t*********e
发帖数: 630 | 1 Dow Will Hit 60,000 in 20 Years, Ron Baron Says
Highlights:
1.Investors who base their buy and sell decisions on current news generally
sell and buy at exactly the wrong times. It's crazy.
2. This is why the average investor in mutual funds makes 3 percent per year
while the average mutual fund earns 7 percent per year.
3. The economic recovery, he said, is the reason why now is a "great time to
buy.
4. Baron stressed the average length of time his firm holds their stocks is
seven years.
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On June 20, a day when investors were heading for the hills and the market
was down sharply, Ron Baron's Baron Capital saw its strongest inflows of the
year.
The markets plunged that day after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
indicated the central bank was getting ready to exit its extreme monetary
easing program.
When asked about the recent equity market sell-off that accompanied Fed
fears, the renowned buy-and-hold investor stressed buying and selling on
news is not a good strategy.
"Money is running from bonds and gold. I think people investing in bonds can
have significant capital depreciation over the next several years," he said
in an interview.
Ron Baron, Baron Capital chairman & CEO, shares where he is his seeing long-
term investment opportunities in technology and brick &mortar plays.
"Everyone thinks they are advantaged by trading on news. They are not. This
is why the average investor in mutual funds makes 3 percent per year while
the average mutual fund earns 7 percent per year." Baron added.
"Investors who base their buy and sell decisions on current news generally
sell and buy at exactly the wrong times. It's crazy," he continued.
The biggest market mover this summer has been worries the Fed will pull back
on its $85 billion a month bond-buying as part of quantitative easing.
"Investors are selling aggressively reacting to news the Fed's announcement
that they might slow their open market bond purchases because the economy is
steadily improving."
The economic recovery, he said, is the reason why now is a "great time to
buy."
"Companies have almost doubled their earnings in the past 13 years while
stock prices have increased only about 25 percent," he said.
Expecting stock market returns for the next 20 years to approximate the 7
percent annual returns earned by U.S. stocks for generations, Baron quoted
Albert Einstein that "the most powerful force in the universe is compound
interest."
He said in his opinion based on the compounding effect, "the Dow Jones will
be 30,000 in 10 years, 60,000 in 20 years."
Baron is putting his money behind his words.
Some stocks Baron Capital has recently purchased include Concho Resources,
Edwards Lifesciences, Hyatt, Caesarstone, Manchester United, Dick's Sporting
Goods and Under Armour.
Emphasizing these purchases are not for the short-term, Baron stressed the
average length of time his firm holds their stocks is seven years.
"This is the beginning, not the end for stocks." said Baron. "You should not
be afraid to invest now." | a*****e
发帖数: 16445 | 2 Well it's quite possible, as long as the world does not end. | b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 3 这个怎么可能最大卫星，去年包括本版都好几篇DOW 12万点的帖子。 | m********o
发帖数: 2088 | 4 DOW tripled in the Clinton presidency. We need another Clinton to triple DOW
from here:-) | t*********e
发帖数: 630 | 5 什么时候能够做到，几年只需要调整一次 portfolio 的组合，其他时间都 travel
around the world，或像陈光标那样背着现炒到处撒钱，就好了。 |
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