c********l 发帖数: 8138 | 1 一条是说:
“For a specific autoregressive(AR) model, a good fit to the data, the
autocorrelations of the error term should be 0 at all lags.”
另一条是说:
“The autocorrelations of most autoregressive time series start large and
decline gradually, whereas the autocorrelations of an MA(q) time series
suddenly drop to 0 after the first q autocorrelations. This helps in
distinguishing between autoregressive and moving-average time series.”
前者说AR的autocorrelation都应该是0,不然就是mis-specified model
后者说AR对于(t, t+h)的autocorrelation在的时候,在h比较小的时候可以明显不为0,
但在h比较大的时候就应该逐渐趋近于0
这难道不是自相矛盾了? | x***u 发帖数: 1087 | 2 the first one is for the residuals;
the second one is for the original series.
【在 c********l 的大作中提到】 : 一条是说: : “For a specific autoregressive(AR) model, a good fit to the data, the : autocorrelations of the error term should be 0 at all lags.” : 另一条是说: : “The autocorrelations of most autoregressive time series start large and : decline gradually, whereas the autocorrelations of an MA(q) time series : suddenly drop to 0 after the first q autocorrelations. This helps in : distinguishing between autoregressive and moving-average time series.” : 前者说AR的autocorrelation都应该是0,不然就是mis-specified model : 后者说AR对于(t, t+h)的autocorrelation在的时候,在h比较小的时候可以明显不为0,
| c********l 发帖数: 8138 | 3 Thanks!,还是您的回答最精辟!
【在 x***u 的大作中提到】 : the first one is for the residuals; : the second one is for the original series.
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