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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 1 (1小时半前Flac做的分析，刚才才注意到，现在贴上）
分析 FOSL:
最新数据(昨晚就提供给Flac)：
FOSL, 20111026, 99.15, -6.4532, -6.5%
有侦查到墙街挤空但不是很严重，
先推算 FOSL 短期下跌的谷底价的理论极限：
根据不久前的谷底极限，即 18.8%
18.8 + 6.5 = 25.3%
99.15 X (1-0.253) = 74.07
这是理论的谷底极限，不代表一定会跌到。
现在推算 FOSL 的短期高峰极限：
根据不久前的高峰价极限，即 -16.1%
16.1 - 6.5 = 9.6%
99.15 X 1.096 = 108.67
这是未来短期高峰极限。
所以 FOSL 短期的上下，在 108.67 和 74.07 之间。
由于这是理论极限，波动幅度往往是小于这两个限度。
如果万一 FOSL 跌到接近 74.07 则大起的概率极高。
同理，如果万一 FOSL 升到接近 108.67 则很可能大跌。 | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 2 (1小时半前Flac做的分析，刚才才注意到，现在贴上）
分析 FOSL:
最新数据(昨晚就提供给Flac)：
FOSL, 20111026, 99.15, -6.4532, -6.5%
有侦查到墙街挤空但不是很严重，
先推算 FOSL 短期下跌的谷底价的理论极限：
根据不久前的谷底极限，即 18.8%
18.8 + 6.5 = 25.3%
99.15 X (1-0.253) = 74.07
这是理论的谷底极限，不代表一定会跌到。
现在推算 FOSL 的短期高峰极限：
根据不久前的高峰价极限，即 -16.1%
16.1 - 6.5 = 9.6%
99.15 X 1.096 = 108.67
这是未来短期高峰极限。
所以 FOSL 短期的上下，在 108.67 和 74.07 之间。
由于这是理论极限，波动幅度往往是小于这两个限度。
如果万一 FOSL 跌到接近 74.07 则大起的概率极高。
同理，如果万一 FOSL 升到接近 108.67 则很可能大跌。 | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 3 *** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: FOSL AS OF 20111104 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111104 was 97.4000
STOCK RATING: MODESTLY BULLISH
Short-Term Price Potential is UP: 1.1642 ( 1.20%)
Short-Term Price Target: 98.5642
At Price Target, profit is 11.9528 on $1000 investment. (+1.20%)
Close out >= half of your long position at about 98.5642
There is a small chance of price reaching 114.2502
If so, profit would be 173.0000 on $1000 investment. (+17.30%)
Close out all long position if price reaches 114.2502
============================================
DETAILED TRADING PLAN: (CASH BASIS, NON-LEVERAGED)
If you buy $1,000 of FOSL at its current price of 97.4000
You would be buying approximately 10.2669 shares.
At 98.5642 profit is 11.9528 on $1000 investment. (+1.20%)
In case of bear raid, expect the next bottom at about 85.6146
Buy $2,000 more at: 85.6146 will break even at: 89.2129
At 97.4000 gain is 275.3129 on $3,000 investment. (+9.18%)
At 98.5642 gain is 314.4619 on $3,000 investment. (+10.48%)
At 114.2502 gain is 841.9420 on $3,000 investment. (+28.06%) |
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