s***m 的大作中提到】
: DIS又新高了，达到大夫的预期价格了
: sigh～可惜买少了，自己尽瞎折腾
: 大夫你说是不是该realize一些gain了
:
: DIS is an leader in DOW30 on the other side, rallying, just simply hold and
: you will see a return of nearly $4 (including $.89 dividend). the rally is
: very mild from weekly chart. so i think it still has long way to go. I see
: it go close to 80 in first quarter of 2014. so far return 5.6% which nearly
: 50% above DIA's return of 3.5% during the same period.
|
s***m
发帖数: 6197 | 22 谢谢大夫！
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: HOLD. that's the minimal target. it can be a wild run year for disney. At
: least hold till you see the news of Shanghai disney been mentioned in the
: DIS discussion.
:
: and
: nearly
|
