o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 1 Short GBP/AUD from 1.5000, long term holding. |
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 2 buy AUD/USD
save all the trouble |
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 3 but ur gbp.aud setup looks very promising! |
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 4 I entered already. I look to hold it for months!
UK should keep interest rate at 0 for more years.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: but ur gbp.aud setup looks very promising!
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 5 Nobody is sure about where US dollar goes this year, but GBP should be flat
if not bearish.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: buy AUD/USD
: save all the trouble
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 6 i don't understand why not just short eur/aud
so obvious that eur's poor performer in relative to all pairs |
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 7 EUR/AUD 看起来更好，不过错过了最好的pattern开始trigger的时机，santa rally的
时候就该short的。
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: i don't understand why not just short eur/aud
: so obvious that eur's poor performer in relative to all pairs
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 8 trend is more important than price =)
【在 o**y 的大作中提到】
: EUR/AUD 看起来更好，不过错过了最好的pattern开始trigger的时机，santa rally的
: 时候就该short的。
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 9 carry trade performs the best in stable econmic environment
last year...boy!! jap earthquake, eurzone blowout, qe2 ending, china soft/
hard landing....tooo much trouble |
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 10 但愿今年不要这么多trouble，可能对GBP/AUD来说，最大的risk就是澳币降息，不过降
息也很难改变向下的趋势。今年股市总体看多，高息货币应该会不错的
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: carry trade performs the best in stable econmic environment
: last year...boy!! jap earthquake, eurzone blowout, qe2 ending, china soft/
: hard landing....tooo much trouble
|
|
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 11 keep finger crossed
i'm longing aud heavily
【在 o**y 的大作中提到】
: 但愿今年不要这么多trouble，可能对GBP/AUD来说，最大的risk就是澳币降息，不过降
: 息也很难改变向下的趋势。今年股市总体看多，高息货币应该会不错的
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 12 where is your target for AUD/USD? looks like there are lots of resistance
above.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: keep finger crossed
: i'm longing aud heavily
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 13 another great great pair i'd recommad is shorting usd/chf
swiss just replaced current chief bank head....i'd take it as political
signal...awaiting more solid price signal confirmation |
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 14 Are you betting SNB would abandon the 1.2 floor this time? The fact is that
SNB doesn't have other choice at all. I guess many limit long trades will be
triggered if EUR/CHF does drop to 1.2 again.
But the risk/reward ratio looks good.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: another great great pair i'd recommad is shorting usd/chf
: swiss just replaced current chief bank head....i'd take it as political
: signal...awaiting more solid price signal confirmation
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 15 Maybe it's better to long AUD/CHF.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: another great great pair i'd recommad is shorting usd/chf
: swiss just replaced current chief bank head....i'd take it as political
: signal...awaiting more solid price signal confirmation
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 16 all i know is chf is built for longs and to be hoarded
it's being done for decades....and i dont think it'll change anytime soon.
that
be
【在 o**y 的大作中提到】
: Are you betting SNB would abandon the 1.2 floor this time? The fact is that
: SNB doesn't have other choice at all. I guess many limit long trades will be
: triggered if EUR/CHF does drop to 1.2 again.
: But the risk/reward ratio looks good.
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 17 In very long term, CHF should outperform USD, but when they both are safe
heavens during recessions, things could be complicated.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: all i know is chf is built for longs and to be hoarded
: it's being done for decades....and i dont think it'll change anytime soon.
:
: that
: be
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | |
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 19 i dont worry too much for now...at least chf doesnt show me clear long
signal.
so i got aud to take care....that's enough for me now. =)
【在 o**y 的大作中提到】
: In very long term, CHF should outperform USD, but when they both are safe
: heavens during recessions, things could be complicated.
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 20 Nice, EUR should outperform GBP this week. I am not sure if there would be a short
squeeze of EUR. |
|
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 21 as of now, looks like all riskys' gonna explode tonight...
bears and all short interests gonna get burned badly |
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 22 Should be good to look to US equities now, especially for some value stocks.
I plan to use 农夫播种法 to pick up some stocks which has relatively low
beta, consistent uptrend. Today I just bought MO, ATK and RJA in small lots.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: as of now, looks like all riskys' gonna explode tonight...
: bears and all short interests gonna get burned badly
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 23 i loaded up msft, bac, tsl and qcom end of last year and week.
stocks.
lots.
【在 o**y 的大作中提到】
: Should be good to look to US equities now, especially for some value stocks.
: I plan to use 农夫播种法 to pick up some stocks which has relatively low
: beta, consistent uptrend. Today I just bought MO, ATK and RJA in small lots.
:
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 24 GBP is the only one that underperforms USD, maybe some large banks also
picked up GBP/AUD, haha. |
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 25 MSFT is still in a tight range-bound market, are you betting for breakout?
TSL may be in bottom, but it's too volatile, so it's risky to buy too many
shares.
I plan to make quick money from short term Forex, and put the profit into
low volatile stocks to ride with the slow uptrend and earn dividents.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: i loaded up msft, bac, tsl and qcom end of last year and week.
:
: stocks.
: lots.
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 26 when risk off, gbp outperform eur....damn...everything changed...this used
not to be the case prior to euro mess
ur gbp/aud's great...
guess my euraud wont move much tonight....
【在 o**y 的大作中提到】
: GBP is the only one that underperforms USD, maybe some large banks also
: picked up GBP/AUD, haha.
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 27 Yes, GBP has zero interest rate, in some point it's also "safe heaven", so
it outperforms EUR, but they have very strong correlation.
Some large bank traders might long EUR/AUD for a corrective rebound actually
as recommended by dailyfx analyst yesterday, though I doubt how strong this
rebound could be.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: when risk off, gbp outperform eur....damn...everything changed...this used
: not to be the case prior to euro mess
: ur gbp/aud's great...
: guess my euraud wont move much tonight....
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 28 Actually JPY is the worst performer today! |
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 29 i dont read their shits..
i only trust my naked eyes and candles stacking up and down
actually
this
【在 o**y 的大作中提到】
: Yes, GBP has zero interest rate, in some point it's also "safe heaven", so
: it outperforms EUR, but they have very strong correlation.
: Some large bank traders might long EUR/AUD for a corrective rebound actually
: as recommended by dailyfx analyst yesterday, though I doubt how strong this
: rebound could be.
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 30 Yeah, they keep on saying risk off these days. I learned to play on the
other side against them sometimes.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: i dont read their shits..
: i only trust my naked eyes and candles stacking up and down
:
: actually
: this
|
|
|
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 31 yen very weak tonight....damn ass drag down everything. |
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 32 Gee! CAD/JPY might breakout soon!
NZD is actually a better long than AUD recently.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: yen very weak tonight....damn ass drag down everything.
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 33 I'm gonna long CAD/JPY for long term soon. |
k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 34 agreed...
but i go for stable trend and better o.n interest collection
【在 o**y 的大作中提到】
: Gee! CAD/JPY might breakout soon!
: NZD is actually a better long than AUD recently.
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 35 AUD/JPY is good too, although the pattern looks less clean.
78.9 should be a very good support, 79.5 is very important resistance, 200
MVA is far away unlike AUD/USD.
Good, it really looks like JPY is going to be weaker than last year.
【在 k********8 的大作中提到】
: agreed...
: but i go for stable trend and better o.n interest collection
|
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 36 I am long for AUD/JPY now.
very well supported by daily ichimoku cloud, very nice.
I wonder how many Japanese housewives are going for this too. |
o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 37 刚才好惊险，shake off弱牛啊，还好我还活着，希望市场从现在开始集中精神向上了 |
