k***n
发帖数: 3158 | |
a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 2 他身后那个人怎么那么像FB的mark, 难道他也在doing some buying? 呵呵。
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: doing some buying
: lol
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 3 lol
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: doing some buying
: lol
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 4 Is the rally surprising? lol
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: doing some buying
: lol
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 5 下周大本开茶话会就让大伙儿傻眼
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: Is the rally surprising? lol
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a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 6 今年年终收到1500有望吗？
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: Is the rally surprising? lol
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l******2
发帖数: 5522 | 7 大本的手比较光滑， 还带戒指，
显然不是他
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: doing some buying
: lol
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 8 possible in my read
SPY is at 136 on the face of a strong dollar index
dollar's sentiment is at an extremly high level that only marked
intermediate tops in the past.
a declining dollar would fuel SPY to new highs, although most likely some
new sectors will take the lead in this run.
The most likely scenarior imo is a short burst rally followed by a flash
crash into early August (2nd of August is on my radar), then a more
sustained rally into new highs.
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】
: 今年年终收到1500有望吗？
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a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 9 thanks!
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: possible in my read
: SPY is at 136 on the face of a strong dollar index
: dollar's sentiment is at an extremly high level that only marked
: intermediate tops in the past.
: a declining dollar would fuel SPY to new highs, although most likely some
: new sectors will take the lead in this run.
: The most likely scenarior imo is a short burst rally followed by a flash
: crash into early August (2nd of August is on my radar), then a more
: sustained rally into new highs.
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 10 dollar printed a swing low
stock market entering a timing band for a low
exited a bunch of long positions that were taken on May 18
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: possible in my read
: SPY is at 136 on the face of a strong dollar index
: dollar's sentiment is at an extremly high level that only marked
: intermediate tops in the past.
: a declining dollar would fuel SPY to new highs, although most likely some
: new sectors will take the lead in this run.
: The most likely scenarior imo is a short burst rally followed by a flash
: crash into early August (2nd of August is on my radar), then a more
: sustained rally into new highs.
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Q*Q
发帖数: 869 | |
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 12 nothing surprising here
the flash crash just arrived right about in the timing band
dollar printed a swing low
stock market entering a timing band for a low
exited a bunch of long positions that were taken on May 18
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: dollar printed a swing low
: stock market entering a timing band for a low
: exited a bunch of long positions that were taken on May 18
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 13 ECB aborted the flash crash
the same reason I have suggested many times not to short the market
in a fiat world, central banks can/will print us out of the hole
althought it will bring us to a much worse crisis later.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: nothing surprising here
: the flash crash just arrived right about in the timing band
:
: dollar printed a swing low
: stock market entering a timing band for a low
: exited a bunch of long positions that were taken on May 18
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 14 moved in as planned yesterday on the stock positions, with a focus on
adding my positions in junior oil producers
the flash crash was not as steep as I exptected
401K account is still kept at cash after exiting a couple weeks ago
I am still looking for a sustained rally into new highs
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: possible in my read
: SPY is at 136 on the face of a strong dollar index
: dollar's sentiment is at an extremly high level that only marked
: intermediate tops in the past.
: a declining dollar would fuel SPY to new highs, although most likely some
: new sectors will take the lead in this run.
: The most likely scenarior imo is a short burst rally followed by a flash
: crash into early August (2nd of August is on my radar), then a more
: sustained rally into new highs.
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a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 15 Are you still expecting a pull back before you can comfortably
move 401k to equity? thanks!
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: moved in as planned yesterday on the stock positions, with a focus on
: adding my positions in junior oil producers
: the flash crash was not as steep as I exptected
: 401K account is still kept at cash after exiting a couple weeks ago
: I am still looking for a sustained rally into new highs
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a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 16 I feel that this short burst has almost exhausted its strength.
It's hard to moving higher with a constant and sustainable pace now.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: moved in as planned yesterday on the stock positions, with a focus on
: adding my positions in junior oil producers
: the flash crash was not as steep as I exptected
: 401K account is still kept at cash after exiting a couple weeks ago
: I am still looking for a sustained rally into new highs
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 17 minor pullbacks followed by higher highs in the next two weeks
a larger decline into the end of September with a low testing or
penentrating the low made in early June
that's when I plan to move back to equity in 401K
【在 a***s 的大作中提到】
: Are you still expecting a pull back before you can comfortably
: move 401k to equity? thanks!
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a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 18 thanks!
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: minor pullbacks followed by higher highs in the next two weeks
: a larger decline into the end of September with a low testing or
: penentrating the low made in early June
: that's when I plan to move back to equity in 401K
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 19 if not comfortable with short term trading
there is no need to chase this market
SP500 will need one more visit to 1300 this year after this round of rally
the decline is exptected to start as early as next week.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: minor pullbacks followed by higher highs in the next two weeks
: a larger decline into the end of September with a low testing or
: penentrating the low made in early June
: that's when I plan to move back to equity in 401K
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 20 wow.
sound nice
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: if not comfortable with short term trading
: there is no need to chase this market
: SP500 will need one more visit to 1300 this year after this round of rally
: the decline is exptected to start as early as next week.
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|
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 21 dollar is breaking down hard while stock market staying flat
the more likely scenairor is for dollar to print its low within the
next three days. But the possibility exists that dollar will drift
lower during the next two weeks for a low. The coming low is expected
to be an intermediate term low.
But whenever dollar bottoms and starts its next intermediate rally,
it will drill everything else back down the earth.
Just keep an eye on dollar and stock market sentiment, which has not
reached to extrem levles yet.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: if not comfortable with short term trading
: there is no need to chase this market
: SP500 will need one more visit to 1300 this year after this round of rally
: the decline is exptected to start as early as next week.
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 22 Dollar made a swing low in 23rd, 2 days after my post and within the time
frame for a low.
Last time I posted a figure of dollar sentiment when it was around a high,
since then, the dollar sentiment has declined sharply and it is in the zone
that marks intermediate lows in the past.
All as expected. Once dollar starts moving up sharply, stocks will feel the
real pressure. Gold might hold stronger or even rise with the dollar just as
it did in
May 2010 and August 2011.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: dollar is breaking down hard while stock market staying flat
: the more likely scenairor is for dollar to print its low within the
: next three days. But the possibility exists that dollar will drift
: lower during the next two weeks for a low. The coming low is expected
: to be an intermediate term low.
: But whenever dollar bottoms and starts its next intermediate rally,
: it will drill everything else back down the earth.
: Just keep an eye on dollar and stock market sentiment, which has not
: reached to extrem levles yet.
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s******t
发帖数: 12883 | 23 你对dollar的长期展望是什么？ 会不会长期继续相对欧元升值？
感觉欧元去的麻烦是刚开始而已，而不是消化得差不多了。 不知道我是否过于
看贬欧元区了？
zone
the
as
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: Dollar made a swing low in 23rd, 2 days after my post and within the time
: frame for a low.
: Last time I posted a figure of dollar sentiment when it was around a high,
: since then, the dollar sentiment has declined sharply and it is in the zone
: that marks intermediate lows in the past.
: All as expected. Once dollar starts moving up sharply, stocks will feel the
: real pressure. Gold might hold stronger or even rise with the dollar just as
: it did in
: May 2010 and August 2011.
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 24 I am in the camp that dollar will be stronger against Euro down the road
Now 1 Euro = 1.25 dollar, it would not surprise me if they flip the side
during the next crisis.
【在 s******t 的大作中提到】
: 你对dollar的长期展望是什么？ 会不会长期继续相对欧元升值？
: 感觉欧元去的麻烦是刚开始而已，而不是消化得差不多了。 不知道我是否过于
: 看贬欧元区了？
:
: zone
: the
: as
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 25 btw, this is a long term view, meaning a few years down the road
in the time frame of next 1-2 years, I am bearish on dollar
In fact, I am looking dollar to build a right shoulder in the next month
and head lower after that.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: I am in the camp that dollar will be stronger against Euro down the road
: Now 1 Euro = 1.25 dollar, it would not surprise me if they flip the side
: during the next crisis.
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k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 26 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9o30gNfPq_k
great great interview
I didn't hear this guy before but his views on almost all the things he
talked
match mine. He plays junor miners too, which is the sector I like the most.
【在 k***n 的大作中提到】
: I am in the camp that dollar will be stronger against Euro down the road
: Now 1 Euro = 1.25 dollar, it would not surprise me if they flip the side
: during the next crisis.
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