l****t
发帖数: 235 | |
o***a
发帖数: 1373 | 2 发大包子，我就说。
【在 l****t 的大作中提到】
: 谁？
|
c******7
发帖数: 439 | 3 那个是非大选年的
有统计结果支持
夏天坏消息/战争/什么破事都多
不像年底有节啊什么的.
菜鸟见解 |
T*****s
发帖数: 366 | |
B*********e
发帖数: 909 | 5 是梨梨大牛重现江湖?
【在 l****t 的大作中提到】
: 谁？
|
A***l
发帖数: 302 | 6 Doeswijk (2008) provided a hypothesis that an optimism cycle is the cause of
this seasonal pattern: Investors start looking forward to the next year as
the current year winds down, often with an optimism bias to overestimate the
economic growth, which drives up the stock market. A few months into a new
year, such optimism bias gradually disappears, which causes lackluster
returns in the rest six months. At least two of his observations support the
optimism cycle hypothesis. The first is that cyclical industries outperform
defensive industries by 0.56% a month between November and May during the
1970-2003 period (cyclical industries usually perform better when investors
are optimistic about the economic growth) and the strategy works in 65% of
the years. The second is that the analysts' forecast of twelve-month rolling
forward earnings growth rate tends to increase in the winter and decrease
in the summer.
【在 l****t 的大作中提到】
: 谁？
|
g**c
发帖数: 2339 | |
z*****x
发帖数: 2370 | 8 is it because market tends to go down during the summer, since eveyrbody is
at the beach? |
