V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 1 Think we have military primacy over China? Think again.
Here’s a fact that ought to startle every American who assumes that because
we spend nearly $1 trillion each year on defense, we have primacy over our
emerging rival, China.
“Over the past decade, in U.S. war games against China, the United States
has a nearly perfect record: We have lost almost every single time.”
That’s a quote from a new book called “The Kill Chain: Defending America
in the Future of High-Tech Warfare,” the most provocative critique of U.S.
defense policy I’ve read in years. It’s written by Christian Brose, former
staff director of the Senate Armed Services Committee and a close adviser
to late senator John McCain (R-Ariz.). The book isn’t just a wake-up call,
it’s a fire alarm in the night.
Full coverage of the coronavirus pandemic
Brose explains a terrible truth about war with China: Our spy and
communications satellites would immediately be disabled; our forward bases
in Guam and Japan would be “inundated” by precise missiles; our aircraft
carriers would have to sail away from China to escape attack; our F-35
fighter jets couldn’t reach their targets because the refueling tankers
they need would be shot down.
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“Many U.S. forces would be rendered deaf, dumb and blind,” writes Brose.
We have become so vulnerable, he argues because we’ve lost sight of the
essential requirement of military power — the “kill chain” of his title
— which means seeing threats and taking quick, decisive action to stop them.
How did this happen? It wasn’t an intelligence failure, or a malign
Pentagon and Congress, or lack of money, or insufficient technological
prowess. No, it was simply bureaucratic inertia compounded by entrenched
interests. The Pentagon is good at doing what it did yesterday, and Congress
insists on precisely that. We have been so busy buffing our legacy systems
that, as Brose writes, “the United States got ambushed by the future.”
We should reflect on America’s vulnerability now, when the world is on
lockdown and we have a chance to reassess. A new world will emerge after the
global coronavirus pandemic, one in which China is clearly determined to
challenge the United States as a global power. The propaganda wars over the
origin of the novel virus that causes covid-19 are just a warm-up for the
tests that are ahead.
Opinion | U.S. diplomatic cables warned of Wuhan lab safety issues. The
world needs answers.
Global Opinions writer Josh Rogin has obtained a 2018 U.S. diplomatic cable
urging Washington to better support a Chinese lab researching bat
coronaviruses. (Joshua Carroll, Kate Woodsome, Josh Rogin/The Washington
Post)
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China’s military isn’t focused on projecting power, as ours is, but
instead on preventing U.S. domination. Rather than match our fleets of
carriers and squadrons of jets around the world, Beijing developed precision
weapons to prevent the United States from mobilizing these forces. An
example is the DF-21, the world’s first ballistic anti-ship missile, which
Brose says is known as “the carrier killer.”
The Pentagon wants to confront the Chinese challenge, but it insists on
keeping the same vulnerable, wildly expensive platforms at the center of the
United States’ military power. And Congress demands adherence to this
status quo. When then-Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and then-Navy Secretary
Richard Spencer tried to retire an aircraft carrier in 2019, Congress
refused. Expensive fighter jets have a lobby, too. As Brose notes: “There
is a reason why parts of the F-35 are built in every state in America. .&#
8201;. . It is political expediency.”
When the Pentagon tries to innovate, it’s too hidebound to maneuver and
adapt. A classic example is the Army’s $18 billion misadventure known as “
Future Combat Systems,” which was supposed to coordinate modern weapons but
turned out to be less agile than a Sony PlayStation.
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Brose argues that it’s time for a radical rethink. Rather than building
weapons for an outmoded strategy of projecting power, we should instead be
arming ourselves in an effort to “deny China military dominance.” That
means many cheap, autonomous weapons at the edge of the perimeter, rather
than a few exquisite ones that are vulnerable to attack.
These smart systems exist: The Air Force’s unmanned XQ-58A, known as the “
Valkyrie,” is nearly as capable as a fighter but costs about 45 times less
than an F-35; the Navy’s Extra-Large Unmanned Underwater Vehicle, known as
the “Orca,” is 300 times less costly than a $3.2 billion Virginia-class
attack submarine. But these robots don’t have a lobby to rival the giant
defense contractors.
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affected people of all walks of life. Write to us.
Brose envisions a military version of the “Internet of things” — smart
systems at the outer edges of our defenses which can blunt China’s
dominance without breaking the budget or risking all-or-nothing
confrontations. “We have the money, the technological base, and the human
talent,” he writes. What we lack is the will to change.
AD
The question for Americans to ponder, in Brose’s simple formulation, is “
how the future can win.” We have a window of time now, thanks to our
enforced lockdown, to do some creative thinking about defense. It would be
foolish to enter a new, post-pandemic world with the same old hardware. | p**********7
发帖数: 122 | | m**********s
发帖数: 518 | 3 有点自相矛盾
一方面说美国军事力量受到威胁
另一方面说共军发展武器是防御美国domination
也就是说，只要军力大到不能被美军全歼，就是威胁了美军
LOL | t*******d
发帖数: 1845 | | l**a
发帖数: 11 | 5 能控制住肺炎就是奇迹
军力优势？真的想多了
现在是后疫情时代 | V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 6 这骗文章是抱怨花钱太多造F35和航母，主张搞便宜的无人机狼群战，这个策略对罗马
没啥油水。
【在 t*******d 的大作中提到】
: MIC向政府要钱的软文
| V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 7 美国一直以为军方在亚太对共军有绝对优势，现在发现正好相反，美国对华战略的根基
没了，所以拉警报。
【在 m**********s 的大作中提到】
: 有点自相矛盾
: 一方面说美国军事力量受到威胁
: 另一方面说共军发展武器是防御美国domination
: 也就是说，只要军力大到不能被美军全歼，就是威胁了美军
: LOL
| t*******d
发帖数: 1845 | 8 名为省钱换思路，开新project自然需要新的funding
: 这骗文章是抱怨花钱太多造F35和航母，主张搞便宜的无人机狼群战，这个策略
对罗马
: 没啥油水。
【在 V*******n 的大作中提到】
: 美国一直以为军方在亚太对共军有绝对优势，现在发现正好相反，美国对华战略的根基
: 没了，所以拉警报。
| V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 9 问题是前提是要停F35的采购合同，要罗马的老命了。
【在 t*******d 的大作中提到】
: 名为省钱换思路，开新project自然需要新的funding
:
:
: 这骗文章是抱怨花钱太多造F35和航母，主张搞便宜的无人机狼群战，这个策略
: 对罗马
:
: 没啥油水。
:
| BR
发帖数: 4151 | 10 楼主英语不行。原文标题是说美国军力并没有对中国军力形成绝对优势 (primacy)，楼
主这鸵鸟就放飞自己的想象，理解为无法战胜中国。
【在 m**********s 的大作中提到】
: 有点自相矛盾
: 一方面说美国军事力量受到威胁
: 另一方面说共军发展武器是防御美国domination
: 也就是说，只要军力大到不能被美军全歼，就是威胁了美军
: LOL
| V*******n
发帖数: 1 | 11 你看文章了么？花油的鹰派作家会在标题说美国无法战胜中国？文章内容清楚无误说沙
盘推演美国基本完败啥意思？
“Over the past decade, in U.S. war games against China, the United States
has a nearly perfect record: We have lost almost every single time.”
【在 BR 的大作中提到】
: 楼主英语不行。原文标题是说美国军力并没有对中国军力形成绝对优势 (primacy)，楼
: 主这鸵鸟就放飞自己的想象，理解为无法战胜中国。
|
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