w********s 发帖数: 1570 | 1 Officially, Moscow denies that China is a potential threat, and endeavors to
play the political game of promoting friendship with Beijing. As a result,
any suspicion of China is excluded from Moscow's public discussions on
security and military strategies.
But the truth is that cracks have started to emerge in the seemingly solid
ties between the two powers since around 2009, leading Russia to regard
China as a "hypothetical enemy." It is no longer possible to fully
comprehend Russia's military strategy, including nuclear strategy, without
taking into account various factors related to China.
Its new national security strategy adopted in 2009, for instance, shows that
the Kremlin has serious concerns about the increasingly influential roles
being played by China in the multipolar world.
Furthermore, the military doctrine, revised last year for the first time in
a decade, reflects Russia's perception that while the chances of Russia
entering a full-scale war with the West have lessened, the dangers of
regional disputes along its borders have mounted. It is commonly accepted
among experts in Russian affairs that the "borders" referred to are not the
one with Georgia but rather the long boundary with China.
Last December, Russia integrated its Far East military district and part of
its Siberia military district into the Vostok (eastern) military district,
which covers Russia's entire border with China. In addition, the
headquarters for the new military district was shifted from Vladivostok on
the Japan Sea coast, where the Pacific Fleet is based, to Khabarovsk further
inland.
The only possible explanation for these changes is that Russia has
considered the potential of border conflict with China. An expert on Russia'
s security affairs says the expansion of China has become a serious threat
to the Russia's sparsely populated Far East.
Russia's defense budget for 2011 is about 20 percent larger than 2010's,
with further increases expected in the years ahead. As detente with the U.S.
and European countries progresses, what else would prompt Moscow to pursue
arms expansion than threats it fears from China?
That Russia is distancing itself from China is also reflected in its policy
toward North Korea. When North Korean Foreign Minister Pak Ui Chun visited
Moscow in December, his Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov, said in an angry
tone that the North's bombardment of a South Korean island and killing of
civilians "deserve condemnation." He was referring to the shelling in
November by North Korea of Yeonpyeong Island, which killed two South Korean
marines and two civilians and injured 15 others.
http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bin/eo20110124a2.html | S****e 发帖数: 10596 | 2 假想真想都无所谓了
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【在 w********s 的大作中提到】 : Officially, Moscow denies that China is a potential threat, and endeavors to : play the political game of promoting friendship with Beijing. As a result, : any suspicion of China is excluded from Moscow's public discussions on : security and military strategies. : But the truth is that cracks have started to emerge in the seemingly solid : ties between the two powers since around 2009, leading Russia to regard : China as a "hypothetical enemy." It is no longer possible to fully : comprehend Russia's military strategy, including nuclear strategy, without : taking into account various factors related to China. : Its new national security strategy adopted in 2009, for instance, shows that
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