M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 1 预测的使用说明：
下面一共有两个预测系统，1 和 2， 并列。
当然预测的结果会不同，否则一个够了。
这是因为有时一个预测到但另一个不够敏感。
当 FORECAST 和 PERCENT 数值很极端时，
未来的价格就会开始转向。正是起，负是跌。
所以在高峰时，数值一般是极端的高负数，
而在谷底时， 数值一般是极端的高正数。
要卖空应该等极端的高负数，做多的等高正数。
关键是要等到数值够极端，风险才会够低。
那什么数值算极端？
那就参考过去的预测，即第一行以下的数字。
只需看过去在主要的短期高峰和谷底时，
FORECAST 和 PERCENT 数值是多少，就有谱。
有趣的是，当股票价格达到高峰或谷底时，
一般来说，价格的未来移动幅度(趋于保守估计)，
就大约是 FORECAST 和 PERCENT 的数值。
所以在高峰时，为了预先求得未来的目标价，
把 CLOSE 加上 FORECAST 的负数值，即可。
同理，在谷底时，为了预先求得未来的高峰价，
把 CLOSE 加上 FORECAST 的正数值，即可。
觉得如何？ 解释的够不够清楚？
一般要查任何一个股票，用以下的格式：
例如要查 IBM 的预测，就用
http://StockCue.Com/free/IBM.TXT
如果想查苹果电脑 AAPL 的预测，
那就把 IBM 改成 AAPL，变成
http://StockCue.Com/free/AAPL.TXT
所以只要 highlight 和修改符号的部分即可。
注意：股票的符号必需是大写的英文字母。
即前段不变，但从符号到TXT都必需是大写。
有谁肯帮忙修改一下，让这说明变成更清楚易懂？
我准备了100个包子，分赠给优秀的修改提供者。
SYMBOL DATE PRICE FORECAST1 PERCENT1 FORECAST2 PERCENT2
SPY, 20110801, 128.6800, 0.7542, 0.6, 0.4992, 0.4,
SPY, 20110729, 129.5800, 2.0963, 1.6, 0.7448, 0.6,
SPY, 20110728, 130.0500, 2.2652, 1.7, 0.0425, 0.0,
SPY, 20110727, 130.3700, 2.3049, 1.8, 0.5688, 0.4,
SPY, 20110726, 133.1000, 1.2142, 0.9, -0.2502, -0.2,
SPY, 20110725, 133.6900, -0.4082, -0.3, -0.6903, -0.5,
SPY, 20110722, 134.0700, -0.7629, -0.6, -0.1426, -0.1,
SPY, 20110721, 134.9000, -2.6532, -2.0, -1.4980, -1.1,
SPY, 20110720, 132.9800, -0.6931, -0.5, 1.0285, 0.8,
SPY, 20110719, 132.8600, -1.4479, -1.1, 0.5405, 0.4,
SPY, 20110718, 130.6900, 0.3264, 0.2, 0.7972, 0.6,
SPY, 20110715, 132.0100, -0.5075, -0.4, -1.9297, -1.5,
SPY, 20110714, 130.8100, 0.8432, 0.6, -2.1101, -1.6,
SPY, 20110713, 131.2900, 2.2218, 1.7, 0.9579, 0.7,
SPY, 20110712, 131.4000, 2.7945, 2.1, 3.7838, 2.9,
SPY, 20110711, 132.2000, 1.5375, 1.2, 3.5412, 2.7,
SPY, 20110708, 134.6500, -0.3691, -0.3, 1.6833, 1.3,
SPY, 20110707, 135.5400, -0.9278, -0.7, 0.6942, 0.5,
SPY, 20110706, 134.3300, -1.5905, -1.2, 0.1045, 0.1,
SPY, 20110705, 134.0100, -1.9968, -1.5, -1.2902, -1.0,
SPY, 20110701, 134.0000, -2.5225, -1.9, -1.7285, -1.3,
SPY, 20110630, 131.8700, -2.2268, -1.7, -1.4386, -1.1,
SPY, 20110629, 130.9000, -2.7828, -2.1, -1.3421, -1.0,
SPY, 20110628, 129.9200, -0.8567, -0.7, -0.7657, -0.6,
SPY, 20110627, 128.3600, -0.2019, -0.2, 1.0707, 0.8,
SPY, 20110624, 126.7100, 1.4924, 1.2, 1.9623, 1.5,
SPY, 20110623, 128.5900, -0.6101, -0.5, 0.2252, 0.2,
SPY, 20110622, 128.0500, -0.8291, -0.6, -1.1111, -0.9,
SPY, 20110621, 129.3100, -1.2659, -1.0, -1.0169, -0.8,
SPY, 20110620, 127.9600, -0.6535, -0.5, 0.9849, 0.8,
SPY, 20110617, 127.1400, 1.1030, 0.9, 2.4723, 1.9,
SPY, 20110616, 127.8300, 0.0479, 0.0, 1.1167, 0.9,
SPY, 20110615, 127.1500, 0.1657, 0.1, 0.5708, 0.4,
SPY, 20110614, 129.3600, -0.1739, -0.1, -0.4470, -0.3,
SPY, 20110613, 127.8800, 0.1285, 0.1, -0.3449, -0.3,
SPY, 20110610, 127.5600, 0.7215, 0.6, 0.0888, 0.1,
SPY, 20110609, 129.2900, -0.3418, -0.3, -1.8879, -1.5,
SPY, 20110608, 128.5000, 0.8364, 0.7, 0.0656, 0.1,
SPY, 20110607, 129.2000, 1.3183, 1.0, 0.1505, 0.1,
SPY, 20110606, 129.0400, 1.5454, 1.2, 0.4175, 0.3,
SPY, 20110603, 130.2900, 2.7559, 2.1, 1.8671, 1.4,
SPY, 20110602, 131.6400, 1.1032, 0.8, 0.8623, 0.7,
SPY, 20110601, 131.7500, 0.7962, 0.6, 0.9643, 0.7,
SPY, 20110531, 135.2100, -2.4327, -1.8, -1.5984, -1.2,
SPY, 20110527, 133.5300, -1.4251, -1.1, -1.5830, -1.2,
SPY, 20110526, 133.2200, -1.0865, -0.8, -2.1719, -1.6,
SPY, 20110525, 132.0900, 0.7153, 0.5, -0.7185, -0.5,
SPY, 20110524, 131.7000, 1.6174, 1.2, 0.4917, 0.4,
SPY, 20110523, 131.8800, 1.4329, 1.1, 1.0757, 0.8,
SPY, 20110520, 133.3300, -0.0519, -0.0, -0.1102, -0.1,
SPY, 20110519, 134.6600, -1.4734, -1.1, -0.0694, -0.1,
SPY, 20110518, 134.4300, -0.3297, -0.2, 0.1504, 0.1,
SPY, 20110517, 133.2500, 1.1751, 0.9, 1.2424, 0.9,
SPY, 20110516, 132.7200, 0.7841, 0.6, 0.6687, 0.5,
SPY, 20110513, 133.8400, 1.3280, 1.0, 1.3932, 1.0,
SPY, 20110512, 135.2500, -0.0866, -0.1, 0.2834, 0.2,
SPY, 20110511, 134.1200, 0.1335, 0.1, 0.1409, 0.1,
SPY, 20110510, 136.0300, -1.5702, -1.2, -2.7151, -2.0,
SPY, 20110509, 134.8600, 0.1519, 0.1, -0.7785, -0.6,
SPY, 20110506, 134.0600, 0.9455, 0.7, 0.9572, 0.7,
http://bit.ly/oplOqK | c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 2 never understood your data.
but good for you if it can make money. | k*******d
发帖数: 1523 | | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 4
........................
真的这么难懂？
简直不可思议。
提供一周后，
目前每天有大约200,000 的预测被下载，
显然有许多[懂英语说明的]人懂得使用。
以下是英文的使用说明。
(If you are seeing this via a web browser, you may need to refresh
or reload your browser to be sure you have the latest forecasts.)
Forecasts below are produced at the end of each trading day. There
are two forecasting models and their results are shown as 1 and 2.
The FORECAST1 and FORECAST2 values show the magnitudes of future
price movements to expect once price direction reverses. PERCENT1
and PERCENT2 values are derived from FORECAST1 and FORECAST2.
Reliability is improved when both models 1 and 2 agree, i.e. both
positive or negative. As negativity or positivity approaches past
extreme values, prices will likely reverse. To determine what is
negative (for short-selling) or positive (for going long) enough,
review past extreme readings by glancing down the page for extreme
values. Extremely positive readings typically correspond to price
bottoms and extremely negative readings correspond to price peaks.
Note the extreme readings that correspond to recent price bottoms
and peaks. You may want to wait until the readings are near those
recent extreme values before taking action. Note also that selling
short is no more risky than buying long, contrary to common belief,
and especially when you have reliable, advance price forecasts.
SYMBOL DATE PRICE FORECAST1 PERCENT1 FORECAST2 PERCENT2
BAC, 20110801, 9.8100, -0.2351, -2.4, -0.4574, -4.7,
BAC, 20110729, 9.7800, 0.0767, 0.8, -0.0455, -0.5,
BAC, 20110728, 9.7500, 0.0878, 0.9, -0.1147, -1.2,
BAC, 20110727, 9.6400, 0.1541, 1.6, -0.0104, -0.1,
BAC, 20110726, 10.0000, 0.0844, 0.8, -0.1464, -1.5,
BAC, 20110725, 10.0000, -0.2211, -2.2, -0.2894, -2.9,
BAC, 20110722, 10.0600, -0.6024, -6.0, -0.6815, -6.8,
BAC, 20110721, 10.2800, -0.6872, -6.7, -0.4964, -4.8,
BAC, 20110720, 9.8900, -0.1570, -1.6, 0.0347, 0.4,
BAC, 20110719, 9.6000, 0.0970, 1.0, 0.2131, 2.2,
BAC, 20110718, 9.7300, 0.0865, 0.9, 0.0306, 0.3,
BAC, 20110715, 10.0100, 0.0156, 0.2, -0.3926, -3.9,
BAC, 20110714, 10.0700, 0.0680, 0.7, -0.3076, -3.1,
BAC, 20110713, 10.1300, 0.2374, 2.3, 0.1093, 1.1,
BAC, 20110712, 10.2200, 0.3036, 3.0, 0.3759, 3.7,
BAC, 20110711, 10.3600, 0.1485, 1.4, 0.3020, 2.9,
BAC, 20110708, 10.7300, 0.0822, 0.8, 0.3503, 3.3,
BAC, 20110707, 10.9400, 0.0185, 0.2, 0.2523, 2.3,
BAC, 20110706, 10.7600, 0.0565, 0.5, 0.2237, 2.1,
BAC, 20110705, 10.9900, 0.0349, 0.3, 0.0867, 0.8,
BAC, 20110701, 11.0700, -0.2144, -1.9, -0.3665, -3.3,
BAC, 20110630, 10.9600, -0.1663, -1.5, -0.1644, -1.5,
BAC, 20110629, 11.1400, -0.6442, -5.8, -0.6631, -6.0,
BAC, 20110628, 10.9400, -0.2864, -2.6, -0.1510, -1.4,
BAC, 20110627, 10.9400, -0.2948, -2.7, -0.0609, -0.6,
BAC, 20110624, 10.5000, 0.0830, 0.8, 0.1506, 1.4,
BAC, 20110623, 10.7600, -0.2744, -2.6, -0.1663, -1.5,
BAC, 20110622, 10.7500, -0.1861, -1.7, -0.2396, -2.2,
BAC, 20110621, 10.8100, -0.2685, -2.5, -0.2005, -1.9,
BAC, 20110620, 10.6100, -0.2706, -2.6, -0.0526, -0.5,
BAC, 20110617, 10.6800, -0.1085, -1.0, 0.0256, 0.2,
BAC, 20110616, 10.6400, -0.0113, -0.1, 0.0086, 0.1,
BAC, 20110615, 10.4700, 0.0325, 0.3, -0.0138, -0.1,
BAC, 20110614, 10.7900, -0.3245, -3.0, -0.4997, -4.6,
BAC, 20110613, 10.9100, -0.5137, -4.7, -0.6722, -6.2,
BAC, 20110610, 10.8000, -0.2999, -2.8, -0.5188, -4.8,
BAC, 20110609, 10.6600, 0.0066, 0.1, -0.2634, -2.5,
BAC, 20110608, 10.5700, 0.2231, 2.1, 0.1816, 1.7,
BAC, 20110607, 10.6400, 0.2141, 2.0, 0.1225, 1.2,
BAC, 20110606, 10.8400, 0.1121, 1.0, 0.0708, 0.7,
BAC, 20110603, 11.2600, 0.1606, 1.4, 0.1105, 1.0,
BAC, 20110602, 11.2800, 0.1308, 1.2, 0.1660, 1.5,
BAC, 20110601, 11.2500, 0.0429, 0.4, 0.0740, 0.7,
BAC, 20110531, 11.7500, -0.4629, -3.9, -0.4056, -3.5,
BAC, 20110527, 11.7200, -0.3938, -3.4, -0.4740, -4.0,
BAC, 20110526, 11.5200, -0.2382, -2.1, -0.2651, -2.3,
BAC, 20110525, 11.4000, 0.0150, 0.1, -0.1638, -1.4,
BAC, 20110524, 11.4300, 0.0605, 0.5, -0.0596, -0.5,
BAC, 20110523, 11.4000, 0.1316, 1.2, -0.0385, -0.3,
BAC, 20110520, 11.5600, 0.0903, 0.8, 0.0906, 0.8,
BAC, 20110519, 11.6900, -0.0131, -0.1, 0.0991, 0.8,
BAC, 20110518, 11.8000, -0.0453, -0.4, 0.0698, 0.6,
BAC, 20110517, 11.8900, 0.0910, 0.8, 0.0432, 0.4,
BAC, 20110516, 11.8300, 0.1169, 1.0, 0.0818, 0.7,
BAC, 20110513, 11.9200, 0.1154, 1.0, 0.0275, 0.2,
BAC, 20110512, 12.2400, -0.1431, -1.2, -0.3950, -3.2,
BAC, 20110511, 12.2100, 0.0161, 0.1, -0.3744, -3.1,
BAC, 20110510, 12.2700, -0.0001, -0.0, -0.3431, -2.8,
http://bit.ly/opunfN
预测的中文使用说明：
上面一共有两个预测系统，1 和 2， 并列。
当然预测的结果会不同，否则一个够了。
这是因为有时一个预测到但另一个不够敏感。
当 FORECAST 和 PERCENT 数值很极端时，
未来的价格就会开始转向。正是起，负是跌。
所以在高峰时，数值一般是极端的高负数，
而在谷底时， 数值一般是极端的高正数。
要卖空应该等极端的高负数，做多的等高正数。
关键是要等到数值够极端，风险才会够低。
那什么数值算极端？
那就参考过去的预测，即第一行以下的数字。
只需看过去在主要的短期高峰和谷底时，
FORECAST 和 PERCENT 数值是多少，就有谱。
有趣的是，当股票价格达到高峰或谷底时，
一般来说，价格的未来移动幅度(趋于保守估计)，
就大约是 FORECAST 和 PERCENT 的数值。
所以在高峰时，为了预先求得未来的目标价，
把 CLOSE 加上 FORECAST 的负数值，即可。
同理，在谷底时，为了预先求得未来的高峰价，
把 CLOSE 加上 FORECAST 的正数值，即可。
觉得如何？ 解释的够不够清楚？
一般要查任何一个股票，用以下的格式：
例如要查 IBM 的预测，就用
http://StockCue.Com/free/IBM.TXT
如果想查苹果电脑 AAPL 的预测，
那就把 IBM 改成 AAPL，变成
http://StockCue.Com/free/AAPL.TXT
所以只要 highlight 和修改符号的部分即可。
注意：股票的符号必需是大写的英文字母。
即前段不变，但从符号到TXT都必需是大写。
有谁肯帮忙修改一下，让这说明变成更清楚易懂？
我准备了100个包子，分赠给优秀的修改提供者。
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: never understood your data.
: but good for you if it can make money.
| c**t
发帖数: 9197 | 5 I guess I am just too sensitive for the word "forecast"
it could be a good marketing strategy though. | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 6
........................
预测不可能完美才算预测。
显然你不懂，那没办法。
不少老印，一看就懂，
还写信道谢。
【在 c**t 的大作中提到】
: I guess I am just too sensitive for the word "forecast"
: it could be a good marketing strategy though.
| M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 7 终于明白了，
原来许多不懂的，
连说明都没去读，
即使有读也不仔细。
有说国内的人多浮躁，
看来的确有这倾向。
浮躁不仔细的人，
不适合搞科研。 | d******e
发帖数: 6945 | 8 换个说法也说的通，例如：别人不屑于看你的东西。
【在 M*****8 的大作中提到】
: 终于明白了，
: 原来许多不懂的，
: 连说明都没去读，
: 即使有读也不仔细。
: 有说国内的人多浮躁，
: 看来的确有这倾向。
: 浮躁不仔细的人，
: 不适合搞科研。
| w********o
发帖数: 10088 | | b******o
发帖数: 19 | 10 1. Why bother with percent? It appears to have a strong correlation to
forecast. Do they ever diverge for the same model?
2. Just list the extreme values on top instead of asking people to look down
and find the extremes. For example, if the current value is negative, list
the negative extreme on top. If the current value is positive, list the
positive extreme on top. | | | l****y
发帖数: 8847 | 11 正确率过半，算准么。。
啥时候更新？我留心看看 | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 12
......................
不屑看自然也没看说明。
其实像你这种自大的人，
越不看我会更加高兴。
最好是永远都不看。
有些人真的不配。
【在 d******e 的大作中提到】
: 换个说法也说的通，例如：别人不屑于看你的东西。
| v*****k
发帖数: 7798 | | M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 14
.....................
根据同事，应该是每天提供一些。
但相信不可能长期像现在这样，
每天提供全部的八千多个股票预测。
【在 v*****k 的大作中提到】
: 模型挺好，可是你又不会永远免费提供
| M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 15
down
list
...............................
The system is designed for the laziest possible people like me.
Instead of doing mental calculation, the percentage is done for you.
Ideally, it should ultimately require no thinking so that a kid can
trade with it.
【在 b******o 的大作中提到】
: 1. Why bother with percent? It appears to have a strong correlation to
: forecast. Do they ever diverge for the same model?
: 2. Just list the extreme values on top instead of asking people to look down
: and find the extremes. For example, if the current value is negative, list
: the negative extreme on top. If the current value is positive, list the
: positive extreme on top.
| d******e
发帖数: 6945 | 16 既然你可以说别人心浮气躁，自然我也可以说是别人不屑于看你的东西。
你可以明目张胆的招会员或者卖报告，不用这样遮遮掩掩的方式来推销自己的系统。
炒股到最后，要么是有比你这个更精细的系统自己用；要么是根本就是不需要学习这些
数据分析，所谓学的越多，误入歧途越多。
话不投机，也就是点到为止。
【在 M*****8 的大作中提到】
:
: down
: list
: ...............................
: The system is designed for the laziest possible people like me.
: Instead of doing mental calculation, the percentage is done for you.
: Ideally, it should ultimately require no thinking so that a kid can
: trade with it.
|
|
