L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 1 我估计现在先填空， 把三月初153的那个缝补上。 后面就不知道会咋样
呼唤紫晶 |
j*******i
发帖数: 1457 | 2 大夫 153是哪个指数
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 我估计现在先填空， 把三月初153的那个缝补上。 后面就不知道会咋样
: 呼唤紫晶
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | |
r*m
发帖数: 16380 | |
s******s
发帖数: 1793 | |
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 6 你老三周前就开扑了， 给拖得半死了吧。
【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: 高位震荡，拖死急熊，勾引笨牛，一泻千里
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 7 回调一下健康
【在 s******s 的大作中提到】
: 大本每月印85B,不Buy Dip就是傻瓜.
|
B********0
发帖数: 472 | 8 还是呼唤永远伟大光荣正确的P38来指点一下踏实
已经放出来了吧，怎么不见了
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 我估计现在先填空， 把三月初153的那个缝补上。 后面就不知道会咋样
: 呼唤紫晶
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 9 呵呵， 马后我也会， 精确到小数点后两位。
【在 B********0 的大作中提到】
: 还是呼唤永远伟大光荣正确的P38来指点一下踏实
: 已经放出来了吧，怎么不见了
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 10 http://www.mitbbs.com/mitbbs_article.php?board=Stock&id=3465186
outlook remains the same
later next week market will see its first high, which could be THE
top for the weak nasdaq
market is expected to have another rally after a pull back, the big
turn is expected to be two months from now and the strong sell off
is 3 months away
the summer will be very ugly.
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 我估计现在先填空， 把三月初153的那个缝补上。 后面就不知道会咋样
: 呼唤紫晶
|
|
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 11 very good, thank you.
i don't think 156.8 is top either, but the market is definitely looking very
tired. a drop here is needed to pull more side line money in. this
retraction so far is much milder than the last one (feb) so i think it's
going to be longer too.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: http://www.mitbbs.com/mitbbs_article.php?board=Stock&id=3465186
: outlook remains the same
: later next week market will see its first high, which could be THE
: top for the weak nasdaq
: market is expected to have another rally after a pull back, the big
: turn is expected to be two months from now and the strong sell off
: is 3 months away
: the summer will be very ugly.
|
p*******o
发帖数: 1464 | 12 赞！
【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: 高位震荡，拖死急熊，勾引笨牛，一泻千里
|
j******m
发帖数: 3259 | 13 Spx 1515?
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 我估计现在先填空， 把三月初153的那个缝补上。 后面就不知道会咋样
: 呼唤紫晶
|
j******m
发帖数: 3259 | 14 紫晶不出来，大夫出来说说俺们的spy葡萄怎么办吧。。。
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 我估计现在先填空， 把三月初153的那个缝补上。 后面就不知道会咋样
: 呼唤紫晶
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 15 汗死， 死皮扑又水下了， 时间就这么一天天的耗去。
Outlook还是不变， 今天so far 量还是没有， 大部分的股票只是昨天跌后的回浮，
除了虎子， 星星大牛的DDD。 Mos大牛的苹果。 market. Is vulnerable, filling
the gap early next week is the most likely outcome. But trading spy put is
almost like a day trade, swinging between up 50%- down 50% for me. |
j******m
发帖数: 3259 | 16 紧跟大牛脚步！
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 汗死， 死皮扑又水下了， 时间就这么一天天的耗去。
: Outlook还是不变， 今天so far 量还是没有， 大部分的股票只是昨天跌后的回浮，
: 除了虎子， 星星大牛的DDD。 Mos大牛的苹果。 market. Is vulnerable, filling
: the gap early next week is the most likely outcome. But trading spy put is
: almost like a day trade, swinging between up 50%- down 50% for me.
|
m*s
发帖数: 6855 | 17 weekly spy puts亏的真快，我把我孙女的奶粉钱都输没了，哭死
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 汗死， 死皮扑又水下了， 时间就这么一天天的耗去。
: Outlook还是不变， 今天so far 量还是没有， 大部分的股票只是昨天跌后的回浮，
: 除了虎子， 星星大牛的DDD。 Mos大牛的苹果。 market. Is vulnerable, filling
: the gap early next week is the most likely outcome. But trading spy put is
: almost like a day trade, swinging between up 50%- down 50% for me.
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 18 市场还是在三角整理， 上周总得来说是range 在缩， 量在缩， 周一很可能还是一个
小量， 小range的一天， 接下来的方向周二或周三就会出来。
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 汗死， 死皮扑又水下了， 时间就这么一天天的耗去。
: Outlook还是不变， 今天so far 量还是没有， 大部分的股票只是昨天跌后的回浮，
: 除了虎子， 星星大牛的DDD。 Mos大牛的苹果。 market. Is vulnerable, filling
: the gap early next week is the most likely outcome. But trading spy put is
: almost like a day trade, swinging between up 50%- down 50% for me.
|
d********1
发帖数: 8969 | 19 帮主说的在理，
【在 r*m 的大作中提到】
: 高位震荡，拖死急熊，勾引笨牛，一泻千里
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 20 it is still on track
but market is now enering the time frame for making THE top
the week of May 20th needs to be watched closely
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: http://www.mitbbs.com/mitbbs_article.php?board=Stock&id=3465186
: outlook remains the same
: later next week market will see its first high, which could be THE
: top for the weak nasdaq
: market is expected to have another rally after a pull back, the big
: turn is expected to be two months from now and the strong sell off
: is 3 months away
: the summer will be very ugly.
|
|
|
P******l
发帖数: 1648 | 21 What say you about Nasdaq taking the leadership since 2 weeks ago?
may 19 debt ceiling expires
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: it is still on track
: but market is now enering the time frame for making THE top
: the week of May 20th needs to be watched closely
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 22 did not expect the strength from Nasdaq, maybe AAPL's impact
anyway this is minor
the key is that what is coming might be the start of a bear market instead
of just
a correction. I have been pounding the table on the bull side. But I will be
happy to hand this role to those perma bulls with the record level of
margin debts. lol
【在 P******l 的大作中提到】
: What say you about Nasdaq taking the leadership since 2 weeks ago?
: may 19 debt ceiling expires
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 23 market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
most people will believe this is just another correction in the long term
bull market. Well, market will throw them a big curve ball into the summer.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: http://www.mitbbs.com/mitbbs_article.php?board=Stock&id=3465186
: outlook remains the same
: later next week market will see its first high, which could be THE
: top for the weak nasdaq
: market is expected to have another rally after a pull back, the big
: turn is expected to be two months from now and the strong sell off
: is 3 months away
: the summer will be very ugly.
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 24 Thanks, I think u are on the spot.
Would u mind share what u have in your portfolio?
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
: this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
: later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
: the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
: most people will believe this is just another correction in the long term
: bull market. Well, market will throw them a big curve ball into the summer.
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 25 mostly in cash
I was mainly on oil stocks, have sold them out and switched partially to a
few precious metal stocks recently
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: Thanks, I think u are on the spot.
: Would u mind share what u have in your portfolio?
|
m******c
发帖数: 2440 | 26 Half in blue chip , half in precious metal. Need to find a better way.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: mostly in cash
: I was mainly on oil stocks, have sold them out and switched partially to a
: few precious metal stocks recently
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 27 my 401K only has a few index funds there and I switched to cash fund
last week.
my personal accounts are more stock weighted, where I don't play blue chips
as they are largely covered in the index fund.
【在 m******c 的大作中提到】
: Half in blue chip , half in precious metal. Need to find a better way.
|
f**h
发帖数: 34 | 28 This correction is overdue but too much side money waiting to jump in. I don
't think the correction will be big.
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 我估计现在先填空， 把三月初153的那个缝补上。 后面就不知道会咋样
: 呼唤紫晶
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 29 I would have covered if I had short positions at this point
Friday seems a good point to enter long positions for a counter trend rally,
which is expected to be strong but short lived
the sraight decline will come as originally expected, around the week of
June 17th
market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
most people will believe this is just another correction in the long term
bull market. Well, market will throw them a big curve ball into the summer.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
: this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
: later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
: the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
: most people will believe this is just another correction in the long term
: bull market. Well, market will throw them a big curve ball into the summer.
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 30 MARK!
rally,
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: I would have covered if I had short positions at this point
: Friday seems a good point to enter long positions for a counter trend rally,
: which is expected to be strong but short lived
: the sraight decline will come as originally expected, around the week of
: June 17th
:
: market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
: this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
: later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
: the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
|
|
|
r***e
发帖数: 1840 | 31 大牛
rally,
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: I would have covered if I had short positions at this point
: Friday seems a good point to enter long positions for a counter trend rally,
: which is expected to be strong but short lived
: the sraight decline will come as originally expected, around the week of
: June 17th
:
: market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
: this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
: later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
: the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
|
P******l
发帖数: 1648 | 32 大牛是怎么看到may 20week的
我是看五年循环. 2008年五月类似时间有个中期转势点。
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: it is still on track
: but market is now enering the time frame for making THE top
: the week of May 20th needs to be watched closely
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 33 there is a 12.8 years (666 weeks) cycle marking major turning points for the
stock market
looking back, we have the major highs in 1987 and 2000 and a major low
in 1974.
【在 P******l 的大作中提到】
: 大牛是怎么看到may 20week的
: 我是看五年循环. 2008年五月类似时间有个中期转势点。
|
m******c
发帖数: 2440 | 34 17号应该是开会的日子吧，不知道会不会明确一些东西，从现在到17号的日子不会太好
过，不过也不会在那个之前崩盘。
rally,
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: I would have covered if I had short positions at this point
: Friday seems a good point to enter long positions for a counter trend rally,
: which is expected to be strong but short lived
: the sraight decline will come as originally expected, around the week of
: June 17th
:
: market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
: this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
: later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
: the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
|
c*******o
发帖数: 5387 | 35 顶！
the
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: there is a 12.8 years (666 weeks) cycle marking major turning points for the
: stock market
: looking back, we have the major highs in 1987 and 2000 and a major low
: in 1974.
|
P******l
发帖数: 1648 | 36 有没有可能turning point变成continuation point
我研究过一些小级别的循环。5年. 7年等等好像有这样的现象
the
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: there is a 12.8 years (666 weeks) cycle marking major turning points for the
: stock market
: looking back, we have the major highs in 1987 and 2000 and a major low
: in 1974.
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 37 possibility always exists
any tools work until they don't
so don't treat this cycle analysis as a sure thing
right now I am in favor of a two year bear market case
but I don't advocate playing short even in a bear market
【在 P******l 的大作中提到】
: 有没有可能turning point变成continuation point
: 我研究过一些小级别的循环。5年. 7年等等好像有这样的现象
:
: the
|
o**o
发帖数: 3964 | |
j****i
发帖数: 742 | 39 This is interesting! Could you tell me how you get this kind of numbers. In
Christianity, 666 is an evil number...
the
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: there is a 12.8 years (666 weeks) cycle marking major turning points for the
: stock market
: looking back, we have the major highs in 1987 and 2000 and a major low
: in 1974.
|
j*******i
发帖数: 1457 | 40 kafen的帖子 太霸气了 读着令人神往
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: possibility always exists
: any tools work until they don't
: so don't treat this cycle analysis as a sure thing
: right now I am in favor of a two year bear market case
: but I don't advocate playing short even in a bear market
|
|
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 41 见证的时刻...
rally,
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: I would have covered if I had short positions at this point
: Friday seems a good point to enter long positions for a counter trend rally,
: which is expected to be strong but short lived
: the sraight decline will come as originally expected, around the week of
: June 17th
:
: market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
: this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
: later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
: the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
|
r***e
发帖数: 1840 | 42 Shifu,
You are ready for shock?
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 见证的时刻...
:
: rally,
|
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 43 yes, sold a lot of stuff today. |
r***e
发帖数: 1840 | 44 shit, I still have lots of stuff. perhaps we can have a peak tmr, when fed
talks. |
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 45 It may. Many leader's run is getting tired. mostly garbage stuff flying
today. I'll sit and watch. |
r***e
发帖数: 1840 | 46 Tried get on at right and get off at left. Difficult. Hardly make money if
not lost, I think DT is not my thing or I didn't find good target to do the
dt. You know, the stocks have big volatilities. |
L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 47 能看那么远， 牛B大了。 服就一个字。
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
: this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
: later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
: the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
: most people will believe this is just another correction in the long term
: bull market. Well, market will throw them a big curve ball into the summer.
|
i***e
发帖数: 16 | 48 这位是真正的大牛！
【在 L****n 的大作中提到】
: 能看那么远， 牛B大了。 服就一个字。
|
i**t
发帖数: 921 | 49 这个是高人。 沐衣焚香过来参拜一下。
【在 i***e 的大作中提到】
: 这位是真正的大牛！
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 50 "Time is more important than price, when time is up price will reverse",
Gunn
timing is the name of the game in the end.
the perma bulls are still hoping this being a quick correction. I will buy
when their blood is on the street. lol
rally,
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: I would have covered if I had short positions at this point
: Friday seems a good point to enter long positions for a counter trend rally,
: which is expected to be strong but short lived
: the sraight decline will come as originally expected, around the week of
: June 17th
:
: market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
: this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
: later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
: the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
|
|
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 51 market can rebound here and there from short term oversold conditions.
but it is clear that the trend has reversed
even stronger selloffs will come the second half of July and the entire
August.
Again, buy when perma bulls' blood is on the street.
rally,
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: I would have covered if I had short positions at this point
: Friday seems a good point to enter long positions for a counter trend rally,
: which is expected to be strong but short lived
: the sraight decline will come as originally expected, around the week of
: June 17th
:
: market made its top last week as expected as an important turning point
: this round of selloff will find its short term support sometime next week,
: later part more likely. A strong rally is expected to follow and knock out
: the remaining bears. Perma bulls will declare victory along the rally and
|
F*l
发帖数: 91 | 52 膜拜一下大牛。厉害
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: market can rebound here and there from short term oversold conditions.
: but it is clear that the trend has reversed
: even stronger selloffs will come the second half of July and the entire
: August.
: Again, buy when perma bulls' blood is on the street.
:
: rally,
|
i***e
发帖数: 16 | 53 how deep is this correction?
I'd think 12.5% is enough. That is 1478 for S&P.
Further more cut means bear market, not only a correction.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: market can rebound here and there from short term oversold conditions.
: but it is clear that the trend has reversed
: even stronger selloffs will come the second half of July and the entire
: August.
: Again, buy when perma bulls' blood is on the street.
:
: rally,
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 54 SP rose from 666 to 1680 in 4 years
a bear market lasting about one to two years are quite normal following
a strong cyclical bull market we just experienced
the question should be how deep this bear market goes
【在 i***e 的大作中提到】
: how deep is this correction?
: I'd think 12.5% is enough. That is 1478 for S&P.
: Further more cut means bear market, not only a correction.
|
s*******t
发帖数: 335 | 55 大牛，这次情况会不会和以往不太一样？
现在全球股市就美国一枝独秀，债市钱也往外跑，钱都往这里涌，会不会就没有一个像
样的熊市了？ |
z********n
发帖数: 343 | 56 market seems rising up to a new high. a new high before middle July?
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: market can rebound here and there from short term oversold conditions.
: but it is clear that the trend has reversed
: even stronger selloffs will come the second half of July and the entire
: August.
: Again, buy when perma bulls' blood is on the street.
:
: rally,
|
