c*****e
发帖数: 737 | 1 https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2021-08-04/right-way-
split-china-and-russia
HELP RUSSIA HELP ITSELF
If Russia is to be drawn westward, it will result not from Washington’s
overtures or altruism but from the Kremlin’s cold reassessment of how best
to pursue its long-term self-interest. An offer from Washington to reduce
tensions with the West will not succeed on its own; after all, Putin relies
on such tensions to legitimate his iron political grip. Instead, the
challenge facing Washington is to change the Kremlin’s broader strategic
calculus by demonstrating that more cooperation with the West can help
Russia redress the mounting vulnerabilities arising from its close
partnership with China.
Washington’s first step should be to drop its “democracy versus autocracy
” framing of U.S. strategy. The United States and its ideological partners
of course need to ensure that they can deliver for their citizens and
outperform illiberal alternatives. But casting the contest in overtly
ideological terms serves only to push Russia and China closer together.
Instead, the Biden administration should have a candid discussion with
Moscow about areas in which the long-term national interests of the United
States and those of Russia overlap, including when it comes to China. To be
sure, Russia and the United States remain at odds on many fronts. But rather
than settling for continued estrangement, Washington should try to find
common ground with Moscow on a wide range of issues, including strategic
stability, cybersecurity, and climate change. This dialogue, even in the
absence of rapid progress, would signal to Moscow that it has options other
than alignment with China.
The Biden administration should press its democratic allies to have similar
conversations with Russia; they, too, can probe areas of mutual interest and
highlight how China’s growing strength comes at the expense of Russia’s
influence and security. Given India’s long-standing ties to Russia and its
skeptical view of Chinese intentions, New Delhi may be particularly adept at
driving home to Moscow the merits of maintaining strategic autonomy and the
potential perils of having too close a relationship with Beijing. To
encourage India to help pull Russia away from China, Washington should waive
sanctions that are currently pending against India for its purchase of
Russia’s S-400 air defense system.
The United States and its allies should also help reduce Russia’s growing
economic dependence on China. Although China is now Russia’s biggest single
trading partner, Russia’s trade with the EU is far larger than its trade
with China, representing almost 40 percent of Russia’s foreign commerce.
Biden’s decision to effectively greenlight the controversial Nord Stream 2
gas pipeline, which will carry Russian gas to Germany, was a wise investment
in encouraging deeper trade links between Russia and Europe. And although
Western sanctions against Russia were a necessary response to Moscow’s
aggressive behavior, they have had the effect of pushing Russia further into
China’s economic embrace. Accordingly, the United States and its partners
should think twice before introducing new sanctions and should lay out a
clear set of steps that Russia can take to persuade Washington to scale back
existing ones, including committing to a diplomatic resolution to the
conflict in eastern Ukraine and reining in Russia-based cyberattacks on U.S.
networks. | s*****r
发帖数: 11545 | 2 美国佬在迅速滑进屎坑还不自知。恐怕美帝白人到25%时鹅毛还没有分裂。 | g**********1
发帖数: 1 | 3 Fool me once， shame on you，fool me twice， shame on me.
霉国傻逼的最大特点是低估所有人的智商。 | n***j
发帖数: 1747 | 4 以前叶利钦跪在地上要求入伙
被左一个耳光右一口唾沫的侮辱
这么多年不是苏联刚刚解体的时候了 | c*****e
发帖数: 737 | |
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