W*********r
发帖数: 137 | | Z*****l
发帖数: 14069 | 2 有好转，但是只怕会再跌。
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: http://www.mitbbs.com/club_bbsdoc/NewJerseyHome.html
: 欢迎大家积极加入，踊跃发言
| W*********r
发帖数: 137 | 3 房市走势很难预测，不过几个星期以来很多房子都Undercontract了，去年冬天一样的
Deal不见了，很多房子都是Multiple Offer。去年需要几个月才卖出去，今年却走得很
快。
【在 Z*****l 的大作中提到】
: 有好转，但是只怕会再跌。
| s*******e
发帖数: 3042 | 4 See, this is exactly how a real estate agent loses credit. It pays in the
long run if you don't treat your clients like idiots.
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: 房市走势很难预测，不过几个星期以来很多房子都Undercontract了，去年冬天一样的
: Deal不见了，很多房子都是Multiple Offer。去年需要几个月才卖出去，今年却走得很
: 快。
| W*********r
发帖数: 137 | 5 I am just telling the fact, not want to argue with anyone. If you have been
actively looking in the market for the last several months, you will agree
with me more. BTW, some houses that appear active online are actually
undercontract.
【在 s*******e 的大作中提到】
: See, this is exactly how a real estate agent loses credit. It pays in the
: long run if you don't treat your clients like idiots.
| N**********8
发帖数: 122 | 6 I agreed with you that you should not believe everything your agent told you
. Purchase a property is one of the biggest investments for any family.
You should do a lot of research yourself on the location and local real
estate market.
The top ranking school districts (Milburn, Glen Ridge, New Providence,
Basking Ridge), correctly priced properties do have multiply offers. A lot
of times, the houses will sell over asking price. If you don't do the
research yourself and also don’t believe your agent, you will miss a lot of
good opportunities.
【在 s*******e 的大作中提到】
: See, this is exactly how a real estate agent loses credit. It pays in the
: long run if you don't treat your clients like idiots.
| c********n
发帖数: 731 | 7 showing houses in West Windsor. This is true in my experience.
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: 房市走势很难预测，不过几个星期以来很多房子都Undercontract了，去年冬天一样的
: Deal不见了，很多房子都是Multiple Offer。去年需要几个月才卖出去，今年却走得很
: 快。
| m****s
发帖数: 8992 | 8 I will gladly miss.
, you will miss a lot of good opportunities.
【在 N**********8 的大作中提到】
: I agreed with you that you should not believe everything your agent told you
: . Purchase a property is one of the biggest investments for any family.
: You should do a lot of research yourself on the location and local real
: estate market.
: The top ranking school districts (Milburn, Glen Ridge, New Providence,
: Basking Ridge), correctly priced properties do have multiply offers. A lot
: of times, the houses will sell over asking price. If you don't do the
: research yourself and also don’t believe your agent, you will miss a lot of
: good opportunities.
| i******t
发帖数: 11048 | 9 走势变好，价格还在降。
我的realtor告诉我的。
been
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: I am just telling the fact, not want to argue with anyone. If you have been
: actively looking in the market for the last several months, you will agree
: with me more. BTW, some houses that appear active online are actually
: undercontract.
| n*********e
发帖数: 25274 | 10 就业机会不要只集中在卖当劳那块,房市复苏就有希望...
最近很多公司从out source改成in source,是个好迹象... | | | s**********x
发帖数: 4593 | 11 wo men qiong ren dou mai bu qi | S*****n
发帖数: 6055 | 12 spring market is always better than winter market
could you compare with last spring?
thanks
you
lot
of
【在 N**********8 的大作中提到】
: I agreed with you that you should not believe everything your agent told you
: . Purchase a property is one of the biggest investments for any family.
: You should do a lot of research yourself on the location and local real
: estate market.
: The top ranking school districts (Milburn, Glen Ridge, New Providence,
: Basking Ridge), correctly priced properties do have multiply offers. A lot
: of times, the houses will sell over asking price. If you don't do the
: research yourself and also don’t believe your agent, you will miss a lot of
: good opportunities.
| N**********8
发帖数: 122 | 13 This spring is much better than last one. The properties under attorney
review much quicker. One of the important reasons is the interest rate very
low. A lot of my buyers observes the market for a while, for the high
demand area the price did not change a lot compare to last year.
If you don’t have a kid need to start school in September, try to search a
house after August. The price is more negotiable and less buyers in the
market.
【在 S*****n 的大作中提到】
: spring market is always better than winter market
: could you compare with last spring?
: thanks
:
: you
: lot
: of
| M*S
发帖数: 459 | 14 房市好转，应该加入卖房俱乐部呀。买房的人一般不希望房市好转。
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: http://www.mitbbs.com/club_bbsdoc/NewJerseyHome.html
: 欢迎大家积极加入，踊跃发言
| n*********e
发帖数: 25274 | 15 星期二发表的两份报告显示，美国上个月房屋销售步伐放缓，价格下降。MSNBC说，人
们期待已久的房屋市场春季复苏希望正在褪色。
标普/凯斯-席勒（Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller）房屋价格指数显示，二十个大城
市房价比一年前下降3.5%，低于上个月3.8%的降幅。
二十个大城市房价综合指数在经过季节调整后2月份上升0.2%，同经济学家的预期吻合
。标普副总裁麦特兰德（Maureen Maitland）说，但房价总的下降趋势还没有扭转。
她说，有些价格年度变化是在改善。但总的来说，它们大体上是负面的。很少几个市场
价格比一年前增长，逐月增长的就更少。因此，不能说有很多亮点。
该指数跟踪的城市当中，七个城市经过季度调整的房价下降，两个城市房价没有变化。
根据未经调整的价格，十六个城市房价下降。
另一报告说，3月份单一家庭新房销售下降到四个月来的最低水平，但那一指数仍然高
于分析家的预计。政府的报告说，前一个月的销量超过最初预计。
商务部说，3月份经过季节调整的新房年销量为32.8万套。2月份的年销量从原来预计的
31.3万套上调到35.3万套，那是自从2009年11月以来的最高。去年12月和今年1月新房
销量也都上调。
路透社调查的经济学家预计3月份年销量为32万套。新房中位数价格为23.45万美元，下
降1%。但是，同2011年3月相比，中位数房价上升6.3%。
全国地产商协会上个星期四报告，3月份现房销量下降，但房价比一年前稍微上升。
麦特兰德说，最新数据证实房屋市场还没有摆脱自从1930年代以来最严重房市崩溃的后
果。她说，房屋市场仍然处于非常低的低潮。房屋开工数量、销售数量等都处于周期低
水平。它们没有真正的好转。
耶鲁大学经济学教授席勒（Robert Shiller）告诉路透社说，就业市场疲弱、汽油价格
高和消费者的不安情绪都超过抵押贷款利率低的作用，也将在可以预见的未来继续压制
房价。
编制房价指数的这名经济学家警告说，房屋市场也许在我们这一辈子也不会出现大的好
转。他说，郊区房价尤其可能面临进一步下滑，因为高油价会增加市区的房屋需求。 | s*********e
发帖数: 4475 | 16 Since youare a PhD, you should at least provide some facts and statistics,
rather than repeating same words on this board, or writing qiang shou wen
zhang.
Please show us the WW houses that recently sold above listing prices or
under contract within one week.
been
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: I am just telling the fact, not want to argue with anyone. If you have been
: actively looking in the market for the last several months, you will agree
: with me more. BTW, some houses that appear active online are actually
: undercontract.
| s*****l
发帖数: 38 | 17 I agree with "好学区的房市好转，但是还没有到抢的地步".
I'm buying now. it looks for so so area the housing price is still dropping
but for good school district,the housing stock in 500k-700k is just low.
look at the discussions:
http://www.city-data.com/forum/new-jersey/1559015-wait-buy.html | e****g
发帖数: 4434 | 18 又来一波半山腰上挨套的。
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: http://www.mitbbs.com/club_bbsdoc/NewJerseyHome.html
: 欢迎大家积极加入，踊跃发言
| c********n
发帖数: 731 | 19 Exactly same experience for me in WW. My client put in an offer at 540K for
a house priced at 583K. We were rejected with no counter.
house
the
will
targeted
community
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: I am just telling the fact, not want to argue with anyone. If you have been
: actively looking in the market for the last several months, you will agree
: with me more. BTW, some houses that appear active online are actually
: undercontract.
| s*********e
发帖数: 4475 | 20 These are not facts or statistics. Are you really PhD?
You are supposed to list the address of the house, so others can verify your
stories. Even if your stories are true, they do not support your argument
at all.
You did the right thing to delete your original post, but next time, do not
do stupid thing again.
house
the
will
targeted
community
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: I am just telling the fact, not want to argue with anyone. If you have been
: actively looking in the market for the last several months, you will agree
: with me more. BTW, some houses that appear active online are actually
: undercontract.
| | | W*********r
发帖数: 137 | 21 please follow the link to see houses under contract in the last month in ww
area. Total of 26 with price between 600K to 750K. There have been never so
many.
I can say right now in west windsor, there are only few good houses still
active.
for
【在 c********n 的大作中提到】
: Exactly same experience for me in WW. My client put in an offer at 540K for
: a house priced at 583K. We were rejected with no counter.
:
: house
: the
: will
: targeted
: community
| a**i
发帖数: 608 | 22 Good!
ww
so
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: please follow the link to see houses under contract in the last month in ww
: area. Total of 26 with price between 600K to 750K. There have been never so
: many.
: I can say right now in west windsor, there are only few good houses still
: active.
:
: for
| a**i
发帖数: 608 | 23 分析文章天天有。看看下面这个。
我觉得对 NJ 中北部大部分好的学区，房价底部已经过了。
利率还很低，股市天天涨，这些地方的房子上涨只是时间问题了。
Housing Declared Bottoming in U.S. After Six-Year Slump
Bloomberg
By John Gittelsohn and Prashant Gopal - Apr 25, 2012 11:51 AM ET
The U.S. housing market is showing more signs of stabilization as price
declines ease and home demand improves, spurring several economists to call
a bottom to the worst real estate collapse since the 1930s.
“The crash is over,” Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Analytics
Inc. in West Chester, Pennsylvania, said in a telephone interview yesterday.
“Home sales -- both new and existing -- and housing starts are now off the
bottom.”
Data released yesterday showing better-than-estimated new-home sales and a
slowdown in price declines are bolstering optimism that the market is poised
for a sustainable recovery. Photographer: Sam Hodgson/Bloomberg
.
Data released yesterday showing better-than-estimated new- home sales and a
slowdown in price declines are bolstering optimism that the market is poised
for a sustainable recovery. Economists including Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
UFJ’s Chris Rupkey, Bank of America Corp.’s Michelle Meyer and Mark
Fleming of CoreLogic Inc. are also predicting prices are close to a trough
after a 35 percent slump from a July 2006 peak, even as the threat of more
foreclosures loom to boost supply.
Values in 20 U.S. cities fell 3.5 percent in February, the smallest 12-month
drop since February 2011, the S&P/Case-Shiller index showed yesterday. The
Federal Housing Finance Agency’s home-price index, which measures
properties with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, had a 0.4
percent rise for the same period, according to a separate report.
New Home Sales
New homes sold at an annual pace of 328,000 in March, up 7.5 percent from a
year earlier, the Commerce Department said. The median estimate in a
Bloomberg News survey forecast a rate of 319,000. The pace of sales for
February was revised upward to 353,000, a two-year high.
A report on consumer confidence yesterday showed the most important signal
that housing can only go up, said Rupkey, chief financial economist for Bank
of Tokyo-Mitsubishi in New York. The Conference Board said its confidence
index was at 69.2 in April, compared with a revised 69.5 in March. Beneath
the headline number, an important indicator was that consumers said jobs are
easier to find, Rupkey said.
“Today’s consumer confidence shows labor markets recovering and that
confidence is going to allow consumers to go out and buy homes,” Rupkey
said in a telephone interview yesterday.
Contract Signings
The National Association of Realtors probably will say tomorrow that the
number of Americans signing contracts to buy previously owned homes rose 1
percent in March, according to the median estimate of 43 economists surveyed
by Bloomberg. That would put the pending home-sales index close to a two-
year high.
Trulia Inc.’s housing barometer showed that the market was 32 percent of
the way “back to normal” in March, up from 23 percent a year earlier,
while down from 34 percent in January and February, said Jed Kolko, chief
economist for the San Francisco-based real estate information service. The
measure takes into account data on home construction, sales and mortgage
delinquencies.
“The housing recovery is progressing, though it’s taken one step backwards
after a few strides forward,” Kolko wrote in a note on Trulia’s website
yesterday.
Foreclosure Supply
While the volume of sales has increased, prices still have a way to fall
because as many as 6 million homes with delinquent mortgages and in the
foreclosure process are likely to come to the market, Scott Simon, head of
mortgage- and asset-backed debt at Newport Beach, California-based Pacific
Investment Management Co., said yesterday on Bloomberg Television.
“We think we’d go down another 3 or 4 percent over the next 12 months,
probably bottoming sometime next year,” Simon said on “Surveillance Midday
” with Tom Keene. “One month doesn’t change anything.”
Robert Shiller, a Yale University economics professor and co-creator of the
home-price index, also said prices may be poised to fall further.
“I’m more concerned about the downside than most people,” Shiller said
yesterday on Bloomberg Radio. “I could see it staying languishing and
edging down for years.”
Home values took eight years to reach a bottom during the Great Depression
and 11 more years to regain their lost ground, according to data compiled by
Shiller. Nominal U.S. home prices fell about 30 percent from 1925 to 1933
and didn’t return to their pre-crash peak until 1944, the year before World
War II ended.
Rising Home Seizures
Foreclosure filings in the U.S. fell in the first quarter to their lowest
level in more than four years after lenders under legal scrutiny slowed
actions against delinquent homeowners, according to RealtyTrac Inc. Home
seizures will increase as banks work through the backlog following a
settlement by loan servicers over faulty mortgage practices, the Irvine,
California-based data firm forecasts.
Meyer, senior economist with Bank of America in New York, said the recovery
will be led by the parts of the country with fewer foreclosures and more job
growth. She estimates that U.S. prices will reach bottom this year and stay
little changed until 2014, when they may gain about 2.5 percent.
Home values in more than half of major U.S. markets will probably reach a
bottom by the end of the year, according to Seattle-based Zillow Inc. Signs
that the market is close to a trough include improving home sales and rising
prices in some areas, said Chief Economist Stan Humphries. The market,
which has been bolstered by investors, second-home buyers, and retirees,
will need more traditional first-time and trade-up buyers to return for a
rebound, he said.
‘Healing’ Market
“I characterize 2012 as a year in which the market is healing and the
bottoming process is playing out,” Humphries said in a telephone interview.
Median prices averaged 5.8 percent higher in March than a year earlier in 53
metro areas surveyed for a monthly housing report by Re/Max LLC, the Denver
-based company said in an April 16 report. It was the second consecutive
month that home prices increased year-over-year and the ninth straight month
of higher sales volume, according to the report.
“This year’s selling season is shaping up to be the strongest we’ve seen
in years,” Margaret Kelly, Re/Max’s chief executive officer, said in a
statement. “Although we don’t expect home prices to rise in every market
at the same rate, the worst is definitely behind us, and a slow, steady
recovery is taking hold.”
U.S. home prices compiled by CoreLogic, a Santa Ana, California-based real
estate information service, had month- over-month gains in January and
February when sales of distressed properties were excluded, said Fleming,
the company’s chief economist.
“It’s just a matter of months before we get positive year- over-year
numbers in the overall index,” Fleming said in a telephone interview from
Washington. “Our data lags the reality. The turnaround is happening in the
March, April and May time frame.”
To contact the reporter on this story: John Gittelsohn in Los Angeles at
j******[email protected]; Prashant Gopal in New York at p*****[email protected]
【在 n*********e 的大作中提到】
: 星期二发表的两份报告显示，美国上个月房屋销售步伐放缓，价格下降。MSNBC说，人
: 们期待已久的房屋市场春季复苏希望正在褪色。
: 标普/凯斯-席勒（Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller）房屋价格指数显示，二十个大城
: 市房价比一年前下降3.5%，低于上个月3.8%的降幅。
: 二十个大城市房价综合指数在经过季节调整后2月份上升0.2%，同经济学家的预期吻合
: 。标普副总裁麦特兰德（Maureen Maitland）说，但房价总的下降趋势还没有扭转。
: 她说，有些价格年度变化是在改善。但总的来说，它们大体上是负面的。很少几个市场
: 价格比一年前增长，逐月增长的就更少。因此，不能说有很多亮点。
: 该指数跟踪的城市当中，七个城市经过季度调整的房价下降，两个城市房价没有变化。
: 根据未经调整的价格，十六个城市房价下降。
| s**********x
发帖数: 4593 | 24 我同事买的short sale不在里面啊
ww
so
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: please follow the link to see houses under contract in the last month in ww
: area. Total of 26 with price between 600K to 750K. There have been never so
: many.
: I can say right now in west windsor, there are only few good houses still
: active.
:
: for
| m*f
发帖数: 8162 | 25 It would be interesting to find out the percentage of Chinese buyers...
ww
so
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: please follow the link to see houses under contract in the last month in ww
: area. Total of 26 with price between 600K to 750K. There have been never so
: many.
: I can say right now in west windsor, there are only few good houses still
: active.
:
: for
| s*********e
发帖数: 4475 | 26 can you tell us which ones were sold above listing prices as your originally
claimed?
ww
so
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: please follow the link to see houses under contract in the last month in ww
: area. Total of 26 with price between 600K to 750K. There have been never so
: many.
: I can say right now in west windsor, there are only few good houses still
: active.
:
: for
| m****s
发帖数: 7397 | 27 Everyone's definition of bottom is so different.
Some people never had anal sex.
Some call themselves anal-yst.
Just very different.
Bottom | z*****x
发帖数: 2370 | 28 你看case-shiller index的走势，也就是在半山腰止跌了几个月，长期回升还谈不上。
别忘了还有六百万foreclosed的房子等着卖呢。 | Z*****l
发帖数: 14069 | 29 股市不是刚跌过么？
call
【在 a**i 的大作中提到】
: 分析文章天天有。看看下面这个。
: 我觉得对 NJ 中北部大部分好的学区，房价底部已经过了。
: 利率还很低，股市天天涨，这些地方的房子上涨只是时间问题了。
: Housing Declared Bottoming in U.S. After Six-Year Slump
: Bloomberg
: By John Gittelsohn and Prashant Gopal - Apr 25, 2012 11:51 AM ET
: The U.S. housing market is showing more signs of stabilization as price
: declines ease and home demand improves, spurring several economists to call
: a bottom to the worst real estate collapse since the 1930s.
: “The crash is over,” Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Analytics
| H********k
发帖数: 3950 | 30 The more buyers, the higher price...
It's nice to entice more people to the buy side, the stimulation will ALSO
open up more desirable sell inventory, which in turn begets more buy
interest. This win-win cycle cannot sustain itself right now, without the
right catalyst. bootstrapping is painful... the catalyst is of course growth
in jobs.
But last I check, Jobs of course was dead at age of 56. May him rest in
peace. Whatever he is doing, he is not growing...
so this is going to be tough.
everyone has vested interest in a booming housing market, which usually
accompanies a booming economy.
Some are more directly linked, most are less so.
That's just that.
欢迎加入新泽西购房俱乐部... | | | a**i
发帖数: 608 | 31 好消息又出来了，
PENDING HOME SALES 相比 EXISTING/NEW HOME SALES 是更新反应房市销售的数据，
虽然有小部分最终不能成交。
USD PENDING HOME SALES (MAR) (YoY RISE 10.8% vs 7.3% EXPECTED; sales were
revised to +14.9% (MoM) in February.
26 Apr 10:01:28 AM
USD PENDING HOME SALES (MAR) (MoM) RISE 4.1% vs 1.0% EXPECTED; sales were
revised to +0.4% (MoM) in February.
26 Apr 10:01:05 AM | s*******e
发帖数: 3042 | 32 Might as well post the whole story:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-26/pending-sales-of-u-s-e
+++++++
At the same time, the industry remains the economy’s weakest link,
depressed by the threat of more foreclosures, stricter lending standards,
and lower property values.
Even so, the glut of new foreclosures is likely to start pushing prices down
in the second half of this year, she said.
+++++++
Two of four regions saw an increase in pending home sales from the prior
month, led by an 8.7 percent jump in the West, today’s report showed, while
the South posted a 5.9 percent gain. [note: NO northeast]
+++++++
The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values FELL 3.5 percent for the year
ended in February.
+++++++
Sales of previously owned houses in March fell for the third time in four
months, from a 4.6 million annual rate to 4.48 million, the National
Association of Realtors reported earlier this month.
【在 a**i 的大作中提到】
: 好消息又出来了，
: PENDING HOME SALES 相比 EXISTING/NEW HOME SALES 是更新反应房市销售的数据，
: 虽然有小部分最终不能成交。
: USD PENDING HOME SALES (MAR) (YoY RISE 10.8% vs 7.3% EXPECTED; sales were
: revised to +14.9% (MoM) in February.
: 26 Apr 10:01:28 AM
: USD PENDING HOME SALES (MAR) (MoM) RISE 4.1% vs 1.0% EXPECTED; sales were
: revised to +0.4% (MoM) in February.
: 26 Apr 10:01:05 AM
| n*********e
发帖数: 25274 | 33 今年天气转暖得早,对房屋销售是利好...
关键是能不能持续下去... | W*********r
发帖数: 137 | 34 is it #7, sold price 525K? Very good deal.
【在 s**********x 的大作中提到】
: 我同事买的short sale不在里面啊
:
: ww
: so
| s**********x
发帖数: 4593 | 35 Peter V5
不过这个之前不再你的list上面啊
【在 W*********r 的大作中提到】
: is it #7, sold price 525K? Very good deal.
| W*********r
发帖数: 137 | 36 The list is only for price between 600K to 750K. That house is lower than
600K.
【在 s**********x 的大作中提到】
: Peter V5
: 不过这个之前不再你的list上面啊
| H*****e
发帖数: 160 | 37 #7 is 1 poplar ct? sold price only 525K? |
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